Climate Change and Food Security

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Climate Change and Food Security"

Transcription

1 Climate Change and Food Security Joachim von Braun International Food Policy Research Institute IPC and ICTSD Seminar Climate Change, Agriculture, and Trade: Promoting Policy Coherence Washington DC, October 29, 2009

2 Big picture of climate change policy challenges

3 Challenges of getting to a global climate change regime Questions of global climate justice, historic liability, equal rights Equitable cost-sharing for mitigation and adaption (per capita) The Kyoto Protocol has large shortcomings A more efficient global regime on basis of int l cooperation is needed

4 17 Gt of reductions below BAU required by 2020 for a 450ppm pathway with (40-60% chance of 2 degrees) Global GHG emissions, Gt CO 2 e per year Reference pathway BAU ppm pathway (with overshoot) Change relative to Source: McKinsey Global GHG Abatement Cost Curve v2.0; Houghton; IEA; US EPA; den Elzen, van Vuuren; Project Catalyst analysis

5 Proposed solutions Commitment by int l community to set climate change mitigation as a priority Equitable burden sharing Deterring sanction system against free-riders Global carbon price establishment Aggressive emission reductions by industrialized countries Major funding for technology cooperation and transfer Slower emissions growth in emerging economies Monitoring and verification Source: GES 2009.

6 Dealing with agriculture by appropriate integration into a Copenhagen agreement and beyond

7 Taking a dual perspective on climate change and food security 1. Address climate change in the context of food security 2. Address food security in the context of climate change Not each in isolation! This way find common grounds between developing and developed countries

8 Agriculture and climate change: part of the problem and the solution Agriculture part of the problem: 14% of CO 2 emissions Agriculture part of the solution: Biomass; CO 2 sequestration; soil management (source: IPCC 2007)

9 CO 2 emissions by country and sector Source: World Bank and IEA 2007; USEPA 2005; Houghton 2006.

10 Location-specific Biological and Socioeconomic Modeling is Critical Climate change brings location-specific changes - in precipitation, temperature and variability to - local agronomic and market conditions Modeling challenge Reconcile - limited resolution of macro-level economic models with - crop model detail Result - More realistic modeling of climate change effects (biological and economic) on global/regional agriculture Source: Nelson, IFPRI, 2009

11 Global Change Model Components, IFPRI GCM climate scenarios - NCAR (wetter) and CSIRO (drier) using SRES A2 DSSAT crop model - Crop response to local climate, soil and nitrogen applied ISPAM - Spatial distribution of crops in 2000 based on crop calendars, soil characteristics, climate of 20 most important crops IMPACT Global food supply-demand-trade modeling to 2050 with global hydrology Source: G. Nelson, et.al. IFPRI, 2009

12 Climate induced percentage change in production in 2050: Irrigated rice Global production = -27% NCAR A2a Source: M. Rosegrant (IFPRI) 2009.

13 Climate induced percentage change in production in 2050: Rainfed maize Global production = -16% NCAR A2a Source: M. Rosegrant (IFPRI) 2009.

14 Climate induced percentage change in production in 2050: Irrigated wheat Global production = -42% NCAR A2a Source: M. Rosegrant (IFPRI) 2009.

15 $/ metric ton Climate change impact: Global food prices, No climate change 2050 NCAR No CF Rice Wheat Maize Soybeans Source: Nelson et al. (IFPRI) 2009.

16 Climate change impact: Child malnutrition Sub-Saharan Africa Middle East and North Africa Latin America and Caribbean Europe and Central Asia East Asia and Pacific 2050 NCAR No CF 2050 No climate change 2000 South Asia Million children under 5 years of age Source: Nelson et al. (IFPRI) 2009.

17 Climate change impact: Net cereal trade SSA MENA LAC 2050 NCAR No CF 2050 No Climate Change 2000 EAP SA Developing Developed Million metric tons (Negative values indicate net imports) Source: Nelson et al. (IFPRI) 2009.

18 Trade may Trade promotes coordination of environmental policies - Provide opportunities for linkage between environmental and trade concessions - Facilitate implicit side payments - Grant countries direct leverage over other countries production - Instill perception of shared goals Example: Water pollution is lower in rivers shared between countries with more trade (analysis using data from the UN Global Environmental Monitoring System) Source: Ringler, Biswas, Cline (eds.) 2009.

19 The ongoing policy debate and potential actions

20 Agriculture-related terms in the Bonn conference negotiating text* June 2009 *Revised Negotiating text June 22, Source: Global Donor Platform for Rural Development 2009.

21 What costs agricultural adaptation? IFPRI Model Assumptions 60% increase in all crop yield growth over baseline 30% increase in animal numbers growth 40% increase in production growth of oils and meals 25% increase in irrigated area growth 15% decrease in rainfed area growth 0.15% increase in basin water efficiency by 2050 Source: Nelson et al. (IFPRI) 2009.

22 Additional annual agricultural adaptation funding required: +US$ 7 billion Expenditure to counteract climate change effects on child nutrition by 2050 (million 2000 US$) Sub-Saharan Africa South Asia Developing countries Agric. research ,316 Irrigation expansion Irrigation efficiency ,158 Rural roads 2, ,737 Total 3,053 1,531 7,118 The mix of investments differs by region Source: Nelson et al. (IFPRI) 2009.

23 Adaptation for increasing agricultural productivity Agricultural research, water management, and rural investment - Crop breeding for both irrigated and rainfed agriculture - Biotechnology for stress tolerant materials to address drought- and heat-tolerance, salinization - Water harvesting, minimum tillage, integrated soil fertility management etc. - Rural infrastructure investment to improve access to markets, risk insurance, credit, inputs Source: Rosegrant (IFPRI) 2009.

24 Agricultural mitigation policy Include carbon sequestration from soil carbon in global carbon trading system Fund development and implementation of low-cost monitoring systems Allow innovative payment mechanisms and support for novel institutions for agricultural mitigation Create institutional innovations linking communities to global markets e.g. regional centers for carbon trading Source: Rosegrant (IFPRI) 2009.

25 Developing countries require different types of support for mitigation activities Developing country abatement cost curve, 2020 (up to costs of 60/t) Cost of abatement / ton * Energy efficiency in buildings, transportation and industry Support to overcome barriers (best practice info, capacity building,loans) Forestry Agriculture Industry Power Transport Buildings Agriculture and forestry Power supply Support to compensate incremental costs, e.g. through offset market or grants Technology follows investment Abatement potential Gt CO 2 e Demos / investment in emerging technologies Support to compensate incremental costs (grants) and international cooperation Source: McKinsey, 2009

26 Enhance market incentives to realize environmental and social benefits Develop and promote markets for carbon payments at appropriate scale and speed What is the role of CO 2 trading? - partly complementary - partly competitive Only 3-4% of carbon trading sourced from agriculture, land use change, agroforestry and forestry

27 Tradeoffs and win-wins Tradeoffs occur between GHG emissions of agric. and related mitigation action: - CO 2 sequestration in the short term leads to competition with food-fuel-fiber production and food security risks - But GMOs may reduce tradeoffs Dynamics and potential win-wins: - If agric R&D investments have higher share - As payments for environmental services increase agric. productivity in the long term

28 A technology transfer package for Copenhagen (New Delhi conference Oct 22-23, 2009) enhanced technological cooperation, joint research and development of new technologies and products; periodic assessment, evaluation and expert guidance on new and emerging technologies; technology financing, in particular public financing; Public goods rather than IPR improve access to and deployment of technologies. Copy Green Revolution CGIAR - as a model for research collaboration on climate change technologies: creation of an international network of Climate Innovation Centers (CICs) as vehicles for enhancing technology innovation and capacity building in developing countries

29 The broad directions for food security conscious climate change policy 1. An efficient and fair global climate regime is needed 2. The food security effects of climate change must be important determinants for policy; 3. Investment for agriculture s GHG neutrality must not be delayed 4. Invest in adaptation in developmental ways; $ 7 billn. p.a. 5. Climate stress requires to more open trade 6. Carbon market opportunities for agriculture must not undermine food security 7. Combining agric. carbon market participation with sound agricultural R&D promises win-win

30 IFPRI on the web

Science and Technology Policies for Agricultural Productivity and Growth in Developing Countries

Science and Technology Policies for Agricultural Productivity and Growth in Developing Countries Science and Technology Policies for Agricultural Productivity and Growth in Developing Countries Joachim von Braun Director General International Food Policy Research Institute AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK FORUM

More information

Technology, development and climate: the need for an integrated approach Bert Metz, European Climate Foundation

Technology, development and climate: the need for an integrated approach Bert Metz, European Climate Foundation Technology, development and climate: the need for an integrated approach Bert Metz, European Climate Foundation Key messages: 1. Climate change is a development problem (causes and impacts) 2. Solving

More information

Maintaining Food Security under Growing Water Scarcity

Maintaining Food Security under Growing Water Scarcity Maintaining Food Security under Growing Water Scarcity GOING BEYOND AGRICULTURAL WATER PRODUCTIVITY DEC 8-9, 2014 Claudia Ringler & Tingju Zhu International Food Policy Research Institute Washington, DC

More information

Food Security, Farming, and Climate Change to 2050 Scenarios, Results, Policy Options

Food Security, Farming, and Climate Change to 2050 Scenarios, Results, Policy Options Food Security, Farming, and Climate Change to 2050 Scenarios, Results, Policy Options Gerald C. Nelson Senior Research Fellow, IFPRI Theme Leader, CCAFS National Academy of Sciences May 2, 2011 Page 1

More information

Energy Demand and Prices and Global Food Security Mark W. Rosegrant, Director Simla Tokgoz, Research Fellow Pascale Sabbagh, Research Analyst

Energy Demand and Prices and Global Food Security Mark W. Rosegrant, Director Simla Tokgoz, Research Fellow Pascale Sabbagh, Research Analyst Energy Demand and Prices and Global Food Security Mark W. Rosegrant, Director Simla Tokgoz, Research Fellow Pascale Sabbagh, Research Analyst Environment and Production Technology Division Fourth McGill

More information

Energy, Water and Food under Climate Change: Tradeoffs and Policies

Energy, Water and Food under Climate Change: Tradeoffs and Policies Energy, Water and Food under Climate Change: Tradeoffs and Policies Mark W. Rosegrant Director, Environment and Production Technology Division, IFPRI 60th Annual Conference of the Australian Agricultural

More information

Water scarcity in the context of growing food demands and climate change

Water scarcity in the context of growing food demands and climate change Water scarcity in the context of growing food demands and climate change Claudia Ringler, Tingju Zhu and Mark Rosegrant Environment and Production Technology Division Snowmass, July 28, 2011 OUTLINE 1.

More information

Impact on Agriculture and Costs of Adaptation

Impact on Agriculture and Costs of Adaptation Food Policy report Climate Change Impact on Agriculture and Costs of Adaptation Gerald C. Nelson, Mark Rosegrant, Jawoo Koo, Richard Robertson, Timothy Sulser, Tingju Zhu, Siwa Msangi, Claudia Ringler,

More information

The Role of International Trade in Climate Change Adaptation.

The Role of International Trade in Climate Change Adaptation. The Role of International Trade in Climate Change Adaptation Issue Brief No. 4 About the Platform In 2008 the International Food & Agricultural Trade Policy Council (IPC) and the International Centre for

More information

Controlling climate change after Copenhagen

Controlling climate change after Copenhagen Controlling climate change after Copenhagen Dr. Bert Metz Former Co-chairman IPCC Working Group III Fellow, European Climate Foundation Woods Institute Energy Seminar, Stanford University, February 10,

More information

development and climate change discussion papers The Costs of Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change

development and climate change discussion papers The Costs of Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change DISCUSSION PAPER NUMBER 4 August 2010 development and climate change discussion papers 1 D E V E L O P M E N T A N D C L I M A T E C H A N G E The Costs of Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change D

More information

CLIMATE CHANGE: AGRICULTURAL AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS

CLIMATE CHANGE: AGRICULTURAL AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS CLIMATE CHANGE: AGRICULTURAL AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS Intersessional Meeting of the Intergovernmental Group on Tea Agricultural Development Economics (ESA) Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

More information

Outlook On Agricultural Policy, Growth And Food Security

Outlook On Agricultural Policy, Growth And Food Security Outlook On Agricultural Policy, Growth And Food Security Mark W. Rosegrant, Director Environment and Production Technology Division, IFPRI Photo Credit Goes Here OUTLINE Challenges and overview of governance

More information

Food Security and World Changes and Trends since 1992

Food Security and World Changes and Trends since 1992 Food Security and World Changes and Trends since 1992 Julian Adams Asia Coordinator, Program for Biosafety Systems University of Michigan Ann Arbor MI USA Bangkok January 10 2012 1 Demographic Changes

More information

3. The World Food Equation

3. The World Food Equation M4902-430 Food and Nutrition Security University of Hohenheim 3. The World Food Equation 3.1 Factors of Global Food Supply and Demand 3.2 Simulation of Future Trends 1 3.1 Factors of Global Food Supply

More information

India Perspectives. Post-2015 Development Agenda. Food Security

India Perspectives. Post-2015 Development Agenda. Food Security India Perspectives Post-2015 Development Agenda Food Security SPEAKERS AND CONTRIBUTORS Mark Rosegrant Director, Environment and Production Technology Division, International Food Policy Research Institute

More information

Global Futures & Strategic Foresight

Global Futures & Strategic Foresight Global Futures & Strategic Foresight Quantitative modeling to inform decision making in the CGIAR and its partners Keith Wiebe (IFPRI) and S. Nedumaran (ICRISAT) ICRISAT, Patancheru, 1 February 2016 Outline

More information

Toward World Food Security

Toward World Food Security Toward World Food Security PRESENTED BY Greg Traxler Monday, July 20, 2009 1 IFMA7 Conference, Bloomington, Illinois Food Security when all people, at all times, have physical, social and economic access

More information

WATER AND FOOD TO 2025

WATER AND FOOD TO 2025 INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE sustainable options for ending hunger and poverty WATER AND FOOD TO 2025 Policy Responses to the Threat of Scarcity Mark W. Rosegrant, Ximing Cai, and Sarah

More information

Expert Meeting on Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation FAO Headquarters, Rome, 5-7 March Options for Decision Makers

Expert Meeting on Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation FAO Headquarters, Rome, 5-7 March Options for Decision Makers Expert Meeting on Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation FAO Headquarters, Rome, 5-7 March 2008 Options for Decision Makers Introduction Climate change will compound existing food insecurity and vulnerability

More information

How do climate change and bio-energy alter the long-term outlook for food, agriculture and resource availability?

How do climate change and bio-energy alter the long-term outlook for food, agriculture and resource availability? How do climate change and bio-energy alter the long-term outlook for food, agriculture and resource availability? Günther Fischer, Land Use Change and Agriculture Program, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria. Expert

More information

Agriculture and Climate Change

Agriculture and Climate Change Agriculture and Climate Change Katherine Killebrew, Professor Alison Cullen & Professor C. Leigh Anderson Prepared for the Agricultural Policy and Statistics Team of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

More information

Agricultural Projections: A View from the FAO

Agricultural Projections: A View from the FAO Agricultural Projections: A View from the FAO Foresight in Agriculture: A Workshop on Future Challenges and Opportunities for Latin America and the Caribbean Co-sponsored by the Inter-America Development

More information

World Economic and Social Survey (WESS) 2011: The Great Green Technological Transformation

World Economic and Social Survey (WESS) 2011: The Great Green Technological Transformation World Economic and Social Survey (WESS) 2011: The Great Green Technological Transformation Chapter I: Why a green technological transformation is needed Chapter II: The clean energy technological transformation

More information

Agriculture, food security and climate change the global context

Agriculture, food security and climate change the global context Agriculture, food security and climate change the global context Dominique van der Mensbrugghe Center for Global Trade Analysis (GTAP) Purdue University Scaling in global, regional and farm models Trade

More information

Agricultural Risk Management*

Agricultural Risk Management* Agricultural Risk Management* Cynthia Rosenzweig NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies Columbia University Center for Climate Systems Research *At Local, Regional, and Global Scales Climate Information

More information

Achim Dobermann. Deputy Director General for Research. International Rice Research Institute

Achim Dobermann. Deputy Director General for Research. International Rice Research Institute Achim Dobermann Deputy Director General for Research International Rice Research Institute Hong Kong s rice bowl 7 million bowls of rice each day H$ 4 million each day spent on rice It takes 290 ha of

More information

Current Food Security and Nutrition Challenges and the role of agriculture and food systems

Current Food Security and Nutrition Challenges and the role of agriculture and food systems Current Food Security and Nutrition Challenges and the role of agriculture and food systems Sumiter Singh BROCA Policy Officer, FAO Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific Briefing on ICN2 Jakarta 29

More information

Rising Food Prices: Causes, Effects, and Actions Needed

Rising Food Prices: Causes, Effects, and Actions Needed Rising Food Prices: Causes, Effects, and Actions Needed Rajul Pandya-Lorch International Food Policy Research Institute 2008 Norman E. Borlaug International Symposium Confronting Crisis: Agriculture and

More information

The outlook for global food and agricultural markets

The outlook for global food and agricultural markets United Nations Conference on Trade and Development 10th MULTI-YEAR EXPERT MEETING ON COMMODITIES AND DEVELOPMENT 25-26 April 2018, Geneva The outlook for global food and agricultural markets By Holger

More information

Evaluation of the Copenhagen Accord pledges and beyond

Evaluation of the Copenhagen Accord pledges and beyond Evaluation of the Copenhagen Accord pledges and beyond 29 November 2010 EU paviljon, Cancun Michel den Elzen A. Evaluation of the Copenhagen Accord pledges Context Work funded by: European Commission (ENTEC

More information

Supply-demand modeling and

Supply-demand modeling and Supply-demand modeling and planning for food security Presentation at the Food Security Expert Group Meeting Centre for Non-Traditional Security (NTS) Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

More information

Paving the way for nationally appropriate mitigation actions in the agricultural sector

Paving the way for nationally appropriate mitigation actions in the agricultural sector POLICY BRIEF 7 Paving the way for nationally appropriate mitigation actions in the agricultural sector Gesine Hänsel, Ecofys November 2012 Photo credit Neil Palmer (CIAT) Key messages Nationally appropriate

More information

Critical Evaluation of Selected Projections

Critical Evaluation of Selected Projections N. Alexandratos 1 Draft, 3-Feb-10 EXPERT MEETING ON HOW TO FEED THE WORLD IN 2050 FAO, 24-26 JUNE 2009 Critical Evaluation of Selected Projections 1. Introduction 2. Agricultural Prices 2.1. Introduction

More information

BUILDING COLLABORATIVE RELATIONSHIPS FOR AFRICAN AGRICULTURE

BUILDING COLLABORATIVE RELATIONSHIPS FOR AFRICAN AGRICULTURE BUILDING COLLABORATIVE RELATIONSHIPS FOR AFRICAN AGRICULTURE Dr. J. M. Gathenya Presentation made during the Africa2Ag week, 22-26 August 2011, Penn State College Objective Develop models to extend universities'

More information

Sharing the reduction effort between developed and developing countries to limit global warming to 2 o C. Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency

Sharing the reduction effort between developed and developing countries to limit global warming to 2 o C. Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency Sharing the reduction effort between developed and developing countries to limit global warming to 2 o C Michel den Elzen Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency Niklas Höhne Ecofys Box 13.7: Reductions

More information

Public Sector Agricultural Research Priorities for Sustainable Food Security: Perspectives from Plausible Scenarios

Public Sector Agricultural Research Priorities for Sustainable Food Security: Perspectives from Plausible Scenarios Public Sector Agricultural Research Priorities for Sustainable Food Security: Perspectives from Plausible Scenarios A Report for the Food Security Futures conference, 11-12 April 2013, Dublin, Ireland

More information

Africa Can Help Feed Africa. Removing barriers to regional trade in food staples

Africa Can Help Feed Africa. Removing barriers to regional trade in food staples Africa Can Help Feed Africa Removing barriers to regional trade in food staples Paul Brenton, Trade Practice Leader, Africa Region, World Bank September 11th 2012 Africa s food trade balance has worsened

More information

Toward Climate Resilient Food Systems and Europe s Roles

Toward Climate Resilient Food Systems and Europe s Roles Toward Climate Resilient Food Systems and Europe s Roles Joachim von Braun Center for Development Research (ZEF) University of Bonn FOOD 2030: Research & Innovation for Tomorrow's Nutrition & Food Systems

More information

Water Sector Analysis

Water Sector Analysis Public Disclosure Authorized 104218 Dissemination Note Series Romania: Toward Low Carbon and Climate Resilient Economy Water Sector Analysis Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public

More information

Could free trade alleviate effects of climate change: A worldwide analysis with emphasis on Morocco and Turkey

Could free trade alleviate effects of climate change: A worldwide analysis with emphasis on Morocco and Turkey Could free trade alleviate effects of climate change: A worldwide analysis with emphasis on Morocco and Turkey Ismail Ouraich, Hasan Dudu, Wally Tyner and Erol Cakmak Outline Motivation and research questions

More information

Tight to the ground: Can sub-saharan Africa be self-sufficient in food production?

Tight to the ground: Can sub-saharan Africa be self-sufficient in food production? Tight to the ground: Can sub-saharan Africa be self-sufficient in food production? Martin van Ittersum Plant Production Systems group Global Yield Gap Atlas team FAO projection: +60% demand (2007-2050)

More information

Water Security for Sustainable Development: The challenge of Scarcity in the Middle East & North Africa

Water Security for Sustainable Development: The challenge of Scarcity in the Middle East & North Africa Water Security for Sustainable Development: The challenge of Scarcity in the Middle East & North Africa Shawki Barghouti Director General International Center for Biosaline Agriculture 1 water scarcity

More information

What Makes for Food Systems that are Sustainable and Resilient?

What Makes for Food Systems that are Sustainable and Resilient? What Makes for Food Systems that are Sustainable and Resilient? Mark W. Rosegrant Research Fellow Emeritus International Food Policy Research Institute Presented at the Food Forum Meeting National Academy

More information

To keep under review the

To keep under review the Fifth Global Environment Outlook Environment for the future we want International Forum for Sustainable Asia & the Pacific 24 July 2012, Yokohama, Japan w w w. u n e p. o r g / g e o UNEP s Mandate To

More information

About livestock, resources, and stakeholders. Henning Steinfeld, Carolyn Opio, FAO-AGAL Brasilia, 17 May 2011

About livestock, resources, and stakeholders. Henning Steinfeld, Carolyn Opio, FAO-AGAL Brasilia, 17 May 2011 Can the Livestock Revolution Continue? About livestock, resources, and stakeholders Henning Steinfeld, Carolyn Opio, FAO-AGAL Brasilia, 17 May 2011 Quotes Without livestock, we would not exist. Finally,

More information

Adaptation in the Post-2012 Climate Regime: Some Perspectives from Asia

Adaptation in the Post-2012 Climate Regime: Some Perspectives from Asia Adaptation in the Post-2012 Climate Regime: Some Perspectives from Asia Ancha Srinivasan, Ph.D. Institute for Global Environmental Strategies (IGES) 1 IGES Stakeholder Consultations Round I (2005) All

More information

Agriculture Sector Analysis

Agriculture Sector Analysis Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Dissemination Note Series Romania: Toward a Low Carbon and Climate Resilient Economy

More information

Enhancing food production and sustainable food security

Enhancing food production and sustainable food security Enhancing food production and sustainable food security Pramod Aggarwal and Bruce Campbell CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security Global availability of food has increased

More information

ASEAN MEDIA FORUM. Review of Global and Regional Food Security Situation and Future Outlook

ASEAN MEDIA FORUM. Review of Global and Regional Food Security Situation and Future Outlook ASEAN MEDIA FORUM Review of Global and Regional Food Security Situation and Future Outlook Hiroyuki Konuma FAO Assistant Director-General and Regional Representative for Asia and the Pacific Singapore,

More information

Soil Management Strategies to Mitigate Climate Change. Synergies and Tradeoffs with Water Resource Management and Energy Security

Soil Management Strategies to Mitigate Climate Change. Synergies and Tradeoffs with Water Resource Management and Energy Security Soil Management Strategies to Mitigate Climate Change Synergies and Tradeoffs with Water Resource Management and Energy Security Christian Bugge Henriksen 1 and Peter E. Holm 2 University of Copenhagen,

More information

Futures and Foresight Activities in WLE ARM State of Foresight in the CGIAR

Futures and Foresight Activities in WLE ARM State of Foresight in the CGIAR Futures and Foresight Activities in WLE IWMI ARM - 2018 State of Foresight in the CGIAR University of Aberdeen 9-10 May 2018 Presented by: David Wiberg, IWMI water-secure world world AA water-secure www.iwmi.org

More information

Growth & Productivity in Agriculture & Agribusiness. Evaluative Lessons from World Bank Group Experience Gaborone, Botswana October 19-20

Growth & Productivity in Agriculture & Agribusiness. Evaluative Lessons from World Bank Group Experience Gaborone, Botswana October 19-20 Growth & Productivity in Agriculture & Agribusiness Evaluative Lessons from World Bank Group Experience Gaborone, Botswana October 19-20 2 Context for the evaluation 3 The majority of poor in Sub-Saharan

More information

Livestock production in developing countries: globally significant and locally relevant John McDermott Deputy Director General

Livestock production in developing countries: globally significant and locally relevant John McDermott Deputy Director General Livestock production in developing countries: globally significant and locally relevant John McDermott Deputy Director General Swedish Agricultural University Agricultural Research for Development Scales

More information

Supply, demand, and projected nutritional need for fruits and vegetables

Supply, demand, and projected nutritional need for fruits and vegetables Supply, demand, and projected nutritional need for fruits and vegetables Aligning the Food System to Meet Dietary Needs: Fruits and Vegetables 2-3 June 2017 World Food Center, University of California

More information

The Realities of Water in Agriculture: An Increasingly Unreal World. The Rosenberg Forum Madrid/Zaragoza June 2008

The Realities of Water in Agriculture: An Increasingly Unreal World. The Rosenberg Forum Madrid/Zaragoza June 2008 The Realities of Water in Agriculture: An Increasingly Unreal World The Rosenberg Forum Madrid/Zaragoza June 2008 Reality Water stressed populations growing Climate Change forecasts firming up Agric Water

More information

Welc ome the Expert Consultation on the Development of a Regional Sago Network for Asia and the Pacific, March 2013

Welc ome the Expert Consultation on the Development of a Regional Sago Network for Asia and the Pacific, March 2013 Welcome to the Expert Consultation on the Development of a Regional Sago Network for Asia and the Pacific, 20-21 March 2013 at the FAO Regional Office in Bangkok, Thailand 1 Status of Global Food Security

More information

Smallholder or family farming in transforming economies of Asia & Latin America: Challenges and opportunities

Smallholder or family farming in transforming economies of Asia & Latin America: Challenges and opportunities Smallholder or family farming in transforming economies of Asia & Latin America: Challenges and opportunities Ganesh Thapa Regional Economist, Asia and the Pacific Division, International Fund for Agricultural

More information

REGIONAL ANALYSIS OF SMALL RESERVOIRS Potential for expansion in Sub-Saharan Africa

REGIONAL ANALYSIS OF SMALL RESERVOIRS Potential for expansion in Sub-Saharan Africa Agricultural Water Management Regional Analysis Document REGIONAL ANALYSIS OF SMALL RESERVOIRS Potential for expansion in Sub-Saharan Africa JULY 2012 Introduction Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) faces great

More information

Climate Change: Africa s Development Opportunity

Climate Change: Africa s Development Opportunity Climate Change: Africa s Development Opportunity Energy-Climate Change Technology (ETC) Conference Bergen, 23-24 September 2009 Aziz Bouzaher and Shanta Devarajan World Bank 1 Two facts Africa is likely

More information

Josef Schmidhuber. The Food Equation Taking a long/term View on World Agriculture, Climate Change and Food Security

Josef Schmidhuber. The Food Equation Taking a long/term View on World Agriculture, Climate Change and Food Security The Food Equation Taking a long/term View on World Agriculture, Climate Change and Food Security Josef Schmidhuber Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) Drivers of change POPULATION

More information

WITH BIOVERSITY, CIAT, CIMMYT, CIP, ICARDA, ICRAF, ICRISAT, IITA, ILRI, WORLDFISH

WITH BIOVERSITY, CIAT, CIMMYT, CIP, ICARDA, ICRAF, ICRISAT, IITA, ILRI, WORLDFISH WITH BIOVERSITY, CIAT, CIMMYT, CIP, ICARDA, ICRAF, ICRISAT, IITA, ILRI, WORLDFISH CGIAR Research Programs (CRPs) The new research instrument of the CGIAR A more strategic approach of the CGIAR system to

More information

Sara J. Scherr, EcoAgriculture Partners Navigating the Global Food System in a New Era IAMA, Boston, June 21, 2010

Sara J. Scherr, EcoAgriculture Partners Navigating the Global Food System in a New Era IAMA, Boston, June 21, 2010 Agricultural Productivity and Ecosystem Sustainability: Solutions from Farm to Landscape Scale "Feeding 9 Billion with the Challenges of Climate Change: Towards Diversified Ecoagriculture Landscapes" Sara

More information

WHAT WOULD BE THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ASSUMING NO, OR SOME, OR MUCH EMISSIONS CONTROL AND SEQUESTRATION?

WHAT WOULD BE THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ASSUMING NO, OR SOME, OR MUCH EMISSIONS CONTROL AND SEQUESTRATION? WHAT WOULD BE THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ASSUMING NO, OR SOME, OR MUCH EMISSIONS CONTROL AND SEQUESTRATION? Martin parry Co-Chair, Working Group II, IPCC Global mean temperature predictions 18 17 Temperature

More information

GEF 2020 Strategy does not really seem to be long-term? STAP meeting March 21, 2013

GEF 2020 Strategy does not really seem to be long-term? STAP meeting March 21, 2013 WORKING DRAFT Last Modified 3/21/2013 8:45 AM Eastern Standard Time Printed 3/12/2013 11:59 AM Eastern Standard Time GEF 2020 Strategy STAP meeting March 21, 2013 2020 does not really seem to be long-term?

More information

Carbon Finance at the World Bank. The World Bank March 2007

Carbon Finance at the World Bank. The World Bank March 2007 Carbon Finance at the World Bank The World Bank March 2007 Climate Change a Truly Global Challenge Ton of Greenhouse Gas emitted has same global impact regardless of where emitted or mitigated/reduced

More information

Agriculture and Copenhagen: priorities and possibilities

Agriculture and Copenhagen: priorities and possibilities Agriculture and Copenhagen: priorities and possibilities 1. The key Kyoto questions: A 50% global cut in GHG emissions is needed by 2050; earlier action is better than later. The main questions are: Developed

More information

Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Metrics for Agriculture

Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Metrics for Agriculture Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Metrics for Agriculture Annual Temperature Trends 1973-2002 www.itdg.org Cynthia Rosenzweig and Francesco Tubiello Goddard Institute for Space Studies at Columbia

More information

Realizing the promise and potential of African agriculture

Realizing the promise and potential of African agriculture Realizing the promise and potential of African agriculture Science and Technology Strategies for Improving Agricultural Productivity and Food Security in Africa Huub Löffler, Wageningen UR Food availability

More information

The Economics of Climate Change Nicholas Stern. Second IG Patel lecture New Delhi 26 October 2007

The Economics of Climate Change Nicholas Stern. Second IG Patel lecture New Delhi 26 October 2007 The Economics of Climate Change Nicholas Stern Second IG Patel lecture New Delhi 26 October 2007 1 The economics of climate change Impacts, Risks, Costs: Global Possible Impacts on India Planning for Adaptation

More information

Small-scale Irrigation (SSI) in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Why and the How --drawing on ILSSI and other SSI activities

Small-scale Irrigation (SSI) in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Why and the How --drawing on ILSSI and other SSI activities Small-scale Irrigation (SSI) in Sub-Saharan Africa: The Why and the How --drawing on ILSSI and other SSI activities Claudia Ringler Deputy Division Director, International Food Policy Research Institute

More information

How? Establish a global power sector carbon budget

How? Establish a global power sector carbon budget What? Bend the curve in global emissions within a decade of Copenhagen How? Establish a global power sector carbon budget 1. Introduction A key criteria for a global climate change deal in Copenhagen in

More information

Science Based Metrics for Sustainable Outcomes In Agriculture

Science Based Metrics for Sustainable Outcomes In Agriculture Science Based Metrics for Sustainable Outcomes In Agriculture Jun Zhu, PhD Area Director, Center for Agricultural and Rural Sustainability Professor, Biological and Agricultural Engineering Department

More information

Impact of Climate Change on Food Security in Times of High Energy Prices

Impact of Climate Change on Food Security in Times of High Energy Prices Impact of Climate Change on Food Security in Times of High Energy Prices A Background Paper prepared for the International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development (ICTSD) and the session titled Agriculture,

More information

Palm oil in the context of world commodities markets: implications for food security

Palm oil in the context of world commodities markets: implications for food security Palm oil in the context of world commodities markets: implications for food security Sumiter Singh BROCA Policy Officer, FAO Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific Palm Oil Trade Fair and Seminar Kuala

More information

U.S. Reflections on Outcomes and Implications of Bali

U.S. Reflections on Outcomes and Implications of Bali U.S. Reflections on Outcomes and Implications of Bali Dr. Harlan L. Watson Senior Climate Negotiator and Special Representative U.S. Department of State IISD Conference on A Way Forward: Canadian and International

More information

SPE Distinguished Lecturer Program

SPE Distinguished Lecturer Program SPE Distinguished Lecturer Program Primary funding is provided by The SPE Foundation through member donations and a contribution from Offshore Europe The Society is grateful to those companies that allow

More information

How to Feed the World in 2050

How to Feed the World in 2050 How to Feed the World in 2050 Insights from an expert meeting at FAO, 24-26 June 2009 Keith Wiebe, FAO OECD Global Forum on Agriculture Paris, 30 June 2009 millions of hungry people 1.02 billion hungry

More information

Video. Growing disparities in incomes among regions. A Degenerating Circle: Poverty, Environment & Economy. Are you able to Apply the Following:

Video. Growing disparities in incomes among regions. A Degenerating Circle: Poverty, Environment & Economy. Are you able to Apply the Following: Managing Biological Resources & Environmental Equality The Business of Hunger Now playing: Kurt Bestor, Sam Cardon Prayer of the Children A man who has bread has many problems, a man without bread has

More information

GHG Mitigation Potential in Global Forests: Deforestation, Transaction Costs, and Alternative Baselines

GHG Mitigation Potential in Global Forests: Deforestation, Transaction Costs, and Alternative Baselines 1 GHG Mitigation Potential in Global Forests: Deforestation, Transaction Costs, and Alternative Baselines Jayant A. Sathaye Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory Berkeley, CA Ken Andrasko US EPA now at

More information

Deep Decarbonization And Sustainable Development

Deep Decarbonization And Sustainable Development Deep Decarbonization And Sustainable Development Prof. Jeffrey D. Sachs University Professor and Director of the UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment Annual

More information

Anselm Eisentraut Bioenergy Analyst A Roadmap for Biofuels Copenhagen,

Anselm Eisentraut Bioenergy Analyst A Roadmap for Biofuels Copenhagen, Anselm Eisentraut Bioenergy Analyst A Roadmap for Biofuels Copenhagen, 13.10.2011 IEA Technology Roadmaps Roadmaps are intended to: Highlight pathway(s) to reach large scale use of low-carbon technologies,

More information

CAB International 2016

CAB International 2016 3 Global Water Requirements of Future Agriculture: Using WATERSIM Aditya Sood* International Water Management Institute, Colombo, Sri Lanka Abstract Currently, agriculture is the biggest consumer of water

More information

The Climate for Development: Where Next on Climate Change. Dr. Andrew Steer Special Envoy for Climate Change, World Bank Group

The Climate for Development: Where Next on Climate Change. Dr. Andrew Steer Special Envoy for Climate Change, World Bank Group The Climate for Development: Where Next on Climate Change Dr. Andrew Steer Special Envoy for Climate Change, World Bank Group Public Seminar at the World Bank Tokyo Office March 2, 2012 Are You Concerned

More information

Soy in Feed the Future: Promise and Challenge

Soy in Feed the Future: Promise and Challenge Soy in Feed the Future: Promise and Challenge Rob Bertram U.S. Agency for International Development The Global Challenge About 870 million people suffer from chronic hunger More than 3.5 million children

More information

The Future of Food and Agriculture: Now s the Time for Change

The Future of Food and Agriculture: Now s the Time for Change The Future of Food and Agriculture: Now s the Time for Change Rob Vos FAO Director Agricultural Development Economics Buenos Aires, 5 October 2016 Food insecurity and malnutrition We produce enough food

More information

Scaling Up Low Carbon Growth

Scaling Up Low Carbon Growth Scaling Up Low Carbon Growth Presentation to the World Bank/DFID Conference September 10, 2009 William Whitesell, Director of Policy Research, Center for Clean Air Policy Scaling Up Could Mean: Increasing

More information

TACKLING CLIMATE CHANGE: THE WAY FORWARD TO COPENHAGEN

TACKLING CLIMATE CHANGE: THE WAY FORWARD TO COPENHAGEN TACKLING CLIMATE CHANGE: THE WAY FORWARD TO COPENHAGEN The Center for American Studies The Embassy of the United States of America Roma, February 17, 2009 Corrado Clini Director General Ministry for the

More information

Roy Parizat, Senior Economist, Global Agricultural Practice, The World Bank ww.worldbank.org/agriculture Presentation to ICO,

Roy Parizat, Senior Economist, Global Agricultural Practice, The World Bank ww.worldbank.org/agriculture Presentation to ICO, Roy Parizat, Senior Economist, Global Agricultural Practice, The World Bank rparizat@worldbank.org ww.worldbank.org/agriculture Presentation to ICO, 3 March 2015 Presentation Outline Why Agriculture Matters

More information

Future Funding Needs: Adaptation. Paul Watkiss

Future Funding Needs: Adaptation. Paul Watkiss Future Funding Needs: Adaptation Paul Watkiss Background how is much on the table? The Copenhagen Accord text reads: The collective commitment by developed countries is to provide new and additional resources,

More information

Systems at risk: Climate change and water for agriculture

Systems at risk: Climate change and water for agriculture Systems at risk: Climate change and water for agriculture Jean-Marc Faurès Land and Water Division FAO-WB Workshop on Climate Change Adaptation in Agriculture in East Asia and the Pacific FAO, Rome, May

More information

Global Bioenergy Partnership

Global Bioenergy Partnership Global Bioenergy Partnership Working together to promote bioenergy for sustainable development ZeroEmission Rome 2008 Maria Michela Morese Secretariat Manager Global Bioenergy Partnership Secretariat Food

More information

Review of FAO Experiences in Good Agriculture Practices at Global, Regional and National Levels: Key Lessons and Question

Review of FAO Experiences in Good Agriculture Practices at Global, Regional and National Levels: Key Lessons and Question Review of FAO Experiences in Good Agriculture Practices at Global, Regional and National Levels: Key Lessons and Question Dost Muhammad Plant Production Officer, FAO RNE, Cairo, Egypt FAO Role in Good

More information

Economic Analysis of Field Crops and Land Use with Climate Change

Economic Analysis of Field Crops and Land Use with Climate Change Economic Analysis of Field Crops and Land Use with Climate Change Ron Sands Joint Global Change Research Institute Battelle PNNL University of Maryland Cost of Inaction Workshop German Institute for Economic

More information

Ensuring Effective Adaptation and Mitigation and Food Security

Ensuring Effective Adaptation and Mitigation and Food Security Climate Change, Agriculture and Trade on the Road to Copenhagen Ensuring Effective Adaptation and Mitigation and Food Security Salzburg, Austria, 12 May 2009 Daniel L. Martino daniel.martino@carbosur.com.uy

More information

Input Subsidy Programs in Asia What lesson can we learn for Africa

Input Subsidy Programs in Asia What lesson can we learn for Africa Input Subsidy Programs in Asia What lesson can we learn for Africa Shahidur Rashid (presenting) Paul A. Dorosh, IFPRI M.K. Mujeri, BIDS INPUT SUBSIDY PROGRAM IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 16 APRIL 2013 WASHINGTON

More information

Reducing Vulnerabilities and Building Resilience in Drought. Experiences from India

Reducing Vulnerabilities and Building Resilience in Drought. Experiences from India Reducing Vulnerabilities and Building Resilience in Experiences from India 51 Europe Eastern 78 Northern 13 Southern 80 Western 30 Total 201 Asia Eastern 88 South-Central 125 South East 57 Western 35 Total

More information

Climate Change and Agriculture

Climate Change and Agriculture Climate Change and Agriculture Martin Parry and Cynthia Rosenzweig Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (U.K. Meteorological Office and Goddard Institute for Space Studies) OUTLINE What we currently

More information

Private Sector Initiative actions on adaptation

Private Sector Initiative actions on adaptation Private Sector Initiative actions on adaptation Title of case study* The Latin American Water Funds Partnership Date of submission* 2/2/202 Name of organization(s)* Femsa Foundation The objective of the

More information

Economic Impacts of Climate Change on the Malaysian Rice Production

Economic Impacts of Climate Change on the Malaysian Rice Production Economic Impacts of Climate Change on the Malaysian Rice Production Negin Vaghefi Mad Nasir Shamsudin Ahmad Makmom Abdullah Milad Bagheri Faculty of Environmental Studies Universiti Putra Malaysia Presented

More information