Chain Analysis and LCA. Prof. Dr. ir. Joeri Van Mierlo Director of Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre

Transcription

1 Chain Analysis and LCA Prof. Dr. ir. Joeri Van Mierlo Director of Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology Research Centre

2 25% Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 2

3 57% NOx 25% PM Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 3 Joris Besseling

4 1 Billion Euro s per Day for import of Oil in Europe Jonathan C. Wheeler Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 4

5 Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 5 Manon

6 Strong foundations Vrije Universiteit Brussel Vrije Universiteit Brussel Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 6

7 E-mobility

8 Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 8

9 Top 3 Barriers for EVs High purchase cost Limited driving range Limited charging infrastructure Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 9

10 Range anxiety 95 to 99% trips <100km 30% vehicle fleet never >100km Improved batteries: Specific energy (Wh/kg): x2 x2 x3 x3 Lead Nickel Lithium ? Plug-in hybrid (EV+range extender) Wireless Dynamic inductive charging Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 10

11 Infrastructure needs Where is your car during one week? Work Home Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 11

12 Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 12

13 Intelligent roll-out of infrastructure Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo MOBI - Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Technology 13

14 How Green are Clean vehicles?

15 Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 15

16 Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Bert Kaufmann 16

17 Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 17

18 Life Cycle Assessment Raw materials Refining and transport Distribution Usage Waste Raw materials Production of components Assembly and distribiution Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 18

19 Single score Human health Ecosystem Resource availability Endpoint Damages Radiation Climate change Human toxicity Ozone formation PM formation Eutrophication Ozone depletion Eco toxicity Acidification Land use Water use Mineral depletion Fossil fuel depletion Midpoint impacts CO 2, CH 4, N 2 O, NO x, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, and other elementary flows (emissions and resources) Elementary flows WTT Maintenance Raw materials Production Refining and production Distribution TTW Inventory model Usage Waste Raw materials Production of components Assembly and distribiution FU: 209,470 km (14.1 years, 14,856 km/yr) Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Road infrastructure 19

20 Climate change Messagie, Maarten; Boureima, Faycal-Siddikou; Coosemans, Thierry; Macharis, Cathy; Van Mierlo, Joeri (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES Volume: 7 Issue: 3 Pages: Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 20

21 Single score Radiation Climate change Human toxicity Ozone formation PM formation Eutrophication Ozone depletion Eco toxicity Acidification Land use Water use Mineral depletion Fossil fuel depletion Midpoint impacts CO 2, CH 4, N 2 O, NO x, Cd, Benzene, iron ore, hard coal, land use, and other elementary flows (emissions and resources) Elementary flows WTT Maintenance Raw materials Production Refining and production Distribution TTW Inventory model Usage Waste Raw materials Production of components Assembly and distribiution Road infrastructure Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 21

22 Air quality in Belgium Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 22

23 Life cycle air quality! Geographical & Temporal Reslution in LCA Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 23

24 Parameterized vehicle-lca model Vehicle database Parameterized LCI model Vehicle segmentation Monte Carlo assessment Data fitting Density 0,12 0,1 0,08 0,06 0,04 0,02 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Weight [kg] % Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 24

25 Single score Messagie, M., et.al.. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle 25 Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES Volume: 7 Issue: 3 Pages:

26 Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 26

27 Influence of the electricity mix Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Ref: Messagie, M., et.al. (2014) A Range-Based Vehicle Life Cycle Assessment Incorporating Variability in the Environmental Assessment of Different Vehicle Technologies and Fuels. ENERGIES 27

28 How affordable are Clean Vehicles?

29 TCO methodology Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 29

30 Passenger cars medium cars Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

31 Passenger cars premium cars Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

32 Company cars medium cars Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

33 Company cars premium cars Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

34 Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 34

35 Electrification: 1 mln. additional jobs in 2030 in EU 2 mln. additional jobs in 2050 in EU Source: Fuelling EUROPE S Future, 2013 Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 35

36 Fun to drive and. J Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 36

37 Mobility, Logistics and Automotive Research centre Vrije Universiteit Brussel Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels mobi.vub.ac.be twitter.com/mobi_vub Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo Phone joeri.van.mierlo@vub.ac.be Office Building Z (ZE109) Vrije Universiteit Brussel MOBI Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo 37