Jennifer Hecker, Executive Director May 17, 2018

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1 Jennifer Hecker, Executive Director May 17, 2018

2 Who We Are Formed in 1995 and one of only 28 Congressionally designated national estuaries in the United States Receive special funding and support from USEPA under the Clean Water Act to protect and restore water resources in the CHNEP study area

3 Where We Work CHNEP study area encompasses 4,700 sq. mile Estuaries include Lemon Bay, Dona & Roberts Bay, Charlotte Harbor, Pine Island Sound, Caloosahatchee, San Carlos Bay and Estero Bay Rivers including Myakka, Peace, Caloosahatchee, and Estero Inland and coastal Communities including 8 counties and 10 cities

4 What We Do Address 4 Priority Problems: 1. Hydrologic Alterations 2. Water Quality Degradation 3. Fish & Wildlife Habitat Loss 4. Stewardship Gaps Through: Restoration Research Education Advocacy Protecting and restoring water resources from Venice to Bonita Springs to Winter Haven

5 Some of Our Many Partners and many more Photo: FWC

6 The Power of Partnership CHNEP is: Public-private partnership Consensus-based Non-regulatory Science-based CHNEP, because of private contributions, volunteers and donated in-kind services has been able to provide 35 dollars of restoration for every dollar it received of governmental funding! Photo: FWC

7 How We Fit into Big Picture CHNEP was designed to dovetail with Everglades and other major restoration initiatives back when formed in 1995.

8 Aligning with Comp Plan Goals & Objectives Ex: City of Cape Coral s Comp Plan Conservation and Coastal Management element objectives align with the CHNEP including: Improving water quality Enhancing public water supply Restoring flowways Managing storm and wastewater better Raising community awareness Protecting and restoring water resources from Venice to Bonita Springs to Winter Haven

9 Charlotte Harbor Proper Basin WQ Issues Protecting and restoring water resources from Venice to Bonita Springs to Winter Haven

10 CHNEP covers a very vulnerable area CHNEP Program Area NOAA Map of Hurricanes in Past 100 yrs Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Areas Incl. 6 Aquatic

11 Bonita Springs, FL Estero, FL Protecting and restoring water resources from Venice to Bonita Springs to Winter Haven

12 Rapid Response Post-Irma When partners were ready after initial hurricane response efforts were done, CHNEP organized a meeting to bring local governmental leaders and staff from the most impacted region together - to compare disaster recovery information and ideas.

13 Best Defense is a Better Offense Lessons learned: Increased storminess is already happening Need to change to model extreme storms / storms back to back Need to design even more capacity into stormwater and wastewater systems, as well as water management structure Need to accommodate water building more storage and giving it safe passage rather than fighting it (hydrological & Everglades restoration) Vulnerability Map (with 6 ft. surge) of Cape Coral Largest City in FL

14 Restoring Hydrology With the Charlotte Harbor Flatwoods Initiative Moving water from where it is artificially impeded and there is too much - to where it used to go and where there is too little in this case from Cecil Webb down through Yucca Pens to the coast. CHNEP is currently pursuing funding for ecological and hydrological modeling for this hydrological restoration project. Protecting and restoring water resources from Venice to Bonita Springs to Winter Haven

15 Long-term for Conservation: Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Assessed 48 potential climate risks to achieving regional water/ conservation objectives, with experts and the general public (P).

16 For the six IPCC Special Reports on Emissions Scenarios a) projected atmospheric CO2 b) projected average sea surface ph and c) projected average aragonite (a form of calcium carbonate used by marine organisms) saturation state in the Southern Ocean. From IPCC Climate Stressors OCEAN ACIDIFICATION Ocean absorbs atmospheric CO2 and in doing so, increases the dissolved CO2 concentrations in the ocean reducing the ph/increasing acidity Coastal environmental are more variable than the ocean due to other factors that can reduce ph such as freshwater flows and nutrient inputs. N. GOMA Study predicts decline in ph of.74 units by 2100 Tampa Bay study of seagrasses show they can buffer acidification effects.

17 Climate Stressors SEA LEVEL RISE Florida s topography, porous karst geology, and large coastal population make Florida uniquely vulnerable to sea level rise. Fort Myers data show that sea level has risen approximately 6 inches since 1966, an average rate of 2.99 mm/year (NOAA 2017). Future scenarios of this area project rise of 3.7 ft to 6 feet (intermediatehigh) by Year NOAA2017 Low NOAA2017 Intermediate NOAA2017 Int-High NOAA2017 High Sea level rise scenarios for Fort Myers (values expressed in feet). Source: NOAA 2017 Mean sea level trend for Fort Myers tide gauge. Source: NOAA 2017

18 Climate Stressors PRECIPITATION CHANGES Observed FL annual precipitation above and extreme events below. Source: Runkle 2017 Future rainfall patterns for Southwest Florida are uncertain. IPCC middle emissions scenario indicates a 7% increase in rainfall by the end of the 21st Century for US coast and 14% decrease in rainfall over the same period. Though average rainfall amounts are subject to greater uncertainty and may fall within the range of natural variability, extreme precipitation events are expected to increase throughout the Southeast United States, including in Florida = flashier hydrology.

19 Climate Stressors WARMER TEMPERATURES Since the beginning of the 20th century, temperatures in Florida have increased 1 degree F, with the number of very warm nights has increased significantly. The number of days over 95 degrees F is expected to increase days by With warmer temperatures, evapotranspiration is expected to increase and have impacts on water availability. Projected change in days over 95. Source: Carter et al National Climate Assessment Ch. 17 Observed and projected temperature change in nearsurface air temperature for Florida. From Runkle 2017

20 Long-term for Wildlife: Habitat Restoration Needs and Resiliency Project Assessing : existing habitat types and listed species habitat and corridors, expected changes and losses arising from climate change, and where habitat migration opportunities are, Outcome = Restoration Needs Map that captures existing and future habitat and corridor areas needed

21 Long-term for People: Climate Adaptation Planning & Implementation Working to Build Resilient Communities CHNEP worked with SWFRPC to help City of Punta Gorda be first community in SW FL to have an Adaptation Plan (back in 2009!). We now work with city and other partners to implement the adaptation strategies - such as building living shorelines and oyster reefs around coastal perimeter of the community.

22 Long-term for Water & People: Watershed Restoration CHNEP is working to store and move water safely from where it is causing harm to where it can enhance our environment and water supply. Charlotte Harbor Flatwoods LeeHigh Headwaters South Lee County Watershed Initiative Western Everglades Restoration

23 Tidal Caloosahatchee River Basin WQ Issues Orange = TMDL Pink = Verified Impaired awaiting TMDL Red = Poor quality detected Protecting and restoring water resources from Venice to Bonita Springs to Winter Haven

24 Including in Caloosahatchee OFWs Protecting and restoring water resources from Venice to Bonita Springs to Winter Haven

25 Check Out the CHNEP Water Atlases! Volunteer data collected at Aquatic Preserves is uploaded and available for the public on the NEP Water Atlases.

26 Together, we are making a difference! Protecting and restoring water resources from Venice to Bonita Springs to Winter Haven

27 The Immokalee Foundation Successful Careers in the New Economy SWFL Regional Planning Council Thursday, May 17,

28 TIF Expanded Mission The Immokalee Foundation (TIF) is undertaking a major expansion of our mission - Building pathways to successful and satisfying professional careers for Immokalee children Primary focus has been preparing and supporting students for bachelor s degrees - 100% high schoolers graduate and go onto secondary education - 84% complete bachelor s degree - We have had recent success with our Heavy Equipment Mechanics Program - Technical skills program developed in 2010 with itech - Graduates receive starting packages of $60,000 a year - We want to expand our offering in post-secondary education - Focus on career options that result in good paying, in-demand jobs in SWFL - Next phase of our mission + Providing expanded array of education and professional career options 2

29 National Employment Trends Disconnect between what many students study in college and what employers are looking for in new hires - Nationally, 66% of HS graduates enroll in post-secondary programs mostly bachelor s - Over 25% drop-out of college - Of those graduating, over half are underemployed Pressures on colleges is intensifying - Only 1/3 of jobs in today s economy require a bachelor s or higher degree - Majority of new jobs require skills training + Technical certificate or Associate degree As a result, higher education is at a crossroads - Junior and Community Colleges are addressing this with expanded options + Providing expanded number of career oriented programs + Offering stackable credentials including certificate programs, associate and bachelor s degrees - Traditional 4-year institutions are grappling with how to enhance their programs 3

30 SWFL Job Growth We took a data driven approach to identifying good paying jobs that are in high demand that can lead to rewarding professional careers - Used the job supply & demand data for SWFL from the Florida Department of Economic Opportunity Three career pathways stood out that do not require a bachelor s degree - Health Care - Business - Construction Management Fourth pathway with strong job growth is teaching - Currently 8,500 jobs with projected 4% annual growth ( ) - Teacher certificate requires bachelor s degree - TMF has a great track record with 1/3 of our students entering this career pathway 4

31 SWFL Jobs Do Not Require Bachelor s Degree Health Care jobs - There are 13,000 existing jobs that only require an associate degree or technical certificate - Annual growth rate is 5% - Health jobs include: + Registered nurses 500 new jobs/yr. with a median salary of $63k/yr. + Licensed practical nurses 150 jobs/yr. with median salary of $44k/yr. + And, a variety of other health care professionals making over 50k/yr. such as dental hygienist and medical technologists Business jobs - Currently 20,000 jobs that only require an associate degree with annual growth of 3% - Jobs include first line supervisors in offices and retail sales establishments - Median salaries range from $43k/yr. to $99k/yr. Construction Management jobs - Currently 7,000 supervisory jobs with a 4% annual growth rate - Median salaries range from $55k/yr. to $75k/yr. 5

32 Developing These New Career Pathways For each career pathway - Working with industry experts and educators to design a curriculum focused on + High school students grades 9 th 12 th + After school and summer programs + Incorporating experiential learning, internships and credentials - Post secondary pathways will focus on work/study programs leading to rewarding careers For example, the Construction Management curriculum team includes: - Two senior executives from BCB Homes - Principles from itech and Lorenzo Walker Technical College - Senior staff from TIF and TIF board member This market oriented approach will be taken in developing other pathways We are committed to supporting our student s pursuit of other professional careers - However, we want students and parents to understand the job requirements, salary expectations and availability of positions in SWFL 6

33 Core Programs and Implementation Building a stronger career oriented core program for all students - This will include enhanced core education, mentoring and counseling programs - It will start with introducing all Middle School students and parents to range of career options + Including the high paying jobs that do not require a bachelor s degree - Enhanced core education will include resume credentials such as: + IT certifications + Professional effectiveness training + Internships Implementation schedule: - Design career pathways and strengthen core programs August Solicit feedback from key stakeholders October Introduce program at TIF Gala November Full program launch 2019 school year 7