R&D and Market Review of Wind Turbines in Cold and Icing Climates A Report from the IEA Wind Task 19, Wind Energy in Cold Climates

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R&D and Market Review of Wind Turbines in Cold and Icing Climates A Report from the IEA Wind Task 19, Wind Energy in Cold Climates Esa Peltola VTT Finland Timo Laakso, Pöyry Energy Oy, Finland Tomas Wallenius, VTT, Finland Michael Durstewitz, ISET, Germany Ian Baring-Gould, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, USA Lars Tallhaug, Kjeller Vindteknikk Norway Robert Horbaty, ENCO Switzerland Göran Ronsten, WindREN Ab Sweden, Antoine Lacroix, Natural Resources Canada 9.12.2008 1

Contents INTRODUCTION COLD CLIMATE (CC) ASPECTS project development production losses public safety mitigation strategies industrial solutions CC markets CONCLUSIONS

IEA R&D Wind Task 19 Wind Energy in Cold Climates Structure: One of the 7 research tasks under the International Energy Agency Co-operative Wind Energy Agreement - www.ieawind.org Focus: Sites with icing events or low temperatures outside standard operational limits of wind turbines Aim: To reduce the risk that originates from using wind technology in cold climates and thereby reduce the cost of wind produced electricity Means: Development of tools, methods, and guidelines; standardization work; information dissemination Duration: Started in 2001 and currently set to run thought 2008 Participating countries: Finland (OA), Norway, USA, Switzerland, Canada, Germany, Sweden Web Site: http://arcticwind.vtt.fi Documents: currently being updated State-of-the-Art Report (2003) Recommendation Guide: Wind Energy Projects in Cold Climates (2005)

Photos credit: Doug Vought Photos credit: Pöyry Energy Photos credit: Lars Tallhaug Photos credit: Pöyry Energy Photos credit: Lars Tallhaug Requirements for Project Development Site Pre-Selection Grid connection costs Service access (time of year dependent) Assessment of the effects of Icing on production and turbine loads Wind Resource Assessments Good expertise in wind measurements needed (anemometer choice, data collection security, met mast choice, and required data consistency) Power for heated sensors Careful data analysis to understand the actual wind resource Correct methods in production forecasts to account for losses due to icing Effects of ice on met towers Digging out the power supply Met tower installation Environmental Assessment Permitting (all the standard stuff) Public safety Construction timing Technical Specifications Obtaining equipment (anemometers, towers, and turbines) that are truly rated for operation in arctic climates

Photos credit: Pöyry Energy Reliable Site Data for Project Development Data gathering for cold climate projects: National data for conditions associated with icing, cold temperature, and humidity No fully heated first class anemometers available No reliable ice detection - multiple levels (temperature, Humidity, iceing type, extent and duration) Use of multiple instrumentation for back-up and data quality assessment generally required Use of appropriate measurement practices and models for site evaluation Site assessment models Models under development to assess icing and improve site selection Generally starts with global model data but require some specific input data which is often limited Testing in Scandinavian and alpine environments Redundant wind assessment devices may improve data capture Weather Research and Forecasting Model Topography and development maps generated for southwest Norway Mean WS > 7.5 m/s, Topographic inclination < 10, Icing < 10% of the time distance to houses > 1 km. Kjeller Vindteknikk Norway

Photos credit: Timo Laakso Photos credit: Timo Laakso Ice-free Anemometers Will Not Save The Day NRG #40S anemometer data from St. Mary's Alaska (Lat. 62 N) Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Source: Doug Vought, V3 Energy LLC Same site with an NRG IceFree III anemometer

Production Losses Due to Icing Ice accumulation on blades impacts power production not always shut off the turbine Reduction of losses in light icing conditions possible Limits the time the turbine will be impacted Adams simulation of turbine power curves under different icing conditions VTT, Technical Research Centre of Finland Power curve of turbines can be modified to reflect icing Kjeller Vindteknikk, Norway

P [ kw ] mean error % Impacts of Production Forecasting and System Operation 30 Comparison of a wind turbine power under icing conditions: the control anemometer is showing signs of icing results are control and forecasting errors 20 10 0-15 -10-5 0 5 10 15-10 -20 700 600-30 -40-50 T / C site: Ulrichstein elev.: ~ 600 m asl 500 400 300 200 Jan '08 Dec '07 Larger increase in forecasting error is seen in German wind farms when operated at cold temperatures. 100 0 0 5 10 15 v [ m/s ] Source ISET, Germany - www.iset.uni-kassel.de.

Atmospheric Icing Research Sveg, Middle Sweden 62 N, 14 E, altitude ~ 700m WT V90-2MW CC version, SKF CMS-system (can detect 1P) No de-icing system Start of synoptic icing measurements? 323 m Targets Initiate synoptic icing measurements Verify forecast models with respect to icing Preliminary results: The task to model icing situations in SVEG have just started. Results will be presented at Winterwind 2008, http://winterwind.se/

Public Safety Falling and/or Thrown Ice Falling and thrown ice can impact public safety, but impact assessment is dependent on many factors including wind speed, rotor diameter, and height Ice fall study from the Gütsch Alpine Wind Test Site in Switzerland with an Enercon E-40 wind turbine. Prevailing wind from the NNO Source: Risk Analysis of Ice Throw from Wind Turbines by Henry Seifert et. al. from DEWI, Deutsches Windenergie-Institut GmbH, Cuxhaven, Germany

Mitigation Strategies Several mitigation strategies are available to reduce the impact of icing events on the turbine fleet: Ice prevention (anti-icing): Modifications to turbines that prevent ice buildup on blades or other surfaces (example: heating the inside of the blades) Ice removal (de-icing): Removal of ice from blades after the icing event is over (example: leading-edge heating elements) Each option has its own set of: Capital and maintenance costs Power consumption requirements But both increases energy capture so it becomes an economics question: Is the additional cost and energy consumption of the icing retrofit worth the increased energy capture obtained from the turbine? Several simple models can be used to answer this question for a specific site if you have the data

Photos credit: Ian Baring-Gould Ice Mitigation Technologies/Strategies Currently used approaches Blade core heating Leading-edge heat tape Blade color Reduced stick coatings New concepts under development Nanotechnologies Piezoelectric coatings New engineered coatings Room Temp Coating No coating Below Freezing Coating No coating Anti-freeze coating developed at the Zurich University of Applied Studies Blades color choice in Kotzebue, Alaska Wind tunnel testing of anti-ice coatings conducted at the University of Manitoba

Industry Solutions for Cold Climates Many turbine manufactures have Cold Climate turbines that feature different lubricants, metals, and fittings to lower the turbines operational temperatures. Choices for anti and de-icing are much more limited. Source: http://www.vintervind2008.se/ -> Dokumentation

Market Present, but Largely Undocumented Several market assessments conducted in Europe none in the U.S. EU NewIcetools-project 2005 Combination data of wind market and climate conditions ~10% of the market by 2020 estimated cold climate Present assessment indicates larger market Expanded production expected in Sweden, Finland, and Norway Expanding U.S. and Canadian markets require installation into areas where icing is documented Industry indications Ice problems exist in operational turbines Standard turbines commonly used in sites fitting definition as cold climate Country CC Installed Total 2010 CC 2010 Total 2020 CC 2020 CC without Installed MW MW MW MW MW MW Austria 47 900 100 1,850 400 353 Belgium 8 250 20 670 50 42 Czech Rep 5 430 340 1,500 1,050 1,045 Denmark 900 4,500 1,350 4,500 1,350 450 Estonia 26 80 80 500 500 474 Finland 82 300 300 1,500 1,500 1,418 France 26 3,000 180 10,000 600 574 Germany 342 28,000 840 30,000 900 558 Hungary 0 300 90 500 150 150 Italy 50 3,600 120 10,000 500 450 Latvia 1 80 8 500 100 99 Lithuania 0 80 8 500 100 100 Poland 0 800 0 4,000 100 100 Slovakia 3 400 200 800 400 397 Slovenia 0 100 80 300 240 240 Spain 0 15,000 150 20,000 200 200 Sweden 71 2,000 400 4,000 800 729 U. K. 0 3,000 60 6,000 120 120 EU-25 1,561 62,820 4,326 97,120 9,060 7,499 Estimated cold climate (CC) turbine capacity in Europe Source: NewIcetools-project, Georg Kury North America Icing Regions Source: www.nws.noaa.gov

Conclusions Implementing projects in cold climates generally requires application outside of all standard wind guidelines. Care must be taken when assessing projects, especially in areas where ice will be a factor. Standard equipment and assessment techniques are generally not applicable in places with heavy icing nor is most specialized equipment. Different approaches for safe turbine operation and maintenance/public safety need to be considered. Icing events will impact turbine production, and it is an economic question if the investment in anti- or de-icing technology is appropriate for a specific site. Several new techniques are under development to reduce the impact of icing and while turbines with cold temperature ratings are more common, ice prevention is not heavily developed in the industry. A great deal more work must be done to assess the impact of wind turbines in icing climates and develop appropriate assessment and mitigation strategies. Some help is available: IEA Task 19 - http://arcticwind.vtt.fi

IEA Task 19 participants Finland operating agent Norway USA Germany Canada Sweden Switzerland