Erneuerbare Energien: Energiepolitik und Marktentwicklungen in Europa Christine Lins Secretary General European Renewable Energy Council WEC Workshop: Die Zukunft der erneuerbaren Energien zwischen Politik und Markt Wien, 6. Oktober 2008
EREC European Renewable Energy Council Umbrella organisation representing all RES sectors: AEBIOM EBB EBIO EGEC EPIA ESHA ESTIF EUBIA EWEA EUREC Agency EU-OEA EREF ESTELA European Biomass Association European Biodiesel Board European Bioethanol Industry Association European Geothermal Energy Council European Photovoltaic Industry Association European Small Hydropower Association European Solar Thermal Industry Federation European Biomass Industry Association European Wind Energy Association European Renewable Energy Research Centres Agency European Ocean Energy Association European Renewable Energy Federation European Solar Thermal Electricity Association Representation of European RES industry, trade & research
EU Renewable Energy industry Europe is global leader in RES development 400.000 jobs in Europe already now Annual turnover of 40 billion already now Innovative Business Sector with a large share of SMEs Economic growth and regional development
Renewable Energy House Headquarters for the European renewable energy sector in Europe s capital Brussels Renewable energy and energy efficiency showcase in a 120 year old monument protected building in the heart of Brussels 2800 m2 of modern office building hosting currently 80 staff from 20 countries More than 15.000 visitors since opening in 2006
EU Energy Policy Security of supply Competitiveness Sustainability
RES policy framework RES White Paper (1997) To double the share of renewable energy from 6% to 12% of gross energy consumption in Europe (EU-15) by 2010 Green Paper on Security of Energy Supply (2000) RES Electricity Directive (2001) To establish a framework to increase the share of renewables electricity from 14% to 22% of gross electricity consumption by 2010 Directive on liquid biofuels (2003) To achieve a share of 5.75 % of biofuels for transport in the total amount of fuels in Europe by 2010 Biomass Action Plan (2005) Green Paper A European Strategy for Sustainable, Competitive and Secure Energy (2006)
THE KEY DRIVERS 3x20% by 2020 20% by 2020 EFFICIENCY By 2020 20% EU GHG By 2020 BIO-FUELS 20% RENEWABLES E-ELECTRICITY HEATING & COOLING 10 % 2020 binding NATIONAL TARGETS and ACTION PLANS
Renewable energy today About 15% of all EU electricity consumption is generated by renewable energy sources About 10% of heat demand is supplied by renewable energy sources About 1% of transport fuel demand by renewable energy sources Total: 8,5 %
RES industry targets 2020 The contribution of RES to electricity consumption will be around 35 % in 2020 The contribution of RES to heat consumption will be 25 % in 2020. The contribution of biofuels can be more than 10% in 2020. Total: 20 %
The Renewables Directive 1. Sets mandatory national targets for renewable energy shares, including 10% renewables in transport target, in 2020 2. Set interim targets (called indicative trajectory ) 3. Covers 3 RES sectors: electricity, heating and cooling and transport 4. Requires national action plans from Member States stating how they intend to reach their targets (Article 4) 5. Requires reduction of administrative and regulatory barriers to the growth of renewable energy (Article 12), improvements in information and training (Article 13) and in renewables access to the grid (Article 14)
EU-27 efforts in Renewables Early starter bonus and cap BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE EL ES FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK 2.2% 5.3% 9.4% 6.1% 1.1% 1.4 2.6% -1.2% 17.0% 5.8% RES share in 2005 6.7% 1.5 2.4% -0.9% 18% 3.1% 7.4% 6.9% 8.7% 10.3% 5.8% 2.9% Flat rate increase of 5.6% 5.2% 7.5%9.1% -1.6% 7.2% 6.3% 34.9% 15% 0.9% 4.3% 0% 1.6% 2.5% 4.6% Figures adjusted by early starter bonus 3.2% 2.4% 4.5% 6.1% 23.3% 7.2% 17.8% 16% 6.7% 5.2% 2.3% 20.5% 2% 0.7 5% -1.3% 3.5% 1.8 % 28.5% 4% 39.8% 1.3% EU-27 Additional effort based on GDP per capita 4.6% 4.7% 5.6% -0.9% 8.2% EU 50% cap
EU-27 efforts in Renewables RES share in 2020 BE BG CZ DK DE EE IE EL ES FR IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL AT PL PT RO SI SK FI SE UK EU-27 13% 16% 13% 30% RES share in 2020 18% 25% 16% 18% 20% 23% 17% 13% 42% 23% 11% 13% 10% 14% 34% 15% 31% 24% 25% 14% 38% 49% 15%
Timing is crucial The 20% by 2020 EU target will only be met if legislation is adopted timely. The Directive should be in force as soon as possible in order to avoid market instability around 2010 (ending of RES-E & Biofuels Directives) Timely adoption of the energy-climate package is crucial in view of the end of the mandate of the European Commission and elections of the European Parliament in June 2009.
Renewable Energy Policy Conference 17 November 2008, Paris Further information: www.erec.org
NEW POWER CAPACITY EU 2000-2007 Source: EWEA and Platts PowerVision
Industry projection 2020 Electricity Production from renewables 2004 Eurostat TWh 2010 Projections TWh 2020 Projections TWh Wind 58.5 194 530 PV 0.74 7.5 55 Biomass for electricity 67.9 138 300 303.8 356 384 5.5 7 14 Solar thermal elect. - 2 9 Ocean - 3 15 435.9 707.5 1313 Hydro Geothermal TOTAL RES Source: EREC
Heating: a sleeping giant Final Energy Consumption by Sector EU-25 20% 20 % Electricity (incl. cooling) 31 % Transport 31% 49 % Heat (without cooling) 49% Source: Eurostat figures elaborated by EREC
Industry projection 2020 Renewable heat production 2004 Eurostat Mtoe 2010 Projections Mtoe 2020 Projections Mtoe Biomass 48.4 65 105 Solar thermal 0.68 2 12 Geothermal 1.5 4 8 TOTAL RES HEAT 50.6 81 125 Source: EREC
EU Biofuels production Million tons Sources: EBB, ebio * estimate
Industry projection 2020 Biofuels production Biofuels 2000 Eurostat 2004 Eurostat Mtoe Mtoe Mtoe Mtoe 0.63 2.1 18.0 40.0 Projection 2010 Projection 2020 Source: EREC
Further information: www.erec.org Christine Lins EREC Renewable Energy House Rue d Arlon 63-67 B-1040 Brussels, Belgium lins@erec.org