Energy Policy of Poland until 2030

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Transcription:

Energy Policy of Poland until 2030 Conference Trends in the European Energy Industry National Energetic Concepts of the European States 24th of May 2011

The Energy Policy of Poland 2030 was approved by the Council of Ministers in November 2009 The document includes the following attachments: Action Plan for 2009-2012 The forecast of demand for fuels and energy to 2030 Conclusions from a strategic evaluation of environmental impact of energy policy

Priorities of Polish energy policy Improving energy efficiency Reducing environmental impact of the energy sector Enhanced security of fuel and energy supplies Development of competitive fuel and energy markets PEP 2030 Development of the use of renewable energy sources (RES), incl. bio-fuels Diversification of the electricity generation structure by introducing nuclear energy

Main challenges for energy policy High demand for final energy Inadequate generation and transmission infrastructure Significant dependence on external supplies of natural gas Commitments on environment and climate protection compel us to take decisive actions Almost full dependence on external supplies of crude oil

Energy policy of Poland is consistent with the energy policy of the European Union and its objectives.... answers on the main challenges facing the Polish energy sector.

The main targets: MINISTRY OF ECONOMY Energy efficiency To achieve zero-energy economic growth, i.e. economic growth with no extra demand for primary energy Reducing the energy intensity of the Polish economy to the EU- 15 level (in 2005) The above targets will be realized through: Reducing energy consumption Enhancing the efficiency of generation Decreasing transmission losses energy efficiency

Energy security Polish energy security should be based on: Domestic energy resources Diversification of oil and gas supplies Development of electricity generation capacity Development of transmission infrastructure

The demand for primary energy by carriers (%) 2010 ~ 90 Mtoe 2030 * ~ 118 Mtoe Natural gas 12,5% Renew able energy Other fuels 4,3% 2,4% Lignite 11,3% Renewable energy 12,4% Nuclear fuels Other fuels 6,3% 1,3% Lignite 8,2% Hard coal 31,0% Oil and oil products 22,6% Hard coal 46,9% Natural gas 14,5% Oil and oil products 26,2% * Source: Projection of demand for fuels and energy until 2030, ARE

Net TWh MINISTRY OF ECONOMY Electricity generation by sources (TWh) 205 180 155 130 105 80 55 30 5 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Hard Coal Lignite Natural Gas Nuclear RES Other

[%] [%] MINISTRY OF ECONOMY Parameters of the Polish Power System in 2010* Age structure of electricity generation and transmission infrastructure 50 47,53 44,47 Installed capacity: 35,5 GW Maximum power demand: 25,4 GW Gross electricity generation: 156,3 TWh Electricity imports: 6,3 TWh Electricity exports: 7,6 TWh Domestic consumption of electricity: 154,9 TWh * Provisional data 40 30 20 10 0 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 17,33 17,96 13,37 14,04 7,02 6,71 7,91 6,81 4,95 3,11 4,66 4,15 boilers turbosets under 5 years 5-10 years 10-15years 15-20 years 20-25 years 25-30 years over 30 years 23 56 21 80 19 Lines 400 kv Lines 220 kv Transf ormers 1 38 34 28 More than 30 years 20-30 years Less than 20 years

Polish transmission grid planned investments 110 kv 220 kv 400 kv ±450 kv 750 kv Source: PSE-Operator S.A. planned 400 kv lines before 2013 planned 400 kv lines after 2013

Oil infrastructure Gdańs k Salt cavern storage site Rejo wiec Nowa Wieś IKS Solino Pleban ka Emilia nów Adam owo Rejo wiec Rejo wiec Nowa Wieś IKS Solino Pleban ka Emilia nów Mości ska Adam owo Ostrów Wlkp. Kolus zki Ostrów Wlkp. Kolus zki Wrocł aw Boron ów Wrocł aw Boron ów Orlen Trzebinia Oil storage site Rafinery Crude oil pipeline Product pipeline Projekty: III line of Druzhba pipeline: Adamowo-Plebanka Pomeranian Pipeline Salt cavern storage site.:6 000 tys. m 3

Supply directions of oil in 2010 0,5% 0,3% 0,3% 4,5% 3,0% Russia United Kingdom 91,5% Norway Colombia Denmark Poland Odessa-Brody-Płock pipeline 13

Natural gas sector The main targets: diversifying supplies by building a transmission system, building a terminal for receiving liquefied natural gas (LNG) increase of domestic gas production and developing gas resources outside Poland

Nuclear energy Energy Policy of Poland until 2030 assumes diversification of the electricity generation structure by introducing nuclear energy. The main targets: Preparing infrastructure for nuclear energy Ensuring appropriate conditions for investors interested in building and launching nuclear power plants Gaining public support for nuclear energy Selected in 2009 locations for nuclear plants

Renewable Energy Sources Main goals: 15% share in final energy consumption in 2020 10% share of bio fuels in fuel market in 2020 Main measures: Additional support mechanism for RES Effective use of biomass (agricultural biogas installations, second generation of biofuels) Support from European Funds

Electricity generation in RES Share of RES in net electricity generation 2010: 6,8% 2030*: 18,2% Electricity generation in RES (%) in 2030 Biogas 17,4% Photov oltaic 0,1% Water 8,1% Biomass 29,3% Wind 45,0% * Source: Projection of demand for fuels and energy until 2030

Development of competitive fuel and energy markets Removing obstacles for the competition mechanisms Limiting dependence on the one supplier (oil and natural gas) Competitive market Better regulations Corporate social responsibility

Reducing the environmental impact of the power industry The main targets: Reducing emission of CO 2, SO 2, NO X and dust Development of lowemission technologies The main actions: Development of technologies which reduce the emission of pollutants, ex.: RES, high efficiency cogeneration, nuclear energy Development of clean coal technologies, including CCS installations and gasification of coal Utilization of methane from mining sector for energy generation

Polish Presidency of the EU Council From 1st of July 2011 Poland will hold the Presidency in the Council of the European Union Main energy priorities: to strengthen external EU energy policy, to develop energy infrastructure (strictly connected with energy security), to improve energy efficiency.

Thank you for your attention Anna Madyniak Ministry of Economy Departament of Energy Anna.Madyniak@mg.gov.pl