GCEP. Andy White President & CEO. 1 GEH Proprietary

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Transcription:

GCEP Andy White President & CEO 1

GE Company Infrastructure Industrial Healthcare NBCU Com. Finance Money 2

GE Energy Portfolio. Gas Biomass Wind Cleaner Coal Solar Nuclear 3

Impact of a 50% Increase in Fuel Price Percentage increase in generating cost 3% 19% 21% 38% Nuclear IGCC Coal Steam CCGT Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2006 4

Why Nuclear? Outstanding operational performance 5

Why Nuclear? Outstanding operational performance Lowest cost form of electricity 6

Why Nuclear? Outstanding operational performance Lowest cost form of electricity Very low emissions Environmental Life Cycle Analysis grams CO2/kWh 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Coal Gas Wind Nuclear Hydro Source: Vattenfall and Japan s Central Research Institute of the Electric Power Industry 7

Why Nuclear? Outstanding operational performance Lowest cost form of electricity Very low emissions Safety excellence Environmental Life Cycle Analysis Industrial Safety Rate Accident Rate Industrial grams Safety CO2/kWh Accident Rate 1000 800 600 400 200 0.25 3.80 2.00 0 Nuclear* Coal Electric Gas Utilities Wind Nuclear Manufacturing Hydro Source: Vattenfall and Japan s Central Research Institute of the Electric Power Industry Source: NRC and BLS 8

Why Nuclear? Outstanding operational performance Lowest cost form of electricity Very low emissions Improved safety Growing public support Environmental Life Cycle Analysis Industrial Safety Rate U.S. Public Support Growing Accident Rate Industrial grams Safety CO2/kWh Accident Rate 80 60 40 20 0 1000 800 600 400 200 3.80 Do you Favor or Oppose the 0.25 use of nuclear energy 2.00 Support Oppose 68 63 27 0 Source: Biscontti Research Inc Nuclear* Coal Electric Gas Utilities Wind Nuclear Manufacturing Hydro '81 '86 '91 '96 '01 '06 Source: Vattenfall and Japan s Central Research Institute of the Electric Power Industry Source: NRC and BLS 9

Global Public Opinion Positive on Nuclear Energy or Use what s there Negative on Nuclear Energy or dangerous Don t Know or None of the Above 10

Projected U.S. Energy Demand The U.S. Is Projected to Need 50% more Electricity by 2025 3,839B kwh 5,787B kwh 1970 1980 1990 2003 2015 2025 Source: U.S. Department of Energy 11

License Renewal (Additional 20 Years) 31 Intend to Renew 44 Granted 20 Unannounced 8 Under NRC Review Economic Value of Power Uprates Improved with License Renewal: 112 Units Have Implemented Power Uprates Source: U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission 12

Environmental Contribution U.S. Emission-Free Electricity Hydro 24.1% Nuclear 73.0% Wind 1.4% Geothermal 1.4% Solar 0.1% Source: Global Energy Decisions/Energy Information Administration 13

GE in Nuclear Nuclear Power Plants Gen III ABWR Gen III+ ESBWR Gen IV. Prism Steam Turbine, Generator, Controls Water, Security, Industrial Services Parts, Uprates, Field Services, Optimization Isotopes & Healthcare Steam Turbines, Generator, Controls Water, Security, Industrial Fuel BWR & MOX Fuel PHWR Fuel & Handling Fuel Engineering Services Laser Enrichment 14

Partnering - GE & Hitachi Alliance GE Chairman & CEO, Jeffrey R. Immelt and Hitachi Ltd. President & CEO, Kazuo Furukawa Over 50 years of cooperation Over 30 years of nuclear partnership Synergies and complimentary capabilities little overlap Partnering on the most advanced, operational reactor in the world today ABWR Joint-experience taken to next evolution of reactors ESBWR & Prism 15

Technology Leading the Way The latest in reactor designs Sophisticated Services Technology Advanced Sensors and Diagnostics Nuclear Medicine 16

New Products / Programs ($MM) $108 16 40 $55 Serv NPI 8 Fuel NPI $23 12 15 52 Units 6 3 5 8 3 28 '04 '05 '06 %Sales 2 6 11 17

New Unit Platforms ABWR ESBWR 1350MWe Net Certified in USA, Japan and Taiwan Built in 39 months (1 st pour to Fuel) Global Supply Chain in place Licensed design to Toshiba & Hitachi The only Gen 3 design in operation Japan, Taiwan, U.S., other 1520MWe Net Simplified, passive design Natural circulation ~20% cost reduction Improved Safety & Security Lower Dose / Reduced Rad waste U.S., UK, other 18

Tough issues remain Solutions? Resources Successful construction of new plants Global supply chain management Secure sources of fuel Spent fuel storage & recycling 19

GEH Engineering Demographics 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 YE02 Average 52.2 YE03 Average 51.4 YE04 Average 50.4 YE05 Average 48.1 YE06 Average 47.5 20

Nuclear Power Plants The Old Way Construction before engineering & licensing were complete Each design & project was unique Project arrangements cumbersome Weak cost & schedule controls Information technology and modularization was non-existent Project cancellations Utility bankruptcy Dresden-1, the first commercial plant in the U.S. Not Cost Effective Or Timely 21

Nuclear Power Plants The New Way Advanced designs Pre-licensed Early Site Permits Combined Construction and Operating Licenses Engineering maximized before construction Extensive use of information technology Containment New construction techniques Enhanced schedules Standard plant commitment Advanced Faster More Economic Heat Exchanger using the Open- Top Method 22

Construction Techniques RCCV liner RCCV Rebars Roof Truss Steels Central Mat Top Slab RPV Installation 23

Construction Durations Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2006 24

Enrichment Demand & Supply 00-20 Million SWU 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 WNA 2005 World SWU Demand Upper & Reference 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 * Tenex production does not include tails re-enrichment. Source: Enrichment Market Outlook Repu/Mox RU HEU Tenex Other LES/NEF Urenco Eurodif USEC 25

GE Enters Uranium Enrichment GENERATION PROCESS % OF EXISTING PRODUCTION 1 1 Remainder from HEU Gaseous Diffusion Centrifuge Laser Isotope Separation 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Mechanical Mechanical Laser Excitation 45% 40% 0% - Resolved roadblocks to attaining projected laser isotope separation efficiencies - GE/Silex synergies to commercialize this innovative technology - Potential High Efficiency enrichment - Closed the deal Oct 4 th 2006.Transition from Australia completed - Clearances approved Test Loop construction underway 26

Fuel Recycling PRISM Recycling Reactor Simple Operation Highly Reliable and Passively Safe Simplified O&M Modular/Scalable Deployment Electro-refining Ideal for fast reactors and metal fuel Removes all actinides together Process LWR SNF using proven tech Low environmental impact 27

Future Outlook New Construction Forecasts Americas (Orders; GW Cumulative) Europe + Asia and India 58 47 38 17 20 25 2010 2015 2020 12 17 21 2010 2015 2020 2010 2015 2020 28

U.S. Launch / DOE 2010 2004 2Q05 3Q05 2007/2008 2010 Site Permit Applications DOE 2010 Contracts Energy Bill Incentives COL Applications New Plant Build * Dominion Dominion * Entergy * Exelon * FPL Progress Southern Constellation NuStart GE WH Duke TVA SCE&G * Dominion, Entergy, Exelon, Southern...ESP s U.S. DOE 2010 $1.1BB program for new plants 50/50 cost share with U.S. Government NuStart and Dominion Awards Entergy, Exelon, Dominion Site Permits Funding? U.S. Energy Bill Price Anderson renewal Government backstop insurance Production tax credits Loan Guarantees.In process? 29

Next Gen Reactors Customer / Industry Objectives Simplified design Lower capital costs Faster construction period Design for O&M lower cost easier Fewer O&M staff / less specialized Streamlined Licensing Improved safety and security Lower dose & reduced waste Risk sharing & financing options Standard design 30

We can work together Developing new technologies > Next Gen Reactors & Fuel > Advanced Services > Adjacencies Medical, Diagnostics, Materials Solving tough problems > Fuel Recycling > Security of Fuel Supply Next generation of nuclear technologists & leaders > Attracting, teaching, research > New ideas and concepts 31

US Climate Action Partnership businesses and leading environmental organizations to enact strong national legislation to require significant reductions of greenhouse gas emissions Six Key Principles 1. Account for the global dimensions of climate change 2. Create incentives for technology innovation Alcan Inc. Alcoa AIG Boston Scientific Corporation BP America Inc. Caterpillar Inc. Chrysler LLC ConocoPhillips Deere & Company The Dow Chemical Company Duke Energy DuPont Environmental Defense Exelon Corporation Ford Motor Company FPL Group, Inc. General Electric General Motors Corp. Johnson & Johnson Marsh, Inc. National Wildlife Federation Natural Resources Defense Council The Nature Conservancy NRG Energy, Inc. PepsiCo Pew Center on Global Climate Change PG&E Corporation PNM Resources Rio Tinto Shell Siemens Corporation World Resources Institute Xerox Corporation 3. Be environmentally effective 4. Create economic opportunity and advantage 5. Be fair to sectors disproportionately impacted 6. Reward early action 32

ecomagination sm & the ESBWR GE is committed to the environment investing in technologies that provide environmentally cleaner energy doubling our investments in ecomagination sm products from $900 million in 2006 to $1.5 billion by 2010 reducing our own GHG emissions by over 600,000 tons by 2010 1. 1% reduction of absolute GHG emissions by 2012 2. 30% reduction of energy use by 2008 (tons GHG/$ revenue) 3. 30% improvement in energy efficiency by 2012 (MMBtu/$ revenue) ESBWR has received ecomagination sm certification Passed a stringent review by both GE and a third party auditor Demonstrated measurable environmental and economic advantages over existing product designs 33

The ESBWR is ecomagination certified Nuclear energy can play a significant role in limiting greenhouse gas emissions, while at the same time meeting the world s growing energy demands The ESBWR does not emit greenhouse gases during power generation Compared to the current mix of U.S. electricity, the electricity produced by a 1520MW ESBWR nuclear reactor would avoid the emissions of 7.4 million tons of greenhouse gases per year, or the equivalent of taking 1.3 million passenger cars of the roads for one year. The ESBWR draws upon the experience of GE s installed base of 35 boiling water nuclear reactors in the U.S. which generate over 6% of America s electricity and avoid the emission of 170 million tons of greenhouse gases each year, as well as preventing over 375 thousand tons of nitrogen oxide (NOx), 750 thousand tons of sulfur dioxide (SOx), and 3.4 tons of mercury (Hg) from being emitted each year. 34

Summary Nuclear energy very safe & competitive Carbon accelerates the nuclear option Some tough issues remain regulatory, financial, spent fuel, resources, politics Technology advances help Global marketplace is expanding Industry, academia and labs working together Next generation of scientists, engineers and leaders are key Nuclear must be a part of the energy and environmental solution 35