Investor Presentation June, 2014

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Transcription:

Investor Presentation June, 2014 1

Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements which may be identified by their use of words contains plans, expects, will, anticipates, believes, intends, projects, estimates or other words of similar meaning. All statements that address expectations or projections about the future, including, but not limited to, statements about the strategy for growth, product development, market position, expenditures, and financial results, are forwardlooking statements. Forward-looking statements are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events. The companies referred to in this presentation cannot guarantee that these assumptions and expectations are accurate or will be realised. The actual results, performance or achievements, could thus differ materially from those projected in any such forward-looking statements. These companies assume no responsibility to publicly amend, modify or revise any forward looking statements, on the basis of any subsequent developments, information or events, or otherwise 2

Agri Input Industry Overview Company Update 3

AGRIINPUT INDUSTRY OVERVIEW 4

GLOBAL SCENARIO 5

Global Mega Trends Rising Food Demand Global Food demand to increase 1.5x by 2030 Changing dietary patterns, especially in developing countries Limited Resources Limited land and labor availability Degradation of soil quality High volatility in food prices with an upward trend Global staple food prices have doubled as compared with 2000 levels Innovation to drive productivity Commercial and small farm productivity increases to drive supply growth Innovation in inputs technology to drive supply Increased Value Chain Coordination Coordination across value chain improve farm extension, market linkage, infrastructure 6

World N,P,K Fertilizer Market "N" World Market "K" World Market 13% 4% Ammonia Urea 6% UAN 11% AN/CAN NPK 52% DAP/MAP 9% 5% Others N Market is 108 Million MT 29% 1% 70% MOP/SOP NPK Others K Market is 29 Million MT "P" World Market Global Fertiliser Industry: 17% 27% 6% 2% DAP/MAP 48% P Market is 41 Million MT NPK SSP TSP Others India and China account for 40% of global consumption Bulk availability of nutrient fertilisers is concentrated in certain regions N nutrient in Middle East, USA & FSU P nutrient in North/West Africa, USA & Jordan K nutrient in Canada, FSU & Middle East 7

Global Nutrient Consumption Outlook Million tons Nutrient 108 109 116 2012-2017 CAGR N 1.2% 41 41 29 29 45 33 P2O5 1.6% K2O 2.2% 2012 2013e 2017f N P2O5 K2O Source: IFA

DAP Global Production & Trade MM tons 10 year CAGR Production 2.9% Exports 1.6% 31 33 33 35 26 10 15 16 14 14 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Production Trade Global production & trade of DAP have increased China, Saudi Arabia & Morocco account for all production increases 9

INDIAN SCENARIO 10

India s crop productivity is low by global standards - needs to increase to meet demand 6.6 MT per hectare 5.5 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.1 2.8 3.3 3.3 2.3 2.2 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.6 0.9 1.1 0.9 Wheat Rice Corn Soybean Rapeseed Peanut World China India 11

Positive factor: Irrigated Area in India has been steadily increasing 000 hectares 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Net cropped area Net irrigated area Net irrigated area as % of net sown area 45% 141 143 141 139 45% 142 119 39% 34% 22% 18% 62 64 55 48 31 21 1950-51 1970-71 1990-91 2000-01 2009-10 2010-11 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% The overall net irrigated area a percent of net cropped area has increased from 34% in the early 1990s to 45% in 2011 12

Positive factor: Cropping Intensity has also steadily increased 000 hectares 250 Gross cropped area Net cropped area Cropping Intensity 160% 200 150 111% 118% 166 130% 131% 136% 186 185 189 140% 199 140% 120% 100% 100 132 119 141 143 141 139 142 80% 60% 50 40% 20% 0 1950-51 1970-71 1990-91 2000-01 2009-10 2010-11 0% Cropping intensity has gone up from 118% in early 1970s to 140% in FY11. A continuation of this trend is likely to push up demand for fertilizers. 13

India s nutrient application rates will have to increase to improve productivity Nutrient Consumption among the Asian Countries 450 400 350 300 Kg / Hectare 396 250 200 150 166 138 204 184 100 50 0 India Srilanka Bangladesh Pakistan China India s Nutrient consumption (Kg/Ha) is lower than countries like China (396), Bangladesh (204) and Pakistan (184). 14

Long-term demand drivers and fundamentals are strong in India Population growth, urbanization and resulting food demand will be primary growth drivers Population growth Urbanization and higher income levels Changing dietary mix Impact of Food Security Bill Nutrient application rates will have to increase from current levels to sustain supply response to demand Cropping intensity, irrigation and other agricultural factors are improving 15

Fertiliser Subsidy Policy Phosphatics decontrolled Nutrient Based Subsidy (NBS) policy effective from April1,2010. The Salient features of NBS policy are: o o o o Policy applicable for P&K fertilisers only and not for Urea Subsidy is fixed based on the import prices of various nutrients adjusted for the MRP. P based on DAP, N based on Urea and K based on Potash and S based on Sulphur Under the NBS Policy MRP/Farmgate prices has been decontrolled - Companies are free to set the price The subsidy is announced for the year and any increase / decrease in cost of inputs will have to be addressed by companies through change in farm gate prices Fixed subsidy & variable farmgate prices Subsidy -Rs. Per Kg Nutrient 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 N 23.227 27.153 24.000 20.875 20.875 P 26.276 32.338 21.804 18.679 18.679 K 24.487 26.756 24.000 18.833 15.500 S 1.784 1.677 1.677 1.677 1.677 16

Lower subsidy component Subsidy as percentage of Total Realization Farmgate as percentage of Total Realization 63% 60% 52% 37% 35% 37% 40% 48% 63% 65% Pre NBS 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Rs. Cr 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 YoY Growth % Imported (Urea) fertilisers 13,883 13,398 15,544 12,300 (20.87)% Indigenous (Urea) fertilisers 19,108 19,000 21,000 31,000 47.62% Sale of decontrolled fertilizer with cons. 34,208 28,576 29,428 24,670 (16.17)% Total Fertiliser Subsidy (B) 67,199 60,974 65,972 67,970 3.03% Share of farm gate price of Complex Fertilizers in total realization has increased and the share of subsidy has decreased. 17

and stable rupee 63 USDINR INR has been in a stable range of 59-62 over last 6 months and has been on an appreciation trend since March 62 61 60 59 58 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 18

resulted in Stable MRP.. Rs per MT 24,000 22,500 22,700 18,200 9,350 9,350 10,750 Prior to June June 2008-Mar 10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Oct-12 Apr-13 Apr-14 19

which aided by lower imports resulted in depleting inventory and consumption revival DAP + COMPLEX: PRODUCTION + IMPORT 224 106 Production -11% Imports -65% Lac MT 159 142 61 37 118 98 105 Stable exchange rate and raw material prices, combined with good monsoon and a sharp decline in imports led to reduction in pipeline inventory of DAP and complex products 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Production Import DAP + COMPLEX: SALES -36% Lac MT 217 164 140 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 20

.Urea Demand has remained stable due to high levels of subsidy UREA SUPPLY & DEMAND 298 306 298 Lac MT 78 80 71 220 226 227 295 302 304 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Production Import 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Sale MOP SUPPLY & DEMAND Lac MT -20% -28% 170 40 24 32 30 21 22 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Import 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Sale 21

and negatively impacted N-P-K application ratios in recent years 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2013 7.7 3 1 2012 6.9 3.1 1 2011 4.3 2 1 2000 6.9 2.96 1 1994 8.9 2.7 1 1990 6.3 2.6 1 1980 5.8 1.9 1 N P K 22

Current market Update 2013-14 Indian food grain output estimated at 263 million tons MSPs for all key crops continue to remain high Reservoir storage levels are good - 57 out of 85 reservoirs with storage more than last 10 years average IMD forecast for SW monsoon expected to be 95% of LPA due to El Nino effect 23

COMPANY PROFILE 24

12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000-1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 - Coromandel - Snapshot Rs. Cr. 1,054 Revenue EBITDA Reported 769 1,056 768 805 6,453 7,637 9,901 9,034 10,053 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 Key Facts : Turnover: Rs.10,053 Cr Market Cap: Rs. 6350 Cr Strong credit rating: AA + (Stable outlook) with CRISIL India Employees: 2712 International Linkages: FOSKOR,GCT, CANPOTEX, SQM, GETAX, QAFCO, ICL, Phoschem, OCP, YANMAR etc International Market Serviced: Latin America, Africa, China, South East Asia, Middle east 25

Business Structure Phosphatic Fertilisers DAP Complex Fertilisers /SSP/MOP Sales 80% EBITDA 64% Specialty Nutrients & Organic fert G-Sulphur Water Soluble Fertilisers Organic Manure Coromandel Crop Protection Technicals Formulations 20% 36% Retail Agri Inputs Agri Services Non subsidy EBITDA share has steadily improved from 23% in FY08-09 to 36% in FY13-14 26

Growth through acquisitions and JVs 2003 2004 2006 & 2007 2008 2009 & 2010 2011 2013 2014 Complex Fertilizers Demerge d fert. Biz from EID Parry GFCL Acq 1.5 MM tons SSP Liberty Group 1MM ton SSP Capacity Crop Protection FICOM Acq Acqof Jammu unit Sabero Acq Others / JVs BAA with FOSKOR TIFERT JV JVwith SQM APGPCL 15 MW JV with Yanmar and Mitusi 27

Key Strengths Farm Inputs Business Fertilisers Non Subsidy Businesses Sourcing Strategic Alliances in Sourcing Long Term tie-up with Foskor, South Africa and Group Chemique, Tunisia TIFERT JV in Tunisia Supply agreement for Ammonia and Sulphur with Mitsui Potash from Canpotex Cost Leadership Low cost manufacturer of Phos acid - Visak and Ennore Kakinada - High Efficiency and Very low conversion cost Ex Plant/Rail deliveries - Low Freight Cost Low cost of borrowing Access to low cost electricity stake in APGPCL Marketing Strength Wider reach and penetration Strong brand image in the home market Wide Product Range - Low P to high P Direct contacts with farmers - Mana Gromor Centers Extensive field promotions Specialty Nutrients/ Water Soluble Fertilisers/Micro Nutrients and Organic compost Crop Protection Technicals and Formulations Retail Farm Mechanization Services 28

Coromandel s Fertilisers Business 29

Coromandel Fertiliser Business Growth Story C Train Expansion LIBERTY SSP acquisition 50 Lac Mt 30

Global Strategic Alliances Pact with QAFCO for supply of Urea and Ammonia JV with Yanmar& co.mitsui & Co Japan 31

State of The Art Manufacturing Facilities Plants are strategically located in highly irrigated southern Indian states and in heart of fertilizer consumption market low freight cost Plant Facilities State of art with good infrastructure support and robust systems High capacity utilisation levels & continuous modernisation of facilities Backward integration into manufacturing the intermediate - phosphoric acid from rock Phosphate lowest cost manufacturer in India Captive jetty at Vizag, Own storage tanks and pipeline for raw materials: Ammonia & molten sulphur (Vizag & Ennore) - Lower handling and associated costs Captive power plants at Vizag & Ennore saves power costs Captive desalination plants at Ennore ensure water supply at low cost Visak Kakinada Ennore Ranipet Coromandel Lowest cost producer of complex fertiliser in the country 32

Cost Leadership Visak Plant Visak Production (Lac Mt) Captive PhosAcid Continuous de-bottle necking to increase production levels Value gap - imported Vs own acid Increased Gypsum generation Use of various sources /grades of rocks New belt filter technology- to use low grade rocks Sulphuric Acid Consistent production performance operating at 100% + capacity Air pre heater technology Total avoidance of LSHS/Furnace oil Increased Power generation 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 9.4 10.0 7.0 7.4 10.5 9.1 9.8 7.0 8.6 Logistic Cost Ex Plant Deliveries minimizing freight cost Kakinada Plant Kakinada Production (Lac Mt) Very High Efficiency N 99% P 98% K 94% Low Conversion Cost Availability of Natural Gas Increased through put of all trains 16 14 12 10 8 6 10 11 11 11 13 14 11 9 12.10 Logistic Cost Increased rail dispatches minimizing freight cost to be in line with subsidy 4 2 0 33

Marketing Network Higher complex fertilizer consumption in core markets Target Markets 375 Tertiary Market Industry Size: 3.4 Million MT Coromandel s Target: 0.25 Million MT Percentage Share: 7% Kg /ha 100 150 250 110 100 100 250 200 250 Bihar MP AP TN KN DAP Complex Marketing Channels Dealer Trade Retail Network Institutional segment Secondary Market Industry Size: 3.5 Million MT Coromandel s Target : 0.45Million MT Percentage Share: 13% Primary Market Industry Size:7.2 Million MT Coromandel s Target : 2.35 Million MT Percentage Share: 33% 34

Specialty Nutrient Business 35

SPECIALITY NUTRIENTS DIVISION (SND) G-SULPHUR WSF Micronutrients GROMOR SULPHUR GROMOR SPRAY Boron Sulphozinc GROMOR POWER Zinc Mixtures 36

Sulphur and WSF Business 2003-05 2006-13 2013 -> Business Launch Portfolio Expansion Crop and Soil Specific Approach with a dedicated filed team G Sulphur WSF Cotton Folibor Citrus Zinc SQM JV Banana 37

SND Strategy Provide value-added services and relevant crop technologies Customer lock-in with the superior benefit-cost ratio Continuous innovation to introduce customized products suitable to soil, region and crop requirements - promotion around Complete Nutrition Package Leverage SQM to bring global best practices in crop nutrition management WSF exploiting linkages with drip irrigation for future growth Established independent & specialized marketing teams to reach target market 38

SND & Organic Fertiliser Business Sulfur Products Strong growth in Sulfur products in FY14 Continues to be the market leader despite adverse market conditions WSF Sulphur products Market Share 33% WSF 16% Both WSF and Sulfur markets continue to show accelerated growth and their markets are expected to grow at CAGR of 20% Increased customer focus -introducing crop & soil specific grades 77% 84% Coromandel Others Organic Compost Volumes (Mt) Organic Fertiliser Focus on stabilizing supply chain for organic fertilizer procurement 78,171 1,19,279 1,59,169 1,78,758 1,30,217 Retail sales of Organic fertilizer showing strong growth 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 39

Crop Protection Business 40

Crop Protection business - Coromandel Wider range of Technicals Increased Global presence and registration Strong distribution with own retail outlets 2009 2010 Acquired Pasura Bio Tech Jammu Unit II 2011 Sabero Acquisition 2006 Expansion to Latin America 1990 s Acquisition of FICOM and setting up Jammu Unit I Acquired pesticides unit of BPM 41

Crop Protection Strategy Increased R&D focus plan to start a R&D center for crop protection business in Hyderabad GromorSuraksha Umbrella brand for CPC launched and well accepted by farmers Expand business in LATAM, Africa and APAC by leveraging strong registration portfolio - 45% growth in combined export turnover in FY14 Merger of Saberoorganics expected to be completed in Q3 2014-15 Synergies expected to crystalize from combined exports and domestic operations 42

Update on Sabero (Rs. Cr) 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 Turnover EBITDA (before E/O Items) E/O Items EBITDA Reported PBT PAT 413 358 515 724 41 (6) 53 77 (2) (28) (2) - 39 34 51 77 17 (77) 8 34 11 (64) 8 32 % of TO 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 Domestic 45% 48% 41% 38% Exports 55% 52% 59% 62% Increased production & Sales volumes currently operating at ~70% of capacity Focus on sustaining & improving EBITDA margin from current levels 43

Initiatives Operational Initiatives Jammu Expansion of technical plant capacity at Ankleshwar Export to more countries & increase the reach Focusing on high margin super specialities Leveraging on retail network in AP & Accelerated growth plan in all states Strategic Initiatives Acquired Sabero Organics Co-Marketing with MNCs Access to new molecules Tie up with BASF, Syngenta, Dupont R&D Initiatives & registraton capabilities Alternate sourcing from China New Products Introduction Foray into Latin American market Set up office in Brazil Ranipet 44

Mana Gromor Centers (MGCs) - Retail 45

Retail Strategy Positioning Retail as a complete Farming Solutions platform Constantly deliver significantly improved customer value proposition than competition in terms of products & services Expand connect with farmers and provide technical advise based on proven scientific practices Ring-fence markets in core addressable areas 46

Retail Business Overview 600 centers in Andhra Pradesh and 200 centers in Karnataka-servicing more than 2 million farmers Products & Service Offerings Fertilisers Crop Protection Seeds Veterinary Feed SND FMS Other Agri Services Providing One Stop Solution to the Indian Farmers 47

Financial Performance 48

800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100-10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% Consolidated Financial Performance Turnover ( Rs. Cr) EBIDTA (Rs. Cr) & EBIDTA % 6,453 7,637 9,901 9,034 10,053 PY subsidy EBITDA before PY Subsidy EBITDA % - operating 1,200 12.0% 46 1,000 10.0% 227 11.2% 7.7% 8.2% 109 800 35 8.0% 10.2% 600 262 6.0% 1,008 7.4% 400 829 770 4.0% 659 507 200 2.0% 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 - 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 0.0% PAT (Rs. Cr) & PAT % ROE & ROCE (%) 7.2% 9.1% 6.5% PAT PAT % 34% 40% 32% ROE ROCE 4.8% 3.5% 694 468 639 432 357 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 21% 27% 23% 23% 15% 19% 17% 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 49

Income Statement - Consolidated Amount in Rs. Cr FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY 2014 Revenue before PY subsidy 6,191 7,410 9,855 8,925 10,018 YoY (Growth) -34.29% 19.69% 33.00% -9.44% 12.25% EBITDA before PY Subsidy 507 829 1,008 659 770 EBITDA % 8.19% 11.18% 10.23% 7.38% 7.69% PY Subsidy 262 227 46 109 35 EBITDA Reported 769 1,056 1,054 768 805 Extra-ordinary income / (expense) - - (36) - (13) PBT 709 986 911 557 517 PAT 468 694 639 432 357 EPS (Rs.) Basic 16.7 24.6 24.2 15.3 12.6 Debt / Total Capital (%) 56.48% 44.41% 58.98% 63.04% 48.81% LT Debt / Total Capital (%) 5.83% 9.57% 13.25% 25.15% 11.62% 50

Balance sheet - Consolidated Amount in Rs. Cr FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY 2014 Equity 1,502 1,957 2,416 2,303 2,307 Debt & Other LT liabilities 2,047 1,664 2,977 2,976 1,873 Deferred Tax Liability 86 82 67 188 189 Sources of Funds 3,634 3,702 5,461 5,466 4,369 NFA 958 1,143 1,823 2,276 1,808 Investments 169 171 149 160 342 Cash/ICD 961 961 1,255 935 757 Bonds 860 430 - - - Inventory 926 1,514 1,922 1,478 1,753 Subsidy 508 969 1,626 1,376 1,112 Debtors 140 205 958 1,820 1,483 Other CA 115 149 233 368 349 CL 1,003 1,839 2,504 2,945 3,236 Net CA 2,508 2,389 3,489 3,030 2,218 Application of Funds 3,634 3,702 5,461 5,466 4,369 51

THANK YOU 52