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9 Dynamics of defor in greater amazonia

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13 Governance, institutions and policies reducing deforestation in Amazonia National Commitments and Formal Institutions and Processes Development of IBAMA; Development of a National Systems of conservation areas ( Complete preservation to inhabited landscapes) (SNUP) Forest Code (in contest) Recognition and demarcation of native reserves Development of legal mechanisms for inhabited, non native reserves Enabling of sub-national agreements and autonomy ZEE: econo-ecological zoning exercises (vulnerable to manipulation) Placing parks and reserves in active development zones INCRA reform (Art.88) historical rights Regional and State Level Policies Territorialization of conservation in policies :Acre, Amazonas and Amapa: Guyana, Upper Purus Substantial state community forests Ability to implement local PES REDD+ (Acre/ Amazonas)(Socio Bosques; Bolsa Florestal Investment in socio-environmental based sciences:(agroforestry forestry and NTFP other resources management) Mato Grosso Panopticon :TNC/IBAMA monitor clearing with GIS cadastral overlay to control clearing Community Autonomy in Resources management Historical communities (Kilombos, extractive reserves, traditional peoples) Other forms of community management of forests landscapes Regional planning through larger scale organizations in civil society (Roundtables, MSTX) Transfer of forest rights to communities

14 Better enforcement of legal sanctions Real time monitoring Better cadastral systems with GIS; reform of land Institute(Incra) Mato Grosso Panopticon : with TNC overlay clearing data with cadastral data with rigorous enforcement of deforestation in private and public reserves Black listing for cattle credits in high deforestation municipalities Green Markets and their management NTFP in national markets (Brazil nuts, açai, coffee, fruits, oils and natural rubber) NTFP in international markets (Açaí) Debate of GMOs Timber certification (quite fraudulent) International and boycotts of Amazon beef:: Friboi, Carrefour, Walmart International boycott of Amazon soy. Credit Blackout zones in speculative deforestation expansion zones. Climate Policy is taken seriously Signatories to UNFCC, Copenhagen, Cancun Development of National Climate Policy PES: low defor, water, National CO2 offsets :SP water situation Elaboration of REDD policies (and pilot projects) Other Processes and spillovers Social Policy spillovers: Bolsa Familia Fome zero Food subsidies to rural inhabitants, Bolsa Florestal Ideological spillovers (desmatemento zero) POLICY FORMATS LARGELY FOR INHABITED Places: But increasingly modern conservation takes on the idea of the empty

15 Forest Recovery in El Salvador

16 New economic models bring new rural realities: From traditional agro-exports to remittances, tourism and maquila Foreign exchange generation in Central America 5% 6% 8% 69% 67% 65% % 3% 8% 11% 11% 4% 7% 5% 3% 6% 8% 6% 9% 26% 10% 14% 74% 69% Commercial surplus with CA Remesas Other services Tourism Maquila (Net exports) Other exports outside of CA Traditional agro-exports 45% 55% 5% 12% 6% 14% 10% 13% 8% 42% 34% 5% 9% 18% 15% 6% 12% 6% 7% 17% 23% 14% 11% 17% 24% Dramatic economic changes and new patterns of accumulating 9% wealth 12% 12% 18% 13% Expansion to new territories : Access/control over territories 4% and resources Territorial reconfiguration, new territorial dynamics and new conflicts GU ES HN NI CR GU ES HN NI CR

17 The Age of migration Huge int l flows (4-10% of global pop) $400 + Billion (on target to 700B by 2017 Internal migration dynamics much more complicated: More circular, more multi- sited, more flexible, polymorphic incomes: labor and gender dynamics Migration as investment strategy, necessity, rite of passage, institutional development Farming and forest livelihoods: resilience dynamics Rural populations as Semi prol, semi- urban, semi-globalization

18 Urbanization Highly linked to rural areas in pop flows Circular Forest dependent in many ways Second and third order urbanizations Rurban: complex matrix often forested Multisites hsehold, semi proletarianized, semi urbanized, semi globalized

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22 Interactions between Carbon Sequestration and Shade Tree Diversity in a Smallholder Coffee Cooperative in El Salvador Conservation Biology Volume 28, Issue 2, pages , 27 NOV 2013 DOI: /cobi

23 New Rurality Small farmer dynamics have really shifted Semi prol Semi urban Remittances, pensions and state transfers End of small farm annual cropping? Cheap food and agro-industrial subsidies Clandestine economies Multi-sited households Rural urban subsistence and small mkt transfers Rural development activism emphasizing different models Cross sector, cross class, cross country alliances: Its not about the poor and noblesse oblige: their actions have hugely benefited the planet:

24 Forests and our futures: The larger questions of habits of thought Huge structural changes: dramatically changing land cover: 1.4 B 1.Impacts of globalizations (labor mkts, commodities, info, finance, institutions, policy contexts, clandestine economies ): new sciences of the tropics; 2. Impacts of migrations, urbanization 3. Effects of Climate change ( drought, intensity of events, erratic nature, long term trends: historically we know there have been super droughts in central America and South America 4. Large scale restructuring of environments and rural economies (Forest resurgence, changes in deforestation. Climate Change, vulnerability patterns etc: Habits of thought may not adequately reflect the real dynamics within the new context of transitions: urban agrarian an forest transitions. 5. This implies a much closer attention to realms of possibilities based on a complex local context (remittances, multi-sited households), local knowledge systems and the complexity of income formation. 6. Function of the rural goes well beyond its old role of production: provisioning of environmental services and social services. Not a strictly agrarian site: nor or are urban places strictly urban. Common theme though: trees

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