Michael Snow Executive Director American Hardwood Export Council February

Transcription

1 Michael Snow Executive Director American Hardwood Export Council February

2 AHEC OFFICES AROUND THE WORLD

3 Presentation Outline: Exports and the US Domestic Hardwood Industry Global Markets for Lumber Global Markets for Hardwood Veneer A Word About Log Exports Pushing Future Demand

4 Housing Starts and Hardwood Prices SA Starts (000) $/MBF Housing Starts Hwd Weekly Review Index 800 Source: Census Bureau; Hardwood Weekly Review

5 Shift to Exports as LT Price Driver 160% 140% 120% Red Oak Exports Red Oak Prices 100% 80% 60% 40% Hardwood Review 20% Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14

6 Billions ($USD) $2.50 $2.25 $2.00 $1.75 $1.50 $1.25 $1.00 $0.75 $0.50 $0.25 $- World's Largest Hardwood Lumber Exporters Source: Global Trade Atlas

7 Source: Global Trade Atlas World's Largest Hardwood Lumber Importers Billions ($USD) $4.50 $4.00 $3.50 $3.00 $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $ $0.50 $-

8 US Hardwood Lumber Export Markets Millions ($USD) $1,600 $1,400 $1, $1, $ $ $400 $200 $- China and Hong Kong European Union Southeast Asia Latin America Middle East & North Africa Source: USDA GATS

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16 Lots of Eggs in China Basket China's Share of Total U.S. Exports China's Share of Total Exports (excl. Canada) Red Oak 62.8% 80.1% Alder 70.2% 76.9% Cherry 65.5% 75.7% Ash 66.1% 68.3% Soft Maple 32.8% 58.7% Hickory 46.2% 51.2% Poplar 42.4% 42.6% Hard Maple 16.7% 38.3% Walnut 25.1% 34.2% White Oak 26.0% 31.4% Total 45.6% 54.3% Hardwood Review, 2017

17 Millions (m3) China Hardwood Imports Other France Cameroon Germany Vietnam Equatorial Guinea Mozambique Solomon Islands United States Papua New Guinea Thailand Russia Includes logs, lumber, veneer, and plywood Data source: Global Trade Atlas, Feb 2017

18 Veneer Trade: Changes in Global Flows

19 Source: Global Trade Atlas

20 Source: Global Trade Atlas

21 A Word About Log Exports

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23 Millions (m3) Top US Hardwood Log Export Destinations China Canada Vietnam

24 Source: USDA GATS

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26 Drivers for increase use of wood Environmental performance Technological Innovation - Exterior Use (TMT) - Structural Use (CLT)

27 We must do more to win the green argument *Wood is renewable *Wood is sustainably grown *Forests absorb carbon *Wood is a low impact product *Wood stores carbon

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31 Compiling Life Cycle Inventory Data Identify and describe unit processes, gather data on wood flow, energy/material inputs & outputs of product, waste and emissions. Data from companies combined with existing public & commercial database

32 公二斤氧锯化材碳公斤当量 / 每 Derived from PE/AHEC ireport

33 COMPARING ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF PRODUCTS: Chairs made of single material BUT by different manufacturing processes. CHAIRS 1. Wood 2. Plastic 3. Aluminum Cyclic Load - 420Lb Life - 20 years Cyclic Load - 80Lb Life - 4 years Cyclic Load - 150Lb Life 6.4 years Functional Unit: 20 Years 20 33

34 LCA on PRODUCTION of CHAIRS (aluminum, plastic, and wood)) Environmental performance of wooden chair is superior to chairs made of other materials. SimaPro; Method: TRACI 2.1 V1.02/US 2008/ Characterization; Comparing product stages Source: Dr. Eva Haviarova, Purdue University

35 Wood: The Substitution Effect

36 Perception that wood is scarce

37 AP Wire/BBC News: A new global monitoring system has been launched that promises "near real time" information on deforestation around the world. Forest campaigners say this is the equivalent of 50 football fields of trees being cut down, every minute of every day over the past 12 years.

38 百万立方米

39 ex.html October 2016 AHEC Team Meeting 2016

40 NEW INTERACTIVE ONLINE TOOL DATA AT A COUNTY LEVEL DATA AT A NATIONAL LEVEL AMERICAN HARDWOOD EXPORT COUNCIL

41 VOLUME OF RED OAK ACROSS THE U.S. AMERICAN HARDWOOD EXPORT COUNCIL

42 GROWTH OF RED OAK ACROSS THE U.S. AMERICAN HARDWOOD EXPORT COUNCIL

43 DATA AT A COUNTY LEVEL AMERICAN HARDWOOD EXPORT COUNCIL

44 NEW ON LINE SPECIES GUIDE WITH FOREST MAP AND LCA TOOLS

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47 LIFE CYCLE ASSESMENT 3 SECONDS TO REPLENISH THE WALNUT TOTAL CARBON FOOTPRINT: 17KG C KG CO2 STORED ONLY 7% OF TIMBER WASTED AMERICAN HARDWOOD EXPORT COUNCIL

48 LCA Report for AHEC Project October 2016 AHEC Team Meeting 2016

49 LEGALITY? 2 nd US HARDWOOD RISK ASSESSMENT (REVIEW DRAFT) Commissioned by AHEC in 2017, expert team led by Seneca Creek We are highly confident that national and state laws that apply to the hardwood sector are effective and enforced The amount of stolen timber across the hardwood region is very low relative to total hardwood production...very likely less than 1% Low Risk of sourcing illegal hardwoods per the requirements of the EU Timber Regulation... Low Risk of sourcing illegal or unsustainable hardwoods pursuant to the current requirements for avoiding controlled or controversial sources outlined in certification and procurement programs We conclude that there is both national and international consensus that the hardwood resource is consistently well managed AMERICAN HARDWOOD EXPORT COUNCIL

50 ESTABILISHING ENVIRONMENTAL CREDENTIALS A BROADER, MORE EFFECTIVE RISK-BASED APPROACH TO SUSTAINABILITY: AHEP LCA FIA SENECA CREEK STUDY AMERICAN HARDWOOD EXPORT COUNCIL

51 AMERICAN HARDWOOD ENVIRONMENTAL PROFILE REFERENCES & LINKS SPECIES & ORIGIN (EUTR) LEGALITY & SUSTAINABILITY INFO & STATEMENT ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT DATA (PEF/EPD) FIA SPECIES VOLUME, GROWTH REMOVALS AMERICAN HARDWOOD EXPORT COUNCIL

52 Finding New Market Segments Even in Mature Markets: 1. Exterior Uses for American Hardwoods 2. Structural Uses Research and Testing for New Applications and Technologies

53 Infinity Bench Designed by Martino Gamper Thermally modified American red oak, ash, soft maple, yellow birch & tulipwood

54 Heat treatment Class 1 durability Improves stability Changes appearance Better U values Tulipwood Red oak Soft maple Yellow birch Ash

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57 Sir Paul Smith s shed made from TMT for LDF Wish List project

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59 Museum of European and Mediterranean Civilisations in Marseille

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61 TMT ash Puebla Mexico

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66 TMT American tulipwood and ash window

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68 The time is now: timber in construction

69 Structural Design in American Hardwoods 5 US Species Accepted into EU Building Codes following AHEC- Funded Strength Testing

70 THE WARNER STAND, LORD S

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72 U.S. WHITE OAK GLULAM: LORD S WARNER STAND AMERICAN HARDWOOD EXPORT COUNCIL

73 Murray Grove, London Waugh Thistleton Architects 9 storey timber building Cross laminated lumber Completed carpenters assembled structure on-site at a rate of 1 storey a week Building weighs 300 tonnes ¼ weight of equivalent concrete building Saves 306 tonnes of carbon to a comparable steel and concrete tower, with 183 tonnes locked into the timber.

74 THE EIFFEL TOWER EFFECT Courtesy: CF Møller 34 story residential building in Stockholm World s Tallest Wooden Skyscraper To be completed in 2023

75 STRENGTH OF HARDWOOD CLT AHEC-funded research has proven hardwood CLT s viability Can replace concrete Current weakness is the glue

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78 14.5 tonnes of CO 2 was stored in the structure which is actually greater than the 13.1 tonnes of carbon emissions required to manufacture, deliver and assemble the whole structure Endless Stair by drmm Architects in American tulipwood

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80 THE SMILE AMERICAN HARDWOOD EXPORT COUNCIL

81 The largest CLT panels ever made 10m long 14m long 10m long 3m high 34m long

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87 Environmental Life Cycle Assessment of The Smile The Smile is better than carbon neutral at point of delivery to the site in London

88 The Smile LCA London Design Festival 2016 October 2016 AHEC Team Meeting 2016 Tulipwood replacement time Less than 5 minutes Carbon stored 71.7 MT CO 2 eq. Waste wood incineration kwh Carbon footprint - (minus) 5.6 MT CO2 eq. Better than carbon neutral

89 Online coverage CNN Stronger than concrete? Why this new material could define our age. 12.6M visits pm Inhabitat Curved timber Smile building in London is stronger than concrete" 12.6M visits pm Audience: Building/Construction The 1.5M Financial Times 4M visits pm Financial Times The Smile, one of the festival s landmark projects is designed to be an immersive pavilion. 4M visits pm Dezeen Alison Brooks creates giant smile using cross-laminated tulipwood. 733K visits pm Audience: Design, Architecture

90 Maggie s Center Oldham, UK First commercial use of tulipwood CLT

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92 MAGGIE S CANCER CARING CENTRE AMERICAN HARDWOOD EXPORT COUNCIL

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94 WORK STACK Cantilevered drmm design using tulipwood CLT early stages of planning

95 Current and estimated European CLT production

96 Questions?