Advancements in GIS-based fire modeling applications
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1 Advancements in GIS-based fire modeling applications
2 How would they fight fire Advancements in GIS-based in Star Trek? fire modeling applications
3 Fire Information Systems Fire growth modelling (PFAS, Burn-P3, Pandora, Pegasus, Bigfoot) Fire danger mapping (SFMS) PFAS Burn-P3 Pandora Pegasus Bigfoot CFS Fire Information Systems group: Kerry Anderson, Richard Carr, Peter Englefield, John Little, Marc Parisien, Rod Suddaby SFMS
4 Fire Growth Modelling Long-range / probabilistic (PFAS) Burn probability (Burn-P3) Batch / no user interface (Pandora) Simple / on the web (Pegasus) Automated (Bigfoot)
5 Fire Growth Modelling Applications Prometheus Pegasus Bigfoot Pandora PFAS Burn-P3 Short range Tactical Operational Deterministic Long range Strategic Planning Probabilistic
6 Natural Resources Canada Prometheus COM
7 Prometheus Applications Prometheus Application Burn-P3 SFMS Pandora Bigfoot Pegasus Prometheus COM
8 Accessing Prometheus through the back door "Batch Prometheus" Run one or many simulations sequentially All input parameters specified in text file Minimal user interface (optional) Help file Progress window displays status, simulation time, and area burned
9 Pegasus "Prometheus on the web" Minimal set of input parameters Data stored and prepared by server No client-side data or software needed User can modify weather, fuels, ignitions Simulations done on server via Pandora Fire perimeter displayed using map server Developed in collaboration with Saskatchewan FMFP
10 Pegasus Prometheus on the web
11 Bigfoot Automated fire growth simulations Start fire growth from: ignition point fire perimeter hotspot buffer perimeter 48-hour simulations Run daily at 5:00 AM
12 Burn-P3 Burn Probability, Prediction, and Planning Multiple simulations Ignition and weather based on historical data Prometheus COM
13 Burn-P3 fire simulation modeling inputs Wood Buffalo National Park Spatial inputs: Fuels Topography Ignition patterns Non-spatial inputs: Number of fires per year Weather conditions Duration of burning
14 Burn-P3
15 Burn-P3
16 Evaluating fuel treatment effectiveness Untreated landscape Treated landscape Parisien et al. (2007, Int. J. Wildland Fire)
17 PFAS Prescribed Fire Analysis System Long-range forecast (weeks / months) Climatology input Probabilistic output 15 day 30 day
18 PFAS The model calculates the probabilities of spread and of survival for each grid cell based on historical weather and mutiplies them to produce the probable fire extent map. Probability of Spread Probability of Survival Probable Extent
19 Spatial Fire Management System
20 What is SFMS? Fire information analysis and display software Incorporates fire science models (CFFDRS) Runs on GIS platform (ArcView 3.x) Now being re-developed as a stand-alone application
21 Modules Weather (WX) Fire Weather Index (FWI) Fire Behaviour Prediction (FBP) Optimal Resource Allocation & Prepositioning (ORAP) Wildfire Threat Rating (WTR) Fire Occurrence Prediction (FOP) Fire Growth Modelling (FGM)
22 Interpolation Options Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) Kriging Thin plate smoothing spline (Anusplin)
23
24 Elevation adjustment Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) IDW with elevation adjustment
25 Fire Climatology
26 Wildfire Threat Rating Fire Risk Fire Behavior Values at Risk Suppression Capability
27
28 Fire Occurrence Prediction Human-caused People Lightning-caused Sparky LCFOP
29 Fire Growth Modeling
30 Fire growth ensemble modelling
31
32
33 Next Generation Spatial Fire Management System SFMS
34 SFMS re-development Independent of any commercial software Written in C Can be compiled for Windows or Unix Run from the command line No GUI, at least initially Open Source approach allowing for collaboration and minimizing obstacles to implementation GeoTIFF grid format allowing for easy file management and compatibility with various GIS/mapping platforms ODBC for retrieving weather data
35 SFMS re-development Modular design Core modules: Initialization Database Weather FWI FBP MapServer to render map images Run in daily or hourly mode
36 SFMS re-development Fire Weather This module produces maps of FWI components by interpolation or cell-by-cell calculation. Parameters: startup procedures, daily/hourly FFMC Fire Behavior Cell-by-cell calculation of ROS, HFI, TFC, etc. Input grids: Fuel type, elevation, slope, aspect Parameters: curing, greenup
37 Open source libraries used: SFMS re-development GDAL (for reading and writing grids) PROJ4 (for projecting coordinates) MapServer (for creating map images) XML2 (for managing initialization files) SFMS will also be open source, allowing for agency additions and customization. These customizations can be shared and incorporated into SFMS.
38 SFMS re-development Additional modules to be included after the completion of the SFMS core system, depending on user demand: Web-based user interface Fire growth modelling Fire occurrence prediction Wildfire threat rating Optimal resource allocation and prepositioning Fire climatology
39 KHAN'S TALLY
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