Strategic Development of Sustainable Supply Chains for Industrial Biomass Co-firing in Alberta
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1 Strategic Development of Sustainable Supply Chains for Industrial Biomass Co-firing in Alberta Presentation at SPARK November 8, COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS 2017
2 Project Partners Resources Data Arterran Renewables Capital Power DMI West Fraser / Blue Ridge Millar Western Weyerhaeuser Tolko Alberta Newsprint Al-Pac Canfor COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
3 Outline Project Overview Analytical Approach Supply and demand scenarios Network distances Results Delivered fuel cost comparison Optimized network material flows GHG emissions and savings Conclusion COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
4 Business Problem Greening the Grid Pembina Institute 2009 Biomass waste to energy is one component of a long-term sustainable electricity grid What are the implications of a large-scale biomass to energy option in Alberta? COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
5 Case Study Site COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
6 Project Objectives Assesses the availability of biomass feedstock supplies for a centralized 450 MW power plant. Identify the combinations of biomass feedstock supplies and conversion processes most applicable to the Alberta context. Devise biomass densification strategies by plant size/s and location/s Advance the strategic relationships needed to meet a large scale biomass co-firing/firing opportunity. COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
7 Co-fire/Fire Scenarios Supply Scenarios Transportation Network Road versus road-rail combination Densification Plants Number of plants Location of plants Fuel Types Raw biomass delivered directly to power plant Dried biomass White pellets Black pellets Demand Scenarios 30% co-fire 60% co-fire 100% bio-fuel COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
8 Forest residual supply (2 processing plants) Forest residual supply (5 processing plants) COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
9 Forest residual supply (12 processing plants) Mill residual supply (12 processing plants) COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
10 Road/rail network (processing plants to Genesee) Road network (processing plants to Genesee) COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
11 28% dried chips 72% black pellets (energy basis) 100% Co-fire Scenario: M GJ LHV Best all fuels pathway COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
12 Total Annual Biomass Flow Available (Supply) As of July 2017 Mill residuals: 522,300 tonnes db / year 9.02 M GJ / year Forest harvest residuals 1.52 M tonnes db / year M GJ / year COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
13 bp black pellets wp white pellets cp dried biomass Comparison of Delivered Fuel Cost by Scenario (weighted average cost $/GJ lhv) COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
14 Ratio of Resource Utilized to Resource Available COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
15 Total Fuel Cost Comparison (incl. retrofit) Best black pellets Best white pellets Best dried biomass Best all fuels % Co-fire $50,766,110 $63,827,434 $50,560,083 $50,334, % Co-fire $123,222,750 $155,004,448 $129,383,938 $124,634, % Co-fire $228,988,065 $290,012,504 $253,622,758 $232,527,858 COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
16 Per Unit Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions (g CO 2 e/mj LHV fuel) In comparison, coal is assumed to be 106 g CO 2 e/mj lhv 100% Dried biomass 60% 30% Silviculture Harvest+Loading White pellets Black pellets 100% 60% 30% 100% 60% 30% Forwarding Roadside chipping Storage at processing plant Processing pellets/chips Storage at power plant Biomass combustion Fuel transport Grams CO 2 eq per MJ (LHV) fuel combusted COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
17 GHG Emissions and Savings a) Life cycle GHG emissions from bioenergy b) Life cycle GHG savings due to displacing coal Best black pellets Best white pellets Best dried biomass Best all fuels 30% Co-fire 170, , , ,405 60% Co-fire 352, , , , % Co-fire 612, , , ,075 Best black pellets Best white pellets Best dried biomass Best all fuels 30% Co-fire 907, , , ,825 60% Co-fire 1,803,713 1,659,689 1,896,623 1,846, % Co-fire 2,981,475 2,733,933 3,107,088 3,019,023 COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
18 Key Findings Sufficient sustainable biomass resources to co-fire or fire 100% in a centralized 450MW generator. Potential emission reductions are 3 MT/yr, relative to coal firing. The cost of the biomass fuel options vary. Fuel supply mix influences co-firing/firing levels and costs. Without policy changes, co-firing/firing is not cost-effective. Further analysis of regulatory and market implications are needed. COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
19 Next Steps Since this study, additional buyers and suppliers have become available. Capital Power or competitor can consume and control biomass supplies. Market mechanisms are needed to establish a sustainable supply chain. This analysis lays the foundation for a sustainable biomass exchange algorithm. COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
20 Thank You Mike Kennedy, PhD Candidate Director of Innovation Green Analytics Corp Ph: ext. 700 COPYRIGHT GREEN ANALYTICS
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