GCC MONITORING AND EVALUATION FEBRUARY 23, 2016 USAID E3 OFFICE OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE KATE FAULHABER, BECKY NICODEMUS, KATHRYN STRATOS

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1 GCC MONITORING AND EVALUATION FEBRUARY 23, 2016 USAID E3 OFFICE OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE KATE FAULHABER, BECKY NICODEMUS, KATHRYN STRATOS

2 SESSION AGENDA Welcome and Introductions Monitoring and Reporting: Why it Matters FY Updates to Standard Indicators Attributing and Reporting on Indirect Climate Change Benefits GCC Evaluations Additional Guidance and Tools World Café: Showcasing Measurement Tools and Approaches

3 INTRODUCTIONS Please share with the people sitting in your immediate vicinity: Name Mission GCC Indicator you find the most challenging to report on

4 U.S. Pledges to Conference of Parties Double U.S. Assistance for Adaptation by 2020 Help mobilize $100 billion/year in climate change finance by 2020 Support Implementation of Developing Countries NDCs & Development of NAPs Image from UNFCCC

5 SUMMARY OF USAID GCCI RESULTS (minus State) FY10-15 results, FY16-17 targets for five current GCC standard indicators Indicator FY10-FY14 Actual FY15 Estimate FY16 Target FY17 Target Investment leveraged for climate change (USD) GHG emissions avoided, reduced or sequestered (metric tons) Stakeholders with increased adaptive capacity Institutions with increased capacity to address climate change Laws, policies, agreements, for climate change 2,945 M 869 M 667 M 1,085 M 342 M 46 M 61 M 52 M 3.6 M 1.3 M 1 M 1 M 5,310 3,775 1,940 1,440 4,130 1,

6 MILESTONE REPORTING ON LEDS: QUALITATIVE DATA

7 GCCI ACCOMPLISHMENTS INCLUDE GOOD STORIES EC-LEDS supported development of 11 INDCs with potential to reduce the equivalent of 440 MtC02 by 2030 In the Philippines, more than $120 million of private sector investments for clean energy were mobilized as a result of USG assistance with similar stories in India, Indonesia, Georgia and elsewhere In Bangladesh, SERVIR helped regional science experts track river levels 600 miles upstream, doubling advance warning time to 8 days and warning of a 2014 flood wave--although similar floods had killed thousands, this time 17 lives were lost, partly due to earlier warning

8 NEXT STEPS TO IMPROVING REPORTING Capture scope and potential impact of U.S. programming Projected GHGs, number of people supported Greater use of context indicators Capture people-level and development impacts # people using climate information/ risk-reducing practices # people receiving livelihood co-benefits from SL Estimate US contribution to international targets $100 billion/year climate change finance target Adaptation Funding Doubled by 2020 (indirect must increase!) Most robust data collection Reduced reliance on disaggregates Fewer gaps in reporting of required indicators

9 FY 2016 GCC INDICATORS

10 FY16 MITIGATION INDICATORS Strategic Objective 1: Accelerate the transition to low emission development through investments in clean energy and sustainable landscapes IR 1.2 Invest in land use practices that stop, slow, and reverse emissions IR 1.1 Establish a foundation for low carbon energy systems Number of people receiving livelihood co-benefits from SL GHGs reduced Projected GHGs reduced Number of laws, policies, plans or strategies Number of institutions with improved capacity Number of beneficiaries with improved energy services MWs clean energy reached financial closure Amount of investment mobilized Input Number of people trained

11 FY16 ADAPTATION INDICATORS Strategic objective 2: Increase resilience of people, places, and livelihoods through investments in adaptation IR 2.1 Improve access to science and analysis for decision-making IR 2.2 Establish effective governance systems IR 2.3 Identify and disseminate actions that increase resilience to climate change Number of people using climate-information in decision-making Number of institutions with improved capacity* Number of laws, policies, regulations or standards Number of institutions with improved capacity* Amount of finance mobilized* Number of people implementing risk-reducing practices Amount of finance mobilized* [Number of hectares of land under improved technologies or management practices] Cross-cutting and Input Number of people supported to adapt to the effects of climate change Number of people trained in climate change adaptation * = Indicators shared across IRs [ ] = FTF standard indicator

12 FY 2015 and FY 2016 UPDATES 1. State/F Indicator Redesign [FY16]: Indicators separated by pillar Reduced size of MIL All indicators Required As Applicable 2. Four new mitigation indicators [FY15]: Projected GHGs for SL Projected GHGs for CE CE capacity that reached financial closure Number of SL beneficiaries 3. Adaptation: One new, one amended [FY16]: Number of people supported to adapt to CC Number of people using climate info/implementing risk-reducing actions

13 INVESTMENT MOBILIZED (ALL) Disaggregated between public and private, and international and domestic funds Contributes to USG s international investment mobilized commitments Maintain project database (pipeline and completed) Attribution to multiple donors Mobilized vs Leveraged? (hint: they re the same) Almost always linked to other outcomes, e.g., Projected GHGs CE capacity that reach financial close

14 PROJECTED EMISSIONS REDUCED BY 2020 (CE+SL) Asks: what effect is a given policy or action likely to have on GHG emissions in the future? By 2020, 2025, 2030 Helps OUs determine scope of impact of mitigation policy, capacity building and technology scale up Similar tools, calculations to GHGs reduced (former 4.8-7) A one time estimate Source:

15 LIVELIHOOD CO-BENEFITS (SL) Monetary benefits examples: Carbon credits or other payments for ecosystems services Non-monetary benefits examples: Access to programs or services, land titling or registration, access to markets, improved rights or authorities Tracking beneficiaries: Overlap between activities Indirect beneficiaries need to be documented

16 NEW ADAPTATION INDICATOR Number of people supported by the USG to adapt to the effects of climate change Parallels DFID s indicator ( Number of people supported to cope ) Provides an estimation of the breadth of people supported by our AD efforts Indicators that count number of people trained and number of people that have taken action (by using climate info/implementing action) will remain Can be counted under new indicator as well

17 ATTRIBUTING INDIRECT ADAPTATION FUNDING U.S. Adaptation Pledge at 2015 Conference of Parties: The United States will double its grant-based, public climate finance for adaptation by How will we do this? 1) Practice climate risk management when designing 2) Incorporate climate adaptation measures as appropriate 3) Estimate value (budget) of measures in Operational Plans

18 DIRECT & INDIRECT ADAPTATION FUNDING TRENDS Millions of dollars FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 AD - Indirect AD - Direct

19 E.O MONITORING E.O on Climate-Resilience International Development requires USAID to report the: Proportion of budget for which climate-risk assessments have been conducted Proportion of budget for which climate risk was identified and acted upon The E.O. applies to USAID s development portfolio writ large, with limited exceptions Compliance with the E.O. currently required at strategy level, will be required at project/activity level in FY17 Still determining best means of monitoring compliance, may use annual Operating Plan to track by mechanism

20 E.O RESULTS V. ADAPTATION RESULTS Relationship between EO budget metrics, indirect and focused GCC-adaptation funding Minimum result Budget, climate risk assessed No Harm Budget, climate risk acted upon GCC-adaptation budget (focused & indirect) Tangible climate change adaptation benefits Focused GCCadaptation budget Strategic climate change adaptation results

21 GCC EVALUATIONS 54+ GCC-related evaluations completed in of 54 summarized by USAID/W colleagues Impact evaluations underway: USAID/Zambia s CFP(co-managed by E3/LTRM) USAID/Macedonia s MCCS Pilot USAID/DR s Climate Risk Index Insurance Pilot (TBD) Performance evaluations underway: SERVIR EC-LEDS Performance evaluations completed: PFAN SILVACARBON Global Forest Watch USAID/CAR s Climate-Resilient Wheat Pilot

22 NEW GCC M&E MECHANISM (FY17+) Tasks: 1) Mission support services i. General support ii. In-depth support for limited missions 2) GCCO Evaluations i. GCC/W performance evaluations ii. Sectorial evaluations 3) Technical Guidance 4) M&E Training and Communications

23 WHAT RESOURCES ARE AVAILABLE? Handout: M&E Definitions and Resources Performance Indicator Reference Sheets (PIRS) ProgramNet, Learning Lab and GCC Intranet pages Climatelinks GCC M&E page Development Experience Clearinghouse (DEC) Coming soon: Templates, Supplementary Guidance Tools: AFOLU for measuring emissions from land use/forestry CLEER for measuring emissions reduced through CE GCC Institutional Capacity Assessment Tool

24 STATION 1: CLEER TOOL (CE) The Clean Energy Emission Reduction (CLEER) suite of tools for calculating emissions reductions from a range of clean energy activities. The station will: Showcase online CLEER tool, which can estimate annual and projected GHG emissions reductions Highlight Preview training and resources available to missions and implementing partners case studies of recent clean energy projects accessed using CLEER

25 STATION 2: AFOLU CALCULATOR (SL) The Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use (AFOLU) suite has seven tools for calculating emissions reductions from a range of sustainable landscapes activities. SL GHG Calculators: Forest Protection Forest Management Grazing Afforestation/Reforestation Agroforestry Cropland Forest Degradation by Fuel wood Available at:

26 STATION 3: EX-ANTE CARBON-BALANCE TOOL (EX-ACT) The Ex-Ante Carbon-balance Tool (EX-ACT) is an appraisal system developed by FAO providing estimates of the impact of agriculture and forestry development projects, programs and policies on the carbon-balance.

27 STATION 4: GLOBAL FOREST WATCH Global Forest Watch (GFW) is an interactive online forest monitoring and alert system designed to empower people everywhere with the information they need to better manage and conserve forest landscapes.

28 STATION 5: E3/GCC M&E HELP DESK Representatives from the GCC M&E team are available to answer any questions you have on data collection, reporting, evaluation and learning.