The Future for Unions

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1 Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy Volume 0 NCSCBHEP Proceedings 2008 Article 32 April 2008 The Future for Unions Tom Wilson Trade Union Congress, UK Follow this and additional works at: Recommended Citation Wilson, Tom (2008) "The Future for Unions," Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy: Vol. 0, Article 32. Available at: This Proceedings Material is brought to you for free and open access by The Keep. It has been accepted for inclusion in Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy by an authorized editor of The Keep. For more information, please contact tabruns@eiu.edu.

2 Wilson: The Future for Unions The Future for Unions The Rise of Unions Representing Professional, Managerial and Associate Managerial Workers Published by The Keep,

3 Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy, Vol. 0, Iss. 3 [2008], Art. 32 Higher Education Unionism and Collective Bargaining in Context Tom Wilson, Head of Organisation and Services Dept, TUC 2

4 Wilson: The Future for Unions UK Unions Decline and Renewal In 1979 UK unions had 13M members, about 50% of the employed workforce By 1997 that had halved to 7M, about 29%, but has stabilised and is now slightly rising Under that apparently stable headline figure there is major churning Falling low skilled traditional union membership, rise in higher skilled/educated members Both trends reflect big employment changes Published by The Keep,

5 Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy, Vol. 0, Iss. 3 [2008], Art. 32 The Changing Face of Employment Employment shares 1984 Employment shares 1994 Employment shares 2004 Projected Employment shares Managers/Senior officials Professional occupations Assoc proff/technical Admin/secretarial Skilled trade occupations Personal service occupations Sales/customer service Machine/transport operatives Elementary occupations 4

6 Wilson: The Future for Unions Union Membership by Occupation ,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000, , ,000 Union Members 1995 Union Members 2005 Union Members , , Managers/Senior Officials 2 Prof occupations 3 Assoc Prof/Technical 4 Admin/Secretarial 5 Skilled Trades Occupations 6 Personal Services 7 Sales/Customer Services 8 Process/Plant/Machine 9 Elementary Occupations Published by The Keep,

7 Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy, Vol. 0, Iss. 3 [2008], Art. 32 Union Density by Occupation 1994, 2004, Managers and Senior Officials 2 Professional occupations 3 Associate Professional and Technical 4 Administrative and Secretarial 5 Skilled Trades Occupations 6 Personal Service Occupations 7 Sales and Customer Service Occupations 8 Process Plant and Machine Operatives 9 Elementary Occupations 6

8 Wilson: The Future for Unions Not a Public Sector Effect Is the rise in union membership among profs/assoc profs a public sector effect? True that density much higher in public than private but: Density is just as high among private sector teachers and nurses Plenty of private sector professions are becoming/remaining unionised journalists, actors, airline pilots, footballers, screenwriters Published by The Keep,

9 Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy, Vol. 0, Iss. 3 [2008], Art. 32 Where Unions are Losing Skilled trades 38% to 20% fall in density; 800K to 361K fall in membership Process/Plant machine workers 43% to 32% fall in density; 908K to 450K fall in membership Elementary trades 28% to 21% fall in density but rise from 506K to 640K in membership 8

10 Wilson: The Future for Unions Where Unions are Stable Top managers a small fall 22% to 17% and 648K to 570K Professionals 52% to 47% fall in density but membership up from 1.1M to 1.5M Assoc Professionals 48% to 39% but rise from 920K to 1.45M Published by The Keep,

11 Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy, Vol. 0, Iss. 3 [2008], Art. 32 Feminization of the Unions? In 2003 female density overtook male, 30% to 28% In 2005 numbers followed suit: 3.346M women to 3.331M men Density highest among women assoc profs 27% to 20% in private sector and 75% to 67% in public sector Density broadly the same within particular occupations - unions are following the feminisation of the professions/assoc professions 10

12 Wilson: The Future for Unions Youth NOT the Problem Membership among young workers is low Young people work in shops, catering, hotels, bars etc always been low density sectors (less so in USA?) Young people have temporary jobs Where a retail job, e.g., is unionised and permanent then young and old equally likely to join One in ten workers is a student unions now more active on campus Published by The Keep,

13 Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy, Vol. 0, Iss. 3 [2008], Art. 32 An Educated Membership Degree or equivalent Higher education GCE A Level or equiv GCSE grades A-C or equiv Other qualifications No qualification 5 0 Union members 1995 Nonmembers 1995 Union members 2000 Nonmembers 2000 Union Members 2205 Non Members

14 Wilson: The Future for Unions A Degree is the Norm By % of union members had a degree or equivalent HE level qualification, up from 27% in 1995 In % of members had no qualification, in % - halved in ten years By 2008, around half all union members are likely to have a degree or HE equivalent qualification By 2020, on current trends, 60% of members will have a degree or equivalent. Published by The Keep,

15 Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy, Vol. 0, Iss. 3 [2008], Art. 32 The Changing Shape of Unions Occupational categories 1, 2 and 3 Occ categories 4,5, and 6 Occ categories 7,8,and

16 Wilson: The Future for Unions Some Effects of these Changes 1 - Vulnerable Workers Traditionally, unions have been champions of the lowest paid, least skilled and most vulnerable Membership in that group is now under 10% They remain at the heart of trade unionism Members continue to be altruistic, they join for self interest AND to help the most needy and improve society Published by The Keep,

17 Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy, Vol. 0, Iss. 3 [2008], Art. 32 Effect 2 Unions Promote Skills Skills/qualifications generally better than strikes at getting sustainable higher pay/better jobs Unions now putting far more effort into skills Training their own members Demanding more training from employers Urging government to reform the skills system 16

18 Wilson: The Future for Unions Effect 3 - Occupational Unionism? Occupational unions are smaller but growing much faster than general unions Today's professionals are the equivalent of yesterdays tradesmen/women So do Trades unions do better than sectoral, general or industrial unions? (UK v USA?) Some unions looking to sectoralise, seeking right balance between occupation and clout Published by The Keep,

19 Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy, Vol. 0, Iss. 3 [2008], Art. 32 Effect 4 - A More Demanding Membership Today's professional members want a professional service Unions are learning from charities that being businesslike makes sense using ICT better There is more internal specialism and professionalism among union staff, better member relations Unions more likely than SME s to be investors in people 18

20 Wilson: The Future for Unions Effect 5 No Less Assertive Middle Class union members no less likely to go on strike; e.g. teachers, airline pilots, screenwriters In 2005, almost half all strike days in education where great majority of union members are prof/assoc prof New issues on the bargaining table skills, stress, equality Many of the occupational, prof/assoc prof unions seen as radical, on the left and plenty not Are today s professionals the new working class? Published by The Keep,

21 Journal of Collective Bargaining in the Academy, Vol. 0, Iss. 3 [2008], Art. 32 Some Predictions for HE trade Unionism Membership should rise further among faculty, maybe less so among admin and lesser qualified staff HE unions may become more occupation-based, less general. More women members and leaders? HE unions may split by occupation: teaching v. research v. admin. Not by employer public v. private. Will bargaining follow suit? 20

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