Leadership in. Labour Market Planning

Transcription

1 Leadership in Labour Market Planning

2 Creating Local LMI Do you have any data on? is a question we hear more and more often from employers. We need more information on is a recurring request from researchers and others working to understand and address labour force issues. It is a difficult process to pull together labour market information (LMI) from many fragmented sources. There is also a distinct community need to improve public awareness and the user friendliness of LMI.

3 Innovative Labour Market Solutions Providing authoritative research Identifying employment trends Targeting workforce opportunities Initiating development projects Bringing people together 3

4 Motivations lack of accurate, timely, actionable local labour market data need for effective employment services & workforce development aging workforce & its implications for Ontario s economy

5 DWA Goals Create capacity to innovate while creating independent programs in the community. Build on community partnerships, to learn how to better engage employers. Create opportunities to share Labour Market Information in a way that meets the needs of target groups Strengthen partnership role among community partner organizations

6 Labour Market Plan DWA provides labour market planning leadership through creation of the annual labour market plan. The plan identifies new program & service needs, informs and supports program and service decisions, contributes to the setting of budget priorities. Durham Region requires provincially supported, collaborative, locally-made and locally-focused interventions.

7 LMI helps To identify labour market supply / demand To get a profile of current labour market conditions To understand and recognize trends in the labour market To predict outlooks for various occupational groups based on a variety of structural factors (economic, demographic, social, political) To provide input for and stimulate further research into informed employment and career decisions 7

8 Baseline Profile Characteristics of local employers Industrial trends in employment Population growth & age characteristics Migration patterns Educational attainment Occupation characteristics Other data GTA analysis, KPI reports, apprenticeship, job generation & loss rates, other research bodies

9 Labour Market Projections Economic situation loss of $4-5 billion each year from underutilizing immigrants & youth loss Canada rated D in productivity and innovation since 1980s 28% retirees delaying exit due to the economy Eventual economic growth Technological changes will fuel steady demand for university-educated professionals in emerging occupations Predominantly trades & support professions, shortages ID By 2017 immigration will account net additions Canadian labour force

10 Population Dynamics

11 Increasing Industries Highest numbers of firms by industry: Professional, Scientific & Technical Services 16% of all employers Construction 15% of all employers Highest number of firms by size and industry: Among large firms (100+ employees), Retail Trade, Manufacturing, Health Care and Social Assistance have by far the biggest numbers

12 Total Employment & Sector Employment Manufacturing and Wholesale Trade industries experienced losses in the number of employers across all size firms. Increases found in Construction, Retail Trade, and Health Care & Social Assistance (Finance & Insurance, Real Estate & Rental and Leasing, and Public Administration, also show either an increase or no change). The losses in Manufacturing and Wholesale Trade follow a trend evident across Ontario.

13 Small & Medium Enterprises SME are primarily responsible for community economic renewal and growth. Durham SMEs: 58% have no employees 23% have 1-4 employees 90% have nine or fewer employees 98% have 49 or fewer employees.

14 Top 10 Industry Sub-Sectors With Increase In SME Employment June 2011 To June 2012 Industry Sub-Sector 3-Digit NAICS Total Employment 2011 Total Employment 2012 Absolute Change Percent Change Social Assistance % Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores % Religious, Grant-Making, Civic and Professional Organizations % Miscellaneous Wholesaler- Distributors % Food and Beverage Stores % Personal and Laundry Services % Food Services and Drinking Places % Food, Beverage and Tobacco Wholesaler-Distributors % Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers % Securities, Commodity Contracts, Financial Investment %

15 Employers By Employee Size Range June 2012 Industry Sector Number Of Employers 2-Digit Naics TOTAL 11 Agriculture Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation/Warehousing Finance and Insurance Real Estate Professional Scientific Tech Management of Companies Administrative Support Health Care & Social Assist Accommodation & Food Other Services RANK

16 Migration An area s migration patterns are often indicative of its labour force characteristics. An area offering the greatest employment growth can attract more people than they lose. Durham has strong net growth among year olds, part of the prime working age population. Young families, with steady responsibilities. Durham Region continues to grow at a strong pace, around one and a half times that for Ontario as a whole.

17 Durham Region Migration Data And Population Change, MIGRATION FIGURES, 2006 To 2011 Net Total Population Change, 2006 To 2011 In-migrants Out-migrants Net-migrants Net change 0-17 year olds year olds year olds year olds 65 years & older TOTAL 31,541 20,077 11,464 12,773 14,140-1,367 53,176 37,495 15,681 21,283 19,225 2,058 9,987 6,567 3, ,760 97,504 31, year olds -2, year olds 8, year olds -4, year olds 31, years & older 13,455 TOTAL 46,865

18 Education Not in Labour Force Both Sexes No certificate, diploma or degree 50,945 Certificate, diploma or degree 77,475 High school certificate or equivalent 34,770 Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma 10,600 College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma 17,530 University certificate, diploma or degree 14,565 University certificate or diploma below bachelor level 3,595 University certificate or degree 10,970 Bachelor's degree 7,200 University certificate or diploma above bachelor level 1,565 Degree in medicine, dentistry, veterinary medicine or optometry 305 Master's degree 1,635 Earned doctorate 270 Total 128,415

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20 CASS Employers Automotive Custom Steel Fabrication Autodyne Machinery Global Emission Systems NAPA Auto Parts Volkswagan Canada Sustainable Energy OPG Whitby Hydro Veridian Direct Energy Information Technology Hubbell Canada Trench Health and Wellness Detentak Laboratory Orthodent Purdue Pharma Extendicare Thorton View Bioscience and Agriculture Greenwood Mushroom Farm Hermann Laue Spice Dutchmaster Nurseries Ocala Orchards Pefferlaw Peat Products Research, Development, Advance Manufacturing Mead Westvaco Packaging Systems McNairn Packaging Search Engine People

21 Areas of Interest Nuclear Energy Sector Construction Agriculture Service Class SME Growth & Innovation

22 Nuclear Sector in Durham Region Nuclear Industry National Canadian nuclear industry employs over 60,000 Canadians both directly and indirectly. 30,000+ direct nuclear industry jobs Uranium mining Power generation Nuclear Medicine Research 30,000+ indirect jobs Manufacturing Hospitality Human resources Housing Nuclear Industry Durham Region Jobs in Durham: 190,105 Jobs in Durham (NAICS 2211): 8,515 16% of direct nuclear occupations in Canada Durham Labour Force: 313,870 Durham Labour Force (NAICS 2211): 6,300 Determined the occupations that fell within the nuclear industry (NAICS 2211)

23 Refurbishment Impacts & Current Operations Refurbishment Operations Total Impact Employment 10,636 16,640 27,276 Labour Income $1.2 billion $2.1 billion $3.3 billion Fuel Costs N/A $518 million $518 million Equipment, materials and supplies $1.9 billion $1.2 billion $3.1 billion TOTAL $3.1 billion $3.8 billion $6.9 billion

24 Nuclear Occupations Over 75% of jobs in NAICS % of jobs in NAICS 2211 Utilities managers Systems testing technicians Power system electricians Electrical power line and cable workers Boilermakers Stationary Engineers and Power Station and System Operators Power systems and power station operators Supervisors, petroleum, gas and chemical processing and utilities Physicists and astronomers Mechanical engineers Electrical and electronics engineers Metallurgical and materials engineers Mechanical engineering technologists and technicians Electrical and electronics engineering technologists and technicians Industrial instrument technicians and mechanics Contractors and supervisors, electrical trades and telecommunications occupations Electrical mechanics Other trades and related occupations

25 Construction in Durham Residential & non-residential, will be in growth mode after Residential growth will continue at a slowing pace to Non-residential building will lead expansion - projects: GTA public transit, Northern Ontario new mining &processing facilities, 2015 Pan American games, anticipated energy infrastructure. Aging Population High proportions & Support industries - large proportion age group

26 Construction Industry Direct Construction Industry Trades helpers and labourers (2,430 residents) Electrical trades &telecommunications (1,935 residents) Carpenters & cabinetmakers (1,815 residents) Other construction trades (1,790 residents) Managers in construction, transportation (1,615 residents) Masonry, plastering trades (1,350 residents) Plumbers, pipefitters, gas fitters (1,330 residents) and Contractors & supervisors, trades and related workers (1,310 residents). Supporting Industries Finance and insurance clerks (2,715 residents) Managers in financial and business services (1,635 residents) Insurance and real estate sales occupations and buyers (1,580 residents) Electrical trades and telecommunications occupations (1,275 residents) Computer and information systems professionals (1,250 residents)

27 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 Employment (persons) Trades in Durham Region 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Agriculture [ ] (8) Utilities [22] Construction [23] Trade [41-45] Transportation and warehousing [48-49] 0

28 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 Employment (persons) 40,000 35,000 30,000 Trades in Durham Region Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations [H] Contractors and supervisors in trades and transportation [H0] Construction trades [H1] 25,000 Other trades occupations [H2-H5] 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Transport and equipment operators [H6-H7] Trades helpers, construction, and transportation labourers and related occupations [H8] Occupations unique to primary industry [I] Occupations unique to processing, manufacturing and utilities [J] Machine operators and assemblers in manufacturing, including supervisors [J0-J2]

29 Labour Market Rankings GTA

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32 Service Class Prosperity Richard Florida s Great Reset, there are two kinds of jobs that are growing: higher paid knowledge professional service class Exploring the service class as an emerging important sector for Durham should become a priority in both research and application. Durham s proximity to creative epicenters Toronto region & the gateway to the east - must consider value of service class as a key economic activity because it is essential, not ancillary to Ontario s functioning economy. The Canadian trend indicates that service class occupations have risen as a share of total employment in tandem with creative class occupations, while agricultural and working class jobs have waned.

33 Creative Economy Ignite Local start-ups and businesses are looking for community support. Ignite grows the small to medium sized business in Durham Region and is an extension of the Art of Transition 2010 event. Squabble Studios Ltd. U STAR DVD Vehicle Wheel Traction Device Warrior1 Training Stickheads Inc SwiftMotionCo. 5 Paddles Brewing Company Inc. game development studio creating video and picture collages, customized cartoons, aimed to increase safety while driving, which provides an alternative to winter tires technology. Smart exercise with a methodical and exciting approach. Changing lives forever. manufacture Canadian made hockey stick hat. lifestyle apparel brand influenced by Northern and coastal board sport culture. nano-brewery

34 Agriculture in Durham Durham has an agriculture asset and could be responding to the creative economy needs through creative food economy, with the creation of ethinic food farms (specialized food products), and food-to-table food processing. Approximately 40% cent of Durham Region is classified as agriculture land. The DWA in partnership with the Region of Durham Economic Development Department, Durham Agriculture Advisory Committee, and the Local Diversity and Immigration Partnership Council will explore the creation of demonstration projects, feasibility studies, and experimental farms.

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