UNDERSTANDING YOUR UTILITY PARTNERS UTILITY ENERGY EFFICIENCY DRIVERS AND DESIGN CONSIDERATIONS
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1 UNDERSTANDING YOUR UTILITY PARTNERS UTILITY ENERGY EFFICIENCY DRIVERS AND DESIGN CONSIDERATIONS CEE INDUSTRY PARTNERS MEETING MINNEAPOLIS, SEPTEMBER 2017
2 WHY INTENTIONALLY SELL LESS ENERGY?
3 DRIVER #1: REGULATION
4 STATE REGULATORY APPROACHES TO ENERGY EFFICIENCY & RENEWABLES Require integrated resource planning (IRPs) Set system benefits charges Require energy efficiency acquisition as percent of load Require acquisition of all cost effective conservation Allow for revenue decoupling (various types) Set penalties for failure to achieve targets Set rewards for savings
5 DRIVER #2: AVOIDING OR DELAYING ACQUISITION OF FUTURE RESOURCES
6 EE ADDS COSTS TODAY, REDUCES COSTS TOMORROW $200 Marginal Resource Costs U.S. average capacity weighted levelized costs with tax credits (2018 $/MWh) for plants entering service in 2020 $180 $160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $-
7 TACOMA POWER LOAD RESOURCE BALANCE
8 DRIVER #3: CUSTOMER SERVICE THESE PROGRAMS OFFER PEOPLE THE CHANCE TO SAVE MONEY, IMPROVE THEIR HOME, AND HELP THE ENVIRONMENT. WHAT S NOT TO LOVE? THAT WE RE SAVING ENERGY AND DOING SOMETHING FOR THE ENVIRONMENT IT MEANS A LOT TO THE PEOPLE WHO WORK HERE.
9 CUSTOMERS ARE MORE SATISFIED WHEN THEY ARE FAMILIAR WITH UTILITY ENERGY EFFICIENCY PROGRAMS J.D. POWER Industry Overall CSI Familiar with energy efficiency programs Not Familiar 2011 J.D. Power and Associates, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Source: J.D. Power and Associates 2011 Electric Utility Residential Customer Satisfaction Study SM J.D. Power and Associates Proprietary and Confidential For Internal Use Only
10 DRIVER #4: NEED TO MOVE LOADS TO ANOTHER TIME: DEMAND RESPONSE (DR) Similar to EE but moves load instead of reducing load. Shifts load from peak time to off peak times to avoid or delay enhancements to infrastructure Or, moves loads to provide capacity to other utilities Uses smart meters, connected appliances and infrastructure improvements to optimize loads
11 DESIGN CONSIDERATION #1: COST EFFECTIVENESS TESTING Regulatory compact requires greater scrutiny to ensure the utility is serving the public interest.
12 KEY TEST COMPONENTS Component Participant Utility TRC Avoided cost of energy and capacity - Benefit Benefit Additional resource savings (non energy) - - Benefit Incremental measure costs Cost - Cost Program overhead - Cost Cost Incentive payments Benefit Cost - Utility bill savings Benefit - - Adapted from Presentation to Public Utilities Commission of Ohio Snuller Price and Richard Sedano, Aug 5,
13 EVALUATION TENDS TO FOCUS ON CE (ACCOUNTABILITY) Rewards and penalties vary by state IOUs: negative findings may mean costs are disallowed Publics: reviews of cost effectiveness are handled variously Proving attribution can t prove would have happened absent the program Prudency reviews by commissions
14 CONTINUOUS IMPROVEMENT prudency cost effectiveness customer satisfaction persistence usability attribution design evaluate implement
15 DESIGN CONSIDERATION #2: EQUITY Variable Frequency Drive BCR 3.5 Grandma BCR 0.98
16 DESIGN CONSIDERATION #3: CUSTOMER SATISFACTION Every program is marketing for future programs.
17 DESIGN CONSIDERATION #4: DIVERSITY
18 THERE S A METHOD TO OUR MADNESS YES WE WANT TO SELL LESS ENERGY BUT OUR OPTIONS ARE NOT UNLIMITED
19 WE ARE DIVERSE BUT NOT COMPREHENSIVE
20 CEE Industry Partners Meeting Evolving State Regulatory Policies and Implications for Efficiency Programs September 27, 2017
21 Agenda DTE Energy Overview Michigan Policy Changes Integrated Resource Planning Energy Efficiency Challenges Distributed Energy Resources 2
22 DTE Energy overview DTE Service Territory 47,000 MILES of distribution lines 47,000 MILES of distribution lines 2.2M electric customers 1.3M gas customers Electric Gas Combo 688 substations 278 storage wells 19,000 MILES of distribution main Founded ,000 employees
23 Agenda DTE Energy Overview Michigan Policy Changes Integrated Resource Planning Energy Efficiency Challenges Distributed Energy Resources 4
24 Policy Changes DTE is shifting generation away from coal to more natural gas, wind and solar in an effort to reduce our carbon emissions 80% by DTE Electric plans to retire three coal-fired power plants by 2023, resulting in a significant gap in generation 2016 Generation Mix Renewables Nuclear/Other Natural Gas Potential 2030 Generation Mix Renewables Nuclear/Other Coal Coal Natural Gas Timing and mix subject to change. In addition to Energy Efficiency and Demand Response, the additions to the generation portfolio will include Renewables and natural gas combined cycle plants 5
25 Policy Changes MISO continues to project that Michigan s Lower Peninsula will have a capacity shortfall and requires additional capacity to meet resource needs¹ 2018 MISO Capacity Outlook 1.6 GW 1.5 GW 1.1 GW 0.6 GW 1.0 GW 0.7 GW 0.9 GW 1.1 GW Reserve Margin -0.3 GW -1.0 GW MISO Zone Zone 1 MN, MT, ND, SD, West WI Zone 2 East WI and MI UP Zone 3 AI Zone 4 IL Zone 5 MO Zone 6 IN and KY Zone 7 Lower MI Zone 8 AR Zone 9 LA and TX Zone 10 MS 1. Projected capacity located in zones against reserve requirement (GW) OMS MISO Survey Results. June
26 Policy Changes Michigan Legislature recognized this challenge and in December 2016, passed comprehensive statewide energy policy Electric Gas Old legislation New legislation Old legislation New legislation Mandates 1.00% 1.00% thru 2021 IRP thereafter 0.75% 0.75% Spend Caps 2.00% of revenue Eliminated 2.00% of revenue Eliminated Clean Energy Goal None 35% EE & Renewables by 2025 None None Performance Incentive (% Spend)¹ 1.15% = up to 15% 1.00% = up to 15% 1.25% = up to 17.5% 1.50% = up to 20% 0.86% = up to 15% 0.75% = up to 15% 0.88% = up to 17.5% 1.00% = up to 20% Decoupling No No No Yes² 1. Legislation passed in December 2016 includes a three-tiered shared incentive mechanism that requires greater than 1.5% electric and 1% gas EWR to earn an incentive equal to 20% of program spend. 2. Utilities must achieve at least 0.5% gas savings to qualify for decoupling 7
27 Agenda DTE Energy Overview Michigan Policy Changes Integrated Resource Planning Energy Efficiency Challenges Distributed Energy Resources 8
28 What is an IRP? An Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) is a road map detailing how a utility may provide reliable, least-cost electric service to customers while addressing risks and uncertainties IR Capacity Outlook (MW) - Shortfall DTE 2017 Integrated Resource Plan (MW) Capacity impact of energy efficiency 9
29 What is an IRP? Being a low cost resource, energy efficiency plays a key role in the IRP planning process. Several levels of energy efficiency were tested as sensitivities Components of an IRP Energy Efficiency Resource Assessment Deployment Limits Energy Efficiency Load Shapes Achievable Potential End Use Load Shapes 10
30 Agenda DTE Energy Overview Michigan Policy Changes Integrated Resource Planning Energy Efficiency Challenges Distributed Energy Resources 11
31 Program Challenges Key program challenges and policy drivers are affecting the design of our energy efficiency programs Program Challenges Residential lighting baseline decrease Increasing low-income spend & savings targets Achieving gas savings cost-effectively Increasing dependence on C&I savings Henry Hub Gas Prices Policy Challenges Increasing spend & savings targets Additional performance Incentive metrics Behavior savings constraints Separation of energy efficiency & DR $ $ 12
32 Agenda DTE Energy Overview Policy Changes Integrated Resource Planning Energy Efficiency Challenges Distributed Energy Resources 13
33 Distributed Energy Resources DERs are assets (e.g. solar, storage, energy efficiency, or demand response) deployed across the grid, usually behind the meter, which can be used to provide value to the grid and customers DTE Demand Response Programs (MW) Total: 572 MW Interruptible Supply Rate (Industrial) Interruptible A/C (Residential ) Interruptible Service Rate (Industrial) Process Heat Rate (Commercial) Customers Interruptible Service Rate (Commercial) Metal Melting Rate (Commercial) Dynamic Peak Pricing & TOU (Residential) DTE is actively monitoring DER technology trends and implementing pilots, including: Community energy storage Paired storage with solar Smart grid capable PV inverters Mobile distributed energy resources 14
34 Distributed Energy Resources DTE is conducting research to better understand the feasibility and cost of applying EV technologies to the distribution system, establishing rate structures, and conducting customer education and outreach accordingly Electric Vehicle Time of Day rate Smart grid compatible charging Vehicle to grid Wireless vehicle charging test Monitoring public charging data 15
35 Contact Kevin Bilyeu DTE Energy Phone:
36 Evolving State Regulatory Policies and Implications for Efficiency Programs Southern California Edison CEE Industry Partner s Meeting September 27,
37 State of California Energy Efficiency California s electric industry is being rapidly reshaped by several major trends Focus on reduced greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) Broad penetration of renewable generation impacts system conditions Customers looking for more choices in how they procure and manage their energy Demand-Side Management and Energy Efficiency (EE) specifically, is one important tool in addressing these trends Enables greater reductions in GHGs Supports system and local distribution reliability Cost effective EE reduces system costs for all customers Participating customers can better manage energy usage and bills 2
38 DSM Vision Optimize DSM resource value through an integrated resource planning process Simplify and streamline DSM regulatory procedures to optimize funding and enable timely portfolio adjustments across resource types Count all DSM savings towards a common DSM goal Maximize the use of Meter-based Measurement Promote customer adoption by meeting their needs and reducing their confusion 3 Processes and Compliance
39 EE Portfolio Vision SCE s vision for its EE portfolio from is to: Continue to achieve cost-effective energy savings Expand innovative EE solutions through solicitations Drive toward market transformation To realize this vision, SCE will employ several key strategies across the portfolio: Increase adoption and decrease costs by tailoring EE services based on customer energy usage and demand Increased use of upstream and midstream offerings and self-service delivery channels Increase EE adoption by providing customers with greater access to and understanding of their energy usage and expand behavioral interventions Provide additional innovative solutions to customers through programs that are proposed, designed, and implemented by third-parties Diversify the procurement of EE solutions by Leveraging various DSM solicitations with SCE s energy procurement and management organization Using a new solicitation strategy for acquiring third-party solutions 4 Processes and Compliance
40 Challenges & Uncertainties Avoided Cost Update (Societal Adjustments) Potential & Goals Study EE Goal Alignment New 3rd Party Programs Statewide Administration AB 802/SB 350/AB 793 Integrated Resource Planning & Procurement RENs/CCAs CONFIDENTIAL 5
41 Key Sector Strategies Residential Enable third parties to promote cost-effective solutions Simplify EE offerings by increasing the use of upstream, midstream, and self-service delivery channels and by reducing the number of customer touchpoints Expand behavioral interventions and engagement opportunities to enable deeper adoption of EE Commercial, Industrial and Agriculture Tailor services based on the customer's size and behavior Pilot innovative EE solutions Increase education and awareness for customers and partners Public Leverage and address the unique characteristics which exist in the Public Sector Deploy a diverse set of programs and services that provide financial and procurement solutions, relevant energy usage information, and customer education 6 Processes and Compliance
42 Questions? Brian James, P. E. Engineer, Engineering Project Management Customer Programs & Services Southern California Edison 7
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