Hampton Roads Passenger Rail Study Data Collection

Transcription

1 Presentation To Hampton Roads Transportation Planning Organization: Passenger Rail Task Force Hampton Roads Passenger Rail Study Data Collection Phase 2A Presentation By July 31, 2012 Transportation Economics & Management Systems, Inc.

2 Study Timeline MONTHS # Tasks 1 Project Management 2 Monitor FRA Legislation and Executive Action 3 DRTP Coordination 4 Data Assembly Market Database Stated Preference Survey Engineering Database Technology Database Environmental Database 5 Database Report M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9 M10 M11 M12 M13 M14 M15 M16 MEETINGS PRESENTATIONS MONTHLY PROGRESS REPORTS 2

3 Database Assembly Work will continue on preparing the data for four databases: 1. Market Database 2. Engineering Database 3. Technology Database 4. Environmental Database 3

4 1. Market Database: The market database will consist of four components: Origin / Destination Data Traffic movements by mode and purpose (business, commuter, and other) Socioeconomic Data Population, Employment and Income by zone. Network Data Comprehensive modal networks will be developed for each mode of intercity travel (air, auto, rail and bus). Stated Preference Data To obtain local corridor behavioral factors (Values of Time, Frequency, Access/Egress, etc.) to use in evaluating market potential for high-speed rail. 4

5 1. Market Database: Zone Map (333 zones) County Based and TAZ-based zones are developed for the Study area 5

6 1. Market Database: Socioeconomic Database Development The socioeconomic data that were developed for the study area have population, employment, and income information of county-level, TAZlevel, and community-level data from the following sources: U.S. Census Bureau Bureau of Economic Analysis Hampton Roads Transportation Planning Organization Richmond Regional Planning District Commission Crater Planning District Commission Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments Baltimore Metropolitan Council Woods & Poole Economics 6

7 1. Market Database: Networks Networks were developed for four modes and three purposes Modes Auto Bus Air Access Rail X Purposes Business Commuter Other = 12 Networks Source: Highway Networks from State and local Departments of Transportation highway databases and National highway databases, Bus Networks from bus service schedules (Greyhound, Megabus), Air Networks from airline schedules, the ten percent sample of airline tickets and OTP (on-time performance) data, and Rail Networks from Amtrak schedules and Amtrak OTP (on-time performance) data. 7

8 1. Market Database: Auto Network Highway Networks from State and local Departments of Transportation highway databases and National highway databases Washington, DC Boston, MA Richmond, VA New York, NY Charlotte, NC HRTPO Area 8

9 1. Market Database: O/D Trip Database Intercity travel database was developed for auto, rail, bus, and air modes from the following sources: DB1B Air Ticket Database T-100 Air Market and Segment Database Greyhound and Megabus Schedules Previous travel origin-destination surveys State DOT highway traffic volume AADT data Amtrak passenger rail ridership data Amtrak station volume data TEMS 2012 Virginia Travel Survey 9

10 1. Market Database: O/D Trip Database Travel Purpose and Mode Split Information 2011 Hampton Roads Richmond corridor-based person trips estimated: million Trip Purpose Split Trip Mode Split 10

11 1. Market Database: Stated Preference (SP) Survey Area 11

12 1. Market Database: SP Survey Deployment On-Site Survey Team Actual Deployment & Online Survey Newport News-Richmond Amtrak Service Richmond Central Auto Users Chesapeake Auto Users Virginia Beach Auto Users Norfolk-BWI, Philadelphia, New York Air Travelers Richmond-Hampton Roads, Washington,DC Bus Service Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 11-May 12-May 13-May 14-May 15-May 16-May 17-May 18-May 19-May 20-May Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Wed Thu Fri Online Survey 30-Apr 1-May 2-May 3-May 4-May 6-Jun 7-Jun 8-Jun 12

13 1. Market Database: SP Survey Counts per mode Targets vs. Actuals Survey Target Field+online Count (Actual) Location DMV 900 1,377 Airport Amtrak Bus TOTAL 2,000 2,736 TOTAL of VOT s, VOF s & VOA s for all modes = 3,792 Bus 195 Rail VOT 405 Auto VOT 1,345 Rail VOF 395 Rail VOA 296 Air VOA 174 Air VOF 478 Air VOT

14 1. Market Database: Purpose of Travel and Distribution W.R.T Income groups Purpose of Travel Responses Commuting to/from Work Business Trip Site Seeing Travel to/from School Shopping Other Other as indicated by the respondents include, visit family/friends, graduation, baseball game, etc. Distribution of Average Number of Households by Income Groups: Survey Response Vs. Survey Area Demographics* 35.00% 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 11% 16% Less than $25,000 17% 23% $25,000 $49,999 29% 30% 33% $50,000 - $99,999 Survey Area Demographic Distribution Survey Response Distribution 28% $100,000 or more Above graph shows that all the income groups were effectively represented. *Unknown Income response was 12%. 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 14

15 1. Market Database: Employment Type Responses Employed Fulltime/Part-time Student Not Employed Military Personnel Veteran Retired Other 15

16 1. Market Database: Results of VOT, VOF and VOA Matrices VOT Matrix VOF Matrix Mode Trip Purpose Trip Purpose Business Commuter Social Business Commuter Social Auto $19.42 $14.80 $16.88 Bus $11.07 $7.15 $8.54 $7.33 $6.50 $7.75 Rail $22.51 $18.80 $17.88 $18.58 $13.67 $16.13 Air Access $44.45 _ $31.76 $28.81 _ $26.28 VOA MATRIX Trip Purpose Mode Business Commuter Social Bus - $8.89 $10.77 Rail $42.73 $29.15 $37.66 Air Access $ $47.94 Note: Results are well within the range of previous studies such as Bay Bridge, and Rocky Mountain Rail Authority(RMRA). 16

17 1. Market Database: Survey Completed with help of following organizations Business Department of Motor Vehicles Amtrak Norfolk International Airport Megabus Virginia Beach Vision, Inc. Greater Williamsburg Chamber & Tourism Alliance Hampton Roads Economic Development Alliance (HREDA) Person of Contact Mr. Richard D. Holcomb, Commissioner, Ms. Myrt Quinlan, Deputy Director of CSMA, and Thelma Drake, DRPT Mr. Paul Higgs, Mr. Charles W. Braden, Director if Market Development Bryony Chamberlain, Director and Mr. Derrick Kazimierski, Operations Manager Ms. Martha S. McClee, Executive Director Mr. Dick Schreiber Steve Harrison, M.P.P., Research Director U.S. Navy Thank you! Rear Admiral T.G. Alexander and Ms. Wendy Vachet 17

18 2. Technology Database: LOCOMOTION will estimate Train Speeds and Timetables LOCOMOTION generates optimized timetables for given track infrastructure, signaling systems, and train technologies. It provides milepost by milepost graphic output of train performance based on track characteristics and shows the effect on timetables for improving the track, using a different technology, or changing stopping patterns. Because it takes account of other passenger and freight traffic using a rightof way, LOCOMOTION can develop stringline diagrams and identify the optimum train path for a new service. 18

19 2. Technology Database: Proposed System Development Steps Steps Route Max Speed No. of Trains Infrastructure Station Step 1 I-64/CSXT 79 mph 2 Shared Track Schedule Enhancement Main Street Newport News (existing) DRPT Focus Step 2 (DEIS Alt 1) Route 460/ Norfolk Southern 79 mph 1-3 Shared Track NS I-64/CSXT 79 mph 3 Shared Track Route 460/ Norfolk Southern mph 4-6 Shared Track V Line Staples Mill Only Norfolk Main Street Newport News (existing) Main Street Bowers Hill High Speed Rail Focus Step 3 Step 4 I-64/CSXT 90 mph 4-6 Shared Track Route 460/ Norfolk Southern 110 mph 8-12 Dedicated Track V Line I-64/CSXT 110 mph 6-9 Dedicated Track Route 460/ Norfolk Southern 150 mph Dedicated Electric Track V Line Main Street Newport News Downtown/Airport Main Street Bowers Hill Main Street Newport News Downtown/Airport Main Street Bowers Hill 19

20 2. Technology Database: Conventional Corridor Service Conventional Amtrak Business Model of Conventional Amtrak corridor service Conventional Diesel Locomotives based on adapted Freight designs Non-Tilting Single or Bi-Level Passenger Cars Existing Freight Rail Lines with minimal geometric improvements Speeds generally 79-mph or less Corresponds to Steps 1 and 2 20

21 2. Technology Database: Higher-Speed Shared Use Diesel HrST Business Model of the Proposed Midwest Regional Rail System Low Center of Gravity Diesel Locomotives, and Tilting Single Level Passenger Cars can take effective advantage of infrastructure improvements Existing Freight Rail Lines with some geometric improvements Speeds up to 110-mph on tracks shared with freight trains* Corresponds to Step 3 * NS Policy limits passenger speeds to 79-mph on NS-owned tracks 21

22 2. Technology Database: High-Speed Shared Use Electric Incremental HST Business Model of the Existing Northeast Corridor (NEC) Speeds up to 150-mph on tracks shared with freight trains Low Center of Gravity Electric Locomotives for reducing track forces going around curves Tilting Single Level Passenger Cars for Higher Speed and Passenger Comfort Upgraded Freight Rail Lines with some geometric improvements Short-term Option for Step 4 22

23 2. Technology Database: High-Speed Dedicated Electric Greenfield HST Business Model of California HSR and proposed NEC Vision Plan Speeds up to 220-mph on dedicated high speed tracks; in urban areas, tracks may be shared with freight and other trains at a lower speed* Integrated electric trains; tilt may still be beneficial on conventional shared track segments. New Greenfield Alignments needed Long-term Option for Step 4 (Amtrak plans to start acquiring these trains for NEC after 2020) * Under existing regulation, this equipment cannot share tracks with freight trains except under temporal separation 23

24 2. Technology Database: Amtrak NEC Equipment Strategy New HSR Trains Starting in 2020 Acela Trains Gone by

25 2. Technology Database: Range of Technologies to be Assessed Diesel HrST Electric Incremental HST Electric Greenfield HST 110 mph + Step 3 Diesel Tilting Existing Alignment 125 mph + Step 4 Short Term Electric Tilting Existing + New Alignment 125 mph + Step 4 Long Term Electric May be Tilting New Alignment 25

26 2. Technology Database: Comparative Train Acceleration Curves Shows very similar High Speed train performance, up to the design speed for each technology Speed (mph) mph HST 150-mph Acela 130-mph Talgo Miles 26

27 3. Engineering Database Establish Concept Engineering and Cost Data for the corridor. Specific survey of right-of-way widths on existing railroads to determine the potential for developing Greenfield corridors. Develop route database in TRACKMAN program The TRACKMAN Track Management System will provide a milepost-by-milepost record of the rail gradients, track geometry and characteristics of the track (double track, crossings, etc.) and right-of-way. Field review of routes Develop engineering cost data 27

28 3. Engineering Database: TRACKMAN develop detailed information on each route Key inputs: Speeds, curves, grades, rail and highway crossings, and other potential speed restrictions such as moveable bridges. All the data is being captured in a consistent computerized format, to facilitate train performance and future line capacity evaluation. Sample NS Petersburg Data 28

29 4. Environmental Database: Service NEPA- Planning Document Purpose: Evaluate revised routes Steps to complete for Service NEPA Route analysis Environmental Analysis Public Involvement Process (Stakeholders) Difference between NEPA and Service NEPA: Service NEPA steps are same as NEPA but with landscape level of data collection and analysis. 29

30 4. Environmental Database: Service NEPA Service NEPA is the LANDSCAPE LEVEL data collection, followed by TIER I with site-specific impact analysis. Uses Tier I EIS and direct route survey to evaluate the information required for the Environmental Review and Assessment needed for the Service Development Plan and Vision Plan. Sources: Service NEPA Environmental Assessment Chicago-Detroit/Pontiac Rail Corridor Improvements From Chicago, Illinois to Pontiac, Michigan by Michigan DOT. NEPA Guidance: Compliance With The National Environmental Policy Act In Implementing The High-Speed Intercity Passenger Rail Program US Census Bureau 2009 TIGER/ Line Shapefiles, Virginia Department of Conservation and Recreation, United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service, National Park Service U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Fish and Wild life Service, Natural Heritage, Virginia Department of Forestry, etc. 30

31 4. Environmental Database: NEPA Sample Map (Conservation Lands) 31

32 Thank You 32

33 Additional Information 33

34 1. Market Database: COMPASS Model Structure Data Obtained Transport Network Base Year Socio- Economics Population Employment Stated Preference Survey Origin- Destination Data Trip Matrices Economic Scenarios Demand Model Calibration Income Base Year Matrix Rail Strategies Travel Demand Model Run Forecast Year Trip Matrices Revenue Analysis Financial Analysis User Benefit Analysis Economic Rent Analysis 34

35 1. Market Database: Sound and Comprehensive Database Business Other (social + tourism) Commuter Using MPO and Stated Preference Data to create a sound behavioral database for passenger rail planning 35

36 1. Market Database: Socioeconomic Projections- Study Area 60% 50% +1.05% Growth Percentage 40% 30% 20% Annual Average Growth Rate from % +1.00% Employments Per Capita Income Population 10% 0% Year 36

37 1. Market Database: Value of Time (VOT) and Value of Frequency (VOF) VOT the amount of money (dollars/hour) an individual is willing to pay to save a specified amount of travel time. VOF the amount of money (dollars/hour) an individual is willing to pay to reduce the time between departures when traveling on public transportation. 37

38 1. Market Database: Value of Access (VOA) VOA the amount of money (dollars/hour) an individual is willing to pay for the access time to a mode (e.g. the airport, HSR station, railroad station, bus station) to gain easier access to someplace (airport). Easier Access with Least transfers 38

39 1. Market Database: Results are Applied by Mode and Purpose to ensure Appropriate Travel Behavior Auto Tourist Social Commuter Business VOT MATRIX Tourist Social Commuter Business 1 Trip Purpose Mode Business Commuter Others Auto $xx.xx $xx.xx $xx.xx Bus $xx.xx $xx.xx $xx.xx Rail $xx.xx $xx.xx $xx.xx Air Access $xx.xx $xx.xx $xx.xx Tourist Social Commuter Business Bus Rail 5 Different VOT s are Applied to each Matrix depending on Mode and Trip Purpose VOF s and VOA s are also applied in similar way 1 2 Tourist Social Commuter Business Air Access

40 4. Environmental Database: Service NEPA- Data Collection List Data Element Geographic Boundaries of: State, County, Census tract, Census Block Group, City, MPO, MSA, Congressional Districts, Community Facilities Cultural Resources: Parks, Wildlife Refuge, Heritage preserves, Archaeology resources, Historical resources, Federal lands, etc. Ecology: Wetlands, Hydric Soils, Streams, Waters of US, State waters, Federally protected species, State protected Species, Critical stream habitats, Migratory bird habitat, floodplain encroachment/impacts, coastal zone encroachments Existing land use: Number of cities, towns and communities, Environmental Justice Impacts, Land cover, Farmland Hazardous Materials Natural Resources: Energy Use (BTU), Mines/geological features Potential Relocations: Residential, Commercial/Industrial, Institutional Crossings: Utilities, Road, Stream, Rail Railroad impacts and air quality, Noise/Vibration, Transport system interactions and impacts, Utility and related services interactions and impacts 40

41 4. Environmental Database: Service NEPA- Mapping Sources for Study area Data Element Geographic Boundaries: Cultural Resources: Ecology: Source US Census Bureau: 2009 TIGER/ Line Shapefiles and Virginia Department GIS Virginia Department of Conservation and Recreation, United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service National Park Service U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Fish and Wild life Service Natural Heritage Virginia Department of Forestry Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries Crossings: Utilities, Road, Stream, Rail Railroad impacts and air quality, Noise/Vibration, Transport system interactions and impacts, Utility and related services interactions and impacts Hazardous Materials Virginia Department of Transportation Richmond to Hampton Roads Passenger Rail Study, Tier I Environmental Impact Statement, Virginia DRPT. Virginia Department of Environmental Quality 41