Solar Heating and Cooling in the Arab region. Eng. Ashraf Kraidy, Director, Planning, outreach and Fundraising, RCREEEE

Transcription

1 Solar Heating and Cooling in the Arab region Eng. Ashraf Kraidy, Director, Planning, outreach and Fundraising, RCREEEE

2 Content 1. Arab Region and RE Status 2. Solar Heating Market Analysis 3. Solar Cooling Market Analysis 4. Challenges 5. Future Expectations 2

3 3 Share of Building In total Energy Consumption in the Arab Region

4 4 Share of Building In Electricity Consumption in the Arab Region

5 5 Trends of different driver for H&C demand in Residential and Commercial Sector in The Arab Region

6 RE Share in Primary Energy Consumption 1- Arab Region and RE Status 6

7 RE Installed Capacities, 1- Arab Region and RE Status 7

8 m 2 per 1 inhabitants Solar Heating Market Analysis 2- Solar Heating Market Analysis Source: AFEX 215, RCREEE 8

9 Jordan Tunisia KSA Sudan Syria Iraq Palestine Qatar Lebanon Egypt Yemen UAE Algeria RE & SWHs Private Sector Development 2- Solar Heating Market Analysis NUMBER OF COMPANIES SWHs 213 Source: RE&EE Dalil, LAS, 213 9

10 SWHs Market Assessment in the Arab region- Techscope Assessment tool 2- Solar Heating Market Analysis Business Climate, 21% Financing, 2% Solar Water Heater Support Framework, 29% National Conditions, 3% Countries Algeria Tunisia Morocco Jordan Palestine Lebanon Egypt Sudan UAE 1

11 Industry Associatio n, 19% Installers certificati on, Product 19% standards and Certificati on, 24% Doing Business, 24% Manufact uring Capacity, 14% Business Climate Outreac h campaig Building n Mandat e 17% Loan program 24% SWHs Target 17% Financia l Incentiv es SWH Support Framework Access to Finance, 75% Country Credit rating, 25% Financing Heating Fuel Subsidy, 17% Payback Period, 23% SWHs Market Growth, 13% Insolatio n, 17% Market Penetrati Residenti on, 13% al Energy Consump tion Growth National Conditions 11

12 Assessment Final Score 2- Solar Heating Market Analysis SCORE LEBANON TUNISIA MORROCO PALESTINE UAE JORDAN ALGERIA EGYPT SUDAN 12

13 Assessment on the Commercial Viability of Solar Cooling Technologies and Applications in the Arab Region 3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis Scope: To create a logical pathway to identify the most efficient reliable, and cost competitive solar cooling technology for the Arab region. 13

14 Diffusion of solar cooling technologies 3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis Absorption Adsorption DEC PV 14

15 Assumptions 3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis Solar cooling Market Analysis Two different building types in the Arab region have been defined, with a cooling load of 1 kw c and 1 MW c cooling capacity, respectively. Each building type has been investigated using three different cooling technologies: Double-effect absorption chiller and concentrating collectors Vapour compression scroll chiller and photovoltaic modules Vapour compression scroll chiller and grid operation (reference case) 15

16 USD/kWh cooling Levelized Cost of Cooling Energy (LCCE) for different configurations /1 kw system 3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis Solar thermal & Absorption PV & Compression Reference Compression 16

17 Levelized Cost of Cooling Energy (LCCE) for different configurations /1 MW system 3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis 17

18 Project proposal for Future Follow UP 3- Solar Cooling Market Analysis Solar cooling roadmap for Arab region investment cost reduction, overall energy performance increase system quality improvement. R&D program Heat rejection Adaption of existing products/kits to Arab region Storage Demonstration program for PV Cooling and SHC systems 18

19 Challenges for Solar Heating and Cooling 4- Challenges Renewable electricity is a priority Lost in the plan Lack of qualified service provider Weak Markets and market players Lack of incentives schemes Lack of capitals 19

20 Expectations. 5- Future Expectations Future Most Important Markets for SWHs Italy Morocco UAE Lebanon Tunisia KSA Jordan France Greece India Qatar Mexico Syria Source: Sun and Wind Market Survey 4/213 Less Europe and More Arab Sales of thermosiphonic systems are flattering in Europe. Attention is therefore increasingly turning to new Markets in the Arab region Jen Peter Meyer- Sun and Wind Magazine 4/213 2

21 Thank You. Ashraf Kraidy Director Planning, Outreach and Fundraising Regional Center for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency (RCREEE) Hydro Power Building (7 th Floor) Block 11 - Piece 15, Melsa District Ard El Golf, Nasr City, Cairo, Egypt T (Ext. 124) M F E. ashraf.kraidy@rcreee.org W. Skype: ashrafkraidy 21