Food Insecurity in Pakistan and the scope for regional cooperation. By Duaa Sayed Sustainable Development Policy Institute Pakistan

Transcription

1 Food Insecurity in Pakistan and the scope for regional cooperation By Duaa Sayed Sustainable Development Policy Institute Pakistan

2 Food Insecurity in South Asia: Some Basic Facts 36% of the worlds food insecure live in South Asia From to undernourishment rates have fallen from 26.8% to 17.6% far below the MDG Goal of halving the worlds hungry by In contrast in East Asia the prevalence fell from 29.6% to 10.9% In absolute terms South Asia s undernourished population fell from 327 million to 304 million

3 Food Insecurity in Pakistan Based on the 2009 estimates by SDPI 48% of the population was said to be food insecure And 22.4% were extremely food insecure. Most recent analysis suggests worsening of the situation. Food Insecurity is principally a demand side issue in the country, as production is relatively sufficient. Persistent food inflation, and low levels of income and limited employment opportunities. The worst affected districts include those areas made remote by conflict. Global Hunger Index for Pakistan for 2012 was 19.7 which is higher than the global average of 14.7 but lower than South Asia which is 22.5.

4 Availability

5 Contd. Despite substantial total production of wheat the per capita production has remained relatively constant since 1992, due to unchecked population growth

6 Food Access: Price index

7 Food Item Food Basket Food Availability Wheat Rice Pulses Protein( gms per capita per day) Calories Consumption

8 Food Absorption Based on Pakistan Council of Research in Water Resources (PCRWR) 44% of the population is without safe drinking water, the figure rising to 90% for rural areas 27% of rural households do not have access to toilets 53% of children aged between 12 and 23 months have been fully immunized

9 Floods Present Estimates of the 2010 flood Death Toll: 1,985 Crop Area Affected: 2,092,600 acres Houses Damaged: 1, 608,184 Most recent figures for flood related damages Death Toll: 58 Persons affected: Crop Area Affected: 135,051 acres

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11 Food Security Legislation in Pakistan Formation of a dedicated Ministry of National Food Security and Research Launch of Zero Hunger Program, modeled after the highly successful Fome Zero Program in Brazil which includes the formation of a National Food Security Council. Ministry has donated of wheat to World Food Program to be distributed in the form of nutritious biscuits. The Ministry has also leading the implementation of IPC analysis Social Safety Nets such as Benazir Income Support Program

12 Regional Cooperation: Existing Mechanisms Existing mechanisms are very limited. SAARC food bank. Proven to be ineffective. Trade: Pakistan s trade in agriculture commodities is restricted and most intraregional trade is unregistered. The results have detrimental impacts on food security. Example smuggling of wheat into Afghanistan lead to price hikes in neighboring Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Water management treaties, e.g. Indus Water Treaty. Integrated Food Security Phase Classification.

13 Need for Regional Cooperation Price stabilization through trade: As it stands most food trade between Pakistan and Afghanistan is unaccounted for. Natural disasters and calamities. Need regional coordination for developing improved early warning mechanisms and relief efforts. Production shortfalls Food Insecurity isn t always a demand side issue, Pakistan is looking to become a net importer of wheat for the first time in 5 years Management of Shared natural resources, most specifically water.

14 Regional Cooperation: Gaps and Opportunities Pakistan is facing a potential wheat shortfall currently. The solution is to import the remainder with the an estimated 800,000 tons expected to be imported. Instead of importing higher quality and cheaper imports from India, importing low quality from Russia. However over the years there has been some growth in trade between Pakistan and India. For example, the import of rice by Pakistan from India has grown from USD 0.7 to 6.4 million between 2008 and 2012

15 Cooperation Mechanism: Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) IPC is a tool developed by FAO and other global partners including WFP, Save The Children, OXFAM, FEWSNET and others. It is a food security measurement tool that aims to standardize the measurement of food security through a common Phase Classification Scale Implication: Definition of food security would be commonly understood across space and time. Promotes improved communication and a platform for collaboration Currently implemented by Pakistan, Bangladesh and Nepal.

16 Way Forward Need to collaborate on information sharing and research and best practices Operationalize SAARC Food Bank, follow the model of similar ASEAN model. Though not entirely successful it yielded better results. Operationalize Seed bank