Feed Grain Partnership. Chicken Meat Program
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1 Feed Grain Partnership Chicken Meat Program
2 OUTCOMES FROM FEED GRAIN SUPPLY CHAIN FORUM S FEED GRAIN PARTNERSHIP
3 Todays Topics Snapshot of Australia Feed Grain Industries Australia s s Feed Grain Market Changing Dynamics Feed dgrain Forums Overview and Outcomes
4 Which market buys the most of Australia s Grain? Market Size million tonnes Domestic 7 Feed Market Malaysia Korean Rep China Vietnam Japan Indonesia Exports mil Source. ABRE Agricommodities June 2012
5 Australian domestic livestock feed grain use and wheat production, indexed from 1993/ Livestock Grain Use Grain Production 0 93/94 94/95 95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01/02 Feed demand growing faster than grain production g g g p Source: JCS Solutions 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12
6 Status of Major Feed Industries 3.0 mil 2.15 mil 1.95 mil 1.2 mil
7 Regional S&D Mapping average year Grain Production Feed Grain Demand Disjointed Supply / Demand in regions Source: JCS Solutions
8 Grain security in drought years 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Grain use in domestic feed, flour, malt production and retained seed as a percentage of total grain production from 1993/94 to 2011/12. Source: JCS Solutions
9 Changing market dynamics Grain Procurement Endof MonopolyArrangements Export Focus of Australian Grain Traders Diminished Grain Security for Domestic Grain Industry International Integrated Supply Chains hi Farm Production > Origination > Storage> Logistics> Marketing > Pi Primary Processing > Secondary Processing
10 Changing market dynamics Grain Procurement Forward booking of shipping stems Impact on Domestic Grain Supply? Ageing Grain Receival lfacilities Increase in demand for road transport Reliability of grain deliveries
11 Changing Market Dynamics Increase in export feed demand Quality of 2010/11 and 2011/12 crop Wheat replacing corn in export feed markets 2011 Impact of current US drought Asian feed grain demand? Should growers being growing more higher yielding / disease resistant feed varieties?
12 Changes in market dynamics grains available
13 Changes in market dynamics grains available Triticale (decline in grain availability) Acid soils /Southern Slopes NSW major use Poor agronomic performance v wheat Limited marketing options Wet harvests Oats (decline in grain availability) Area planted fallen by 15% since 2000 Expansion of export hay industry (700K tonnes) Spread of virulent stem rust
14 Changing market dynamics New grain technologies Increasing confidence predict energy Increase use Screening grain samples Nutritionist > fine tuning Problem solving tool poor animal performance Can we make sorghum the super feed grain Increase / unlock ME Increase yields
15 Changing market dynamics high yielding feed varieties
16 FGP Dedicated Feed Grain Forums 2 hld held Griffith / Ballarat Locations chosen potential for feed grains competing with milling wheats Attendees Major Regional Feed Grain Users Growers Agronomists (Private and Research) Key Industry Representatives Grain buyers / brokers
17 FGP Dedicated Feed Grain Forum Objectives Build participants group knowledge and relationship across feed grain supply Explore > is there a need / do any dedicated feed grain supply chains exist Identify new initiatives that may assist feed grain industries and the potential development of dedicated feed grain supply chains.
18 Feed Grain Forum Outcomes 1/. New technology whats possible? Feed Grain Quality attributes Feed Grain Yield Potential Feed Grain Receival Standards Animal Nutritionists / Plant Breeder Conference 2 nd August 2012
19 Feed Grain Forum Outcomes 2/. Scoping of New Research Projects Desk top grain segregation analysis (AusScan) Variety Team Challenges Gross Margin Returns of feed varieties versus milling / malt varieties in key feed demand regions Projects identified from Animal Nutritionists / Plant Breeder meeting.
20 Feed Grain Forum Outcomes 3/. Identify and communicate the structures and operation of Dedicated Supply One arrangement involving multiple growers (lupins) A number Individual grower > end users in place* The opportunity exists to grow and develop these supply chains *personal communication
21 Dedicated Lupin Supply Chain Grower Perspective: Poor marketing confidence / competition with other crops Limited storage / delivery options Crop rotation benefits ++ Stockfeed Mill Perspective: Lupins a valuable protein source across multi lianimal species and ages Spreads amino acid profile across protein sources Still needs to be price competitive against other protein sources
22 Dedicated Lupin Supply Chain Stockfeed dcompany has Implemented Area Based Supply Agreement: Supply risk ikborne by end user Yield equals the contract tonnage Flexible grower pricing options Average pricing points to annualize price Harvest price + storage / carry Agreed price (honesty and regular yield updates vital) RESULT > Increase in the area planted and greater security of supply
23 Conclusions Feed Grain Market domestic and export are growing and expanding Changing market dynamics is changing the way growers / grain buyers / domestic feed industry will do their feed business Increasing focus on feed grains research Improving gquality of feed grains Delivering higher yielding feed varieties New technologies og es > differentiated e tatedmarkets Dedicated feed grain supply chains > increasing role in securing key feed ingredients for domestic end users
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