Adaptation components of INDCs

Transcription

1 Adaptation components of INDCs Bonn, Germany, 5. October 16 Matti Goldberg UNFCCC secretariat, Adaptation Programme

2 Global coverage INDC INDC + undertakings in adaptation planning INDC + adaptation component

3 Elements of adaptation components of INDCs PRIORITY ACTIONS Actions on all sectors: Water, Agriculture, Health, Ecosystems, Forestry, Desertification etc Cross-cutting measures and integrated approaches Programmatic approaches Economic diversification Quantified targets Implementation underway IMPACTS AND VULNERABILITIES Vulnerable Parties, sectors, zones, groups Observed and projected impacts Development challenges Socio-economic consequences SUPPORT Support needs Bilateral support South-South cooperation GOALS AND VISIONS Development aspirations MDGs/SDGs Vulnerability assessments Drivers of vulnerability Key climate hazards Transboundary risks Domestic resources Multilateral support Survival 2ºC/1.5ºC limit NATIONAL FRAMEWORKS National Adaptation Plans/NAPAs Climate change laws Sectorspecific plans DRR plans and strategies Development strategies Investment plans and strategies Green growth strategies ADAPTATION-MITIGATION SYNERGIES Mitigation benefits of adaptation MONITORING AND EVALUATION Continuous and flexible Developing indicators Coordinating mechanisms Sustainable development benefits COSTS, LOSSES AND/OR DAMAGE Projected costs of impacts Disaster risk reduction

4 Frameworks informing the adaptation components Nat. Adaptation Plans or similar NAPA Nat. adaptation/resilience frameworks Climate -specific Nat. climate change investment plans Regional climate change plans Other processes SDGs/MDGs Nat. communications Technology needs assessments Non-climate specific Nat. constitutions Development plans Green growth strategies Nat. environment frameworks Disaster risk reduction and management frameworks Sectoral policies or plans Water Health and sanitation Biodiversity Forests Agriculture and food security Desertification

5 Extr. weather, 3 Precip. change, 24 Floods, 21 Temp. rise, 21 Sea level, 21 Droughts, Ext. weather, 44 Floods, 38 Droughts, 36 Precip. change, 36 Temp. rise, 32 Sea level, 25 Extr. weather, 28 Floods, 22 Droughts, 19 Precip. change, 18 Temp. rise, 17 Sea level, 13 Climate hazards identified in adaptation components of INDCs Extr. weather, 16 Floods, 84 Precip. change, 82 Droughts, 77 Temp. rise, 75 Sea level, 61 GLOBAL NUMBER OF COUNTRIES ASIA AFRICA LATIN AMERICA

6 Water, 38 Agriculture, 32 Health, 27 Forestry, 24 Ecosyst, Agriculture, 48 Water, 47 Health, 33 Ecosyst, 31 Forestry, 31 Water, 29 Health, 23 Agriculture, 22 Ecosyst, 19 Infrastr, 18 Adaptation priority sectors identified in adaptation components of INDCs GLOBAL Water, 121 Agriculture, 18 Health, 89 Ecosyst, 75 Forestry, ASIA AFRICA LATIN AMERICA

7 Examples Quantifying adaptation: examples of targets in the adaptation components Forests (18) Water (16) Agriculture (12) Energy (7) Health (5) Coasts (4) Other Increase forest cover by % 1% access to drinking water by 3 Expand irrigation schemes by 17, ha 8% access to electricity Reduce cycloneinduced loss of life index to 3 by 3 Protect 15, of marine areas Move/protect 1% of people living in vulnerable zones Plant, to 5, ha mangroves Expand water catchment to up to 9% of land area Increase agroprocessing capacity from 4, to 1,, t 1% renewable electricity by 17 Eliminate malaria by 3 Protect 1,5, ha Integrate DRM in 9% of development plans % deforestation rate by 3 Increase desalination capacity by 5% from 15 levels by 25 Maintain paddy production at 4 t/ha through climate-smart agriculture 1% electricity in water sector from off-grid renewables 1% access to health care Protect % of coasts Reduce no. of most vulnerable municipalities by >5%

8 Adaptation needs: finance, technology, and capacity-building Financial needs - Quantified finance needs identified by 68 Parties - Range: 25 mio to 6 bn USD for adaptation components of INDCs - Many outlined level of national investment - Some outlined investment strategies, adaptation funds, or sources of finance Areas of adaptation technology needs Areas of capacity-building needs - Climate observation and monitoring - Early warning systems - Water resources management technology - Coastal protection - Resilient transport systems - Sustainable and climate-smart agriculture - Institutional, human, technical and scientific capacities - Education, awareness, and outreach - Climate forecasting, modelling, downscaling - Vulnerability and adaptation assessments - Development of sectoral finance plans - Research to international energy markets

9 Thank you! Matti Goldberg UNFCCC secretariat, Adaptation Programme