Full Scale Program for Renewable Energy in Egypt. Prof. Mohamed Salah ElSobki (Jr) Executive Chairman New and Renewable Energy Authority (NREA)

Transcription

1 Full Scale Program for Renewable Energy in Egypt Prof. Mohamed Salah ElSobki (Jr) Executive Chairman New and Renewable Energy Authority (NREA)

2 Egypt s Prevailing Energy flow تدفقات الطاقة السائدة في مصر Liquid. Fuel 37.76% Refineries Transportation Network Fuel Products distribution network Tourism Natural Gas 57.76% Processing Gas Pipes Infrastructure Natural Gas distribution network Industry Biomass Collection & Handling Transportation Fleet Transportation Fleet Residential Commercial Wind 0.23% Solar Electricity Electricity Transmission Network Electricity Distribution Networks Agriculture Government & Public Utilities Hydro 4.25% Transmission Distribution End-User Distribution Independent suppliers Primary Energy الطاقة األولية التحويل Conversion الطاقة النهائية Secondary Energy 2

3 وضع الطاقة في مصر سابقا حاليا المتوقع في المستقبل %94 من المصادر الوقود األحفوري %5 من المصادر المائية %1 من المصادر الطاقات المتجددة )رياح( خفض األستخدام بما يعادل %8.3 عام 2022 إنتاج 5000 ميجا نووي %6 من خليط الطاقة إنتاج ما يزيد عن ميجا وات %9 من خليط الطاقة عام 2022 األبقاء على مستوى األنتاج الحالي %40 من خليط الطاقة عام 2022

4 تنافسية قطاع البترول المصري Resource Oil Activity Exploration Refining Trans. Network Dist. Network Competitivenes s Level Comment All concessions are based on competitive bidding State- owned companies monopoly. Foreign participation in a refining company, which did not last long, indicates an institutional set-up suitable for future competitiveness. Government Monopoly, with a single other player involved Multiple parties with major state owned player Prices Fixed 4

5 تنافسية قطاع الغاز الطبيعي المصري Resource Activity Competitivenes s Level Comment Exploration All concessions are based on competitive bidding N.G Processing Trans. Network Processing activities are mostly carried out on-site as part of production Government Monopoly to date. Dist. Network Competition for acquiring geographically exclusive concessions Prices Fixed 5

6 تنافسية قطاع الطاقة المائية المصري Resource Activity Competitiveness Level Comment Hydro Capacity Development Limited Competitive bidding, sometimes restricted to companies of donor country providing best financing package Generation Government ownership of hydro power generation 6

7 تنافسية قطاع طاقة الرياح المصري Resource Activity Competitiveness Level Comment Historical Development Limited Competitive bidding restricted to donor country s companies. Wind Generation Current Government monopoly Current Trend Development and generation Open Competitive Bidding, local capacity building 7

8 تنافسية قطاع الطاقة الشمسية المصري Resourc e Solar Activity Direct Use (PV or Heating) Competitiveness Level Comment Cut throat market, in a highly unfriendly context 8

9 تنافسية قطاع الكهرباء المصري Resource Activity Competitiveness Level Comment Generation Quasi monopoly of State owned enterprises However, minor contribution of private sector as allowed by the legislations Electricity Trans. Network Government Monopoly Dist. Networks Geographic monopoly of State owned enterprises Prices Fixed However, minor contribution of private sector as allowed by the legislations 9

10 Expected Evolution of Peak Load Technical Assistance to Reform the Energy Sector TARES, EU supported Project; preliminary findings 10

11 Impact of Fuel Prices on Electricity Generation Cost Fuel Cost US$/MMBTU Cost of kwh (pt/kwh) ($c/kwh)* Cost of Fuel per kwh (pt/kwh) ($c/kwh)* * 1 US$ =7.15 L.E Fuel is currently supplied to the power sector at different Prices Local gas supply 3 US$/MMBTU (Currently represent around 70%) Local Heavy Fuel 8.7 US$/MMBTU (Currently represents around 30%) Imported gas N.A. (expected range between US$/MMBTU) (will be around 10% as the current deficit) 11

12 Wind Atlas of Egypt 1996, 2003 & 2005 Egypt enjoys excellent wind regimes, particularly in the Suez Gulf where the average wind speed reaches 10.5 m/sec at 50 m height. The wind energy resource is available in large regions on the Nile banks in the Eastern and Western Deserts where the average wind speed reaches 7.5 m/s at 80 m height. 12

13 Solar Atlas of Egypt high intensity of direct solar radiation ranging between kwh/m 2 /year from North to South. The sun shine duration ranges between 9-11 h/day from North to South, with very few cloudy days.

14 NREA s Wind Energy Projects under implementation and Development (1340 MW MW MW MW) 200 MW, in Cooperation with Germany & EU& EIB is under implementation and it is planned to be fully operated during this year (2015). Projects in the Pipeline (Tendering Phase) 220 MW, in Cooperation with Japan (JICA) 120 MW, in cooperation with Spain. Projects under preparation 200 MW,, in cooperation with Germany, AFD, EIB, EU. 200 MW, with MASDAR 200 MW, in Cooperation with Germany, AFD 200 MW, in Cooperation with Japan (on the Nile Western Bank). 14

15 Expected Contribution of RE in the Supply Mix based on Different Scenarios Technical Assistance to Reform the Energy Sector TARES, EU supported Project; preliminary findings 15

16 Renewable Energy Projects Development Schemes Framework for RE Development Mechanisms Merchant Re Plants Power Purchase Agreement Feed in Tariff Competitive Bidding Transmission New& Renewable Energy Authority (NERA) 16

17 The current Supply Demand System no earmarking Generation N Load M Generation 3 Generation 2 Generation 1 Transmission and distribution networks at different Voltage levels... Load 3 Load 2 Load 1 Electricity is supplied from different sources and demand receives electricity 17

18 آليات تنمية انتاج الكهرباء من الطاقات المتجددة Mechanism for electricity generation from Renewables 18

19 مناقصات تنافسية على مستوى ااألنتاج Competitive biding on the supply side Renewable energy sources by EETC BOO End users 19

20 مناقصات تنافسية على مستوى ااألنتاج Competitive biding on the supply side Energy Renewable energy sources by NREA EPC payments End users 20

21 تعريفة التغذية Feed in Tariff Renewable energy sources FiT End users 21

22 Proposed Virtual Financial Supply/Demand Balance Flow of money earmarking Flow of Energy Generation 3 Load 5 Generation 2 Load 4 Load 3 Generation 1 Load 2 Load 1 22

23 األتفاقيات الثنائية Bilateral agreements (merchant scheme) Wheeling charges Renewable energy sources by IPP End users 23

24 آليات تنمية انتاج الكهرباء من الطاقات المتجددة Mechanism for electricity generation from Renewables Can they coexist? 24

25 A proposed scheme to increase electricity from both state & private sector (conventional & renewable sources) (energy and power) 3% penetration rate Inverted Wedge Technique Power GW القدرة الكهربائية )ج.و.س Annual Electric Energy(GWh) إستخدام السنوي للطاقة الكهربائية )ج.و.س ) ) في حدود %27 من الطاقات المتجددة Around 27% would be supplied by RE Year سنة 0 25

26 Tariff for Solar Energy PV tariff structure is flat rate and for 25 years, It has been classified as follows: Installations connected to the medium voltage From 500 kw up to 20 MW 13.6 US$c/kWh (equivalent to 97.3 pt/kwh)*** Installations connected to the high voltage From 20 MW up to 50 MW US$c/kWh (equivalent to pt/kwh)*** *** Exchange rate for US$ = 7.15 EGP installations from 500 kw and above including both the medium and high voltage connected installations, are defined considering international financial terms. Although payment will be offered in local currency, the Government of Egypt will bear the exchange rate risk. 26

27 Tariff for Wind Energy For wind energy the tariff structure is two times blocks tariff of a total lifetime 20 years. The value of the first block will be fixed for all sites, which will be for five years, while the value of the second block will be varied according to the site specifics. Site has been defined by the full operating hours. FIT 5 20 Project life time Ref site (worst site) Best site Years 27

28 Feed In Tariff Prices for Wind Energy 28

29 Land for FiT About 7650 KM2 have been allocated for Implementing RE projects Areas Zone Suez Gulf (wind) Areas (km 2 ) 1220 Capacity MW 3550 West Nile Suez Gulf East Nile West Nile wind Solar wind Solar Kom Ombo East Nile Benban Benban (Solar) Kom Ombo (Solar) Yellow shaded cells represent the available areas 29

30 Locations of PV Project at Benban 37 km 2, 38 Pieces, and 1800 MW 30

31 Location for Wind Energy Projects at Gulf of Suez 328 km 2, 43 Plot, and 2100 MW Substation MVA MVA (22 / 220 kv) Substation MVA (22 / 220 kv) Substation MVA(22 / 220 kv) Substation MVA (22 / 220 kv) Substation MVA (22 / 220 kv) 31

32 Thank you for your attention