Economic Assessment of Low-Emission Development Scenarios for Ukraine
|
|
- Alice Logan
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 Economic Assessment of Low-Emission Development Scenarios for Ukraine Zürich, Switzerland, 11/12/2017 ETH Zürich Zentrum campus Maksym CHEPELIEV, Ph.D. in Economics Oleksandr DIACHUK, Ph.D. in Engineering Roman PODOLETS, Ph.D. in Economics
2 CO 2 Emission and Climate Change in Ukraine In 1990 Ukraine was ranked the 6th among the countries largest emitters of energyrelated CO 2 In 2015 Ukraine was the 23d (189.4 million tons of CO 2 largest emitter of CO 2 emissions from fuel combustion. * CO2 Emissions from Fuel Combustion only 2
3 Structure of GHG Emissions in Ukraine GHG emissions in Energy sector in constituted % of total GHG emissions together with emissions related to Industrial Processes it constituted %. This determined general dynamics of GHG emission in Ukraine. 11% 1% % 4% Energy 12% 17% Industrial processes and product use Agriculture 65% 76% Waste 3
4 Renewables in Gross Final Energy Consumption In terms of Renewables share in GFEC Ukraine lags behind not only developed countries (including the countries-members of Visegrad Group) but also globaly. Other Biofuels and waste Geothermal, Solar, Wind etc. Hydro Share RES in GFEC 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 20.0% 14.0% 19.5% 4.2% 13.6% 15.7% World OECD EU-28 Ukraine Poland Czech Republic % Hungary 15.1% Slovak Republic 4
5 Energy and Carbon Intensity toe / thousand 2010 USD Energy Intensity Ukraine OECD The Visegrad Group World EU-28 The energy intensity of Ukraine's GDP (2014) was correspondingly 2.6 and 2.4 times higher than in OECD countries and in the countries- members of the Visegrad Group. And it was 3.4 times higher than in European Union. The carbon intensity of the country s GDP, in 2014 was almost 2.8 times higher than in OECDcountries and 2.4 higher than in Visegrad Group-countries. And it was 3.8 times higher compared with the EU-28 countries. t CO2 / thousand 2010 USD Carbon Intensity Ukraine OECD The Visegrad Group World EU
6 Key Indicators of Ukraine Dynamics of GHG emissions follows the curve of total primary energy supply. In , rates of GHG emission was comparable to the rates of GDP decrease, but in , as a result of changed structural proportions in economy, GDP increase was no longer accompanied by the relevant GHG emission increase (decoupling) % % Mt CO 2 -eq % 40% Shares of % TOTAL (excl. LULUCF) LULUCF Share of GHG's (total) compared to 1990 (right scale) Share of GDP compared 1990 (right scale) Share of TPES compared 1990 (right scale) Share of GHG's (Energy + Industrial processes) compared to 1990 (right scale) 0% -20% 6
7 Selected performance indicators of ESU2035 In August 2017 Cabinet of Ministers adopts updated Energy Strategy of Ukraine till 2035 (ESU2035). Primary Energy Intercity, toe/thousand 2010 USD GDP PPP Share of RES (including hydro and thermal energy in TPES, % Share of RES (including big Hydro PP) in Electricity production, % Share of Wind and Solar in Electricity production, % Share of Nuclear in Electricity production, % The share of Coal PP complies with Directive 2010/75/EC % 8% 12% 17% 25% 5% 7% 10% >13% >25% 1% 5.5% 6.7% >9.7% >12.8% 54% 52% 51% 50% 48% <1% <10% <40% 85% 100% CO 2 Emission compared 1990, % 31.8% <60% <60% <60% <50% 7
8 Ukraine in International Climate Agreements Ukraine is Annex I Party to United Nation Framework Convention on Climate Change since 1996 Ukraine is Annex B Party to the Kyoto Protocol since 2004 (Second Commitment Period of the Kyoto Protocol is under ratification process) Ukraine is a Party to Paris Agreement starting from September 19, 2016 with Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) that presents national goals on climate actions both mitigation, reduction of GHG emissions and adaptation to impacts of climate change 8
9 Ukrainian Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) Ukraine defines ambitious, but at the same time substantiated and fair target with regard to the level of GHG emissions. It will not exceed 60% of 1990 GHG emissions level in Ukrainian NDC will be revised till % Kyoto Protocol 1 st period 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Climate Obligation of Ukraine Total GHG's compared 1990 Kyoto Protocol 2 nd period National Determined Contribution (Paris Agreement) 43.8% - prewar level 31.7% 0%
10 Low-Emission Development Scenarios for Ukraine In accordance with Article 4, paragraph 19, of the Paris Agreement, all Parties should design long-term low GHG emission development strategies and communicate them by Low Emission Development (LED) Scenario is designed in the scope of Ukrainian LED Strategy development within the framework of USAID project. It is based on the policy measures compiled by the project s working groups and quantified for the assessment by TIMES-Ukraine model. All energy policies are grouped into four streams: Energy Efficiency (EE) improvements, promotion of Renewable Energy (RE), Modernization and Innovation (MI) and Market Transformations (MT). Scenario of the energy transition in Ukraine from fossil (including nuclear) to renewable energy sources (RE Scenario), with further increase of energy efficiency, has been developed in collaboration with the Heinrich Böll Foundation s Office in Ukraine, which supports Greenpeace initiative in performing conceptual studies on energy system transformations with RE domination, the so called Energy [R]evolution. Although most similar studies focus on a complete phase out of fossil fuels, in case of Ukraine, we take a 92% RE share as an economically feasible target. The main reason behind this decision is that according to our analysis further increase of the RE share in GFEC results in the exponential growth of additional investments and total system costs. 10
11 TIMES-Ukraine and UGEM models linkage To provide an assessment of LED policies in Ukraine we use a soft-linkage of TIMES-Ukraine and UGEM models. 11
12 The energy system in TIMES-Ukraine model 12
13 Circular flows in the UGEM model 13
14 Scenarios GHG Emissions for LED Strategy comared to 1990 (1990=100%) 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% BAU EE EE+RE EE+RE+MI EE+RE+MI+MT 70% 54% 53% 44% 42% 41% 36% 37% 34% 31% 29% 31% 2012* 2013* 2014* 2015*
15 Gross Final Energy Consumption in RE Scenario Mtoe % -42% -28% 64% 52% 40% 30% 19% 9% 3% 4% % 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Imact of EE Electricity from RE Heat from RE Solar Biofuels and Biomass Electricity Heat Oil Products Gas Coal Share of RE RE Scenario 15
16 Electricity Production in RE Scenario TWh % 5% 16% 39% 58% -14% 63% 70% 75% 93% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% CHP Bio Geothermal Solar Roof Panel Solar Plant Size Wind On-shore Hydro Smal Hydro Big CHP Non-RE TTP Gas New TTP Coal New TTP Coal Advanced. TTP Coal Exist. Nuclear New % Nuclear Exist. Share of RE 16
17 District heating in RE Scenario 17
18 Cumulative LED policy results In general, both scenarios have negative total system costs, which means that additional capital expenditures are overstated by associated energy efficiency improvements and reduction in fuel consumption. 18
19 Fluctuation of Wind and Solar Technologies SPPs in Ukraine in The real data shows that the ratio of battery capacities to the capacity of a SPP could vary from 63% to 91%. The average value of this ratio was 75-77% in WPPs in Ukraine in For WPPs this parameters could fluctuate from 9% to 94%, and average value was 47-54%. 19
20 Absolute and relative decoupling for LED scenarios One of the significant benefits of the RE scenario is that this policy set up allows achieving absolute decoupling of GDP from GHG emissions and energy use. 20
21 Macroeconomic effects of LEDS implementation According to our results, both LED scenarios are associated with positive macroeconomic effects. While in the short run, additional GDP growth is relatively low (1-2%), in the mid- and long-term it can reach up to 12-16%. 21
22 Impacts of LED Scenarios on households real income With growing GDP, households also experience positive impacts of LED policies. In the short run, they are relatively insignificant, and even slightly negative for the RE scenario, but in the mid and long term, additional income growth can reach up to 12-14%. 22
23 Changes in the sectoral output in 2050 On average, estimates of the output changes show higher degree of uncertainty compared to aggregate macroeconomic effects. For some sectors, they even indicate the possibility of sign change, like in case of electricity industry under LEDS scenario. 23
24 Long-term vision of Ukraine In November 2017 Ministry of Ecology and Natural Resources of Ukraine released Draft Low Emission Development Strategy (LEDS) with target no exceed 35% of 1990 GHG emissions level in % Kyoto Protocol 1 st period 90% 80% 70% 60% Kyoto Protocol 2 nd period National Determined Contribution 50% 43.8% - prewar level 40% Climate Obligation of Ukraine 30% Renewables Scenario 20% Total GHG's compared % Draft LEDS Pathway 0% LED Strategy Target 35.0% 31.7% 10% RE Scenario Target
25 Conclusions (1/2) With one of the highest levels of energy and emission intensities in the world, Ukraine has a high potential to exploit the low hanging fruits of the energy sector transformation by implementing LED policies, which can benefit both economy and environment. To explore such opportunities we use an integrated modelling approach, which includes energy system TIMES-Ukraine model and Ukrainian general equilibrium model. Using such methodology we provide an assessment of Ukrainian LEDS, as well as analyze more ambitious long-term environmental target, which includes transition towards 92% share of renewables in Gross Final Energy Consuming by While both policy options show an improvement relative to the BAU path, RE scenario provides ambition and sufficient national contribution in terms of limiting global warming below 2 o C. 25
26 Conclusions (2/2) With initially low level of energy efficiency in Ukraine, both LED policies result in positive macroeconomic and sectoral effects, with better perspectives in case of RE scenario, which at the same time requires significantly larger investments. Ukraine benefits from double dividends under both policy options, while RE scenario also provides an economically acceptable way of going from relative to absolute decoupling. At the same time, existing institutional environment and inefficient market framework can pose significant risks towards LED policies implementation. As a result, national energy markets transformation towards transparency and competitiveness becomes a necessary condition of LED policies success. In this context, Ukraine s further engagement into European legal framework through the European Energy Community may provide an effective support on the way forward. 26
27 Contacts Oleksandr DIACHUK, Roman PODOLETS Department of Energy Sector Development and Forecasting, Institute for Economics and Forecasting National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine 26, Panasa Myrnoho St., Kyiv, Ukraine Office: Maksym CHEPELIEV (corresponding author) Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University, West Lafayette, USA 27
28 Renewables in Gross Final Energy Consumption 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 3.1% 4.0% 3.2% 4.9% 5.9% 4.3% 4.2% 6.7% 4.9% 7.4% 8.3% 10.1% 9.1% 11.0% Share of RE in GFEC (real data) Ukrainian NREAP
Energy Innovation Scoreboard A Pilot Framework with a Focus on Renewables
Energy Innovation Scoreboard A Pilot Framework with a Focus on Renewables Claudia Kettner, Angela Köppl IEA Workshop on "Modelling and Analyses in R&D Priority-Setting and Innovation" IEA, 24 April 2014
More informationWIND POWER TARGETS FOR EUROPE: 75,000 MW by 2010
About EWEA EWEA is the voice of the wind industry actively promoting the utilisation of wind power in Europe and worldwide. EWEA members from over 4 countries include 2 companies, organisations, and research
More informationEU wide energy scenarios until 2050 generated with the TIMES model
EU wide energy scenarios until 2050 generated with the TIMES model Rainer Friedrich, Markus Blesl Institut für Energiewirtschaft und Rationelle Energieanwendung, Universität Stuttgart EMEP CLRTAP TFIAM
More informationThe Paris Agreement and the EU's response
The Paris Agreement and the EU's response UNIVERSITEIT HASSELT 26 Mei 2016 Tom van Ierland DG Klimaat Afdeling C1 Economische Analyse en Strategie Europese Commissie The need for global action The Paris
More informationBP Energy Outlook 2017 edition
BP Energy Outlook 2017 edition Bob Dudley Group chief executive bp.com/energyoutlook #BPstats BP Energy Outlook 2017 edition Spencer Dale Group chief economist bp.com/energyoutlook #BPstats Economic backdrop
More informationChapter 7. Indonesia Country Report. September 2016
Chapter 7 Indonesia Country Report September 2016 This chapter should be cited as Malik, C. (2016), Indonesia Country Report in Kimura, S. and P. Han (eds.) in Energy Outlook and Energy Saving Potential
More informationEmissions Intensity CHAPTER 5 EMISSIONS INTENSITY 25
C H A P T E R 5 Emissions Intensity Emissions intensity is the level of GHG emissions per unit of economic activity, usually measured at the national level as GDP. 25 Intensities vary widely across countries,
More informationCONTENTS TABLE OF PART A GLOBAL ENERGY TRENDS PART B SPECIAL FOCUS ON RENEWABLE ENERGY OECD/IEA, 2016 ANNEXES
TABLE OF CONTENTS PART A GLOBAL ENERGY TRENDS PART B SPECIAL FOCUS ON RENEWABLE ENERGY ANNEXES INTRODUCTION AND SCOPE 1 OVERVIEW 2 OIL MARKET OUTLOOK 3 NATURAL GAS MARKET OUTLOOK 4 COAL MARKET OUTLOOK
More informationGHG emissions per capita. (tco 2. e/cap) Source: UNDP, data for 2015 Source: World Bank Indicators, data for 2012 Source: IEA, data for 2013
CLIMATE ACTION TRACKER BROWN TO GREEN: G2 TRANSITION TO A LOW CARBON ECONOMY Turkey This country profile assesses Turkey s past, present and indications of future performance towards a low-carbon economy
More informationCore projects and scientific studies as background for the NREAPs. 9th Inter-Parliamentary Meeting on Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency
Core projects and scientific studies as background for the NREAPs 9th Inter-Parliamentary Meeting on Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Brussels, 18.11.2009 Mario Ragwitz Fraunhofer Institute Systems
More informationLuxembourg Energy efficiency report
Luxembourg Energy efficiency report Objectives: 1.6 TWh of end-use energy savings, or about 9%, by 216 Overview - (% / year) Primary intensity (EU=1) 1 97 + -.7% -- CO 2 intensity (EU=1) 114 - -.2% --
More informationNuclear Energy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Avoidance in the EU
Position Paper Nuclear Energy and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Avoidance in the EU The European Atomic Forum (FORATOM) is the Brussels-based trade association for the nuclear energy industry in Europe. The
More informationPolitique et sécurité énergétique dans le contexte des nouvelles énergies
Politique et sécurité énergétique dans le contexte des nouvelles énergies Didier Houssin Director, Energy Markets and Security International Energy Agency Colloque L Energie : enjeux socio-économiques
More informationCroatia Energy efficiency report
Croatia Energy efficiency report Objectives: About.5 Mtoe of end-user energy savings by 216 2 share of renewables in energy consumption in 22 Overview - (% / year) Primary intensity (EU=1) 1 98 + -2.1%
More informationBelgium Energy efficiency report
Belgium Energy efficiency report Objectives: 27.5 TWh of end-user energy savings in 216 12% share of renewables for electricity suppliers in 212 Overview - (% / year) Primary intensity (EU=) 1 132 - -1.8%
More informationSEERMAP Kickoff Meeting Belgrade September Energy Planning Today in Greece Dimitri Lalas
SEERMAP Kickoff Meeting Belgrade 22-23 September 2016 Energy Planning Today in Greece Dimitri Lalas FACE 3 TS S.A. Scope and Staff Provide Consulting services to & Conduct applied research & development
More informationBP Energy Outlook 2017 edition
BP Energy Outlook 217 edition Margaret Chen Head of China Economist bp.com/energyoutlook #BPstats Economic backdrop Contributions to GDP growth by factor Contributions to GDP growth by region % per annum
More informationComparing the main indicators for population, GDP, energy, CO2 and electricity of Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa
Renewables International - www.renewablesinternatonal.net Comparing the main indicators for population, GDP, energy, CO2 and electricity of Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa Bernard CHABOT Sustainable
More informationGHG emissions per capita. (tco 2. e/cap) Source: UNDP, data for 2015 Source: World Bank Indicators, data for 2012 Source: IEA, data for 2013
BROWN TO GREEN: G2 TRANSITION TO A LOW CARBON ECONOMY CLIMATE ACTION TRACKER France This country profile assesses France s past, present and indications of future performance towards a low-carbon economy
More informationRenewable Energy in Sweden an Overview
Renewable Energy in Sweden an Overview Lars Guldbrand Director of R&D Strategy Swedish Energy Agency RENEWABLE ENERGY CONFERENCE: DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY Vilnius 10 June 2008 1 Characteristics Cold
More informationCHINA 2050 HIGH RENEWABLE ENERGY PENETRATION SCENARIO AND ROADMAP STUDY. Energy Research Institute National Development and Reform Commission
CHINA 2050 HIGH RENEWABLE ENERGY PENETRATION SCENARIO AND ROADMAP STUDY Energy Research Institute National Development and Reform Commission ENERGY RESEARCH INSTITUTE NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND REFORM COMMISSION
More informationFinland s New Energy and Climate Strategy
Finland s New Energy and Climate Strategy Riku HUTTUNEN, Director General Arctic Energy Summit Helsinki, 18 September 2017 Themes The National Energy and Climate Strategy for 2030 Situation today in Finland:
More informationGHG emissions per capita. (tco 2. e/cap) Source: UNDP, data for 2015 Source: World Bank Indicators, data for 2012 Source: IEA, data for 2013
CLIMATE ACTION TRACKER BROWN TO GREEN: G2 TRANSITION TO A LOW CARBON ECONOMY Saudi Arabia This country profile assesses Saudi Arabia s past, present and indications of future performance towards a low-carbon
More informationPragmatic Policy Options for Copenhagen and Beyond
Pragmatic Policy Options for Copenhagen and Beyond Elliot Diringer Pew Center on Global Climate Change at GTSP Technical Review Joint Global Change Research Institute May 28, 2009 Overview The Negotiating
More informationASSESSING GOOD PRACTICES IN POLICIES AND MEASURES TO MITIGATE CLIMATE CHANGE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE. Elena Petkova
Workshop on Best Practices in Policies and Measures, 8-10 October 2001, Copenhagen ASSESSING GOOD PRACTICES IN POLICIES AND MEASURES TO MITIGATE CLIMATE CHANGE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE Elena Petkova
More informationGE OIL & GAS ANNUAL MEETING 2016 Florence, Italy, 1-2 February
Navigating energy transition Keisuke Sadamori Director for Energy Markets and Security IEA GE OIL & GAS ANNUAL MEETING 2016 Florence, Italy, 1-2 February 2016 General Electric Company - All rights reserved
More informationTraining programme GHG emission trends and projections
Training programme GHG emission trends and projections 11 th lead reviewer meeting. Bonn, 7 March 2014 Barbara Muik, Programme Officer UNFCCC secretariat, MDA Outline of presentation Overview of the module
More informationFinding an Optimal Path to 2050 Decarbonization Goals
Finding an Optimal Path to 2050 Decarbonization Goals John Bistline, Ph.D. Technical Leader 3 rd IEA-EPRI Workshop Paris October 17, 2016 Substantial Effort Beyond NDCs Will Be Required Billion tonnes
More informationComparing the main indicators for population, GDP, energy, CO2 and electricity of China, USA, European Union and India
Renewables International - wwwrenewablesinternatonalnet Comparing the main indicators for population, GDP, energy, CO2 and electricity of China, USA, European Union and India Bernard CHABOT Sustainable
More informationReasons and Bases for EUROSAI Audit on Climate Change [ACC]
1 Reasons and Bases for EUROSAI Audit on Climate Change [ACC] 2009 EUROSAI Working Group on Environmental Auditing [EUROSAI WGEA] Work Plan; 16 January 2009: Common Position on Cooperation for Coordinated
More informationThe Impact of Development and Growth on CO 2 Emissions
The Impact of Development and Growth on CO 2 Emissions A Case Study for Bangladesh until 2050 Bernhard G. Gunter, Ph.D. Bangladesh Development Research Center (BDRC) and A. Atiq Rahman, Ph.D. Bangladesh
More informationGHG emissions per capita. Share of global GHG emissions. e/cap) (tco
CLIMATE ACTION TRACKER BROWN TO GREEN: G2 TRANSITION TO A LOW CARBON ECONOMY India This country profile assesses India s past, present and indications of future performance towards a low-carbon economy
More informationRES-E policy and planning in GREECE
RES-E policy and planning in GREECE Dimitri Lalas face 3 ts S.A. Sofia 17-19Jan2017 1 Questions Posed 1. Present RES-E support scheme Is your country on the path to reach its 2020 RES-E target? Key barriers
More informationCompetitive energy landscape in Europe
President of Energy Sector, South West Europe, Siemens Competitive energy landscape in Europe Brussels, siemens.com/answers Agenda Europe s competitiveness depends on an affordable and reliable energy
More informationThe IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation Prof. Dr. Ottmar Edenhofer
johnthescone The IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation 24th September 2011, The New School for Social Research, New York Prof. Dr. Ottmar Edenhofer Co-Chair of the
More informationFinal Report. Target 2020: Policies and Measures to reduce Greenhouse gas emissions in the EU. A report on behalf of WWF European Policy Office
Target 2020: Policies and Measures to reduce Greenhouse gas emissions in the EU A report on behalf of WWF European Policy Office Wuppertal, September 2005 Final Report Authors: Stefan Lechtenböhmer, Vanessa
More informationImplications of Abundant Natural Gas
Implications of Abundant Natural Gas JAE EDMONDS AND HAEWON MCJEON APRIL 213 April 29, 213 1 Gas and the Global Energy System Gas is has been a growing component of the global energy system for some time.
More informationThe role of Biomass in Renewable Energy Sources and its potential for green house gas reduction
The role of Biomass in Renewable Energy Sources and its potential for green house gas reduction Paul van den Oosterkamp EDC conference, Groningen, November 22, 2011 www.ecn.nl Outline The Biomass value
More informationImplications of Paris on Low Carbon Transition
Norwegian Ministry of Climate and Environment Implications of Paris on Low Carbon Transition State Secretary Lars Andreas Lunde Trondheim, 7 March The Paris Agreement Turning point: Universal participation
More informationScenarios and R&D priorities in the 7th Framework Programme
Scenarios and R&D priorities in the 7th Framework Programme Angel Perez Sainz European Commission Research DG- Energy Tel: +32.2.296.19.56. Email: Angel.Perez-Sainz@ec.europa.eu Slide n 1 / IEA Expert
More informationCONTENTS PART A TABLE OF GLOBAL ENERGY TRENDS PART B SPECIAL FOCUS ON NATURAL GAS PART C CHINA ENERGY OUTLOOK ANNEXES
TABLE OF CONTENTS PART A PART B GLOBAL ENERGY TRENDS SPECIAL FOCUS ON NATURAL GAS PART C CHINA ENERGY OUTLOOK ANNEXES INTRODUCTION AND SCOPE 1 OVERVIEW 2 ENERGY, EMISSIONS AND UNIVERSAL ACCESS 3 OUTLOOK
More informationMeasures to support Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Investment Projects in Greece
Measures to support Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Investment Projects in Greece Louiza PAPAMIKROULI CRES Banska Bystrica, 24-25th April 2006 Formulating Energy Policy Competence of the Ministry
More informationBP Energy Outlook 2016 edition
BP Energy Outlook 216 edition Spencer Dale, group chief economist Outlook to 235 bp.com/energyoutlook #BPstats Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements, particularly those regarding
More informationWHAT CAME OUT OF PARIS
WHAT CAME OUT OF PARIS Snowmass, Session I, July 20, 2016 Jonathan Pershing Special Envoy for Climate Change U.S. Department of State Contents Paris Agreement (What are the key features? What is the timeline
More informationRENEWABLE ENERGY: A KEY CLIMATE SOLUTION
RENEWABLE ENERGY: A KEY CLIMATE SOLUTION Photograph: Shutterstock Energy decarbonisation is vital to keep the rise in global temperatures well below 2 C, in line with the aims of the Paris Agreement. This
More informationUnderstanding INDCs. Overview of the MILES Project. Thomas Spencer, IDDRI [And the whole MILES consortium!]
Understanding INDCs Overview of the MILES Project Thomas Spencer, IDDRI [And the whole MILES consortium!] thomas.spencer@iddri.org Institut du Développement Durable et des Relations Internationales 41
More informationThe Use of Energy Statistics to Estimate CO 2 emissions
The Use of Energy Statistics to Estimate CO 2 emissions IEA Energy Statistics Training Paris, 4-8 March, 2013 Aidan Kennedy CO 2 Emissions Outline International context IPCC methodologies (notes on bunkers
More informationCo-authors: Dr. Popi KONIDARI, Anna FLESSA M.Sc. National and Kapodistrian University of Athens - Energy Policy and Development Centre
PROMITHEAS 4 Knowledge transfer and research needs for preparing mitigation/adaptation policy portfolios (Contract No. 265182) Mitigation / Adaptation scenarios and Climate Change policy portfolios for
More informationEstonia Energy efficiency report
Estonia Energy efficiency report Objectives: 2.1 TWh of end-user energy savings by 2016 25% share of renewables in final energy consumption by 2020 4.8% share of renewables in electricity production by
More informationState of Bio-energy in Albania
Politechnic University Institute of Energy, Water and Environment Department for Technologies of Energy State of Bio-energy in Albania Orjeta Jaupaj South-east of Europe (Balkan Peninsula). Total area
More informationSustainable Energy Roadmap & Implementation Plan (SERIP) Alexander Ochs Senior Director of Climate and Energy
Sustainable Energy Roadmap & Implementation Plan (SERIP) Alexander Ochs Senior Director of Climate and Energy Goal An energy system that is socially, economically and environmentally sustainable Our role
More informationTransition to a Low-Carbon Economy in Poland. Erika Jorgensen and Leszek Kasek World Bank, Europe and Central Asia Region December 17, 2010 Warsaw
Transition to a Low-Carbon Economy in Poland Erika Jorgensen and Leszek Kasek World Bank, Europe and Central Asia Region December 17, 2010 Warsaw Poland s energy mix is dominated by coal to such an extent
More informationEnergy transition and the price of carbon in Europe
Energy transition and the price of carbon in Europe A. Energy transition in Europe B. Transposition of the EU framework to France C. Price of carbon: how to make it work? D. An evaluation for France with
More information17 th February 2015 BP Energy Outlook bp.com/energyoutlook #BPstats BP p.l.c. 2015
17 th February 215 BP bp.com/energyoutlook #BPstats Economic backdrop GDP Trillion, $211 PPP 24 Other Non-OECD Asia 18 OECD Contribution to GDP growth Trillion $211 PPP, 213-35 9 Population Income per
More informationCo-authors: Dr. Popi KONIDARI, Anna FLESSA M.Sc. National and Kapodistrian University of Athens - Energy Policy and Development Centre
PROMITHEAS 4 Knowledge transfer and research needs for preparing mitigation/adaptation policy portfolios (Contract No. 265182) Evaluation of Mitigation / Adaptation policy portfolios for Bulgaria Author:
More informationCLIMATE ACTION PLAN 2050
CLIMATE ACTION PLAN 2050 PRINCIPLES AND GOALS OF THE GERMAN GOVERNMENT S CLIMATE POLICY by Division KI I 1: Strategic Aspects of Climate Policy, Climate Action Plan Federal Ministry for the Environment,
More informationIEA Roadmap Workshop Sustainable Biomass Supply for Bioenergy and Biofuels September 2010
IEA Roadmap Workshop Sustainable Biomass Supply for Bioenergy and Biofuels 15-16 September 2010 Adam Brown Anselm Eisentraut Renewable Energy Division We need a global 50% CO 2 cut by 2050 Gt CO2 60 55
More informationTransport. Relevance of the transport sector for green growth in Macedonia
Transport Relevance of the transport sector for green growth in Macedonia Transport figures prominently on the green growth agenda for two reasons. First, transport has major environmental impacts in terms
More informationThe ENERGIEWENDE The Transformation of the German Energy System
The ENERGIEWENDE The Transformation of the German Energy System RENAC, 30 October 2017 Renewables Academy Policy and guiding principles of the Energiewende Secure and reliable of energy supply Affordable
More informationemissions, capability to take emission reduction measures and national conditions differ from country to country. After the Paris Agreement, it may be
Climate Change Measures in China after Paris Agreement Li Zhidong * This paper intends to outline China s intended nationally determined contributions (INDC) and discuss China s domestic initiatives and
More informationDEVELOPMENT OF LONG-TERM ENERGY SCENARIOS FOR THE CZECH REPUBLIC
DEVELOPMENT OF LONG-TERM ENERGY SCENARIOS FOR THE CZECH REPUBLIC M. Voogt, M. van Wees, A. de Raad, Netherlands Energy Research Foundation ECN M. Malý, V. Splítek, J. Spitz, SRC International CS s.r.o.
More informationEU Energy Winter Package (RED Recast) and Future of Forest Biomass Piotr Borkowski, EUSTAFOR s Executive Director
EU Energy Winter Package (RED Recast) and Future of Forest Biomass Piotr Borkowski, EUSTAFOR s Executive Director Conference: The Need for Sectoral Education on the European path of B&H 9-10/2/2017, Kupres,
More informationThe Use of Energy Statistics to Estimate CO 2 emissions
Karen Tréanton Head of Energy Balances, Prices and Emissions Energy Data Centre The Use of Energy Statistics to Estimate CO 2 emissions Joint Rosstat IEA Energy Statistics Workshop Moscow, 14-16 February
More informationCLIMATE PROTECTION POLICY OF THE CZECH REPUBLIC. Executive summary 2017
CLIMATE PROTECTION POLICY OF THE CZECH REPUBLIC Executive summary 2017 1 The Climate Protection Policy of the Czech Republic was prepared by the Ministry of the Environment in a cooperation with the inter-ministerial
More informationPrism 2.0: The Value of Innovation
Prism 2.: The Value of Innovation Bryan Hannegan, Ph.D. Vice President, Environment & Renewables Electric Power Research Institute 211 Summer Seminar August 1, 211 Change in Discounted GDP from 22 2 Through
More informationScenario Analysis of Power Mix in Taiwan
Scenario Analysis of Power Mix in Taiwan Chia-Hao Liu, Ching-Han Deng, Chia-An Chang* and Fu-Kuang Ko Institute of Nuclear Energy Research Abstract Carbon emissions have become a critical issue concerned
More informationChapter 4. Cambodia Country Report. September 2016
Chapter 4 Cambodia Country Report September 2016 This chapter should be cited as Sarasy, C. (2016), Cambodia Country Report in Kimura, S. and P. Han (eds.) in Energy Outlook and Energy Saving Potential
More informationNetherlands Energy efficiency report
Netherlands Energy efficiency report Objectives: 51 TWh of end-use energy savings by 216 2%/year of energy savings over 211-22 Overview - (% / year) Primary intensity (EU=1) 1 18 - -.6% -- CO 2 intensity
More informationTransport, Energy and CO2: Moving Toward Sustainability
INTERNATIONAL AGENCY Transport, Energy and CO2: François Cuenot, IEA Expert Group Meeting on Transport for Sustainable Development, 27 August 2009 Index Transport Sector in the big picture Oil demand,
More informationClimate Change and Energy Package
Climate Change and Energy Package The 4th International Conference NEUF 2008 Warszawa, 6 June 2008 Piotr J. Tulej Head of Unit Energy and Environment Directorate-General Environment European Commission
More informationFinland and Energy Chief counsellor Pentti Puhakka Energy Department Ministry of Economic Affairs and Employment Helsinki, Finland, 11 October 2016
Finland and Energy Chief counsellor Pentti Puhakka Energy Department Ministry of Economic Affairs and Employment Helsinki, Finland, 11 October 2016 Finland and Energy in a nutshell Boundaries, limitations,
More informationA b u D h a b i 3rd 5th June 2015
A b u D h a b i 3rd 5th June 2015 Effect of the energy and climate policies in the future Mexican electricity system Helena Cabal Cuesta Yolanda Lechón Pérez Antonio Rodríguez Martínez David Castrejón
More informationResults from the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency analysis of the ESR-proposal
1(15) SW E D I SH E N V IR O N M EN T A L P R OT E C T IO N AG E NC Y Results from the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency analysis of the ESR-proposal In short: The ambition in the 2030 climate framework
More informationThe challenges of a changing energy landscape
The challenges of a changing energy landscape October 26 th 2016 Maria Pedroso Ferreira EDP Energy Planning maria.pedrosoferreira@edp.pt Agenda 1 A changing energy landscape 2 Challenges and opportunities
More informationNuclear power in its global context
Nuclear power - the energy balance Jan Willem Storm van Leeuwen Ceedata Consultancy email: storm@ceedata.nl www.stormsmith.nl Note In this document the references are coded by Q-numbers (e.g. Q6). Each
More informationRole of clean energy in the context of Paris Agreement
Role of clean energy in the context of Paris Agreement Peter Janoska, Energy Analyst, IEA COP 23, Bonn, 15 November 2017 IEA The IEA works around the world to support an accelerated clean energy transitions
More informationBP Energy Outlook 2016 edition
BP Energy Outlook 216 edition Mark Finley 14th February 216 Outlook to 235 bp.com/energyoutlook #BPstats Economic backdrop Trillion, $21 25 Other 2 India Africa 15 China 1 OECD 5 OECD 1965 2 235 GDP 2
More informationenergy [r]evolution A SUSTAINABLE USA ENERGY OUTLOOK Executive Summary
energy [r]evolution A SUSTAINABLE USA ENERGY OUTLOOK Executive Summary report 3 rd edition 2014 USA energy scenario May 2014 Energy [R]evolution: A Sustainable USA Energy Outlook Executive Summary May
More informationFutures climate policy in Finland: Mitigation measures for agricultural greenhouse gas emissions
Futures climate policy in Finland: Mitigation measures for agricultural greenhouse gas emissions Ellen Huan-Niemi Olli Niskanen Pasi Rikkonen Heidi Rintamäki Economics and Society Natural Resources Institute
More informationEuropean Investment Bank Climate Action. List of eligible sectors and eligibility criteria
Climate Action List of eligible sectors and eligibility criteria REVISION HISTORY Revision No. Issue Date Amendment Description Version 1.0. 25 September 2015 First version included as Annex I of the EIB
More informationKyoto Protocol and Beyond: The Economic Cost to Spain
Kyoto Protocol and Beyond: The Economic Cost to Spain 2005 Park Leopold, Rue Wiertz 50/28 B-1050 Brussels, Belgium www.iccfglobal.org Phone +32.2.401.68.44 Fax: +32.2.401.68.68 FOREWORD Scope Sponsor Contributors
More informationRole of Nuclear Cogeneration in a Low Carbon Energy Future?
Role of Nuclear Cogeneration in a Low Carbon Energy Future? Dr. Henri PAILLERE Senior Nuclear Analyst, Nuclear Development Division henri.paillere@oecd.org NC2I Conference, Brussels, 14-15 September 2015
More informationPIGEO s Detailed Position. on Oversupply of Green Certificates
Warsaw, 20 th February 2013 PIGEO s Detailed Position on Oversupply of Green Certificates The Polish Economic Chamber of Renewable Energy (PIGEO), representing a broad range of entrepreneurs from all RES
More informationstatistics CO 2 emissions from fuel combustion HIGHLIGHTS
statistics CO 2 emissions from fuel combustion HIGHLIGHTS 217 CO 2 emissions from fuel combustion HIGHLIGHTS 217 The International Energy Agency (IEA), an autonomous agency, was established in November
More informationKyoto Protocol and Beyond: The Economic Cost to the United Kingdom
Kyoto Protocol and Beyond: The Economic Cost to the United Kingdom 2005 Park Leopold, Rue Wiertz 50/28 B-1050 Brussels, Belgium www.iccfglobal.org Phone +32.2.401.68.44 Fax: +32.2.401.68.68 FOREWORD Scope
More informationEnergy Perspectives 2016 Long-term macro and market outlook
Energy Perspectives 216 Long-term macro and market outlook Columbia University, 16 November 216 Eirik Wærness, Senior vice president and Chief economist 2 Energy Perspectives 216 Macro and market outlook
More informationFCCC/APA/2016/INF.1/Add.1
United Nations FCCC/APA/2016/INF.1/Add.1 Distr.: General 18 October 2016 English only Ad Hoc Working Group on the Paris Agreement Second part of the first session Marrakech, 7 14 November 2016 Agenda item
More information... answers on the main challenges facing the Polish energy sector.
Energy policy of Poland is consistent with the energy policy of the European Union and its objectives.... answers on the main challenges facing the Polish energy sector. Survey of energy scenarios Updated
More informationFURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THE STRUCTURE AND IDENTIFICATION OF CORE ELEMENTS OF THE DRAFT INITIAL IMO STRATEGY ON REDUCTION OF GHG EMISSIONS FROM SHIPS
E INTERSESSIONAL MEETING OF THE WORKING GROUP ON REDUCTION OF GHG EMISSIONS FROM SHIPS 2nd session Agenda item 2 ISWG-GHG 2/2/14 22 September 2017 ENGLISH ONLY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THE STRUCTURE AND
More informationContent 1. Section I: Chile: National Circumstances 3
DRAFT OF THE INTENDED NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTION (INDC) IN THE CONTEXT OF THE 2015 CLIMATE AGREEMENT TO BE ADOPTED AT THE TWENTY-FIRST CONFERENCE OF THE PARTIES (COP21) OF THE UNITED NATIONS FRAMEWORK
More informationClimate Goals and CCS
Climate Goals and CCS Kenji YAMAJI Director-General, Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth (RITE) CSLF Policy Group Meeting October 7, 2016 @Fukuracia Tokyo Station, Japan Recent Development
More informationINDONESIA % 10, , G20 average BROWN TO GREEN THE G20 TRANSITION TO A LOW-CARBON ECONOMY 2017
The G2 transition to a low-carbon economy 217 BROWN TO GREEN: THE G2 TRANSITION TO A LOW-CARBON ECONOMY 217 HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX 1.69.7 G2 average Source: UNDP, 216 This country profile assesses s past,
More informationMinistry of Power & Energy, Sri Lanka
1 Ministry of Power & Energy, Sri Lanka 1. Country at a Glance Socio-Economic Population : 20.5 Million Per Capita GDP : 3,600 US$ Energy Sector Primary Energy Supply by Sources: - Biomass : 43.3% - Petroleum
More informationFRANCE S LONG TERM ENERGY STRATEGY AND THE IMPORTANCE OF CARBON PRICING
FRANCE S LONG TERM ENERGY STRATEGY AND THE IMPORTANCE OF CARBON PRICING TOKYO, 4 th August 2016 Olivier Ginepro Economic Counsellor Regional Economic Department, Embassy of France Tokyo, Japan Ministère
More informationCzech Republic Energy efficiency report
Czech Republic Energy efficiency report Objectives:.3 TWh of end-user energy savings in 16, including 2.1 TWh in industry Overview - (%/year) Primary intensity (EU=)¹ 155 -- -2.6% ++ CO 2 intensity (EU=)
More informationBrunei Darussalam Country Report
Chapter 3 Brunei Darussalam Country Report September 2016 This chapter should be cited as Energy and Industry Department of Prime Minister s office (2016), Brunei Darussalam Country Report, in Kimura,
More informationNotification of the indicative national energy efficiency target 2020 for Belgium
1. Introduction : the requirements of the Energy Efficiency Directive 2012/27/EU (EED), articles 3 and 24 In implementation of the Energy Efficiency Directive 2012/27/EU (EED), each member state has to
More informationPoland s heating country profile: breaking down the context for recommendations Cele strategiczne sektora ciepłownictwa w Polsce
Poland s heating country profile: breaking down the context for recommendations Cele strategiczne sektora ciepłownictwa w Polsce George Stiff, ICLEI Europe Centrum Zielna, Warszawa January 25, 2018 This
More informationElectricity liberalisation in the UK the end is nigh
Electricity liberalisation in the UK the end is nigh Malcolm Keay Preamble: The Dynamics of Power Generation investment in liberalised power markets will be problematic for governments It will be lumpy,
More informationCOP22: Strengthening the world s response to climate change
COP22: Strengthening the world s response to climate change Briefing on the outcome of COP22, the 2016 UN Climate Change Conference November 2016, KPMG International The world s governments came together
More information