Electric Reliability in Pennsylvania
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1 Electric Reliability in Pennsylvania Prepared for the 2012 Summer Reliability Forum Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission Yasmin Snowberger, PE June 7,
2 Ensuring Reliable Service in PA Partnership Continuous process Communications are key Overview of the 2012 NERC Summer Reliability Assessment Items of Interest 2
3 Electric Service Reliability Metrics The Customer Average Interruption Duration Index (CAIDI) measures the average duration of service interruptions for affected customers CAIDI = Minutes Interrupted divided by Customers Affected 3
4 Electric Service Reliability Metrics The System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI) measures the average frequency of interruptions per total number of customers SAIFI = Number of Interruptions divided by Total Number of Customers Served 4
5 Electric Service Reliability Metrics The System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) measures the average duration of service interruptions per total number of customers SAIDI = Minutes Interrupted divided by Total Number of Customers Served 5
6 Performance Benchmark. An EDC s performance benchmark is calculated by averaging the EDC's annual, system-wide reliability performance indices over the five-year period directly prior to the implementation of electric restructuring (1994 to 1998). The benchmark is the level of performance that the EDC should strive to achieve and maintain. Performance Standard. An EDC s performance standard is a numerical value that represents the minimal performance allowed for each reliability index for a given EDC. Performance standards are based on a percentage of each EDC s historical performance benchmarks. 6
7 Pennsylvania Electric Distribution Company Reliability Data For The Rolling 12-Months Ended December 31, 2011 Customer Average Interruption Duration Index (CAIDI) % Above (+) or % Above (+) or EDC Dec-11 Benchmark Standard Below (-) Benchmark Below (-) Standard Citizens' Duquesne Light Met-Ed (FE) PECO Penelec (FE) Penn Power (FE) Pike County PPL UGI Wellsboro West Penn (FE) System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI) % Above (+) or % Above (+) or EDC Dec-11 Benchmark Standard Below (-) Benchmark Below (-) Standard Citizens' Duquesne Light Met-Ed (FE) PECO Penelec (FE) Penn Power (FE) Pike County PPL UGI Wellsboro West Penn (FE) System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) % Above (+) or % Above (+) or EDC Dec-11 Benchmark Standard Below (-) Benchmark Below (-) Standard Citizens' Duquesne Light Met-Ed (FE) PECO Penelec (FE) Penn Power (FE) Pike County PPL UGI Wellsboro West Penn (FE)
8 NERC 2012 Summer Reliability Assessment Top Reliability Issues for Summer 2012 Items with potential impacts to Pennsylvania Variable generation increases Demand side management is key in maintaining reliability this summer Impact of potentially extreme weather events on bulk power system reliability Lower global LNG supply may impact LNGdependent generation in New England 8
9 Variable Generation in PJM PJM has developed a Wind Power Forecast tool to assist operations. On peak renewable generation is expected as follows: On Peak MWs Wind Solar Hydro Biomass Nameplate 5, ,822 1,023 Expected ,822 1,023 9
10 Demand Side Management in PJM Over 11,600 MW of demand side resources were available for Summer 2011, similar amounts are expected for Summer Seeking tariff change with FERC to require more robust reporting to help avoid dispatch of demand response that may not be needed. 10
11 Impact of Potentially Extreme Weather Events Drought outlook in Eastern PA, some improvement expected. Above normal mean temperatures may occur in PJM. PJM expects no problems with warm cooling water. Any one specific generator outage can be replaced with other resources available. No fuel supply issues anticipated. 11
12 LNG to New England ISO New England is planning for disruptions of global LNG shipped into New England this summer. 12
13 Items of Interest Detailed review of the Inspection and Maintenance Procedures Correlation of I & M procedures and reliability metrics Gas and electric interdependencies Gas fired generation Electric fired compressor stations 13
14 Contact information: Yasmin Snowberger 14
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