Demographics. Likely November Voters 600. Men 48% Women 52% Democrats 33% Independent/Other 42% Republican 25% % %

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2 Demographics Gender Party Affiliation Likely November Voters 600 Democrats 52% 48% Men Women Men 48% Women 52% 25% 42% 33% Independent/Other Republican Age Democrats 33% Independent/Other 42% Republican 25% Education 57% 42% % % 3% 41% Non-Coll Degree Coll+ 13% 31% 21% 35% Income $0 - $50K $50K - $100K $100K + Refused *Percentages have been rounded and may not equal 10 Non-Coll Degree 41% Coll+ 56% Declined/NA/Refused 3% $0 - $50K 31% $50K - $100K 35% $100K + 21% Refused 13% 56% June 26 29, 2016 Declined/NA/Refused

3 Global Warming Belief, Understanding & Concern

4 10 Eight out of Ten Vermonters Think Global Warming is Happening Yes No DK/NA % Do you think global warming is happening? 15% All Registered Voters 5%

5 Majorities of Vermonters across Gender, Age, Education & Income Think Global Warming is Happening - % who say "yes," global warming is happening % 79% 82% 7 88% 78% 82% Men Women Non-Coll Coll + $0 - $50K $50K - $100K Do you think global warming is happening? $100K +

6 Across Political Parties, Majorities Think that Global Warming is Happening Yes No DK/NA 10 96% % % 2% 2% 5% Democrats Independents/Other Republicans 9% Do you think global warming is happening?

7 7 63% More than Six in Ten Vermonters Understand that Global Warming is Primarily Human Caused By human activities By natural changes in environment Not happening DK/NA % 1 5% 6% All Registered Voters Assuming that global warming is happening, do you think it is: Caused mostly by human activities, OR caused mostly by natural changes in the environment, OR none of the above, because it isn't happening.

8 Majorities of Vermonters across Gender, Age, Education & Income Understand Global Warming is Primarily Human Caused. - % who say "yes," global warming is happening % 67% 64% 62% 52% 71% 67% 64% 64% 5 1 Men Women Non-Coll Coll + $0 - $50K $50K - $100K Assuming that global warming is happening, do you think it is: Caused mostly by human activities, OR caused mostly by natural changes in the environment, OR none of the above, because it isn't happening. $100K +

9 % Majorities of Democrats and Independents Understand that Global Warming is Primarily Human Caused By human activities By natural changes in environment Not happening DK/NA % 27% 35% 47% % 1% 3% 4% 7% 5% Democrats Independents/Other Republicans Assuming that global warming is happening, do you think it is: Caused mostly by human activities, OR caused mostly by natural changes in the environment, OR none of the above, because it isn't happening.

10 Seven in Ten Vermonters are Worried about Global Warming Very & Somewhat Worried Not Very & Not At All Worried DK/NA How worried are you about global warming? All Registered Voters

11 Majorities of Vermonters across Gender, Age, Education & Income are Worried about Global Warming - % who say they are very or somewhat worried about global warming % 75% 7 71% 62% 76% 73% 69% 77% Men Women Non-Coll Coll + $0 - $50K $50K - $100 $100K + How worried are you about global warming?

12 % Majorities of Democrats and Independents are Worried about Global Warming Very & Somewhat Worried Not Very & Not At All Worried DK/NA % % 1 9% Democrats Independents/Other Republicans How worried are you about global warming?

13 Vermont vs. USA: Beliefs, Understanding and Worry about Global Warming Do You Think Global Warming is Happening? Percent who say "Yes." 73% 81% Assuming that global warming is happening, do you think it is: Caused mostly by human activities, OR caused mostly by natural changes in the environment, OR none of the above, because it isn't happening. Percent saying "caused mostly by human activities. 56% 63% How worried are you about global warming? Percent who say "very worried" or "somewhat worried." 56% 71% June 2016 Energy Independent Vermont survey compared to March 2016 Climate Change and the American Mind, Yale Program on Climate Change Communication and George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication.

14 Support for Vermont s Goals

15 9 8 More Than Three Quarters of Vermonters Support The State's 9 Renewable Energy Goal Strongly & Somewhat Support Strongly & Somewhat Oppose DK/NA 78% % 1 4% All Registered Voters Vermont has a goal getting 9 of its energy from renewable sources by the year Do you support of oppose this goal for Vermont?

16 Majorities in All Parties Support Vermont's Renewable Energy Goal Strongly & Somewhat Support Strongly & Somewhat Oppose DK/NA 10 95% % 66% % 29% 1 4% 1% 6% 5% Democrats Independents/Other Republicans Vermont has a goal getting 9 of its energy from renewable sources by the year Do you support of oppose this goal for Vermont?

17 8 Three Quarters Support Vermont's Goal of Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions by at Least 8 Strongly & Somewhat Support Somewhat & Strongly Oppose DK/NA 75% % All Registered Voters Vermont has a goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, the pollution causing global warming, to 80 to 95% below current levels by the year Do you support of oppose this goal for Vermont?

18 10 96% Majorities in All Parties Support the State's Greenhouse Gas Reduction Goal Strongly & Somewhat Support Somewhat & Strongly Oppose DK/NA % 5 26% 33% 1 4% 1% Democrats Independents/Other Republicans Vermont has a goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, the pollution causing global warming, to 80 to 95% below current levels by the year Do you support of oppose this goal for Vermont? 4% 9%

19 Support for Global Warming Solutions

20 By More Than 2-to-1, Vermonters Are More Likely to Support Candidates Who Make Clean Energy Central to Their Campaign 7 6 More & Much More Likely Somewhat & Much Less Likely No Difference DK/NA 59% 5 26% 1 9% 6% All Registered Voters Suppose that a candidate for Governor of Vermont made reducing greenhouse gas emissions, promoting energy efficiency, and expanding use of renewable energy a top priority of their campaign - would that make you more or less likely to vote for them? Likely Vermont Voters 18+. June 2016.

21 7 By a 2-to-1 Margin, Vermonters Support a Carbon Pollution Tax Coupled with Investments in Clean Energy and Tax Cuts for all Vermonters and Vermont Businesses Strongly & Somewhat Support Somewhat & Strongly Oppose DK/NA 63% % 1 6% All Registered Voters This Energy Independence proposal would do the following: Establish a statewide Energy Independence Fund to help Vermonters reduce their home heating and transportation costs and weatherize public buildings, like schools; Finance the Energy Independence Fund with a carbon pollution tax paid by the companies that import oil, gas, or other fossil fuels into Vermont. It would not apply to electricity; Cut state taxes for all Vermonters and Vermont businesses, with additional rebates for low-income Vermonters, so that we are protected from fossil fuel companies passing on their costs. Does this sound like something you would support or oppose?

22 Key Findings Vermonters believe global warming is happening, understand that it is human caused, and they are worried. Vermonters support the State s renewable energy and greenhouse gas reduction goals and action to achieve those goals, including a carbon pollution tax that s paired with tax cuts and investments in efficiency. By a 2-to-1 margin, Vermonters are more likely to vote for a candidate who makes support for clean energy central to their campaign.

23 Races for the Democratic and Republican Nominations for Governor of Vermont

24 In the Races for the Republican and Democratic Nominations for Governor, One Race is Within the Margin of Error, the Other is Not Republican Primary 68% 35% 25% 31% Democratic Primary 36% 25% 1 23% 9% Lisman Scott Other/DK/NA If the Republican primary election for Governor were today, for whom would you vote: Phil Scott or Bruce Lisman? (n = 171; MOE = 7.5%) 15% 1 5% 8% Dunne Minter Galbraith Other/DK/NA If the Democratic primary election for Governor were today, for whom would you vote: Matt Dunne, Peter Galbraith, or Sue Minter? (n = 217; MOE = 6.7%)

25 Tom Hughes Energy Independent Vermont (802) x 22