CO 2 Emissions from Freight Transport An Analysis of UK Data
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1 CO 2 Emissions from Freight Transport An Analysis of UK Data Professor Alan McKinnon Logistics Research Centre Heriot-Watt University EDINBURGH LRN Conference 2007 University of Hull
2 Estimation Methods Input-based measures: top-down based on energy / fuel purchases sectoral - classified by dominant activity Output-based measures; bottom-up based on surveys of freight transport operations cross-sectoral multiply volume of freight movement by CO 2 emission factor tonne-kms x CO 2 per tonne-km
3 Caveats Assumptions about the utilisation of vehicle capacity Use of parameters derived from international studies e.g. IFEU, INFRAS,Tremove differences in primary energy mix, transport infrastructure, vehicle age profile etc. National environmental accounts estimate CO 2 emissions only from British companies and on a sectoral basis Use of tonne-kms as the measure of freight transport activity Movement of freight in passenger vehicles: allocation issues Focus on CO 2 excluding other global warming gases: e.g. N 2 O roughly 1% of carbon equivalent emissions from HGVs Analysis confined to CO 2 emissions from domestic freight transport
4 Modal Energy Intensity and Capacity Utilisation Capacity Utilisation Source: International Maritime Organisation, 2000
5 Off-shoring of Manufacturing and the Upstream Supply Chain component supplier warehouse main processing assembly plant plant retail distribution centre Export of carbon-generating activities reducing UK s carbon footprint Embedded carbon in imported products UK contributing to the growth of freight-related CO 2 emissions in exporting countries + growth of CO 2 emissions from international transport
6 Trends in CO 2 Emissions from Road Freight Transport Million tonnes of CO CSRGT NRTS/CSRGT UKEA 37% CSRGT Continuing Survey of Road Based Transport NRTS National Road Traffic Survey UKEA United Kingdom Environmental Accounts
7 Trends in CO 2 Emissions from Road Freight Transport Million tonnes of CO CSRGT NRTS/CSRGT UKEA 37% 5% CSRGT Continuing Survey of Road Based Transport NRTS National Road Traffic Survey UKEA United Kingdom Environmental Accounts
8 Trends in CO 2 Emissions from Road Freight Transport % Million tonnes of CO CSRGT NRTS/CSRGT UKEA 37% -4% CSRGT Continuing Survey of Road Based Transport NRTS National Road Traffic Survey UKEA United Kingdom Environmental Accounts
9 Discrepancy in Estimates of CO 2 Emissions from HGVs 29% growth in CO 2 from HGVs NRTS / CSRGT: 9% growth
10 Road Traffic Growth in the UK Index of traffic growth (1990=100) vans HGVs cars Growth of CO 2 emissions Cars = + 3.2% Vans = % (Source: SMMT) No CO 2 / km target for vans EU target being considered Source: Department for Transport
11 Vans Freight collections and deliveries + associated empty running represents only 35% of total van-kms 10.7 bn tonne-kms of freight in % of total Assuming average fuel efficiency of 12 km / litre for vans 242 gms of CO 2 per tonne-km 2.6 million tonnes of CO 2 Not possible to monitor trends for freight-carrying vans
12 CO 2 Emissions from Railfreight National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory '000 tonnes of CO
13 CO 2 Emissions from Railfreight CO2 ktonnes Tonne-km bn '000 tonnes of CO bn tonne-kms Assumes fixed CO 2 intensity: 49 gms of CO 2 per tonne-km No allowance for improvements in fuel efficiency of railfreight operations Rail Emissions Model (2000) for SRA: 20 gms of CO 2 per tonne-km EWS / DfT estimate based on high load factors: 14.7 gms of CO 2 per tonne-km Using 20 gms of CO2 per tonne-km: 420K tonnes of CO 2 in 2004 (cf 1,012K)
14 Other Freight Transport Modes Coastal shipping (UK vessels): 97.5% of all waterborne tonne-kms 30 gm of CO 2 per tonne-km 1.74 m tonnes of CO 2 Inland waterways: 2.5% of waterborne tonne-kms 35 gm of CO 2 per tonne-km 53K tonnes of CO 2 Airfreight (domestic): 29 million tonne-km 0.01% of all UK freight movement bellyhold freight on passenger aircraft + freighters average 1600 gm of CO 2 per tonne-km 55K tonnes of CO 2 (2 x global warming potential) Pipeline: 11 bn tonne-km 8.2 gm of CO 2 per tonne-km 90K tonnes of CO 2
15 CO 2 Emissions from Freight Transport in the UK (2004) Waterway 6.8% Rail 1.1% Air 0.1% Pipeline 0.3% 33.7 million tonnes of CO 2 Drax power station Vans 13.3% 21% of transport CO 2 emissions 6% of total UK CO 2 emissions HGV 78.5% 20.6 million tonnes of CO 2
16 Variations in CO 2 Intensity by Freight Transport Mode CO2 gm per tonne-km Assumptions about vehicle load factors Line-haul rather than door-to-door movements gms of CO 2 per tonne-km at average loading Truck > 38 tonne: 90 Railfreight: Airfreight Vans HGVs Inland waterways Coastal shipping Rail Pipeline
17 Research undertaken for the Climate Change Working Group of the Commission for Integrated Transport Publication of main report and briefing papers 12 th September
18 Contact details Logistics Research Centre Heriot-Watt University EDINBURGH UK A.C.
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