Energy Solar Power in Germany A success story - due to a stable legal framework Jakarta 30. April 2012 Jan Knaack Project Manager German Solar Industry Association
German Solar Industry Association 2 TASK VISION ACTIVITIES EXPERIENCE MEMBERS HEADQUARTERS To represent the German solar industry in the solar thermal and photovoltaic sector A global sustainable energy supply provided by solar (renewable) energy Lobbying, political advice, public relations, market observation, standardization Active in the solar energy sector since more than 30 years More than 900 solar producers, suppliers, wholesalers, installers and other companies active in the solar business Berlin
Why renewable energies in Germany 3 since: We are highly dependent on energy imports (security of supply) Fossil & nuclear resources are finite (but demand is growing) Climate change requires us to act urgently Diagrams: AEE / Sources: BMU, BMWI Create an new industry and thousands of jobs 28/10/2009
Jan Feb Mrz Apr Mai Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dez Solar Potential in Europe / South-East Asia 4 2 7 6 Source: Sapa Building Systems Annual solar irradiation kwh/ m² Average sunshine hours daytime Düsseldorf (blue) / Singapur (green) Source: DWD 0 5 4 3 2 1 0
Why solar? Well... 5 07/06/2010 18/05/2010
Our future is a mix of all renewable energies, but there are certain challenges: How to create widespread understanding and support among society and political and economic decision makers for RES? How to develop new knowledge and skills, adapt the education systems and spread this knowledge? How to finance the investments as long as RES often require higher up-front investments than fossil and nuclear energy? How to adapt the energy supply system from a centralized to a distributed generation system? 6 Source: BMU, Daten EE, Juni 2007 What was Germany s solution for these challenges? Creation of a stable framework to incentivise the investements in renewable energies by introducing a technology specific Feed-In-Tariff (FIT) Source: Solarwatt
Feed-in-Tariff (FIT) in Germany: Basic principles 7 Priority connection for all PV systems granted Each solar kwh must be purchased by the utility Fixed feed-in tariff payment over 20 years Reduction of the feed-in tariff each year by a certain percentage (in the past 9%) for newly installed PV systems (Degression) Feed-in tariffs are no state subsidy, costs are redistributed to the rate payer Government Provides for grid access, sets FIT Feed-in tariff RES-E Producer renewable electricity Utility Regulation / Law conventional electricity Electricity consumer Money Power Electricity rates + FIT surcharge 21/03/2011
EEG amendment legislation overview of revisions FIT-Rates as of 2012 as proposed by the government in the legislative process* 8 Reduction of remuneration as of 1. April to 19.5 to 13.5 ct/kwh **. Year of commissioning < 30 kwp (Ct/kWh) > 30 kwp (Ct/kWh) > 100 kwp (Ct/kWh) > 1.000 kwp (Ct/kWh) Ground mounted except agric. land Ground mounted conversion As of 1.1.2012 24.43 23.23 21.98 18.33 17.94 18.76 As of 1.4.2012* New categories incl. roof top or ground mounted < 10 kwp (Ct/kWh) 10 < 1000 kwp (Ct/kWh) 1 MWp 10 MWp (Ct/kWh) > 10 MWp As of 1.4.2012 19.5 16.5 13.5 Free market As of 1.5.2012 Monthly degression of 1 % As of 1.11.2012 Monthly degression of 0.3 2.8 % for three months depending on market growth in previously defined time frames (Q1 /2 in 2012, in 2013 for 12 previous months) Transitional period for ground-mounted systems until 30 June 2012 (with approved development plan before 1 March 2012 / conversion lands until 30. Sept. 2012). Depends upon approval of the Parliament / Representation of States on 7 May 2012 ** 1 = approx. 12,200 Ind. R. = 2380 to 1650 Ind. R. / kwh // House hold elec. price around 0,24 / kwh =2930 Ind. R. BSW- Solar
Development of the German PV market 9
Global PV Market 2011 - Germany has been the lead market since 2005 10 Global PV Market 2009: 7.200 MWp 2010: 17.100 MWp 2011: 27.900 MWp Europe North Amerika Asia / ROW [incl. Salva Alcoa: 3.5 GW built in 2010 connected, in 2011] Estimates, grid connected PV,systems Source: nat. PV Industry associations, BSW-Solar estimates Update: 03/2012
[GWh] Result of FIT-Policy: Development of renewable energy sources in Germany in 1990-2011 Development of electricity generation from renewable energy sources in Germany since 1990 140,000 120,000 Hydropower Biomass * Wind energy Photovoltaics EEG: January 2009 100,000 EEG: April 2000 EEG: August 2004 80,000 60,000 40,000 StromEinspG: January 1991 - March 2000 Amendment to BauGB: November 1997 20,000 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 * Solid and liquid biomass, biogas, sewage and landfill gas, biogenic share of waste; electricity from geothermal energy not presented due to negligible quantities produced; 1 GWh = 1 Mill. kwh; StromEinspG: Act on the Sale of Electricity to the Grid; BauGB: Construction Code; EEG: Renewable Energy Sources Act; BMU KI III 1 source: BMU-KI III 1 according to Working Group on Renewable Energy-Statistics (AGEE-Stat); image: BMU / Christoph Edelhoff; as at: March 2012; all figures provisional 11
in Gigawattstunden (GWh) PV-electricity production Q1 2012 covering more than 4 % of electricity needs in Germany 12 3.0 0 0 Stromproduktion aus PV-Anlagen 2.597 2010 2011 2012 2.50 0 2.0 0 0 2.3 4 7 2.243 2.173 2.089 2.137 1.941 1.665 1.50 0 1.463 1.0 0 0 711 1.0 4 7 773 50 0 370 537 308 0 Jan Feb Mrz Apr Mai Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dez Quelle: ÜNB, EEX, eigene Berechnungen BSW-Solar 20 12, vorläufig * Hochrechnung, Stand 4 / 20 12
Investments in Renewable Energies 13 Investments in the construction of renewable energy facilities in Germany 2011 Total investments: approx. 22.9 Bill. EUR Hydropower 70 Mill. EUR Biomass (heat) Geothermal energy * Solar thermal energy Biomass (electricity) 880 Mill. EUR 960 Mill. EUR 1,050 Mill. EUR 2,000 Mill. EUR Wind energy Photovoltaics 2,950 Mill. EUR 15,000 Mill. EUR 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 [Mill. EUR] * Large plants and heat pumps; deviations in the totals are due to rounding; source: BMU-KI III 1 according to the Centre for Solar Energy and Hydrogen Research Baden-Wuerttemberg (ZSW); as at: March 2012; all figures provisional BSW- Solar
PV system prices decrease steadily 14 FIT for systems < 100 kwp System prices < 100 kwp Overall price reduction by more than 64 % since Q2/2006 Average annual reduction of ca. 15 % p.a. Q1/12: Average PV system price for roof top systems < 100 kwp: 1,969 /kwp / 2,593 US$ / 23,860,000 Ind. R.
Ground- Rooftop BIPV mounted Effort of mounting Market segments of on-grid PV systems more than 1 million systems in 2011 totally Image: Sharp 15 <1% Preliminary Figures which may still be subject to change Source: Statistics of the Federal Network Agency, BSW-Solar Estimates residential homes 1-10 kwp Image: Schüco Image: Grammer multi family houses, public + social buildings, farms, commercial plants 10-100 kwp Large and very large commercial > 100 kwp 25% 10% Image: Solarwatt 49% Image: Solarwatt Image: BP Estimations market share in 2010 15% Size of the system Image: Geosol Image: 12/03/2010 21/03/2011 Geosol
German companies can rely on an excellent R&D-infrastructure German PV companies closely cooperate with research institutes and heavily invest in R&D More than 50 state-of-the-art research institutes as well as university faculties researching in PV 1 billion investments in PV R&D are planned by the industry through 2009-2013 290 German patents in solar technologies registered in 2010
Renewable energies have created thousands of high quality jobs 17 Job creation in all Renewable energies Job creation in PV Souce: Berger / Prognos 2010
Could solar applications and engineering from Germany be the right thing for Indonesia? Customized Hybrid Energy Supply for remote Mountain Huts Elektro-Mechanik Meisl GmbH H. Deubler Power supply for a farmstead in Poland, 12 kwp Energiebau Solarstromsysteme GmbH
Solar applications from Germany work in other areas of the world.. 19 Steca hospital electrification, Nigeria Steca Elektronik GmbH Hybrid system, India Steca Elektronik GmbH
..., so they could work very well in Indonesia, too! 20 PV-Hybrid-Island-Grid Napuka, French Polynesia Elektro-Mechanik Meisl GmbH
What can German companies offer you? 21 Solutions to provide and manage your electricity grid reliably with electric energy from solar PV and / or hybrid sources! Quality products that are designed for a long life time at very low maintainance costs that undergo some of the strictest testing requirements in the world! Knowledge and a lot of experience around marketing, sales, installation and maintainance! Experience in qualifying and training your staff! Not only state-of-the art but also innovative and reliable technology with long warranties! In Germany companies work now on restructuring the electricity grid to decentralized solutions benefit from these experience! Often 20 or more years of experience with grid connected or off-grid solar applications!
Conclusions 22 Germany has more than 25 GW of PV installed, producing around 4 % of electricity demand, showing that high amounts of fluctuating renewable electricity can be integrated into the grid! FITs in Germany and in other countries have driven down the market price for solar PV, making PV attractive to more and more countries creating thousands of jobs! The German industry is working now actively on finding alternative solutions to better use decentral PV electricity. The global photovoltaic market potential is huge but PV markets only evolve, if they are developed systematically as PV is a long term investment therefore drive policy makers to set appropriate framework conditions. It took Germany more than 20 years to build up knowledge and experience benefit from this experience!
Energy THANK YOU FOR YOUR KIND ATTENTION Contact Jan Knaack Project Manager BSW-Solar knaack@bsw-solar.de + 49 30 29 7778837