Preface. (Porametee Vimolsiri) Secretary-General National Economic and Social Development Board February 2017

Transcription

1 Preface The Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB) is officially responsible for the compilation of the Gross Regional and Provincial Product (GRP and GPP) by using the top down approach which disaggregates annual GDP at national level into GRP and GPP. The objective of GRP and GPP is to provide economic and social indicators at regional and provincial levels so as to use in policy and planning for regional and provincial development. The compilation of the Gross Regional and Provincial Product is a part of System of National Accounts of Thailand, particularly by the production approach, and compliance with the International System of National Accounts (SNA) by using the chained volume measures (CVMs) in measuring the real terms. The Gross Regional and Provincial Product 2015 edition, data are revised back to 2009, in accordance with the annual GDP 2015 and the latest basic data provided by related agencies. Details of revisions are indicated in the revision note on the following pages. This document presents eight years of data series from 2008 to NESDB would like to express the gratitude to agencies and individuals, all government agencies and private institutions that have provided needed data as well as useful comments on enhancing compilation of the Gross Regional and Provincial Product, and looks forward to continuing the cooperation in the future. (Porametee Vimolsiri) Secretary-General National Economic and Social Development Board February 2017 Gross Regional and Provincial Product, Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

2 Revisions to the Gross Regional and Provincial Product 2015 Edition The compilation of Gross Regional and Provincial Product (GRP and GPP) Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition has been compiled and revised in various aspects as follows: 1. Revising the GRP and GPP figures back to 2009 as to be consistent with the Gross Domestic Products (GDP) in the National Income of Thailand, Chain Volume Measures Edition as follows: In this publication, all sectors have been revised back to 2013 except education sector with the revision of data source of autonomous university according to Government Fiscal Management Information System (GFMIS); human health and social work activities sector; and public administration and defense; sector with revised data in public health and social work activities back from 2009 to For this GRP and GPP publication, Thailand Standard Industrial Classification of All Economic Activities 2009 (TSIC 2009) is used in the compilation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) which revised the data from 1990 to However, TSIC 2001 is still used in the compilation of Gross Regional and Provincial Product 2015 Edition because the NESDB has a plan to change the existing compilation method of GRP and GPP to new version to be consistent with TSIC 2009 in the next phase. 2. Compiling and improving indicators of provincial-level production according to the revision of data sources back to 2013 and This was used in distribution of values of all production activities in order to calculate provincial value added. Major data sources with revisions included: The number of tourists and expenditure from the Department of Tourism. The data of government operations and financial statements in compliance with the latest data from GFMIS of Ministry of Finance. 3. The change in real value added is used in measuring the changes of production outputs at the kingdom, regional, and provincial levels. Meanwhile, the structure of nominal value added or value added at current prices is used in analyzing the production income distribution which was affected by the changes of production quantities and prices. 4. In this publication, r assigned as superscript of data period(s) in tables stands for revised representing revision figures based on most recent data, coverage, and compilation methodology. Likewise, p stands for preliminary annual figure, which is subject to revisions in the next series of publication. **Any reproduction of data and materials in this publication must make a proper reference to NESDB as the data source.** 1 See the detailed revisions in the National Income of Thailand 2015 Chain Volume Measures Gross Regional and Provincial Product, Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

3 Executive Summary Overall economy: The Thai economy in 2015 increased by 2.9%, compared to a rise of 0.9% in 2014 as a result of the acceleration in domestic demand and investment. Private final consumption expenditure increased significantly owing to low level of inflation rate in line with low prices in major products, particularly oil prices. Moreover, general government final consumption expenditure and public investment expanded greatly as a consequence of the acceleration in disbursement of loan program for the development of water resources management system and land transport system (priority project). Such accelerated domestic demand resulted in the expansion in GDP, contributed mainly by non-agricultural sector. Nonagricultural sector with highly increasing growth was seen in construction; and hotels and restaurants, moreover manufacturing; transportation and storage; and financial and insurance activities showed favorable growths. On the contrary, agricultural sector continued to decline due to the contraction in major crops as a result of the drought. Overall production of 2015 at current market prices valued at Baht 13,672,851 million. After deducting Baht 708,974 million of net factor income from the rest of the world, Gross National Product (GNP) registered at Baht 12,963,877 million, with a 3.6% growth. Given further deduction of net indirect taxes and depreciation, National Income (NI) of 2015 valued at Baht 9,271,795 million. The per capita GDP was Baht 203,356, per capita GNP was Baht 192,812 while per capita NI was Baht 137,899, higher than that of Baht 134,765 in 2014 or a 2.3% growth. Agricultural production continually decreased by 5.7%, compared to a decline of 0.6% previously. This was due to a contraction in major crops production as a result of the drought such as paddy, oil palm, rubber, and fruits. However, livestock production increased by 7.9%, owing to an expansion in swine and hen s egg. Fishery production kept declining by 2.3%, better than a fall of 13.3% in 2014 following lower production of marine fishery. This was mainly due to the IUU fishing regulation and the fishing concession discontinuity for Thai s fishing boats by Indonesia. Non-agricultural production grew by 3.9%, higher than a growth of 1.1% in the previous year, led by a recovery of manufacturing sector with a 1.5% growth. This was seen in some major activities such as petroleum refinery, chemical and chemical product, and rubber and plastic product. In addition, construction sector grew sharply by 17.0%, due mainly to a high expansion in public construction, as well as a remarkable increase in service sectors that related to tourism including hotels and restaurants (14.6%), and transportation (5.1%), following a high number of foreign tourists with a growth of 20.6% in Gross Regional and Provincial Product, Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

4 GDP Growth Rate and Production Income Structure (%) Growth rate in real terms Structure in nominal terms Agriculture Agriculture, hunting and forestry Fishing Non-agriculture Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Electricity, gas and water supply Construction Hotels and restaurants Transport, storage and communications Financial intermediation Real estate, renting and business activities Public administration and defense; Education Health and social work Other community, social and personal service activities Private households with employed persons GDP Regional production showed favorable growth in almost all regions. Bangkok and its vicinities, and the South showed the highest growth rate at 4.1%, followed by the Central, the Northeast, the West, and the East which grew by 2.6%, 2.3%, 2.1%, and 1.8%, respectively. Nonetheless, the North decreased by 0.9%, compared to a decline of 2.1% in Growth Rate and Production Income Structure by Region (%) Region Growth rate in real terms Structure in nominal terms Northeast North South East West Central Bangkok and vicinities Whole Kingdom The production income distribution, measuring from proportion of the gross regional product (GRP) to GDP, changed slightly in Bangkok and its vicinities showed a higher share which increased from 45.6% in 2014 to 46.8% in 2015, and the South increased from 8.6% in 2014 to 8.8% in Meanwhile, the production structure of the East, the Northeast, and the North decreased from 18.1%, 9.9%, and 8.3% in 2014 to 17.6%, 9.7%, and 7.8% in 2015, respectively. Gross Regional and Provincial Product, Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

5 The Central and the West kept the same proportion as the previous year at 5.8% and 3.6%, respectively. The major sectors of each region can be described as follows: Bangkok and vicinities was considered to be the highest share of GRP, posted at 46.8%, contributed mainly by manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, and financial intermediation. The East recorded a share of 17.6% of GRP, led by manufacturing, mining and quarrying, and wholesale and retail trade. The Northeast posted a 9.7% share of GRP, originated by the agriculture, hunting and forestry; manufacturing; and education. The South covered 8.8% of GRP, contributed by the agriculture, hunting and forestry; manufacturing; and hotels and restaurants. The North accounted for 7.8% of GRP, led by the agriculture, hunting and forestry; manufacturing; and wholesale and retail trade. The Central accounted for 5.8% of GRP, led by manufacturing; wholesale and retail trade; and the agriculture, hunting and forestry. Lastly, the West recorded as a share of 3.6% of GRP, attributed to the manufacturing; agriculture, hunting and forestry; and electricity, gas and water supply. GRP per capita still showed high disparity between the East, the highest level at Baht 432,712 per annum, and the Northeast, the lowest level at Baht 70,906 per annum. The difference was 6.1 times. The highest GRP per capita was ranked from the East, Bangkok and vicinities, the Central, the West, the South, the North, and the Northeast, respectively. GPP per capita revealed that the high GPP per capita belonged to the East, Bangkok and vicinities, the Central, and the South, while the lowest GPP per capita was the Northeast. The largest gap in GPP per capita emerged between Rayong, the highest, and Nong Bua Lam Phu, the lowest, with GPP per capita of Baht 982,500 per annum and Baht 41,963 per annum, respectively. It was 23.4 times difference. In 2015, the five provinces with the highest GPP per capita were Rayong, Bangkok metropolis, Chon Buri, Phra Nakhon Sri Ayuthaya, and Chachoengsao, respectively. On the contrary, Nong Bua Lam Phu, Yasothon, Kalasin, Am Nat Charoen, and Narathiwat, were ranked in the five lowest GPP per capita, respectively. GRP per capita and Growth rate in Region GRP per capita (Baht/year) Growth rate (%) Northeast 69,850 70, North 95,461 90, South 125, , East 436, , West 130, , Central 243, , BKK & vicinities 391, , GDP 197, , GPP per capita in 2015 (Baht per annum) The highest 10 s The lowest 10 s 1. Rayong 982, Nong Bua Lam Phu 41, Bangkok Metropolis 513, Yasothon 47, Chonburi 491, Kalasin 51, Phra Nakhon Sri Ayuthaya 475, Am Nat Charoen 51, Chachoengsao 399, Narathiwat 54, Samut Sakhon 364, Chaiyaphum 55, Prachinburi 345, Roi Et 55, Samut Prakan 339, Si Sa Ket 56, Phuket 306, Surin 56, Nakhon Pathom 288, Mae Hong Son 56,862 Gross Regional and Provincial Product, Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

6 Contents Page Preface Revision to this publication Executive summary Gross Regional and Provincial Production Regional economy situations 29 The Northeast 30 The North 32 The South 34 The East 36 The West 37 The Central 39 Bangkok and vicinities Gross regional and provincial product per capita 42 Statistical Tables 50 Gross Regional and Provincial Product, Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

7 Gross Regional and Provincial Product in Regional economy Overall regional economy The regional economy in 2015 showed favorable growth in almost all regions. A region with the highest expansion among all regions was Bangkok and vicinities with an increase of 4.1%, compared with a 3.5% rise in 2014, followed by the South, the Central, the Northeast, the West, and the East with a growth of 4.1%, 2.6%, 2.3%, 2.1%, and 1.8%, respectively.the rest of the country, the North, decreased by 0.9%, improved from a decline of 2.1% in Production income structure Production income structure in 2015, considered from the proportion of the gross regional product to GDP in nominal terms, showed slight changes. That of Bangkok and vicinities increased from 45.6% in 2014 to 46.8% in 2015, and the South rose from 8.6% in 2014 to 8.8% in Meanwhile, the East, the Northeast, and the North decreased from 18.1%, 9.9%, and 8.3% in 2014 to 17.6%, 9.7%, and 7.8% in 2015, respectively. Furthermore, the share of GRP to GDP of the Central and the West remained at the same portion as the previous year at 5.8% and 3.6%, respectively. Regional Growth Rate and Production Income Structure (%) Region Growth rate in real terms Structure in nominal terms Northeast North South East West Central Bangkok & vicinities Whole kingdom Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition 29

8 The regional production The Northeast Overview Gross regional product (GRP) in real terms increased by 2.3%, improved from a fall of 0.8% in This was because the non-agriculture production increased by 3.3%, in contrast to a decrease of 2.6% in the previous year. While, the agricultural production decreased by 1.1%, falling from a rise of 4.3% in the previous year. Agricultural production decreased by 1.1%, in contrast to an increase of 4.3% in This was mainly due to the decline of the agriculture by 1.1%, compared with a rise of 4.7% in the previous year. Such a decrease was seen from lower major crops production, namely paddy in NAKHON RATCHASIMA, ROI ET, SURIN and SI SA KET. Fishery production decreased by 1.4%, better than a fall 20.8% in the previous year. While, agricultural services also increased, Livestock production and forestry slowed down in comparison to the previous year. Northeastern Production Income Structure for 2015 in nominal terms % 15.0 Northeastern GRP Growth Rate Others 34.8% Agriculture 20.3% Manufacturing 18.4% year Trade 11.9% Education 14.6% Agriculture Manufacturing Education Trade GRP Non-agricultural production increased by 3.3%, in contrast to a fall of 2.6% in Such an increase was from manufacturing, which accounted for the highest share in non-agricultural production, increased by 3.7%, compared with a rise of 3.3% in the previous year. Major components of manufacturing with increasing growth included processing and preserving of meat and meat products, rubber and plastic products. Hotels and restaurants increased by 10.4%, highly rising from a rise of 2.0% in the previous year, especially in NAKHON RATCHASIMA had income derived from both Thailand and foreign tourists by 16.5%. Moreover, sectors with increasing growth were construction; wholesale and retail trade; real estate, renting and business activities; public administration and defense; other community, social; with a growth of 6.8%, 5.6%, 3.8%, 15.5% and 3.5%, compared with a drop of 3.7%, 2.8%, 18.1%, 26.2% and 1.8%, respectively. While, sectors with slower expansion were mining and quarrying; electricity, gas and water supply; financial intermediation; and health and social work; with the deceleration of 3.1%, 2.1%, 9.1% and 5.2%, compared with a rise of 5.2%, 5.6%, 9.3% and 6.6% in 2014, respectively. On the contrary, sectors with decreasing growth were transport, storage, and communications; and education services; with a decline of 2.7% and 6.3% compared with the drop of 3.4% and 1.4% in the previous year, respectively. 30 Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

9 Province Northeastern GPP Growth Rate and Production Income Structure Growth rate in real terms Structure in nominal terms Khon Kaen Udon thani Loei Nong Khai Mukdahan Nakhon Phanom Sakon Nakhon Kalasin Nakhon Ratchasima Chaiyaphum Yasothon Ubon Ratchathani Roi Et Buri Ram Surin Maha Sarakham Si Sa Ket Nong Bua Lam Phu Am Nat Chareon Bueng Kan GRP (%) 2 Changwat Bueng Kan was established under the Act Establishing Changwat Bueng Kan, Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition 31

10 The North Overview Gross regional product (GRP) in real terms declined by 0.9%, compared with a drop of 2.1% in This was because the non-agriculture production that increased by 3.2%, in contrast to a drop of 0.6% in the previous year. The agricultural decreased by 10.3%, compared with a fall of 5.2% in the previous year. Agricultural production decreased by 10.3%, compared with a drop of 5.2% in The contraction of the agricultural sector decreased by 10.4%, compared to a drop of 5.0% in the previous year, because of the decrease in crops production from drought, like paddy in NAKHON SAWAN, sugarcane in KAM PHAENG PHET and NAKHON SAWAN and fruits in CHIANG MAI. Agricultural services decreased slightly. Fishery production declined by 1.4% better than a fall of 20.8% in the previous year. On the contrary, livestock production and forestry increased in comparison to the previous year. Others 48.4% Northern Production Income Structure for 2015 in nominal terms Trade 12.3% Agriculture 25.5% Manufacturing 13.8% % Northern GRP Growth Rate year Agriculture Manufacturing Trade GRP Non-agricultural production increased by 3.2%, improving from a fall of 0.6% in Such expension was mainly from sectors with increasing, namely were electricity, gas and water supply; and transport, storage, and communications with a rise of 3.6% and 6.1%, compared with 2.8% and 3.2% in the previous year, inspectively. In addition, construction; wholesale and retail trade; real estate, renting and business activities; public administration and defense; other community, social and personal service activities accelerated by 13.4%, 1.8%, 2.5%, 6.1%, and 4.8%, in contrast to a decrease of 5.6%, 0.1%, 6.1%, 24.4% and 1.6%, respectively. While, some sectors slowed down namely, financial intermediation; education services; health and social work with a growth of 8.6%, 0.3% and 4.0%, lower than a rise of 9.0%, 3.8%, and 7.1%, respectively. For hotels and restaurants sector, it even expanded 13.2%, it remained high compared to other sectors. This was seen from CHIANG MAI, the highest propotion in this region, of which revenue was originated from tourism both from Thai and foreign tourists with a rise of 12.1%, compared with a rise of 24.9% in On the other hand, manufacturing, the major sectors, dropped by 0.5%, in contrast to a rise of 4.2% in previous year, as a result of the processing of chicken in PHETCHABUN, and sugar production in KAM PHAENG PHET and NAKHON SAWAN declined from the previous year. Moreover, a sector with decreasing growth was mining and quarrying which dropped by 2.0%, better than a fall of 2.8% in 2014 due to a contraction in lignite mining and production of crude petroleum. 32 Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

11 Province Northern GPP Growth Rate and Production Income Structure Growth rate in real terms Structure in nominal terms Chiang Mai Lampang Uttaradit Mae Hong Son Chiang Rai Phrae Lamphun Nan Phayao Nakhon Sawan Pitsanulok Kam Phaeng Phet Uthai Thani Sukothai Tak Phichit Petchabun GRP (%) Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition 33

12 The South Overview Gross regional product (GRP) accelerated by 4.1%, better than a 0.3% decrease in This was attributed to a significant increase in non-agricultural production with a 7.3% growth, improving from a decline of 0.4% in the previous year. However, agricultural production continually decreased by 4.7%, lower than a decline of 0.1% in Agricultural production continued to decline by 4.7%, compared to a fall of 0.1% in 2014, as a result of a 5.1% drop in agriculture, hunting and forestry in contrast to a rise of 1.9% the previous year. This was due to unfavorable weather condition and agricultural prices slump. A decline in major crops production included rubber, oil palm, and fruits. Moreover, fishing production kept declining by 2.5%, better than a drop of 12.3% in 2014; particularly marine fishing due to the mitigation of Early Mortality Syndrome (EMS) in shrimp, and a contraction in fish production as a consequence of the IUU fishing regulation together with the fishing concession discontinuity for Thai s fishing boats by Indonesia. Meanwhile, production of freshwater fishing showed continual contraction. Others 47.6% Southern Production Income Structure for 2015 in nominal terms Hotels and restaurants 11.7% Agriculture 19.7% Manufacturing 10.6% Trade 10.4% Non-agricultural production grew by 7.3%, accelerated from a fall of 0.4% in the previous year. This was mainly from an expansion in almost all major sectors. Sectors with increasing growth included hotels and restaurants with a growth of 19.7%, greatly higher than a growth of 4.3% in the previous year, especially Phuket, Surat Thani, and Songkhla due to improving in tourists confidence after the political situation eased up. In addition, the cooperation of both public and private sectors stimulated tourism and relevant sectors, namely, wholesale and retail trade with a rise of 6.1%, better than a decline of 3.5% in 2014, on account of higher demand of residents and visitors in line with the government s economic stimulus schemes by the end of 2015 which helped boost spending. Moreover, public administration and defense increased significantly by 14.9%, recovered from a contraction of 24.3% in Mining and quarrying grew by 9.0%, compared to a growth of 0.7% in 2014, owing to an increase in natural gas production. Construction accelerated by 12.6%, in contrast to a decline of 7.8% in the previous year, due mainly to a high expansion in public construction as a result of the acceleration in disbursement of loan program for the development of roads and water resources management system. Real estate, renting, and business activities expanded by 3.0%, improved from a decline of 9.8% in the previous year, as a consequence of higher demand in residential buildings and other buildings. Other community, social and personal service activities grew by 8.2%, in contrast to a reduction of 2.8% in 34 Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition % Southern GRP Growth Rate Agriculture Trade Others year Manufacturing Hotels and restaurants

13 the previous year. Nonetheless, transport, storage, and communications increased only by 8.9%, compared to an increase of 13.1% in Education rose only by 1.3%, slowed down from a rise of 4.0% in Financial intermediation rose by 4.6%, lower than a rise of 7.6% in the previous year. Health services grew by 4.7% slowing down from 5.9% in Sectors with decreasing growth were manufacturing which declined by 1.2%, in contrast to a rise of 0.9% previously. The declined industries were canned seafood and frozen seafood industries owing to raw material shortage, and the GSP exclusion of Thailand; and non-metallic products industry as a consequence of the changes in patterns and technology of buildings construction, and resulted to a lower demand of cements and concrete products. In addition, electricity, gas and water supply declined by 1.1%, in contrast to an increase of 4.5% in the previous year. Southern GPP Growth Rate and Production Income Structure (%) Province Growth rate in real terms Structure in nominal terms Phuket SuratThani Ranong Phangnga Krabi Chumphon Nakhon Si Thammarat Songkhla Satun Yala Trang Narathiwat Phatthalung Pattani GRP Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition 35

14 The East Overview Gross regional product (GRP) in 2015 grew by 1.8%, improving from a 0.6% growth in The non-agricultural production, accounting for 93.0% of total production, increased by 2.1%, compared to a rise of 0.5% in Meanwhile, the agricultural production, accounting for 7.0% of total production, showed a fall of 2.8%, in contrast to a rise of 2.9% in Agricultural production reduced by 2.8%, falling from a rise of 2.9% in Both of agriculture, hunting and forestry; and fishery production declined. Agriculture, hunting and forestry dropped by 2.8%, in contrast to a rise of 3.9% in the previous year. This was from a decrease of crops production, particularly fruits with a fall of 1.7%. Major fruits yields decreased, including durian, rambutan, and mangosteen. In addition, rubber yields also declined by 0.9%. However, livestocks production increased by 7.8% as a result of an increase in production of swine and chicken with a growth of 11.1%, and 7.3%, respectively. Fishery production declined by 2.5%, better than a 6.9% drop in 2014, as production of marines fishery decreased by 2.6%, improved from a reduction of 5.3% in the previous year. Agriculture 6.4% Eastern Production Income Structure for 2015 in nominal terms Trade 9.4% Others 24.5% Mining 11.9% Manufacturing 47.8% % Eastern GRP Growth Rate year Agriculture Manufacturing Trade Mining GRP Non-agricultural production continued to grow by 2.1%, compared to a rise of 0.5% in 2014 as a result of manufacturing, a major sector with the highest share of Eastern production, increased by 0.9%, compared to a rise of 0.6% in Such an expansion was seen from major manufacturing industries in Industrial Estates located in Rayong and Chon Buri, namely, petroleum refinery with a rise of 4.6% in response to higher domestic demand and lower oil prices; chemical and chemical products with a 9.3% growth on account of an increase in petrochemical manufacturing following higher demand in downstream industries in both domestic and trading partners; foods products and beverages with a 2.8% growth, especially processing and preserving of meat and meat products; as well as rubber and plastic products with a 8.1% growth because of higher demand in plastics articles for the packaging of goods. On the other hand, the contraction was found in some manufacturing industries, namely, motor vehicles with a fall of 7.6%, better than an 8.0% fall in the previous year; office, accounting and computing machinery with a drop of 4.8%, due to lower production in computers and parts; electrical machinery and apparatus with a decline of 2.5% as a result of a decrease in households electrical machinery in line with lower domestic demand and exports. Meanwhile, sectors with favorable expansion included mining and quarrying with a rise of 1.1%. This was from a rise of petroleum and 36 Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

15 natural gas production, especially crude oil production with an increase of 11.0% in major oil fields, namely, Manora, Yala, Karpong and Maliwan, together with the discovery of two new crude oil fields offshore, namely, Nong Yao and Wassana. In addition, liquefied natural gas production rose by 1.9%. On the other hand, natural gas production declined by 4.7%. Moreover, sectors with favorable expansion included wholesale and retail trade; electricity, gas and water supply; transport, storage and communications; and hotels and restaurants which grew by 2.5%, 9.4%, 1.4%, and 23.4%, respectively. However, other major sectors fell covering public administration and defense; ; and education which dropped by 8.2%, and 1.7%, respectively. Eastern GPP Growth Rate and Production Income Structure (%) Growth rate in real terms Structure in nominal terms Province Chonburi Chachoengsao Rayong Trat Chanthaburi Nakhon Nayok Prachinburi Sa Kaeo GRP The West Overview Gross regional product (GRP) grew by 2.1%, rising from a growth of 0.7% in This was mainly due to the increase in non-agricultural production by 4.7%, higher than a rise of 0.7% in Meanwhile the agricultural production decreased by 7.9%, in contrast to a rise of 0.8% in the previous year. Agricultural production decreased by 7.9%, in contrast to a rise of 0.8% in This was due to a decrease in the agriculture, hunting, and forestry by 8.3%, lower than a rise of 1.6% in the previous year, as a result of a drop in crops production in line with unfavorable weather condition. Major crops with decreasing growth were seen in paddy, sugarcane, particularly in Suphanburi, and Kanchanaburi. Livestock production showed favorable growth, led by production of swine in response to rising in demand. Fishing production fell by 2.3%, better than a decrease of 11.7% in the previous year, because the recovery of EMS in shrimps. Meanwhile, production of freshwater fishing still shrank. Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition 37

16 Others 39.8% Western Production Income Structure for 2015 in nominal terms Elec., gas & water supply 10.5% Trade 10.3% Manufacturing 22.4% Agriculture 17.0% Non-agricultural production accelerated by 4.7%, compared to a rise of 0.7% in 2014 due to a rise in wholesale and retail trade with an increase of 6.6%, higher than a growth of 3.1% in the previous year in line with high domestic demand as well as the government s economic stimulus scheme by the end of 2015; electricity, gas and water supply with a growth of 14.5%, rising greatly from a growth of 3.2% in 2014 due mainly to an expansion in electricity consumption; transport, storage, and communications with a rise of 10.4% in contrast to a drop of 0.6% in the previous year owing to an increase in transport services and related services; hotels and restaurants with a growth of 14.5%, higher than 7.8% in 2014; real estate, renting and business activities with a rise of 6.8%, in contrast to a fall of 8.2% in 2014 as a result of an expansion in real estate activities with leased property; mining and quarrying with an acceleration of 67.5%, in contrast to a fall of 3.8% in 2014 due mainly to an expansion in quarrying of stone, sand and clay for construction in response to higher demand in public construction; construction rising with a growth of 4.3%; other community, social and personal service activities with a rise of 4.1%, better than a drop of 3.9% in 2014; financial intermediation with an increase of 9.7%, and lastly health services with an addition of 4.0% as a consequence of an expansion in private hospital activities. However, other sectors with decreasing growth were manufacturing, major sector of regional production, with a fall of 1.8%, in contrast to a rise of 2.3% in This was due to the lower production in manufacturing of processing and preserving of food products; sugar due to raw material shortage; and electrical machinery and equipment. Education declined by 11.2%, lower than a rise of 2.1% in the previous year. Public administration and defense also dropped by 0.8%, compared to a fall of 23.0% in % Western GRP Growth Rate Manufacturing Agriculture Trade Elec., gas & water supply GRP year 38 Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

17 Western GPP Growth Rate and Production Income Structure (%) Province Growth rate in real terms Structure in nominal terms Ratchaburi Kanchanaburi PhachuapKhiri Khan Phetchaburi SuphanBuri SamutSongkhram GRP The Central Overview Gross regional product (GRP) in 2015 rose by 2.6%, improved from a reduction of 7.5% in 2014 as a result of an increase in non-agricultural production with a 4.2% growth, better than a fall of 7.4% in the previous year. On the contrary, agricultural production dropped by 16.1% in comparison to a decrease of 8.3% in Agricultural production continued to contract by 16.1%, compared to a fall of 8.3% in 2014, caused by the drought, the delay of rainy season as well as water shortage for growing of crops. Major crops, namely, paddy continued to shrink by 32.9% in comparison to a 12.7% contraction in the previous year, and sugarcane with a decrease of 0.8%, compared to a decline of 0.9% in Meanwhile, livestock production increased by 4.7% from a rise of 4.5% in 2014; contributed mainly by production of raw milk, chicken, and swine. Fishing production dropped due to a decline in freshwater fishing by 1.3%, improving from a reduction of 20.8% in Agriculture 5.4% Trade 9.9% Central Production Income Structure for 2015 in nominal terms Others 25.6% manufacturing 59.1% % Central GRP Growth Rate year Manufacturing Trade Agriculture GRP Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition 39

18 Non-agricultural production accelerated by 4.2%, in contrast to a decrease of 7.4% in 2014, due to an increase in major sectors, especially manufacturing with an increase of 7.8%, recovering from a contraction of 9.8% in This was a result of the acceleration in motor vehicles production by 35.6%, led by passenger cars production, particularly Eco Car of which production base is located in Ayutthaya in response to higher exports to EU countries together with the recovery of parts and accessories production. Moreover, production of beverages grew by 10.9%. This was due to a high production in spirits and beer on account of an expansion in domestic demand and the number of foreign tourists. On the other hand, industries with a contraction were seen in food products as a result of a decrease in rice milling; radio, television and communication equipment and apparatus due to a decline in television production of which production base has been moved to neighbor countries. Major sectors showed increasing growth included wholesale and retail trade with an increase of 3.0% following higher domestic demand together with the government s economic stimulus packages by the end of 2015 enhanced the consumer spending; and transport, storage and communications with a rise of 2.6%, due to an expansion in freight transport. However, public administration and defense; ; electricity, gas and water supply, and education declined by 11.5%, 8.0%, and 9.2%, respectively. Central GPP Growth Rate and Production Income Structure Growth rate in real terms Structure in nominal terms Province Saraburi Singburi Chai Nat Ang Thong Lopburi Phra Nakhon Sri Ayuthaya GRP (%) 40 Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

19 Bangkok and vicinities Overview Gross regional product (GRP) in 2015 expanded by 4.1%, compared to a 3.5% growth in 2014, as the non-agricultural production, accounting for 99.2% of total production, increased by 4.2%, higher than a rise of 3.6% in Meanwhile, agricultural production decreased by 3.2%, improved from a reduction of 7.0% in the preceding year. Agricultural production decreased by 3.2%, better than a fall of 7.0% in 2014, as agricultural production continued to contract by 3.6%, compared to a fall of 2.0% in Such a contraction was from lower production of paddy with a decline of 19.3%, lower than a 9.5% decrease in 2014, particularly, in Nakhon Pathom and Pathum Thani. Moreover, fishing production dropped by 2.4%, improved from a fall of 16.8% in the previous year. The improvement was from freshwater fishing with a decrease of 1.3%, improving greatly from a fall of 20.8% in the preceding year, moreover, marines fishing also declined by 2.6%, better than a 16.0% fall in the previous year because the Early Mortality Syndrome (EMS) in shrimps receded, especially in Samut Sakhon. Bangkok & Vicinities Production Income Structure for 2015 in nominal terms % 20.0 BKK & Vicinities GRP Growth Rate Others 34.8% Manufacturing 24.0% year Transports 10.6% Financial 11.2% Trade 19.4% Manufacturing Trade Financial Transports GRP Non-agricultural production grew by 4.2%, rising from an increase of 3.6% in Manufacturing, a major sector, grew by 0.4%, compared with a 1.7% growth in The industries that still expanded were food products and beverages with an increase of 1.6%. This was due to the expansion in the processing and preserving of fruits and vegetables industry; spirits and beer industry; chemicals and chemical products with a rise of 2.5% as a result of an increase in the production of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemical and botanical products; perfumes, cosmetics, and other fragrances. Moreover, rubber and plastic products rose by 3.9%. On the contrary, textiles production dropped by 5.9% on account of lower demand in both domestic and foreign markets. Moreover, materials for downstream industries were highly imported. Wearing apparel contracted by 5.6% because of the relocation of production base to the neighbor countries along with a contraction in exports. In addition, motor vehicles production also dropped by 12.1%, in particular, from the factory in Samut Prakan. On the contrary, sectors with increasing growth included wholesale and retail trade with a rise of 3.9%, due to a 4.1% rise in trade following higher domestic demand. In addition, a significant increase in the number of foreign tourists together with the government economic stimulus packages by the end of 2015 enhanced the consumer spending. Repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles rose by 3.2%. Financial and Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition 41

20 insurance activities expanded by 9.3%, compared to a 6.5% growth in the previous year. This resulted from a continuing increase in operating income of financial institutions following a rise of both personal loan and commercial loan. In addition, income from fees and other services also rose. For insurance services, both life insurances and non-life insurances grew continuously. Transport, storage and communications increased by 5.4%, compared to a growth of 3.1% in the previous year. Such expansion mainly attributed to an acceleration in air transports and other supporting transport activities by 15.6%, in contrast to a fall of 3.8% in the previous year as a result of the increase in freights and a number of passengers following higher number of tourists, meanwhile land transport fell by 5.6% owing mainly to a drop in transport of passenger. Moreover, water transport delined by 2.3%. Post and telecommunications expanded by 9.5%. Real estate activities sector grew by 1.6%, compared to a 4.2% growth in This was partly due to higher real estate transaction following a government measure in real estate sector to reduce transfer and mortgage fees from 2.0% to 0.01% in the last quarter of Hotels and restaurants grew by 12.3%, accelerated from a 1.1% growth in 2014, increasing in both hotels and restaurants services in response to rising number of foreign and domestic tourists. Bangkok & Vicinities GPP Growth Rate and Production Income Structure (%) Province Growth rate in real terms Structure in nominal terms Bangkok Metropolis Samut Prakan Pathum Thani Samut Sakhon Nakhon Pathom Nonthaburi GRP GRP and GPP per capita 3 GRP per capita in 2015 showed that the region with the highest GRP per capita was the East, stood at 432,712 Baht per year. The Northeast scored the lowest level, stood at 70,906 Baht per year. The difference was 6.1 times, lowter than the difference of 6.2 times in GRP per capita was ranked from the highest to the lowest as follows: the East, Bangkok and vicinities, the Central, the West, the South, the North, and the Northeast, respectively. Overall, GDP per capita in 2015 was 203,356 Baht per year, higher than 197,062 Baht per year in GRP or GPP per capita is simply the value of total GRP or GPP divided by the number of people in the area. GRP or GPP per capita does not reflect how wealthy the people really are; it only shows how well off they would be if everybody got an equal share of what the economy produces. 42 Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

21 In terms of the growth rate, GRP per capita in 2015, in Bangkok and vicinities, and the South expanded by 4.9%, and 4.5%; the Central, the West increased as the same rate by 3.3%; and the Northeast increased by 1.5%. However, the North, and the East, fell by 2.5%, and 0.8%. Regarding GDP per capita, it grew at higher rate of 3.2%. GPP per capita showed that the highest 10 GPP per capita belonged to Bangkok and vicinities, the East, the Central, and the South. The top 10 were Rayong, Bangkok Metropolis, Chonburi, Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya, Chachoengsao, Samut Sakhon, Prachinburi, Samut Prakan, Saraburi, Phuket and Nakhon Pathom, respectively. All of which contained non-agricultural production as major productions, namely, manufacturing; wholesale and retail trade; financial intermediation; transport, storage and communications; hotels and restaurants; and real estate, renting and business activities. The lowest 10 GPP per capita belonged to the Northeast, the North, and the South. As most provinces in these regions had most of their income generated from agricultural activities, which were high uncertainty in both yields and prices. Moreover, the non-agricultural production, especially industrial productions, had not spreaded across these areas yet; reflecting by less investment in the non-agricultural production, led to lower GPP in these regions. The 10 lowest GPP per capita provinces were Nong Bua Lam Phu, Yasothon, Kalasin, Am Nat Charoen, Narathiwat, Chaiyaphum, Roi Et, Si Sa Ket, Surin and Mae Hong Son. Rayong was the province which had the highest GPP per capita level at 982,500 Baht in 2015, such income was mostly from petroleum refinery; chemicals and chemical products production; and rubber and plastic production, including mining and quarrying mainly from the increase in production of crude oil and natural gas. Meanwhile, Nong Bua Lam Phu had the lowest GPP per capita at 41,963 Baht in 2015, whose income was mainly from the agricultural production. In addition, the difference of GPP per capita between Rayong and Nong Bua Lam Phu was 23.4 times in 2015, less than 23.7 times in 2014, representing the structure of income distribution of the country is in line with the previous year. GRP Per Capita Region Baht/year Growth rate (%) Northeast 69,850 70, North 95,461 93, South 125, , East 436, , West 130, , Central 243, , Bangkok & Vicinities 391, , Whole Kingdom 197, , Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition 43

22 GPP per capita in 2015 (Baht/year) Province Baht per year Province Baht per year 1. Rayong 982, Ranong 91, Bangkok Metropolis 513, Suphan Buri 90, Chon Buri 491, Yala 89, Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya 475, Tak 88, Chachoengsao 399, Ang Thong 87, Samut Sakhon 364, Lampang 84, Prachinburi 345, Udon Thani 82, Samut Prakan 339, Chiang Rai 81, Phuket 306, Chai Nat 81, Nakhon Pathom 288, Phayao 80, Saraburi 284, Nong Khai 78, Pathum Thani 236, Udon Thani 78, Chanthaburi 218, Loei 77, Krabi 217, Pattani 73, Ratchaburi 204, Uttaradit 71, Nonthaburi 193, Phichit 68, Surat Thani 183, Nakhon Phanom 66, Phangnga 177, Ubon Ratchathani 65, Phachuap Khiri Khan 171, Nan 64, Songkhla 153, Mukdahan 61, Chumphon 151, Phrae 61, Trat 148, Sa Kaeo 60, Lamphun 142, Phatthalung 60, Lop Buri 129, Bueng Kan 60, Chiang Mai 126, Sukothai 59, Phetchaburi 123, Buri Ram 58, Kam Phaeng Phet 123, Sakon Nakhon 57, Satun 112, Maha Sarakham 57, Singburi 111, Mae Hong Son 56, Khon Kaen 107, Surin 56, Samut Songkhram 106, Si Sa Ket 56, Kanchanaburi 106, Roi Et 55, Nakhon Ratchasima 106, Chaiyaphum 55, Nakhon Nayok 102, Narathiwat 54, Nakhon Sawan 99, Am Nat Chareon 51, Trang 96, Kalasin 51, Phetchabun 92, Yasothon 47, Nakhon Si Thammarat 91, Nong Bua Lam Phu 41, Phitsanulok 91, Gross Regional and Provincial Product Chain Volume Measures 2015 Edition

23 ตารางสถ ต STATISTICAL TABLES

24 0000 WHOLE KINGDOM NORTHEASTERN NORTHERN SOUTHERN EASTERN WESTERN CENTRAL BANGKOK AND VICINITIES 57 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT CLASSIFIED BY REGIONS KHON KAEN UDON THANI LOEI NONG KHAI MUKDAHAN NAKHON PHANOM SAKON NAKHON KALASIN NAKHON RATCHASIMA CHAIYAPHUM YASOTHON UBON RATCHATHANI ROI ET BURI RAM SURIN MAHA SARAKHAM SI SA KET NONG BUA LAM PHU AM NAT CHAREON BUENG KAN 79

25 0201 CHIANG MAI LAMPANG UTTARADIT MAE HONG SON CHIANG RAI PHRAE LAMPHUN NAN PHAYAO NAKHON SAWAN PHITSANULOK KAM PHAENG PHET UTHAI THANI SUKOTHAI TAK PHICHIT PHETCHABUN PHUKET SURAT THANI RANONG PHANGNGA KRABI CHUMPHON NAKHON SI THAMMARAT SONGKHLA SATUN YALA TRANG NARATHIWAT PHATTHALUNG PATTANI 113

26 0401 CHON BURI CHACHOENGSAO RAYONG TRAT CHANTHABURI NAKHON NAYOK PRACHINBURI SA KAEO RATCHABURI KANCHANABURI PHACHUAP KHIRI KHAN PHETCHABURI SUPHAN BURI SAMUT SONGKHRAM SARABURI SINGBURI CHAI NAT ANG THONG LOP BURI PHRA NAKHON SRI AYUTHAYA BANGKOK METROPOLIS SAMUT PRAKAN PATHUM THANI SAMUT SAKHON NAKHON PATHOM NONTHABURI 147 GROSS PROVINCIAL CLUSTER PRODUCT 150 GRP, GPP, GRP PER CAPITA AND GPP PER CAPITA IN 2013p 170

27 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND GROSS REGIONAL PRODUCT

28 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AT CURRENT MARKET PRICES WHOLE KINGDOM (Millions of Baht) Agriculture 978, ,606 1,137,575 1,310,996 1,421,961 1,462,764 1,330,155 1,192,671 Agriculture, hunting and forestry 881, ,282 1,036,201 1,201,018 1,308,901 1,359,991 1,220,163 1,088,855 Fishing 96, , , , , , , ,816 Non-Agriculture 8,728,913 8,713,057 9,670,566 9,995,911 10,935,442 11,458,391 11,873,582 12,480,180 Mining and quarrying 330, , , , , , , ,366 Manufacturing 2,980,979 2,860,194 3,358,268 3,294,345 3,473,818 3,583,866 3,671,381 3,777,341 Electricity, Gas and Water supply 263, , , , , , , ,640 Construction 266, , , , , , , ,134 1,388,317 1,429,988 1,568,567 1,628,791 1,776,739 1,801,104 1,869,943 2,011,010 Hotels and restaurants 298, , , , , , , ,141 Transport, storage and communications 728, , , , , , , ,761 Financial intermediation 523, , , , , , ,478 1,044,066 Real estate, renting and business activities 667, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,209 Education 372, , , , , , , ,217 Health and social work 149, , , , , , , ,938 Other community, social and personal service activities 164, , , , , , , ,836 Private households with employed persons 16,675 17,370 17,906 20,503 22,623 23,297 24,774 27,809 Gross domestic product (GDP) 9,706,929 9,658,664 10,808,142 11,306,907 12,357,403 12,921,155 13,203,737 13,672,851 GDP Per capita (Baht) 148, , , , , , , ,356 Population (1,000 persons) 65,168 65,543 65,921 66,214 66,492 66,755 67,003 67,236 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT CHAIN VOLUME MEASURES (REFERENCE YEAR = 2002) WHOLE KINGDOM (Millions of Baht) Agriculture 605, , , , , , , ,806 Agriculture, hunting and forestry 462, , , , , , , ,150 Fishing 148, , , , , , , ,375 Non-Agriculture 7,113,560 7,060,858 7,652,447 7,667,632 8,268,605 8,516,267 8,610,088 8,946,378 Mining and quarrying 206, , , , , , , ,030 Manufacturing 2,369,827 2,291,400 2,551,931 2,428,627 2,596,189 2,647,163 2,649,833 2,689,792 Electricity, Gas and Water supply 237, , , , , , , ,265 Construction 203, , , , , , , ,639 1,175,913 1,145,459 1,249,228 1,253,513 1,322,509 1,335,181 1,326,562 1,378,624 Hotels and restaurants 278, , , , , , , ,411 Transport, storage and communications 689, , , , , , , ,117 Financial intermediation 352, , , , , , , ,506 Real estate, renting and business activities 633, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,127 Education 265, , , , , , , ,922 Health and social work 123, , , , , , , ,006 Other community, social and personal service activities 140, , , , , , , ,600 Private households with employed persons 16,454 17,960 17,636 18,689 19,117 17,731 16,946 17,580 Gross domestic product (CVMs) 7,710,337 7,657,089 8,232,395 8,301,560 8,902,825 9,146,100 9,229,755 9,501,222 50