Vom Rechenschieber bis zur Cloud

Transcription

1 Vom Rechenschieber bis zur Cloud Bern Zürich bbv 6/28/2018 Rudolf Meyer

2 Agenda From the Slide Rule to the Cloud 1. A Quick History 2. Cloud 3. Outlook I 4. Outlook II 5. Discussion 2

3 A Quick History

4 A Quick History Slide Rule O Industrial Revolution Steam Vehicles Octant, Parachute Lightning Rod, Rifle Artificial Dentition Preindustrial Revolutions Slide Rule Binary System Umbrella, Pendulum, Pocket Watch 4

5 Slide Rule Logarithms - Jost Bürgi ( ), Swiss horologist - John Napier ( ), Scottish mathematician - Henry Briggs ( ), Oxford professor decadal logarithms Slide Rule - Edmund Gunter ( ), Robert Bissaker (1654) Ruler - Isaac Newton ( ) Indicator Sir Frank Whitt ( ) Inventor of the turbojet engine 5

6 A Quick History Today O Industrial Revolution Steam Vehicles Octant, Parachute Lightning Rod, Rifle Artificial Dentition years (inflated timeline) -1 Preindustrial Revolutions Slide Rule Binary System Umbrella, Pendulum, Pocket Watch 6

7 January 2007 Market Capitalization 4 oil companies 3 banks 1 conglomerate 1 automaker 1 software company 7

8 January 2018 Market Capitalization 6 digital companies 1 conglomerate 1 healthcare company 1 oil company 1 bank 8

9 Market Capitalization Linear vs. Nonlinear Growth 9

10 Driving Forces of Growth 10

11 Driving Forces of Growth Three Components of the Cloud 11

12 Cloud Definition 12

13 Driving Forces of Growth: IoT, Cloud Big Data AI Cloud IoT Big Data Compute Artificial Intelligence ML, DL, RL Connect 13

14 IoT Components Edge Devices and Appliances Sensors and Actuators Gateways Aggregation Edge Computing (2017+) Platform Data Ingestion Data Analytics Policy and Orchestration Device and Platform Mgmt. Enterprise Business Applications Business Processes Edge Devices (Data) IT Services 6 14

15 IoT Components Edge Connect IoT Platform Cloud Enterprise Compute Sensors and Actuators Sensors and Actuators (Internal connection) HW/Local Connection "Smart" IoT Device IoT Device Edge Network IoT Gateway Messaging Protocols Big Data Stream Processing Platform Data Warehouse Edge Device Authentication Data Analytics? Event Processing and Policy Enterprise Authentication Dispatch and Orchestration API, Integration Gateway, ESB Application Services Line of Business System Data Analytics Workflow Process(es) Wide-Area Network Prototype Reference Architecture Source: Gartner Catalyst Conference 2016/2017

16 IoT Components Edge Edge device management: Sensors and Actuators Sensors and Actuators Sensors and Actuators (Internal Connection) HW/Local Connection (Serial, I 2 C, BLE, etc.) HW/Local Connection (Serial, I 2 C, BLE, etc.) "Smart" IoT Device Simple IoT Device Simple IoT Device Edge Network IoT Gateway Messaging Protocols Wide-Area Network Build vs. buy sensors/actors/things Provisioning, firmware updates Edge data aggregation: Gateway vs. no aggregation Local analytics vs. centralized only Wide-area network communication: Build vs. buy Public vs. private Wireless (WLAN, 3G+) vs. Wired (LAN) at customer premise customer s IT

17 IoT Components Messaging Protocols Wide-Area Network IoT Platform Stream Processing Platform Edge Device Authentication Data Warehouse Data Marketplace Data Analytics Management Edge Device Data Console Management. Visualization? Event Processing and Policy Enterprise Authentication Dispatch and Orchestration IoT platform: Type: Point solution vs. general purpose Deployment: Cloud vs. on-premises Data: Ingestion, storage, analysis, metadata Edge-platform messaging (e.g., MQTT): Publish/subscribe vs. request/response TCP vs. UDP, broker vs. broker-less Influenced by IoT platform selection Identity and security: Centralized vs. decentralized policy enforcement Identity layering, Identity provisioning End-to-end risk mitigation technologies

18 IoT Components Edge HW/Local Connection Edge Network Sensors and Actuators IoT Device IoT Gateway

19 Project Hints 1. Don t underestimate communication bandwidth constraints! 2. Don't underestimate the complexity of integration! 3. Don t fall into the «Swiss disease of Overengineering»!

20 Project Hints Edge 1 IoT Platform 4 Enterprise IT Sensors and Actuators Sensors and Actuators Sensors and Actuators (Internal connection) HW/Local Connection (Serial, I 2 C, BLE, etc.) HW/Local Connection (Serial, I 2 C, BLE, etc.) "Smart" IoT Device Simple IoT Device Simple IoT Device Edge Network IoT Gateway 2 Messaging Protocols Wide-Area Network 3 5 Stream Processing Platform Edge Device Authentication Data Warehouse Data Marketplace Data Analytics Management Edge Device Data Console Management. Visualization? Enterprise Authentication Event Dispatch Processing and and Policy Orchestration API, Integration Gateway, ESB Data Warehouse Application Services Data Visualization Data Analytics Line of Workflow Business Process(es) System Enterprise OT

21 Project Hints (IoT Protocols) Technology Description Architecture Further Information MQ Telemetry Transport (MQTT) Standard (Oasis) binary Publish/subscribe MQTT standard communication protocol for TCP-based MQTT portal lightweight machine-tomachine Broker-based MQTT GitHub transfer Advanced Message Queuing Protocol (AMQP) Constrained Application Protocol (CoAP) Data Distribution Service (DDS) XMPP Extension Protocol (XEP) Standard (Oasis and ISO/IEC) for message-oriented middleware Standard (RFC 7252) binary communication protocol for constrained nodes and networks Standard (OMG) middleware messaging protocol IoT extensions to the Extensible Messaging and Presence Protocol (XMPP) Security: SSL/TLS Publish/subscribe TCP-based Broker-based Security: SSL/TLS, SASL Request/response UDP-based Brokerless Security: DTLS Publish/subscribe UDP- and TCP-based Brokerless Security: SSL/TLS (TCP) Publish/subscribe TCP-based Broker ("node") based Security: SSL/TLS AMQP standard AMQP portal AMQP GitHub CoAP standard CoAP portal CoAP GitHub DDS standard DDS portal DDS GitHub XEP standard XMPP portal XMPP GitHub

22 IoT Architecture Industry 4.0 Architecture Project Hints (Reference Architecture) Business Model RAMI 4.0 Business Processes Enterprise Applications Integration Gateway, ESB IoT Gateway IoT Platform Constrained Edge Devices Unconstrained Edge Devices 23

23 Project Hints (Organization IT: Information Technology OT: Operation Technology) Edge: OT (Customer Operations) IoT Platform: IT-OT (Convergence) ERP, CRM, TFS, PDM, CAD, IWP, BI, Reporting, Enterprise IT Sensors and Actuators Sensors and Actuators (Internal connection) HW/Local Connection (Serial, I 2 C, BLE, etc.) "Smart" IoT Device Simple IoT Device Edge Network IoT Gateway Messaging Protocols Stream Processing Platform Edge Device Authentication Data Warehouse Data Marketplace Data Analytics? Enterprise Authentication API/ Integration Gateway Data Warehouse Application Services Data Visualization Data Analytics Sensors and Actuators HW/Local Connection (Serial, I 2 C, BLE, etc.) Simple IoT Device Wide-Area Network Event Dispatch Processing and and Policy Orchestration Management Edge Device Data Console Management. Visualization Line of Workflow Business Process(es) System Enterprise OT SCADA, DCS, BMS, Analytics, Monitoring, general purpose Customer Operation MES, PLC, DCS, CNC,

24 Project Hints (Organization IT: Information Technology OT: Operation Technology) Wanna upgrade? IT IT-OT (Convergence) OT Yes, new features! we might consider Go to hell! Don t you touch my systems! 25

25 Project Hints (Organization IT: Information Technology) UNDERSTAND, and Contribute CONTRIBUTE, and Shape MASTER, and Shape

26 Product Hint: Impact on Software Solution Design E-Commerce, E-Support, E-Business, E-Services, MASTER, and DEFINE (!) CONTRIBUTE, and Shape (!) SUPPORT, and Shape

27 Impact on Software Solution Design

28 Lookback O Industrial Revolution Steam Vehicles Octant, Parachute Lightning Rod, Rifle Artificial Dentition Preindustrial Revolution Slide Rule Binary System Umbrella, Pendulum, Pocket Watch 29

29 Google Translate

30 Active Highway

31 User Centric Computing Augmented Reality

32 Digital Transformation Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

33 Digital Transformation Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

34 Digital Transformation Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

35 Digital Transformation Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

36 Digital Transformation Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

37 Digital Transformation: Players and Stages Three Types of Players: Industry Incumbents Traditional Players Tech Entrepreneurs Original Disruptors Digital Giants New Influencers Three Phases of Transformation: Innovation Disruption Transformation Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

38 Disruption Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

39 Automotive, Mobility New Players Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

40 Disruption

41 Outlook I O Industrial Revolution Steam Vehicles Octant, Parachute Lightning Rod, Rifle Artificial Dentition Preindustrial Revolution Slide Rule Binary System Umbrella, Pendulum, Pocket Watch 42

42 Outlook I 5 Industrial Revolution Autonomous Systems Individual Centrics O Industrial Revolution Steam Vehicles Octant, Parachute Lightning Rod, Rifle Artificial Dentition Preindustrial Revolution Slide Rule Binary System Umbrella, Pendulum, Pocket Watch 43

43 Disruption Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

44 Disruption Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

45 Autonomous Driving Cars Enhanced User Experience

46 Autonomous Driving Cars No Public Parking Needs Public Parking

47 Mobility Winners and Losers

48 Business Model in the Digital Eco System Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

49 Artificial Excellence

50 Artificial Excellence

51 Artificial Excellence

52 Artificial Excellence

53 Artificial Excellence Source: N. Venkatraman, Boston University

54 Outlook I 5 Industrial Revolution Autonomous Systems Individual Centrics O Industrial Revolution Steam Vehicles Octant, Parachute Lightning Rod, Rifle Artificial Dentition Preindustrial Revolution Slide Rule Binary System Umbrella, Pendulum, Pocket Watch 55

55 Outlook II 6 Industrial Revolution Bionics Transhumans 5 Industrial Revolution Autonomous Systems Individual Centrics O Industrial Revolution Steam Vehicles Octant, Parachute Lightning Rod, Rifle Artificial Dentition Preindustrial Revolution Slide Rule Binary System Umbrella, Pendulum, Pocket Watch 56

56 Artificial Excellence

57 Artificial Excellence

58 Artificial Excellence

59 Artificial Excellence Digital Giants and Ambitious Entrepreneurs Operate at the Frontier of Smart Humans and Powerful Machines You Cannot Afford to Lag Behind

60 Artificial Excellence

61 Outlook II 6 Industrial Revolution Bionics Transhumans 5 Industrial Revolution Autonomous Systems Individual Centrics O Industrial Revolution Steam Vehicles Octant, Parachute Lightning Rod, Rifle Artificial Dentition Preindustrial Revolution Slide Rule Binary System Umbrella, Pendulum, Pocket Watch 62

62 Outlook II 6 Industrial Revolution Bionics Transhumans 7 Industrial Revolution (Deus ex Machina) 5 Industrial Revolution Autonomous Systems Individual Centrics O Industrial Revolution Steam Vehicles Octant, Parachute Lightning Rod, Rifle Artificial Dentition Preindustrial Revolution Slide Rule Binary System Umbrella, Pendulum, Pocket Watch 63

63 Outlook II Deus Ex Machina Artificial Excellence

64 Outlook II Deus Ex Machina Artificial Excellence

65 Outlook II 66

66 Discussion That s all, folks 67

67 Contact, and Suggested Reading Contact Suggested Reading Rudolf Meyer CEO, Transformation Consultant Dr. Pascal Sieber & Partners AG Schwanengasse 1, 3rd floor 3011 Bern Office: Direct: Mobile: Mail: Web: WhatsApp: WeChat: LinkedIn: Twitter: