Future Climate for Africa

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1 Future Climate for Africa Dr Rosalind West UK Department for International Development ICCS-5, 28 February 2017

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3 UK policy context The Department for International Development (DFID) leads the UK s work to end extreme poverty and deliver the Global Goals in line with the government s Aid Strategy, building a safer, healthier, more prosperous world. Climate information and services are a key priority for development bn International Climate Fund (ICF) to support international efforts to address the challenge of climate change. Knowledge and information are recognised as a key component of achieving our objectives on climate change and disaster resilience. Programmes include: ClimDev, BRACED, CDKN, CARIAA, WISER, FCFA and many more

4 Future Climate for Africa is a research programme that aims to: support world-leading research to enhance scientific understanding and prediction of extreme weather and climate in sub-saharan Africa, and working with African stakeholders, bring this science into use in informing adaptation to climate change.

5 FCFA Overview: Outputs and Outcome Outcome: Decision-makers, boundary agents and researchers have increased awareness of climate risks and vulnerabilities and are integrating climate risks into their plans, policies and investments

6 FCFA Overview: Regions and pilot studies Pan Africa IMPALA East Africa HyCRISTAL West Africa AMMA-2050 Central & Southern Africa UMFULA Southern Africa FRACTAL

7 Piloting needs-informed climate services Aim: truly demand-driven research with focus on co-production of knowledge with users through FCFA pilot studies, to provide climate services informed by needs Pilot studies using diverse collaborative methods to explore the gap between user needs and general state of climate services Challenges in identifying entry points and stakeholders with the ability and interest to act on longer-term climate information

8 Piloting needs-informed climate services Piloting City Learning Labs as an approach to co-production of needsinformed services e.g. city-region decision making in Lusaka, Zambia For more information visit

9 Capacity Development Leveraging world-leading research programme to enable Early Career Researchers A package of integrated capacity development initiatives supporting: Funding, human resources, infrastructure, technical skills, platforms for communication, an ethic of collaboration, autonomy to pursue opportunity Activities include: Establishing a Class of FCFA Needs assessments Innovation Fund Mobility Fund Formal Training; workshops and summer school Image: FCFA Early Career Research, Dr Bamba Adamba (Université Félix Houphouët Boigny, Ivory Coast) leads a discussion on climate metrics with agricultural stakeholders

10 Thank you

11 Piloting needs-informed climate services AMMA-2050 piloting Participatory Impact Pathways Approach (PIPA) to inform rural livelihoods decision making in Fatick Region of Senegal

12 Pilot Studies demonstrating application Uncertainty reduction in Models For Understanding development Applications (UMFULA) Working in: Rufiji River Basin, Tanzania: catchment planning, including climate-resilient irrigation and hydroelectric power. Lower Shire, Malawi: climate proofing local plans for water infrastructure, irrigation and agriculture Principle Investigator: Prof Declan Conway, of Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment (GRI) at the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). University of Oxford University of Cape Town University of Sussex Sokoine University of Agriculture Manchester University University of KwaZulu-Natal Kulima Integrated Development Solutions Council for Science and Industrial Research Lilongwe University of Agriculture and National Resources Mozambique National Institute of Metorology University of Leeds Malawi Met Services Tanzania Met Agency South African Weather Service Zambia University Université de Yaoundé

13 Pilot Studies demonstrating application Future Resilience for African CiTies and Lands (FRACTAL) Working in: Maputo (Mozambique), Lusaka (Zambia), Windhoek (Namibia), Cape Town and ethekwini (South Africa): understanding how urban energy and water systems will function in a changing climate Principle Investigator: Prof Bruce Hewitson, of the Climate Systems Analysis Group (CSAG) at the University of Cape Town (UCT) Aurecon Africa START, Africa Oxford University ICLEI Africa African Centre For Cities South African Weather Services Stockholm Environment Institute Swedish Meteorological Hydrological Institute Red Cross/Red Crescent Climate Centre Stockholm Environmental Institute United Kingdom Meteorological Office NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies Council for Science and Industrial Research Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory European Commission Joint Research Centre City of Cape Town City of ethekwini

14 Pilot Studies demonstrating application African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (AMMA-2050) Working in: Niakhar, Senegal: developing climate-resilient frameworks for agriculture planning. Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso: informing the Grand Ouaga city expansion plan on urban flood risk management in a changing climate. Principle Investigator: Dr Christopher Taylor of The Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (CEH) at Wallingford University Cheikh Anat Diop National Agency for Civil Aviation and Meteorology (ANACIM) International Institute for Water and Environmental Engineering (2iE) Senegalese Institute for Agricultural Research (ISRA) Félix Houphouët-Boigny University (UFHB) Côte d Ivoire University of Cape Coast (UCC)

15 Pilot Studies demonstrating application Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate- Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa (HyCRISTAL) Working in: Kigali (Rwanda), Kampala (Uganda), Kisumu (Kenya): making critical water and public health infrastructure more climate-resilient. Lakes Wamala (Uganda), Kawi (Uganda) and Victoria (Tanzania, Uganda, Kenya): climate-proofing investments in rural livelihoods, including fisheries. Ugandan Water Management Zones: river basin planning, including irrigation and hydroelectric power. Principle Investigator: Dr John Marsham, of National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS) at the University of Leeds University of Connecticut University of Reading Stony Brook University British Geological Survey Practical Action AfClix Makerere University North Carolina State University Tanzanian Meteorological Service United Kingdom Meteorological Office Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology

16 FCFA overview: Global Climate Model Improvement IMPALA Working in: Africa as a whole. This initiative aims to deliver a step change in global climate model capability that will reduce uncertainty and enable better informed evaluation of the robustness of future projections for the continent. Principle Investigator: Dr Catherine Senior, strategic head of science, UK Met Office United Kingdom Meteorological Office University of Exeter Centre of Ecology and Hydrology (CEH) University of Reading University of Oxford University of Leeds University of Nairobi University of Cape Town University of Yaounde ACMAD

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