Linking Natural Capital Accounting (NCA) into Indonesia National Development Plan
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1 Linking Natural Capital Accounting (NCA) into Indonesia National Development Plan Dr. Medrilzam and Pak Farhan Helmy Director for Environmental Affairs Ministry of National Development Planning/ National Development Planning Board (BAPPENAS) Regional SEEA workshop 29 November 2017
2 Preparation Schedule of National Development Plan : Initial Preparation Background Study of RPJMN Writing of RPJMN RPJMN approved by the selected President MISSION: DEVELOP THE NEXT INDONESIA DEVELOPMENT PLAN BECOME GREENER AND LESS CARBON HOW NCA COULD FIT IN INTO DEVELOPMENT PLANNING?
3 Low Carbon Development Plan will be Integrated into National Development Plan This is why our upcoming 5 year development plan, will be Indonesia s first low-carbon development plan. We want to use this plan to address sustainability challenges and unlock some of these opportunities which will be critical to achieving a prosperous, lowcarbon growth path. We want to ensure that our growth, moving forward, continues to secure our natural assets, providing value in tandem with the creation of new opportunities for economic transformation and development. (Prof. Bambang Brodjonegoro Minister of National Deveopment Planning, Bonn COP 23 UNFCCC, 2017);
4 Principles applied to LCD Planning for National Mid-Term National Plan : 1) Apply integrated and systemic approach among sectors Evidence Based Policy 2) Put future carrying capacity (including GHG Emission) is part of priority concerns in development plan 3) Emphasise implication of various policiesplanning-program Toward a balancing and tradeoff between economy, poverty and environment goals 4) Apply HITS (Holistic, Integrated, Thematic, Spatial) 5) Involving development planners and environmental stakeholders
5 Policy Intervention CONCEPTUALISATION OF LOW CARBON DEVELOPMENT PLAN Inter-related Human Activities Energy and Mining Agricultures Settlements Industries Forestry Fishery, other sectors Trade off Impacts/ Pressures Assimilative capacity Supportive Capacity (availability concept) Water Emission Land cover IKLH Carrying Capacity Ocean Biodiversity Trade off Sectoral Target Green Economy Poverty *) NCA should provide necessary information on stock and flow of Natural Resource and Carrying Capacity being assessed
6 WHERE NCA FITS IN INTO LOW CARBON DEV T PLAN PROCESS? Spatial Dynamics Analysis MAPS INTERFACE Green Growth and Low Carbon Development Plan Database Centre Tabular (Statistics) dan Spatial WAVES Natural Capital Stock-Flow System Dynamics Model (Non-Spatial) (Sectors: Agriculture, Forest, Mining, etc.) Carrying Capacity Green Economy Poverty Policy/Planning/ Programming in RPJMN Investment Analysis Econ. of Low Card. Dev (Indonesia Stern Review)
7 POPULATION POVERTY ENERGY Low Carbon Development System Model Structure for Dev Plan Economics stockflows WATER Social stock-flows ECONOMY LAND USE Natural resources stock and flows NCA Contribution FISHERY Absortive capacity stock-flows GHG EMISSION BIODIVERISTY CLIMATE
8 Low Carbon Development modelling process requires Stock and flow information from NCA : Land sectors Water sectors Energy Fishery Forest Full Account Pilot Project Account WAVES SUPPORT Mineral Account only Indonesia NCA/ SISNERLING Notes: Indonesia Statistics Agency (BPS) leads the development of NCA in Indonesia Development of the NCA should be based on the needs of policy and planning Strong collaboration is needed between WAVES consultant and modelling team 8
9 Preparation Background Study of RPJMN Writing of RPJMN RPJMN approved by the selected President SEA Model conceptualisation, integrated model and Database development Integrated model structure and Policy simulations Policy communications SEA report for RPJMN NCA DEVELOPMENT It is a good timing for NCA to be applied.. But delayed NCA process cannot be tolerated.. The clock is ticking..!!
10 Further contact: Directorate for Environment Affairs or Ph: (Office), (Mobile)
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