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2 Added Value ---- Managing Non- Technical Sustainability Risks Insert then choose Picture select your picture. Right click your picture and Send to back.
3 State of Play One of South Asia s Largest HPP delayed by four years, increasing project costs by over US$195 million A 2 year delay on a 50MW project in West Africa reduced the project s rate of return from 42% to 28%. Protests by indigenous peoples in the Amazon are increasing project costs. Source: IHA 2
4 Non-Technical Risks Cause Project Delays Non-technical risks (NTR), including environmental and social issues, create significant capital risk and opportunity in the hydropower sector. Non-Technical Causes (or Risks) Environment Permitting Community Health & Safety Other Causes Revenue sharing Technical challenges Commercial issues Stakeholder concerns over environmental impacts Difficulty in securing permits Protests by communities, NGOs or other organisations Health and safety concerns or incidents Commercial negotiations with governments Engineering challenges or availability of equipment Tariffs 3
5 Early Stage Operation Phase Preparation Implementation Business & Sustainability Objectives Early Stage (Concept & Prefeasibility) Determine potential feasibility / value of the opportunity. Select the preferred opportunity realisation concept. Do we understand the risks and opportunities? Can we enter? Can we make it work? Has the optimal alternative been selected? (Feasibility) Create the best informed project design. Finalise scope, cost, schedule and obtain project execution funding. Have impacts been reduced to as low as reasonably practical? Have benefits been Enhanced? Have all NTR been considered and taken into account for decision-making? (Construction) Produce an operating asset consistent with scope, cost and schedule. Are the necessary measures in place to mitigate impacts and enhance Benefits? Have emerging risks and opportunities been identified and responded to? Are measures in place to deliver commitment? Operation Start-up, operate and evaluate asset to ensure performance specifications and return to Stakeholders. Is sustainability performance as predicted? Have commitments been delivered and objectives been on track to be met? HSAP tool & Activities Country entry review and risk assessment (ES4 Political Risks) Regulatory register and policy review (ES3 Polices & Plans) ESH Profile studies (ESHIA Screening, ES7, ES8)) Stakeholder Profile studies (ES8) Demonstrated Need (ES1) Option analysis (ES2) Technical Issues (ES6) Economic & Financial Issues(ES9) 9 topics in total Stakeholder engagement (P1) Regulatory Permitting Roadmap and project governance (P2) Integrated impact assessment process, including ESHMP (12 topics) Hydrological resources (P7) Economic modelling (P11) Financial viability (P9) Technical safety (P8) Siting & design (P4) Reservoir planning (P22) Integrated project management (P6) 23 topics in total Implementation, monitoring and reporting on: Stakeholder engagement management plan (I1) Governance (I2) Environmental, social, and health management (12 topics) Project benefit (I7) Integrated Project Management (I4) Infrastructure safety (I5) Procurement (I8) Reservoir Preparation & Filling (I19) Implementation, monitoring and reporting on: Stakeholder engagement management plan (O1) Governance (O2) Environmental, social, and health management (10 topics) Hydrological resources (O4) Asset reliability & efficiency (O5) Infrastructure safety (O6) Project benefit (O8) Reservoir Management (O18) 19 topics in total 20 topics in total 4 Gate Gate FID Gate
6 Direct Added Value 5 Case Study: Consideration of social and environmental risks in NPV analysis Quantification and valuation of all risks from environmental, social, technical, financial and economical aspects Understand the project sustainability risks Valuation and quantification of all project risks ---prioritize resources to address key challenges and select alternatives with better sustainability performance Obtain social license to operate Consistency and verifiable performances through project cycle Lower risks to access capital and improve project rate of return
7 Insert then choose Picture select your picture. Right click your picture and Send to back. Elisa Xiao Principal Consultant Power Sector ERM China * Elisa.Xiao@erm.com
8 Insert then choose Picture select your picture. Right click your picture and Send to back. Elisa Xiao Principal Consultant Power Sector ERM China * Elisa.Xiao@erm.com
9 Insert then choose Picture select your picture. Right click your picture and Send to back. Elisa Xiao Principal Consultant Power Sector ERM China * Elisa.Xiao@erm.com
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