Bakkafrost presentation A world-class company in the salmon industry STRATEGY FOR GROWTH IN THE SALMON MARKET

Transcription

1 Bakkafrost presentation A world-class company in the salmon industry STRATEGY FOR GROWTH IN THE SALMON MARKET Seafood Investor Forum, New York May 23rd 2018 Regin Jacobsen, CEO

2 SUMMARY OF Q MARKET AND SALES BAKKAFROST VALUE CHAIN AND STRATEGY HEALTHY LIVING BAKKAFROST NEW SUSTAINABILITY STRATEGY INVESTMENT PROGRAMME

3 HIGHLIGHTS Harvested 12,237 tgw in Q (13,158 tgw in Q1 2017) Operation Feed sales of 13,923 tonnes in Q1 2018* (19,827 tonnes in Q1 2017*) Raw material purchase of 130,104 tonnes in Q (106,567 tonnes in Q1 2017) Revenues and Operational EBIT Revenues of DKK 851 million in Q (DKK 854 million in Q1 2017) Operational EBIT** of DKK 268 million in Q (DKK 335 million in Q1 2017) Cash Flow Cash flow from operations of DKK 368 million in Q (DKK 365 million in Q1 2017) Segments Farming and FOF segments had positive results, while VAP segment had a loss *) Including internal sales of 13,152 tonnes in Q (18,953 tonnes in Q1 2017) **) EBIT before fair value adjustments of biomass, onerous contracts provisions, income from associates and revenue tax Page 3

4 SUMMARY OF THE QUARTER The result for the Farming segment decreased due to lower salmon prices and higher costs. The VAP result was negative again, but the FOF segment had a very strong result. Farming/VAP margin decreased from NOK/kg in Q to NOK/kg in Q VAP segment had a margin of NOK/kg in Q1 2018, compared to NOK/kg in Q Farming margin was NOK/kg in Q1 2018, compared to NOK/kg in Q FOF delivered a very strong margin of 28.8% in Q1 2018, compared to 16.3% in Q (DKK million) Q Q Operating revenues ,770 3,203 Operational EBITDA ,561 1,298 Operational EBIT ,378 1,165 Profit for the period ,339 Operational EBITDA margin 36.9% 44.2% 41.4% 40.5% Operational EBIT margin 31.5% 39.3% 36.5% 36.4% Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming) (NOK) Operational EBIT/Kg (Farming and VAP) (NOK) Operational EBIT/Kg (VAP) (NOK) EBITDA margin (Fishmeal, -oil and feed) 28.8% 16.3% 20.4% 21.4% Group Operational EBIT was DKK 268 million in Q1 2018, compared to DKK 335 million in Q Page 4

5 BALANCE SHEET Investments in PPE of DKK 111 million in Q and PPE amounts to DKK 2.6 billion Biological assets DKK 1,115 million, whereof fair value adjustment DKK 294 million Inventory DKK 429 million at the end of Q1 2018, compared to DKK 306 million at the end of 2017 Positive changes in equity. Equity ratio is 69% at the end Q NIBD at DKK 102 million down from DKK 258 million at end 2017 (DKK million) Q End 2017 Intangible assets Property, plant and equipment 2,636 2,570 Financial assets Long-term receivables 9 0 Biological assets 1,115 1,097 Inventory Receivables Other receivables Cash and cash equivalents Total Assets 5,632 5,156 Equity 3,892 3,626 Deferred tax and other taxes Long-term interest bearing debt Financial derivatives Short-term interest bearing debt Accounts and other payables Total Equity and Liabilities 5,632 5,156 Page 5

6 FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT Revenues increased nearly 5 times Revenue for Bakkafrost increased from 820 mdkk in 2010 to 3.8 bdkk in 2017 Revenue (mdkk) Operational EBIT increased nearly 6 times Operational EBIT increased from 247 mdkk in 2010 to 1.4 bdkk in Operational EBIT (mdkk) Page 6

7 SUMMARY OF Q MARKET AND SALES BAKKAFROST VALUE CHAIN AND STRATEGY HEALTHY LIVING BAKKAFROST NEW SUSTAINABILITY STRATEGY INVESTMENT PROGRAMME

8 MARKETS & SALES Sales to Eastern Europe and Asia increased, and sales to EU and USA decreased in Q1 2018, compared with Q VAP on contract was on a low level at 17% EU market decreased from 46% in Q to 31% in Q USA decreased from 19% to 16% Asia increased from 13% to 21% Eastern Europe increased from 22% to 32% VAP contract share was 17% in Q1 2018, compared to 28% in Q Total sales of salmon by markets Fresh salmon only by markets Q Q Q EU 31% 46% 45% 43% USA 16% 19% 18% 23% Asia 21% 13% 16% 17% Eastern Europe 32% 22% 21% 17% Q EU 22% 29% 23% 19% USA 17% 25% 24% 33% Asia 23% 17% 23% 25% Eastern Europe 38% 29% 30% 23% Contract share, VAP products [% of qty] 100% 80% 60% 83% 72% 65% 63% 40% 20% 0% 28% 35% 37% 17% Q Q VAP on contract HOG, spot Page 8

9 MARKET DIVERSIFICATION Bakkafrost salmon is a global product sold worldwide 86% of sales came from Continental Europe in % of sales came from Continental Europe in 2017 Strong development in sales to USA, Asia and Eastern Europe [KATEGO [KATEGO RINAVN] [KATEGORINAVN] [VÆRDI] RINAVN] [VÆRDI] [VÆRDI] [KATEGO RINAVN] [VÆRDI] [KATEGO RINAVN] [VÆRDI] [KATEGO RINAVN] [VÆRDI] [KATEGO RINAVN] [VÆRDI] [KATEGO RINAVN] [VÆRDI] [KATEGO RINAVN] [VÆRDI] [KATEGO RINAVN] [VÆRDI] [KATEGO RINAVN] [VÆRDI] [KATEGO RINAVN] [VÆRDI] [KATEGO RINAVN] [VÆRDI] [KATEGO RINAVN] [VÆRDI] Page 9

10 GOOD LOGISTIC ROUTES FROM FAROE ISLANDS TO ALL MAJOR MARKETS From fresh whole salmon to readyto-eat products Growing markets in USA, Eastern Europe, Asia and Middle East A prestigious customer portfolio ensuring strong sales visibility Faroe Islands hub for all major freight ship companies Multi channel strategy Geographical diversification Retailers Wholesalers Catering segment (horeca) 354 daily daily departures from London Heathrow Good logistics options crutial Good awailability Page 10

11 GLOBAL MARKETS Large price increase during Q Exceptional high price change during Q Price change (low/high) of NOK ~50% - from NOK to NOK y/y by 5.93 NOK/kg ~8.8% - from NOK to NOK q/q by NOK/kg ~21.9% - from NOK to NOK Spot prices (NASDAQ) on superior 4-5 [NOK/kg HOG] 80,00 70,00 60,00 50,00 40,00 30,00 20,00 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q Change in global market supply and market price Increased global supply in Q % increased global supply in Q1 2018, compared with Q1 2017, corresponding to 45,190 tonnes 50% 30% 10% -10% -30% Change in global market supply of farmed Atlantic salmon from the previous year Change in European spot prices - fresh Atlantic salmon (FishPool index) from the previous year -50% Source: Kontali Page 11

12 DEVELOPMENT IN GLOBAL HARVESTED AND SOLD QUANTITY BY ORIGIN 10% supply growth in Q European harvest increased by 4% American harvest increased by 23% 6% growth from Norway Reduced harvest during the quarter Weaker productivity compared to Q Low temperatures caused higher mortality Scotland low due to few individuals for harvest and low temperatures 29% growth from Chile Q impacted by few individuals for harvest 2016 algae bloom caused high mortality Higher than expected harvest in Q Opportunistic due to high prices Precautionary due to algae bloom SUPPLY DEVELOPMENT (head on gutted - HOG) Q Q Change % Norway % UK % Ireland % Faroes % Total Europe % Chile % Canada % USA % Total Americas % Other % Total (Harvested quantity) % Inventory movements % Total (Sold Quantity) % Source: Kontali Page 12

13 SALMON MARKETS, SOLD QUANTITY (HOG) Good growth in most markets in Q EU performed well 7% growth vs. 4% growth in European harvest High quantities from Norway early in the quarter Only main market with growth in latter part of the quarter Low growth in the US given supply However strong consistent growth trend Improved image of Chilean salmon due to reduced use of antibiotics Russia strong growth Mainly driven by Chile Salmon markets, sold quantity (head on gutted - HOG) Estimated volumes Q1 comparison Estimated volumes Markets Q1 2018E Q Volume % FY 2017 FY 2016 Volume % EU 218, ,200 13, % 919, ,600-22, % USA 109, ,200 8, % 396, ,000 16, % Russia 19,500 14,100 5, % 68,500 69,900-1, % Japan 13,600 13, % 57,600 58,700-1, % Greater China 28,400 21,100 7, % 104,600 95,000 9, % ASEAN 20,500 20, % 82,500 65,000 17, % Latin America 40,300 34,700 5, % 135, ,400-1, % Ukraine 3,400 3, % 13,600 9,100 4, % Other markets 63,800 60,000 3, % 256, ,600 13, % Total all markets 516, ,500 45, % 2,034,300 2,000,300 34, % Comments: Greater China = China / Hong Kong / Taiwan (incl. estimated re-export from Vietnam) ASEAN = Association of Southeast Asian Nations (estimated re-export from Vietnam subtracted) Latin America (including both Mexico and Caribbean + domestic consumption in Chile) All figures above are in tonnes hog, and are rounded to the nearest 100 tonnes. FY comparison Greater China Spectacular growth Supply from all main origins Positive development in other markets Source: Kontali Page 13

14 SHORT TERM SUPPLY OUTLOOK Modest supply growth expected for the coming quarters SUPPLY - TOTAL Growth rate impacted by inventory movements % 10% Growth in harvest likely to be instrumental for pricing Frozen products are materially sold through alternative channels % 6% 4% Uncertainty in Chilean estimates Indications of higher growth in Q Q Q Q Q Harvest Supply to the markets 2% 0% Change Harvest Change Supply to the markets SUPPLY - EUROPE SUPPLY - AMERICAS Q Q Q Q Q EUROPE Change same quarter last year 6,0% 5,0% 4,0% 3,0% 2,0% 1,0% 0,0% Q Q Q Q Q AMERICAS Change same quarter last year 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% Source: Kontali Page 14

15 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN KEY FOOD CATEGORIES Seafood represented by farmed Atlantic Salmon Trend of increasing population and increased consumption per capita will push capacity boundaries Costs of producing inefficient protein sources expected to rise significantly with time Feed conversion 4,0-10,0 3,0 1,7 1,2 Energy retention 27 % 14 % 10 % 27 % Protein retention 15 % 18 % 21 % 24 % Edible yield 41 % 52 % 46 % 68 % Edible meat per 100kg feed 4,0-10,0 17,0 21,0 57,0 Page 15

16 POPULATION BILLION ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANNUAL POPULATION GROWTH CONTINUES ABOVE 1% UNTIL 2025 World population Development and forecasts Increased consumption per capita combined with sharply rising population growth forms a large force 12,0 10,0 3,0 % 2,5 % Total consumption of the four categories expected to rise by >13% from ,0 2,0 % 6,0 1,5 % 4,0 1,0 % 2,0 0,5 % 0,0 0,0 % POPULATION ANNUAL GROWTH RATE Page 16

17 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN GLOBAL KEY SEAFOOD CATEGORIES Minor growth in catch as resource is close to capacity 58 % Aquaculture growing, and overtakes wild catch CAGR: Capture: 0,5% Aquaculture: 2.8% Aquaculture growing at a high annual rate (2.8%) 56 % By 2020 aquaculture is expected to overtake wild catch in supply 54 % 52 % 50 % 48 % Fish form capture Fish from aquaculture Page 17

18 SUMMARY OF Q MARKET AND SALES BAKKAFROST VALUE CHAIN AND STRATEGY HEALTHY LIVING BAKKAFROST NEW SUSTAINABILITY STRATEGY INVESTMENT PROGRAMME

19 BAKKAFROST AT A GLANCE Preparing for the future Focused on competitive advantage through the value chain Focused on diversification through higher value products origin taste ingredients Page 19

20 BUSINESS MODEL Probably the most vertically integrated salmon farmer Full control and responsibility over all aspects of production Optimal control over the quality and costs of production Page 20

21 BUSINESS MODEL VALUE CREATION Catches Fishmeal & -oil production Feed plant Hatcheries Salmon Salmon plant Page 21

22 VALUE CREATION AT LOW COST tonnes fish, 5 mkr 750 tonnes fishmeal and -oil, 8 mkr tonnes Feed, 23 mkr Egg, smolt tonnes salmon, 120 mkr tonnes salmon products, 155 mkr Page 22

23 NATURAL CONDITIONS Remote location Pristine clear waters Cool steady sea temperatures Strong currents Page 23

24 SUMMARY OF Q MARKET AND SALES BAKKAFROST VALUE CHAIN AND STRATEGY HEALTHY LIVING BAKKAFROST NEW SUSTAINABILITY STRATEGY INVESTMENT PROGRAMME

25 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS Important to be part of business sector response to 17 Goals set by the United Nations Responsible and sustainable aquaculture can play big role in addressing goals to: end hunger (goal 2) promote economic growth (goal 8) combat climate change (goal 13) sustainably use the oceans (goal 14) Bakkafrost assessed areas of greatest impact and influence, consulting key stakeholders, to contribute towards goals Result was new sustainability plan Page 25

26 HEALTHY LIVING PLAN Our new sustainability plan announced in our first sustainability report (March 2018) Key areas in the new sustainability plan A new sustainability vision to promote healthy living A commitment to manage and report our impacts on the local economy, society and the environment A renewed ambition to become a leader in our field, working in collaboration with other companies part of the Global Salmon Initiative Five areas of focus supported by 2020 commitments Annual public review and report Part of a journey, where collaboration and creating shared value are key Page 26

27 SUMMARY OF Q MARKET AND SALES BAKKAFROST VALUE CHAIN AND STRATEGY HEALTHY LIVING BAKKAFROST NEW SUSTAINABILITY STRATEGY INVESTMENT PROGRAMME

28 INVESTMENT PROGRAMME Investments will be made step by step in the relevant parts of the value chain to secure: Biological risk Efficiency Organic growth Page 28

29 INVESTMENT PROGRAMME Investment program of DKK 2.2b from 2016 to 2020 Fishmeal, Oil & Feed (380 mdkk) 590 Investment Programme (mdkk) 570 New salmon meal and oil plant New feed line to increase capacity Advanced feed line capabilities Smolt (1,130 mdkk) 280 Viðareiði 2016 finalizing facility Strond 2018 new facility New site 2019 Upgrade existing facilities Harvest/VAP Finalizing new plant (160 mdkk) Consolidating fragmented processing structure into one state of the art facility Represents large efficiency benefits Improves capability of extracting benefits of a premium product in the fresh category Farming Hatcheries Harvest/VAP FOF Results in reduced biological risk opportunities for organic growth better usage of offcuts from the salmon production 5-6 years pay back on investments Page 29

30 LARGER SMOLT REDUCED RISK AND GROWTH Larger smolt (PS) will reduce time of cycle in farming Farming volume growth potential with PS (1,000 tonnes) Harvest cycle every second year from the same fjords until effect from larger smolt evolves Smolt size will gradually increase to 500 gram by ,3 44,3 41,3 44,0 50,6 47,5 54,6 51,0 70,0 Smolt release will gradually increase to ~14 million pcs as production cycle decreases from 24 to ~14 months (incl. fallowing period) Production volume will gradually increase to ~70 thousand tonnes 0 Smolt size on released fish (size gram) Smolt volume (million pcs) Smolt volume (1,000 tonnes) ,6 10,7 9,5 10,4 11,3 10,4 9,9 13, ,9 1,3 1,1 1,2 1,6 1,7 1,9 2,5 4,7 6,0 Page 30

31 FAROE ISLANDS 18 islands 1,387 km 2 50,498 inhabitants (Jan 2018) Home rule within the Kingdom of Denmark Part of the Danish monetary union, Danish krone (DKK) Key sectors (% of wage earners, 2016) Service/public admin.: ~34% Private service: ~31% Construction: ~13% Fishing : ~21% Unemployment rate (Des 2017): 2.2% Total working force (Nov 2017): 26,358 GDP: DKK ~18bn (2016) GDP/capita: DKK 360,000 (2016) (Norway: DKK 455,000) (2016) Total export of fish products (2016) 15% increased DKK 7,680 million whereof farmed fish accounts for 48% TAXES Total percent of GDP: 42.4% (2013) Corporate tax: 18% Farming revenue tax : 4.5% of revenues from 1 January 2016 more details see page 44 in Bakkafrost CMD presentation from June 2016 Restriction on single foreign ownership of 20% in farming companies One company may max. control 50% of licences in the Faroe Islands Page 31

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