Climate Risk Management and WFP

Transcription

1 Climate Risk Management and WFP

2 PRESENTATION OUTLINE 1. Climate change: A multiplier of risks and vulnerabilities 2. Food security and adaptation 3. Responding to the challenge 4. Climate Information 5. WFP and some climate change concepts 6. Ecuador an example of resilience building through climate risk management

3 CLIMATE CHANGE: A MULTIPLIER OF RISKS Declining yields and agricultural productivity Deteriorating land & environmental conditions More frequent, erratic and intense climate and weather related disasters, the new normal Volatile markets and prices Reduced water availability & deteriorating sanitation Increasing conflicts over scarce resources Urbanization, migration and displacement

4 The Production Challenge Adaptation a definition Addressing the need to reduce the vulnerability and increase resilience to increased incidence of extreme events and climate variability Common strategies Breed new varieties (temperature, drought, pest, salinity tolerant traits) Water harvesting Agricultural practices, e.g., change crops and planting times

5 Food Security Framework Emergency Preparedness Mission Nepal February 2011

6 Food Security and Climate Change ClimateVariability Availability(croploss) Natural Disasters Food Security Impacts Access (incomedecline) Use (diseaserisk) ClimateChange Stability(pricefluctuation) Availability(cropchange) SystemicShift s Food Security Impacts Access (migration) Use (sanitationproblems) Stability(priceincrease)

7 Impact on Food Security HeatWave ColdWave SystemicSh ifts Changes in ecologicalzones Degradadedwaters ystems Soilsalinization Biodiversityloss Change in disease vector range Change in Temperature Availability Croploss Livestocklos s Effecton local markets More energytochillf ood Pests and disease Availability Decline in production Decline in yields Change in crop varieties Access Decline in income Rise in prices Change in preferences Access Migration Use Risk of dehydration Risk of eatingspoiled food Risk of disease Use Risk of new disease Sanitation and healthproble ms Stability Greater stress onenergy sector Price fluctuations Potentialissu eswith global supply Stability Loss of local varieties Price increases

8 Flood Drought SystemicSh ifts Changes in ecologicalzones Impact on Food Security Degradaedwater systems Loss of arable land Soilsalinization Degradedsoil Biodiversity loss Precipitation Extremes Availability Croploss Wild foodloss Pressureongr ainstorage Pests and disease Availability Decline in production Decline in yields Negativeagri cutlurepractic es Waterscarcit y Access Decline in income Rise in prices Preferredfoo dstoocostly Access Migration Use Risk of dehydration Risk of epidemics Dietaryadjus tments Cleanwateru navailable Use Different vector ranges Increasedise aserisk Stability Energy instability Price fluctuations Potentialissu eswith global supply Stability Loss of local varieties Price increases

9 PROJECTED CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON HUNGER AND FOOD INSECURITY BY 2050 Calorie availability in developing countries 10% lower than in Child malnutrition 20% higher than without climate change. Number of people at risk of hunger 10 to 20% higher than without climate change.

10 Percent Change in Runoff by 2050 (IFPRI, 2009) Many of the major food bowls of the world are projected to become significantly drier

11 Climate Change Impact Global food prices, 2050 Source: Nelson et al. (IFPRI) 2009.

12

13 RESPONDING TO THE CHALLENGE Ensure: Sufficient food availability The poorest households have access to food Social protectionfor people and livelihoods Stability in access and utilization of food

14 KEY MESSAGES: Need for a twin track approach, linking food availability with food access, stability, and protection for the most vulnerable Food and Nutrition Security as part of adaptation to climate change planning and implementation

15 A Food and Nutrition Security Approach linked to Social Protection Protecting people from disasters Protecting development and adaptation gains Preserving social and productive assets Preserving human capital and its potential Allowing access to investment opportunities and technological advances Enabling pro poor adaptation Need for better climate related information

16 Climate Information Objectives Enhance the use of climate information for decision making Guide the development of climate services and links science based information with climate risk management Strengthen the production, availability, delivery and application of science based climate prediction services

17 WFP and Climate Information Target humanitarian assistance Guide planning for adaptation in the food security sector through social protection, early warning systems and disaster risk management Build government capacity to apply climate information and prioritise adaptation efforts.

18 Uses of Climate Information Services Safety Nets DisasterRiskReduction EarlyWarningSystems InsuranceSchemes GIS and VAM

19 WFP Ecuador resilience building and adaptation to CC

20 Understanding climate related risks WFP is working with national and local Governments and partners to link weather and climate information with data on vulnerability and food (in)security to inform Early Warning and food security and adaptation strategies Vulnerability analysis, Needs and Risks Assessments, Livelihoods profiling and targeting, market interventions analysis a project component

21 Building resilience and adaptive capacity Local Climate Information Community Based Adaptation and Ecosystem Based Adaptation GIS Elements of natural resource management, community development, and food and nutrition protection in one approach Social analyses Cash to enable food insecure households to increase long term food availability by participating in conservation and adaptation activities, protection from immediate risks

22 KEY ACTIONS AREAS for WFP Continue advocating for a response to climate related food security risks that links availability, access and protection Increase understanding on the role of social protection in building resilience to climate related hunger Support governments in setting up risk management frameworks and social protection schemes Strengthen VAM, EW and response capacities Strengthen partnerships Innovate

23 Thank You!