Presentation given to the Australasian Aid Conference, Australian National University 16 February Andrea Babon
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1 Politics Matter! Or why, after more than 10 years and US$45 million in donor funding, Papua New Guinea still hasn t reduced greenhouse gas emissions from deforestation and forest degradation (REDD+) Presentation given to the Australasian Aid Conference, Australian National University 16 February 2017 Andrea Babon Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 1
2 1. Political Analysis Shift from institutions matter to politics matter (Dressel and Dinnen 2014; Hudson and Leftwich 2014). Political analysis takes politics, power and agency much more seriously [and] enables one to dig down to the level of messy, everyday politics (Hudson and Leftwich 2014: 6). Enables development scholars and practitioners to better understand and assess the political feasibility of development interventions at the national level. Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 2
3 Genesis of REDD+ in Papua New Guinea
4 Evolution of REDD+ in PNG REDD+ first proposed by Papua New Guinea and Costa Rica in 2005 at COP 11 in Montreal Early REDD+ policy formulation exhibited signs of a policy monopoly (Baumgartner & Jones 1993) Media reports of carbon cowboys conning landowners and engaging in shady deals with govt (2008/09). McKinsey & Co. engaged to help develop Climate Compatible Development Strategy Policy processes criticised for lack of inclusiveness and national ownership New governance structure for REDD+ developed in 2010 Climate Change (Management) Act passed in 2015 established Climate Change and Development Authority (CCDA) PM statement at Paris COP; REDD+ included in PNG s INDCs Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 4
5 Donor funding for REDD+ US$45.3 million invested in REDD+ in PNG in % (US$27.2M) from bi-lateral donors: Australia, Japan, Germany, US, Norway 23% (US$10M) from multi-lateral agencies (FCPF, UN-REDD) 15% (US$6.8M) from supranational institutions (i.e. EU) Most donor funds (70%) committed to Govt; 26% to NGOs (WCS, 2016, Papua New Guinea: Mapping REDD+ finance flows Forest Trends REDDX Report) Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 5
6 Political Analysis of REDD+ in PNG REDD+ as a political challenge REDD+ will require transformational change : a shift in discourse, attitudes, power relations, and deliberative policy and protest action that leads policy formulation and implementation away from business as usual policy approaches that directly or indirectly support deforestation and forest degradation. (Brockhaus and Angelsen (2012: 17) Powerful, hidden actors continue to support business-as-usual deforestation and forest degradation (Babon et al., 2014) Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 6
7 Disagreement on REDD+ in PNG PNGSEACC PNGFIA Rimbunan Hijau McKinsey & Co. OCCD Nupan
8 3. Policy ghosts they run forestry in this country, they run the local biggest newspaper, they are one of the biggest employers in the country, they have enormous political power Interview with NGO representative on the influence of logging company, Rimbunan Hijau Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 8
9 Current status of REDD+ in PNG Lots of REDD+ activities but little progress in PNG Established Institutional arrangements for REDD+ Official REDD+ pilot projects declared Good progress with Monitoring, Reporting and Verification (MRV) capacity Narrative to value forests more alive than dead BUT Still allowing large scale forest clearance under controversial Special Agriculture and Business Leases (SABLs) Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 9
10 Having their REDD+ cake and logging too Logging under Special Agriculture and Business Leases (SABLs) major driver of deforestation: 2013 Commission of Inquiry found most illegal and were merely logging projects under the pretext of agricultural development Despite public statements by govt that they will be cancelled no leases have yet been revoked clear fell logging continues in SABLs and contributed to doubling of log exports in PNG between % of PNG log exports now come from SABLS (Global Witness 2015). 3.8 million cubic meters of timber exported in 2014 PNG now largest exporter of tropical timber in the world (Mousseau and Lau 2016). Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 10
11 4. Conclusion/take home messages Context is key Politics matter Existing power structures and vested interests protect the status quo Presentation Title 00 Month 2010 Slide 11
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