BIOEN Research Workshop

Transcription

1 BIOEN Research Workshop D i v i s i o n s o f B i o m a s s, I m p a c t s a n d S u s t a i n a b i l i t y S ã o P a u l o, 0 6 N o v e m b e r 2012 Environmental and socioeconomic impacts associated with the production and consumption of sugarcane ethanol in South-Central Brazil Thematic Project - Process Nº: 2008/ Bernardo F. T. Rudorff National Institute for Space Research- INPE

2 Principal Investigators: Bernardo Rudorff (INPE) Evlyn Novo (INPE) Co-Principal Investigators: Cláudia Almeida (INPE) Karla Longo (INPE) Saulo Freitas (INPE) Mirian Bacchi (ESALQ-USP) Claudio Barbosa (INPE) Elisabete Morais (INPE) Mauricio Alves Moreira (INPE) José Stech (INPE) João Lorenzetti (INPE) Enner Alcântara (INPE) Plínio Alvalá (INPE) Sergio Franchito (INPE) Luciano Marani (INPE) Ely Cortez (INPE) Turibio Soares Neto (INPE) Maria Cristina Forti (INPE) José Alexandre Melo Demattê (ESALQ-USP) Carlos Clemente Cerri (CENA-USP) Isaias de Carvalho Macedo (NIPE-UNICAMP) Associated Investigators : Britaldo Soares Filho (UFMG) Nelson da Cruz Gouveia (USP)

3 Work Packages 1. Temporal-spatial evaluation of sugarcane crop based on remote sensing images; 2. Temporal-spatial analysis of sugarcane albedo and spectral reflectance; 3. Spatial dynamic modeling to generate scenarios for sugarcane crops expansion; 4. Temporal-spatial evaluation of inland aquatic system s eutrophication in response to sugarcane expansion using remote sensing images; 5. Assessing the regional weather, climate and air chemistry composition impacts of the ethanol sugarcane production in South Central Brazil; 6. Characterization of the atmospheric chemistry composition changes and its impacts associated with sugarcane plantation and ethanol and bioelectricity plants in South Central Brazil; 7. The impacts of the Brazilian biofuel program on human health; 8. Social-economic impacts of the expansion of sugarcane activity in São Paulo State.

4 Work Package 1 Temporal-spatial evaluation of sugarcane crop based on remote sensing images Bernardo Rudorff - INPE

5 RUDORFF, B. F. T.; AGUIAR, D. A.; SILVA, W. F.; SUGAWARA, L. M.; ADAMI, M.; MOREIRA, M. A. Studies on the Rapid Expansion of Sugarcane for Ethanol Production in São Paulo State (Brazil) Using Landsat Data. Remote Sensing. 2010; 2(4): doi: < /rs > WP-1

6 Remote Sens. 2012, 4, ; doi: /rs WP-1 A Web Platform Development to Perform Thematic Accuracy Assessment of Sugarcane Mapping in South-Central Brazil An overall accuracy of 98% with an area estimation error of -0.5% was achieved for the sugarcane map of 2010/11.

7 WP Municipality of Itápolis, SP Green harvest Pre-harvest burning

8 WP-1 Aguiar, D.A.; Rudorff, B.F.T.; Silva, W.F.; Adami, M.; Mello, M.P. Remote Sensing Images in Support of Environmental Protocol: Monitoring the Sugarcane Harvest in São Paulo State, Brazil. Remote Sens. 2011, 3,

9 Land Use Change WP-1 Pasture Annual Crop Citrus Arboreous Vegetation

10 Crop Year 2003 Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane

11 Crop Year 2011 Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane

12 SÃO PAULO Barretos: Crop Year Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane

13 SÃO PAULO Barretos: Crop Year Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane

14 SÃO PAULO Araçatuba: Crop Year 2003 Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane

15 SÃO PAULO Araçatuba: Crop Year 2011 Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane

16 Adami, M.; Rudorff, B.F.T.; Freitas, R.M.; Aguiar, D.A.; Sugawara, L.M.; Mello, M.P. Remote Sensing Time Series to Evaluate Direct Land Use Change of Recent Expanded Sugarcane Crop in Brazil. Sustainability 2012, 4,

17 Work Package 2 Temporal-spatial analysis of sugarcane albedo and spectral reflectance Elisabete Caia de Morais - INPE Sergio Franchito - INPE

18 Radiation Balance W m -2 Dissertation of Bruno Oliveira - INPE

19 Work Package 3 Spatial dynamic modeling to generate scenarios for sugarcane crops expansion Cláudia Almeida - INPE Britaldo Soares Filho - UFMG

20 Sugarcane Scenarios in the South-Central Region 2015 and 2020 Base Scenario and With Expansion Yaer Area (million ha) - Base Scenario 8,12 8,32 8,60 8,86 9,05 9,23 9,42 9,52 9,59 9,67 Area (million ha) - With expansion 8,12 8,32 8,60 8,86 9,05 9,50 10,10 10,95 11,70 12,70

21 Data base for São Paulo APP Slope >12% Conservation Units Urban ZAE Roads Not-Pav. Roads Pav. Roads Plants Road Network Land use-2006 Land use-2011

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23 Work Package 4 Temporal-spatial evaluation of inland aquatic system s eutrophication in response to sugarcane expansion using remote sensing images Evlyn Novo - INPE Cláudio Barbosa - INPE José Luis Stech INPE João Lorenzetti - INPE

24 Seasonal changes and spatial distribution of the chlorophyll-a concentration classes defined according to its trophic status and associated to the hydraulic retention time Hydraulic Retention time (HR) in days versus Eutrophication Development and test of a semi-analytical model based on remote sensing data to map chlorophyll-a concentration to infere the trophic status HR = 13 HR = 22 HR = 30 HR = 10 HR = 40 HR = 35

25 Fator de reflectância Processing of the airborne SpecTIR hyperspectral sensor (357 bands and 3 m) acquired on 24 Oct Atmospheric Correction; Geometric Correction; Removal of sun glint effects. 0,25 Spectum for the collected points during field work 0,2 0,15 0,1 0,05 Field work Comprimento de onda (nm) pt 14 pt 09 pt 10 pt zero pt 08 pt 04 pt 21 pt 22 pt 23 pt 13 pt 02 pt 11

26 Deployment of the first SIMA (Automatic Data Collection Monitoring System) in the Ibitinga reservoir on 11 Sep Two others SIMAs will be deployed beginning of 2013 Hourly acquisition of limnologic and meteorologic data to monitor and anticipate the trophic state Water Temperature at: 1m, 2m, 5m and 10 m. Wind Intensity

27 Work Package 5 Assessing the regional weather, climate and air chemistry composition impacts of the ethanol sugarcane production in South Central Brazil Karla Longo - INPE Saulo Freitas - INPE

28 Emission inventory considering the straw burning of sugarcane in the 3BEM - Including the sugarcane class and specific information (emission factors, combustion factors etc.) in the code of the model. Comparisson: Emission estimates with 3BEM(Brazilian Biomass Burning Emission Model) operated in its traditional mode (based on hot spots) left side and the new proposed method (based on the sugarcane map of pre-harvest burning) right side Emission estimates of CO (kg/m 2 )

29 Work Package 6 Characterization of the atmospheric chemistry composition changes and its impacts associated with sugarcane plantation and ethanol and bioelectricity plants in South Central Brazil Karla Longo - INPE Plinio Alvala INPE Luciano Marani (INPE) Ely Cortez (INPE) Turibio Soares Neto (INPE) Maria Cristina Forti (INPE)

30 Determination of Emission Factors through Laboratory Measurements França, D.A.; Longo, K.M.; Neto, T.G.S.; Santos, J.C.; Freitas, S.R.; Rudorff, B.F.T.; Cortez, E.V.; Anselmo, E.; Carvalho, J.A., Jr. Pre-Harvest Sugarcane Burning: Determination of Emission Factors through Laboratory Measurements. Atmosphere 2012, 3,

31 Work Package 7 The impacts of the Brazilian biofuel program on human health Nelson da Cruz Gouveia - USP

32 DOCTORATE THESIS OF Maria Leticia de Souza Paraiso SUPERVISED BY Prof. Dr. Nelson da Cruz Gouveia UNIVERSITY OF SÃO PAULO - FACULDADE DE MEDICINA DEPARTAMENT OF PREVENTIVE MEDICINE Evaluation of the impacts on public health of the elimination of the sugarcane burning practice in São Paulo state To be presented in June 2013

33 Work Package 8 Social-economic impacts of the expansion of sugarcane activity in São Paulo State Mirian R. P. Bacchi - USP

34 DOCTORATE THESIS OF Luiz Fernando Satolo SUPERVISED BY Dra. Mirian Rumenos Piedade Bacchi UNIVERSITY OF SÃO PAULO Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz Applied Economy Impact of sugarcane sector expansion on social-economical concerns: a dynamic spatial analysis about social welfare in São Paulo state ( ) Presented on 29 August 2012

35 Thank you!