UPDATE ON THE NEESPI-GEWEX AND NEESPI-CEOP RELATIONSHIP. Rick Lawford Director, IGPO May 3, 2007

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1 UPDATE ON THE NEESPI-GEWEX AND NEESPI-CEOP RELATIONSHIP Rick Lawford Director, IGPO May 3, 2007

2 THE GEWEX MISSION CAN BE DESCRIBED AS THE DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION OF PLANETARY EARTH SCIENCE, OBSERVATIONS AND MODELS TO THE PROBLEMS OF CLIMATE AND WATER RESOURCES THE PROGRAM ENTAILS: - GLOBAL DATA SETS DERIVED FROM SATELLITE DATA, IN SITU DATA AND DATA ASSIMILATION CAPABILITIES, - MODEL DEVELOPMENT AND PREDICTABILITY STUDIES - FIELD AND PROCESS STUDIES - APPLICATIONS

3 Overarching Goals of the GEWEX Program Process Studies Measurements Data Assimilation Understanding Coupled Water and Energy Balance at Multiple Scales Land Surface and Hydrologic Models Model Coupling Atmosphere-Ocean Models

4 GEWEX Objective #1: Produce consistent research quality data sets complete with error descriptions of the Earth's energy budget and water cycle and their variability and trends on interannual to decadal time scales, for use in climate system analysis and model development and evaluation. STRENGTHS: -GEWEX HAS A SYSTEM FOR GENERATING GLOBAL DATA SETS: WEAKNESSES: -CHARACTERIZATION OF ERRORS -RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS LIMIT AGENCIES IN SUPPORTING THE REPROCESSING OF THESE GLOBAL PRODUCTS.

5 GEWEX Objective #2: Enhance the understanding of and quantify how energy and water cycle processes contribute to climate feedbacks. STRENGTHS: GEWEX THROUGH ITS FIELD PROJECTS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO OBSERVE AND ANALYZE FEEDBACK PROCESSES. WEAKNESSES: 1. GEWEX ONLY ADDRESSES SOME FEEDBACK PROCESSES AND MUST CONSIDER THESE IN A BROADER CONTEXT 2. GEWEX DOES NOT HAVE A CLEAR MODEL PLATFORM FOR SENSITIVITY EXPERIMENTS. LBA Result (LBA REPORT)

6 GEWEX Objective 3: Improve the predictive capability for key water and energy cycle variables and feedbacks through improved parameterizations to better represent hydrometeorological processes, and determine the geographical and seasonal characteristics of their predictability over land areas. STRENGTHS: 1. GEWEX HAS DONE SOME WORK ON PREDICTABILITY (GLACE, LBA) 2. GEWEX HAS CONSIDERABLE EXPERTISE IN REGIONAL MODELING W ET ET P WEAKNESSES: 1. TOOLS FOR PREDICTABILITY STUDIES NEED FURTHER DEVELOPMENT 2. GEWEX DOES NOT FORMALLY DO MODEL DEVELOPMENT Arid In between, soil wetness sensitivity and conditional instability both have some effect. Humid (KOSTER ET AL. 2004)

7 GEWEX Objective 4: Undertake joint activities with operational hydrometeorological services, related ESSP projects like the GWSP, and hydrological research programs to demonstrate the value of GEWEX research, data sets and tools for assessing the consequences of climate predictions and global change for water resources. STRENGTHS: 1. GEWEX HAS ATTRACTED A CADRE OF EXCELLENT HYDROLOGISTS 2. GEWEX HAS MANY LINKS WITH EXTERNAL HYDROLOGY GROUPS (IAHS, UNESCO IHP, WMO HWR, ETC) M.Ho S.Gianh Thakhec ång Hí i WEAKNESSES: Savannakhet 1. FEW COUNTRIES huõ HAVE PROGRAMMATIC LINKS T.NhËt BETWEEN WEATHER µ N½ng AND HYDROLOGIC C u L u N.S n SERVICES. T. Khóc P¾c xõ SG 2. GIVEN THE PREVASIVE Q.Ng i NATURE OF USERS OF WATER B.T INFORMATION K.Tum IT HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO SELECT THE P.L.cu RIGHT USER COMMUNITIES QNh n WITH WHICH TO WORK. K«ng S«ng Mª Xª K«ng Sg. Sª San Sg. Srª pèc S.Thu Bån 1200 B n «n 1200 B.M.ThuËt S«ng.Ba C.S n 400 Ghi chó mm mm mm > 2000 mm 200 P.L m Krachª Kong P«ng Chµm T.Ninh S. ång Nai Tµ Lµi.L¹t 100 N. Trang

8 WCRP ORGANIZATION CLiC ICSU WMO WCRP WGNE WGCM IOC SPARC CLIVAR GOALS/DecCen RADIATION (GEWEX Radiation Panel) ISCCP SRB BSRN GVaP GPCP GACP GEWEX SOLAS CEOP GRP: MODELLING HYDROMETEOROLOGY -PRODUCES GLOBAL LONG TERM DATA SETS (GMPP - WGNE) (GEWEX Hydromet. Panel) PRIMARILY FROM SATELLITE DATA. - CARRIES OUT RESEARCH GAMEON GAPP ISLSCP OBSERVATIONAL GCSS SYSTEMS MDB AND GRDC UNDERTAKES MAGS WRAP GLASS DATA ANALYSES TO REDUCE THE ERRORS IN THESE BALTEX GLOBAL DATA SETS. GPCC GABLS LBA LPB AMMA - CARRIES OUT CLIMATE STUDIES WITH (IAHS) LONG TERM DATA SETS.

9 Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Bob Adler NASA/GSFC Laboratory for Atmospheres

10 WCRP ORGANIZATION ACSYS/CLiC ICSU WMO WCRP WGNE L WGCM IOC SPARC CLIVAR GOALS/DecCen GCM COMM. RADIATION (GEWEX Radiation Panel) ISCCP SRB BSRN GVaP GPCP GACP GCSS COMMUNITY GEWEX MODELLING (GMPP - WGNE) GCSS GLASS GABLS SOLAS CEOP PROCESS HYDROMETEOROLOGY UNDERSTANDING AND (GEWEX MODEL Hydromet. Panel) PARAMETERIZATIONS FOR: - CLOUDS GAME GAPP ISLSCP - LAND MDB SURFACE GRDC MAGS PROCESSES WRAP - ATMOSPHERIC BALTEX BOUNDARY GPCC LAYER LBA LPB AMMA GSWP PRODUCTS (IAHS)

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12 WCRP ORGANIZATION CLiC ICSU WMO WCRP WGNE WGCM IOC SPARC CLIVAR GOALS/DecCen RADIATION (GEWEX Radiation Panel) ISCCP SRB BSRN GVaP GPCP GACP GEWEX MODELLING (GMPP - WGNE) GCSS GLASS GABLS CEOP HYDROMETEOROLOGY (GEWEX Hydromet Panel)

13 Regional Hydroclimate Projects (RHPs) MAHASRI

14 HAP GHP Hydrologic Application Project From Climate Prediction to Water Management Hydrology and Water Resources Modeling, Data Assimilation Climate Prediction Water Prediction Hydrologic Ensemble Predictions Water Management Hydrologic Application Project

15 Coordinated Enhanced Observing Period A Prototype of the Global Water Cycle Observation System of Systems

16 No Ref. Site Name Eastern Siberian Tundra Eastern Siberian Taiga Mongolia Tongyu Tibet Himalayas Northern South China Sea - Southern Japan Chao-Phraya River North-East Thailand Western Pacific Ocean Mongol Arvayheer Mongol Nalaikh Northern Mongolia Downstream of the Yellow River Central Vietnam Northeast Bangladesh Pakistan Tsukuba Lanzhou Heihe River Basin Western Maritime Continent Central Maritime Continent Eastern Maritime Continent Northern Maritime Continent Southern Maritime Continent CAMP Reference Sites for Phase 2 JAMSTEC の Refrence Site

17 Coordinated Enhanced Observing Period Three Unique Capabilities Interoperability Arrangement A well organized collecting, processing, storing, and disseminating shared data, metadata and products Model Output Data Archiving Center at the World Data Center for Climate, Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology of Germany In-Situ Data Archiving Center at NCAR (National Center for Atmospheric Research) of USA Data Integrating/Archiving Center at University of Tokyo and JAXA of Japan

18 Coordinated Enhanced Observing Period Three Unique Capabilities Data Management Distributed- and Centralized- Data Integration Functions In-situ In-situ In-situ In-situ In-situ In-situ NCAR GrADS/ DDDS for Subsets Distributed Integration Services GrADS/ DODS for Subsets Computing Power MPI model model model model model model satellite satellite satellite GrADS/ DODS for Subsets Centralized Integration Services satellite satellite satellite satellite UT/JAXA Computing Power

19 NWPCs/ACs NCEP,JMA ECPC,BoM UKMO,CMC ECMWF CPTEC NCMWF EPSON MET GMAO GLDAS crosscutting webs highelevation A Project of Projects Global Dataset Projects semi-arid WDC-C MPI-M isotope Global Model Regional Model cold extreme aerosol Land Surface Model/LDAS Reference Sites River basins NCAR/EOL monsoon DATA INTEGRATION & ANALYSIS Centralized System U. Tokyo Distributed System WTF-CEOP UT&JAXA H A P Societal Benefits Satellite data CEOS JAXA NASA ESA NOAA EUMETSAT WGISS WGCV

20 NEESPI and CEOP share an objective of better understanding of underlying energy and water cycle processes to enhance our ability to describe the Earth Climate System and predict its changes with a particular focus to preserve the legacy of these studies. NEESPI and CEOP efforts will feed each other because: One of the NEESPI objectives is the same as CEOP s NEESPI has an open data policy Rich historic in-situ data sets, modernization of existing networks, introduction of new modern instrumentation to the NEESPI domain from the Arctic to the Central Asian and Gobi Deserts will be of help to the CEOP data collection strategy

21 GEWEX CONTRIBUTIONS TO IPY RELY ON NEESPI GOAL: GEWEX SEEKS TO UNDERSTAND THE SIGNIFICANCE OF HIGH LATITUDE PROCESSES FOR THE MEASURMENT, MODLEING AND UNDERSTANDING OF THE GLOBAL ENERGY AND WATER CYCLE. RECENT ACCOMPLISHMENTS: GEWEX HAS ADOPTED NEESPI AS A NEW RHP (FORMERLY CSE). NEESPI HAS A MAJOR IPY COMPONENT WITH USA AND RUSSIAN FUNDING AND ADDRESSES IPY ISSUES. BALTEX TERRITORY PLANS: CEOP WILL ESTABLISH SOME NORTHERN REFERENCE SITES AND GEWEX WILL LAUNCH AN IPY FIELD AND MODELING STUDY OF THE EFFECTS OF AEROSOLS AT HIGH LATITUDES (DEPENDING ON FUNDING)

22 GEWEX CSE Scientific Criteria: Observe, simulate, and predict the diurnal, seasonal, annual and interannual cycles Determine climate system variability and critical feedbacks Demonstrate improvements in predictions of waterrelated climate parameters Demonstrate the applicability of techniques and models for other regions Assess the human impact on hydroclimate variations, including vulnerability to climate change What Pasha promised on behalf of NEESPI..

23 GEWEX CSE Technical Criteria: Numerical Weather Prediction Center for provision of atmospheric and land surface data assimilation [BCC, RCC-M] Atmospheric-hydrological models for studying transferability and climate variability [WRF, VIC, need regional reanalysis] Mechanism for collecting and managing adequate hydrometeorological data sets [5 NEESPI SDS Centers] Participate in the open international exchange of scientific information and data [NEESPI Data Policy] Interaction with hydrological services and related groups Evaluation of GEWEX global data products [mutually beneficial proposals should be written] Contribution to CEOP in situ, remote sensing and model output databases [collaboration already started; 2 tiers]

24 Summary: NEESPI has the scope, breadth of scientific endeavor, and the broad international involvement to be an effective Regional Continental Scale study within GEWEX NEESPI has a completed Science Plan and a wide range of pilot funded projects. This will be supplemented with an Implementation Plan that (among other issues) will show how NEESPI addresses specific issues of relevance to GEWEX NEESPI has a handful of recently funded projects focused on integration; NEESPI scientists published ~120 refereed papers in the past year (including 5 books) NEESPI has established Science Advisory Panel (1 st Meeting was held in Feb. 2006); NEESPI Coordinating and Steering Committee (NCSC; Reps. of Funding Institutions and Agencies) met at the same time and the second meeting is scheduled in Helsinki in May 3-4, 2007 NEESPI International Coordination Office in Europe is under construction

25 CEOP/GEWEX CAN PROVIDE A NEESPI LINK TO IGWCO AND GEOSS WATER TASKS INCLUDING CAPACITY BUILDING 1. Provide a framework for guiding decisions on priorities and strategies regarding water cycle observations for: - Monitoring climate variability and change, - Effective water management - Societal applications for resource development and environmental management, - initial conditions for weather and climate forecasts, - Research on priority water cycle questions 2. Promote strategies that facilitate the processing, archiving and distribution of water cycle data products SOME GWC TARGETS IN THE GEO TYIPP: PRECIPITATION NETWORKS OF SUPERSITES NETWORK PLANNING DATA SHARING CAPACITY BUILDING

26 NEESPI ON THE GEWEX ORGANIZATION CHART

27 As a result of this agreement GEWEX is now tracking NEESPI progress and interacting with NEESPI scientists where ever appropriate to ensure that the: - NEESPI contributions to GEWEX objectives are integrated into the GEWEX program. - NEESPI plans take into account the need for field validation of GEWEX data products in the NEESPI region. - NEESPI scientists are aware of the data processing capabilities of GEWEX infrastructure and take full advantage of these services. - Scientists from the NEESPI region have opportunity to be fully involved in all aspects of the GEWEX project. - within its limited capabilities, GEWEX provides the support necessary to the development of the NEESPI program to enable its success. -NEESPI can provide process understanding needed for parameterization of unique processes in Euroasia