Renewable Energy in Germany at a Glance

Transcription

1 Renewable Energy in Germany at a Glance October, 11th 2016 in Jakarta, Indonesia Paul Rydzek, Consultant on behalf of the Energy Solutions made in Germany Initiative by the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy

2 Agenda: - The Energy Solutions made in Germany Initiative - Transformation of the German Energy System - Challenges and Opportunities through the use of RES - The German Delegation

3 The Energy Solutions made in Germany Initiative

4 Instruments offered by the initiative Foreign trade fairs Information and networking events Know-how transfer Information Trade missions Fact finding missions Project Development & Flagship projects

5 The goals of the The Energy Solutions made in Germany Initiative Main objectives: to contribute to climate protection to stimulate the acceptance of renewable energy in other countries to showcase Germany s technical and business expertise in the field of renewable energy to provide comprehensive support to SMEs as they tap into foreign markets Platform for bilateral exchange

6 Transformation of the German Energy System

7 Five reasons for the Energiewende Development of new technologies as new sources of growth and employment Energy policy can be both sustainable and economically successful Reduce dependency on energy imports Reduce carbon emissions and reach climate protection targets Phase-out nuclear power generation

8 Two pillars of the Energiewende Supporting fields of action Energy Efficiency Market and system integration Renewable Energy Key legislation: Energy Saving Ordinance Heating Cost Ordinance Energy research and development Key legislation: Renewable Energy Sources Act Renewable Energy Heat Act Reduce energy consumption Cost-efficient European energy and climate policy Steady growth Environmentally friendly

9 Affordability, reliability and environmental protection are interlinked. Three target areas of the Energiewende

10 Source: Federal Government 2010, BMU/BMWi 2014, AGEE-Stat 2014 Energiewende targets until 2050 The energy transition follows a transparent, long-term strategy with specific targets. Achieved Climate % greenhouse gas reduction (vs. 1990) -27% to -95 Renewable Energies Energy Efficiency % gross electricity consumption % final energy consumption % primary energy consumption (vs. 2008) final energy productivity 27.8% 12,4%* - 9 % 0.2%* p.a to to % p.a building renovation ~1%* p.a. doubling of renovation rate: 1% 2%

11 Source: BMWi 2013 Energy imports and domestic Energy production imports in Germany and domestic production in Germany % of total primary energy supply domestic production import dependence 60% RES target renewables The Energiewende hits many birds with one stone as renewables and efficiency reduce Germany s energy dependence. lignite hard coal gas oil oil imports gas imports hard coal imports nuclear total imports

12 12 Share in [%] Share of renewables is growing in all sectors, but fastest in electricity electricity heating transport total final energy consumption target 2020 Source: AGEE-Stat 2014

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20 Number of biogas plants Installed electric capacity Development of the German Biogassector Number of biogas plants in Germany Installed electric capacity in Megawatt [MW] Years Fachverband Biogas e.v. / German Biogas Association

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22 Challenges and Opportunities through the use of RES

23 Public acceptance of the Energiewende 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% The increased development of renewable energy is "important" or "extremely important" 92% Phasing out nuclear energy by 2022 is the right decision 71% The energy transition - moving towards a predominant energy supply from renewable sources - is right 56% The energy trasition is "important" or "very important" The aims and targets of the energy transition are right 82% 89% Aggregated index for acceptance of the energy transition (for businesses and the general public) 68% Percentage of people that agree or strongly agree with the given statement The energy transition enjoys a high degree of public approval.

24 Source: BMWi 2014 The household spending for electricity has increased much less than heating cost. heating oil natural gas electricity briquettes district heating

25 Source: Agora Energiewende 2013 German electricity-system volatility today Conventional power plants need to adapt to higher flexibility needs. GW 100 beginning of January 2013 week no. 2 GW 100 mid-june 2013 week no GW 72.4 GW conventional (90% of of demand) demand) GW conventional (56% of demand) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun electricity demand photovoltaic residual load hydro (fossil plants) onshore / offshore wind biomass

26 Source: Agora Energiewende 2012 German electricity-system volatility in 2022 Renewables will partially cover 100% of demand by as early as GW end of November 2022 week no. 47 GW mid-august 2022 week no Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun electricity demand photovoltaic residual load hydro (fossil plants) onshore / offshore wind biomass

27 27 Source: CEER 2014 Average duration of supply failures in 2012 Germany will maintain top security levels despite the energy transition. 300 average duration in min/a excluding exceptional events including exceptional events 0

28 The energy transition has positive effects on various levels.

29 Source: DIW 2010, AEE 2014 Contribution of renewables to German GDP The German economy is increasingly benefiting from both domestic and international renewables investments share in %

30 employees (in 1,000) Gross job creation in the German renewables sector geothermal hydro solar biomass wind The energy transition has positive effects on various levels of the economy.

31 Source: 50 Hertz Expansion of renewable energy sources in Germany Business opportunities: the number of renewable power plants has grown exponentially over the past 14 years.

32 The German Delegation

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34 Thank you for your kind attention! Contact details eclareon GmbH Management Consultants Paul Rydzek Project Manager Albrechtstr. 22, Berlin +49 (0)

35 RES levelised cost of electricity in Europe 2014, 2020, 2030 Source: Fraunhofer I 2014 Renewables are increasingly competitive with conventional powerplants.

36 Average household electricity spending: an international comparison Country Consumption (kwh) Price ( ct/kwh) Bill ( ) Denmark 4, ,200 US 11, ,060 Germany 3, ,050 Japan 5, ,010 Spain 4, ,010 Canada 10, UK 4, France 5, Italy 2, German households spend less on electricity than those in the US: efficiency outweighs higher electricity prices.

37 Source: Ecofys 2015 based on BMWi 2014 German energy expenditures and shares An average 4-person household spends roughly 7% of it s income on energy. Petrol accounts for the the largest share.

38 38 The main share of payments for renewable electricity goes to existing plants. New installations account for a much smaller share. Net feed-in payment trends in Germany