Climate Change and beyond - the EU project "Climate for Culture" Grant agreement No ( )
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1 Climate Change and beyond - the EU project "Climate for Culture" Grant agreement No ( ) Increasing Europe`s competitiveness through cultural heritage research Conference of the NET HERITAGE project Brussels, 24 March 2011 Johanna Leissner, Fraunhofer Gesellschaft
2 CO 2 concentration in the atmosphere Earth's CO 2 Home Page ppm atmospheric CO 2 for February 2011 Preliminary data released March 8, 2011 (Mauna Loa) How do we care for the welfare of future generations?
3 EU plan for a competitive lowcarbon economy by 2050 to fight climate change 8 March 2011 To keep global warming below 2 C, the world will need to halve its emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases by 2050 (compared with 1990 levels). Europe has to invest 270 billion per year for changing industrial production, renovating buildings and creating CO 2 -free mobility (Commissioner Hedegaard)
4 Climate change impact on cultural heritage Direct building envelope - T, rh, wind-driven rain, wind speed, solar radiation, sea level rise and land slide, frost/thaw cycles... building interior - changing indoor conditions... Indirect low carbon economy and energy problem, scarcity of resources, financial crisis, budget restrictions in the public sector destabilization of political systems and societies (climate refugees) demographic change / change of interest / no visitors destruction, abandoning of land - danger of landslides
5 Project cornerstones High resolution climate modelling on a regional scale Development of hygrothermal building simulation software Case study data base and stakeholder contributions Economic impact report like the Stern Review
6 Climate modelling - A1B scenario Assumptions rapid economic growth increasing global population until 2050, decline after 2050 rapid introduction of new and more efficient technologies A1B balanced energy sources
7 Distribution of Case Studies so far Collection of data from Europe & Egypt climate microclimate building observed damages KYBERTEC Ltd. 2010
8 Climate classification maps Baseline vs Far Future by Melanie Eibl, 2011
9 Hygrothermal building simulation and simulation of global climate change Measured data for a historic building in 2009 Simulation for 2100 by Ralf Kilian, 2009
10 Comparison of measured and modelled data for a building- first results by Florian Antretter, 2011
11 1. Fraunhofer Gesellschaft zur Förderung der angewandten Forschung e.v., Germany 2. Czech Technical University in Prague, Czech Republic 3. Consiglio Nazionale Delle Ricerche-Istituto di Scienze dell'atmosfera e del Clima, Italy 4. University of Zagreb, Croatia 5. Institute of Electronic Structure and Laser, IESL/FORTH, Greece 6. Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany 7. Technische Universität München, Germany 8. Eindhoven University of Technology, Netherlands 9. University of Ljubljana, Slovenia 10. Gradbeni Institut ZRMK, Slovenia 11. Gotland University, Sweden 12. Andreas Weiß, freelance conservator-restorer, Germany 13. Engineering Consulting & Software Development, Poland 14. Krah & Grote Measurement Solutions, Germany 15. TB Käferhaus GmbH, Austria 16. Haftcourt Ltd. UK/Sweden 17. ACCIONA, S.A, Spain 18. Bayerische Verwaltung der staatlichen Schlösser, Gärten und Seen, Germany 19. Bayerische Staatsgemäldesammlungen Doerner Institut, Germany 20. National Trust for England, Wales and Northern Ireland, UK 21. Kybertec Ltd., Czech Republic 22. Glasgow Caledonian University, UK 23. Center for Documentation of Cultural & Natural Heritage, Egypt 24. Jonathan Ashley-Smith, Consultant for Conservation Risk Assessment, UK 25. Institut National du Patrimoine, France 26. London School of Economics & Political Science, UK 27. Fondazione Salvatore Maugeri - Clinica del Lavoro e della Riabilitazione, Italy
12 Cultural heritage 2010 Cultural heritage 2100?? Chancellor Merkel 2006: "Wir dürfen unsere Zukunft nicht verbrauchen!" [We must not use up our future] Cultural heritage is a non-renewable resource we must take action now! EU Sustainability S & FP8
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