Technology for our Transportation Future

Transcription

1 Technology for our Transportation Future Presenter: Des King Company: Chevron Oronite 1

2 Engine/Fuel Choices Challenge Our Focus Engine Types Electric Internal Combustion Engine Hybrid Internal combustion engines (ICE) are here to stay for the foreseeable future Methanol Hydrogen Electricity Diesel BioFuels Natural Gas/LPG Fuel Types Gasoline

3 U.S. National Petroleum Council (NPC) Study Objectives: Examine opportunities to accelerate future transportation fuel prospects Advice on potential actions to reduce GHG emissions by 50% 3

4 U.S. National Petroleum Council (NPC) Study Varied viewpoints from over 300 participants Over 2 years to complete the study Advise pathways for integrating new fuels and vehicles 4

5 NPC Key Findings Focus on ICE ICE technologies to be the dominant propulsion systems for decades Fuel economy can be dramatically improved in the light-duty and heavy-duty sectors Economic commercialization of alternatives is challenged by continuously improving ICE Liquid fuel blends will continue to play a significant, but reduced role. Source: NPC Study 5

6 Technology Hurdles 250 Hurdles Prioritized to Top 12 Priority Technologies Focus Area 1 Low cost lightweighting (up to 30% reduction) Light-Duty Engines 2 Hydrolysis Biofuels 3 Fermentation of C5 and C6 sugars Biofuels 4 Lignocellulose logistics and densification Biofuels 5 Production of higher-value pyrolysis oil Biofuels 6 Biotechnology to increase food and biomass Biofuels 7 Leverage liquid ICE fuel economy technology Light-Duty Natural Gas 8 Lithium-ion battery energy density Light-Duty Electric 9 Lithium-ion battery degradation/longevity Light-Duty Electric 10 Hydrogen compression and storage for dispensing Light-Duty Hydrogen 11 Fuel cell degradation and durability Light-Duty Hydrogen 12 Combustion optimization Medium/Heavy-Duty Engines/Vehicles Source: NPC Study 6

7 Technology Hurdles 250 Hurdles Prioritized to Top 12 Priority Technologies Focus Area 1 Low cost lightweighting (up to 30% reduction) Light-Duty Engines 2 Hydrolysis Biofuels 3 Fermentation of C5 and C6 sugars Biofuels 4 Lignocellulose logistics and densification Biofuels 5 Production of higher-value pyrolysis oil Biofuels 6 Biotechnology to increase food and biomass Biofuels 7 Leverage liquid ICE fuel economy technology Light-Duty Natural Gas 8 Lithium-ion battery energy density Light-Duty Electric 9 Lithium-ion battery degradation/longevity Light-Duty Electric 10 Hydrogen compression and storage for dispensing Light-Duty Hydrogen 11 Fuel cell degradation and durability Light-Duty Hydrogen 12 Combustion optimization Medium/Heavy-Duty Engines/Vehicles Source: NPC Study 7

8 Low Cost Lightweighting Light Duty Engines and Vehicles Lightweighting can deliver up to 30% mass reduction Higher cost of lightweight materials can be offset by fuel economy gains A 10% reduction in vehicle weight can result in a 6% to 8% improvement in fuel economy 8

9 Vehicle Lightweighting Engine downsizing is a major component 3L V6 (200 HP) 2L 4 cylinder Turbo (200 HP) The OEM trend in most passenger car markets: Smaller displacement, higher power density engines Smaller engines = higher load factors Changing performance demands on fuels, lubricants, and additives 9

10 Leverage Liquid ICE Fuel Technology for Light Duty Natural Gas (LDNG) Fracking has led to substantial increases in natural gas production Natural gas can be used in modified and purpose-built ICEs Light duty natural gas vehicle sales projected to Increase 50% globally Source: Pike Research* 10

11 Combustion & After-Treatment Optimization Optimize combustion by improving: sensor technologies electronic controls fuel injection charge mixing technologies Improved after-treatment systems result in: reduced pollutants better fuel economy 11

12 Technology for Our Transportation Future Oronite Point of View ICEs and hydrocarbon fuels will remain dominant Increasingly strict environmental regulations will push emissions reduction and fuel economy Advancements in additive and formulating technologies will enable fuel economy improvements A cross-industry systems approach will help meet the energy and fuel economy challenges of the future 12

13 Future Impacts on Additive Formulation Fuel Economy Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) Benefits Extended Service/Durability Sustainability Ultra Low Viscosity Oils Surface Treatments for Reduced Friction and Wear Turbo-Downsizing Advanced Thermal Management Reduced Maintenance and Long Drains Renewable Fuels Additives Impacted Supplemental Wear Inhibitors New Friction Modifiers New Deposit Control Additives New Nitration Inhibitors TBN Retention Additives New Oxidation Inhibitors 13

14 Summary Focus R&D on the most impactful technology areas Fuel economy can be dramatically improved in the light-duty and heavy-duty sectors The additives industry must enhance our products to enable evolving technologies Net fuel efficiency gains will result from numerous contributions from hardware, fuels, lubricants, and additives 14