STRATEGY AND ACTION PLAN FOR COMBATTING AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT

Transcription

1 STRATEGY AND ACTION PLAN FOR COMBATTING AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT Ministry of Food Agriculture and Livestock General Directorate of Agricultural Reform Agricultural Insurance and Natural Disasters Department Kemal PEKDOĞAN Agricultural Engineer November 2014 Antalya, TÜRKİYE 1

2 CONTENT OF PRESENTATION AGRICULTURE IN TURKEY ACTIVITIES UNDER STRATEGY AND ACTION PLAN FOR COMBATTING AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT 2

3 MAIN DATA ON AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN TURKEY Turkey has the 7th biggest agricultural economy in the World and 1st biggest agricultural economy in European Union Rate of employment in agriculture in Turkey is 24,6%. Agricultural Gross Domestic Product (2012) is 62 Billion Dollars. Income per capita in Agriculture (2012) is Dollars. Agricultural Export (2012) 16 Billion Dollars. 3

4 CROPS TURKEY HAS A SIGNIFICANT SHARE IN Apricot WORLDWIDE PRODUCTION (2010) Fig Hazelnut Dried Grape Cherry Watermelon Lentil Melon Cucumber Pistachio Pepper Apple Chickpea Olive Tomato Tee Egg-plant 4 FAO-2010

5 Distribution of Precipitation in Turkey Average precipitation 643 mm 80% of production depends on precipitation Areas : 78 million ha Forest %20 Agricul. %31 24 million ha Dry 18,5 million ha Irrigated 5 5,5 million ha

6 ACTIVITIES ON LEGISLATION FOR COMBATTING AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT 2012/3191 numbered Cabinet Decision on Combatting Agricultural Drought and Drought Management Activities, Regulations on Duties, Working Procedures and Principles of Agricultural Drought Management has been published on 18 August 2012 dated and numbered Official Gazette. 6

7 AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT MANAGEMENT consists of two parts: 1-Central Management 2-Provincial Management Central Management MONITORING EARLY WARNING AND ESTIMATION COMMITTEE (MEWEC) DATA FLOW UNITS (DFU) AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT MANAGEMENT COORDINATION BOARD (ADMCB) AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT PROVINCILA CRISIS CENTERS (ADPCC) RISK ASSESSMENT COMMITTEE (RAC) WORKING GROUPS (WG) Provincial Management 7

8 1- CENTRAL MANAGEMENT (ACTIVITIES REALIZED BY MINISTRY AT THE CENTRAL LEVEL) 8

9 ACTIVITIES OF MONITORING EARLY WARNING AND ESTIMATION COMMITTEE 9

10 Data used by Monitoring Early Warning and Estimation Committee MONTHLY PRECIPITATION MAP 10

11 PRECIPITATION GRAPHS (MONTHLY-CUMULATIVE) COUNTRYWIDE AND REGIONAL GRAPHS. 11

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14 TEMPERATURE ANALYSIS 14

15 Normal precipitation averages by regions and data of previous year can be gathered. 15

16 TABLE INDICATING PRECIPITATION IN BASINS FEBRUARY-2014 PRECIPITATION IN WATER BASINS No BASIN PRECIPI TATION (mm) NORM AL (mm) PREVIOU S YEAR (mm) RATE OF INCREASE- DECREASE ACCOR. TO ACCOR. TO NORMAL PREVIOUS (%) YEAR (%) 1 MERİÇ BASIN 8,3 55,5 103,2-85,0 DECREASE -92,0 DECREASE 2 MARMARA BASIN 3 SUSURLUK BASIN 22,7 72,9 90,1-68,9 DECREASE -74,8 DECREASE 36,6 78,9 96,3-53,6 DECREASE -62,0 DECREASE 4 KUZEY EGE BASIN 8,8 83,8 149,4-89,5 DECREASE -94,1 DECREASE 16

17 DROUGHT ANALYSIS: Three types of drought analysis have been used. A) PERCENT OF NORMAL INDEX (PNI) 17

18 B) STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATION INDEX (SPI) 18

19 C) PALMER DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX 19

20 CROP DEVELOPMENT REPORTS OBTAINED FROM PROVINCIAL DIRECTORATES AEGEAN REGION MANİSA AYDIN UŞAK DENİZLİ KÜTAHYA AFYON There is drought risk in Alaşehir, Demirci, Kula, Saruhanlı, Sarıgöl, Selendi and Turgutlu counties due to lack of precipitation. Other counties are normal. Precipitation is sufficient and there is no risk of drought. Period of tillering-bolting. There is risk of drought. It is esmitated that there can be losses in Çivril county due to lack of precipitation. There is no risk of drought except Çavdarhisar and Domaniç counties. Precipitation is insufficient and there are indications for drought in Bayat, Bolvadin, Çay, Çobanlar, Dazkırı, Emirdağ, Evciler, İhsaniye, İscehisar, Merkez, Sandıklı, 20 Sultandağı, Şuhut counties. There is no drought loss in other counties.

21 RESERVOIR LEVELS OF IRRIGATION DAMS Reservoir levels of 211 irrigation dams being operated is 49,6% as of

22 ACTIVITIES OF RISK ASSESSMENT COMMITTEE 22

23 ACTIVITIES OF RISK ASSESSMENT COMMITTEE This committee makes semi-annual predictions for future by assessing report of Monitoring, Early Warning and Estimation Committee and by using various meteorological data. 23

24 PREDICTION MAPS OF EUROPEAN CENTER FOR MEDIUM-TERM WEATHER FORCAST (ECMWF) ARE USED FOR FUTURE PREDICTIONS. (APRIL, MAY, JUNE) It is estimated that precipitation will be less than season normal (0-50 mm) in south-eastern part of Eastern Anatolia Region and eastern part of South-eastern Anatolia Region; it will be more than season normal (0-50 mm) at eastern part of Black sea Region and at around season normal in other regions. 24

25 AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT MANAGEMENT COORDINATION BOARD MAKE ITS OWN ASSESSMENT AFTER DELIVERING BOTH REPORTS DEVELOPMENTS IN THE WORLD ARE FOLLOWED Countries suffering from drought in the world. Situation of product exchange in the world. Strategic product reserves in our country. 25

26 AGRICULTURAL DROUGHT PROVINCIAL CRISIS CENTER Meets under leadership of governor of province. Prepares Agricultural Drought Provincial Action Plan. Subjects under the Agricultural Drought Provincial Action Plan; General information on the province. Training Plans. Soil and Land Resources. Water Resources. Drought action steps. Mid and Long-term Working Plans under Normal Conditions. Measures to be taken during Drought Periods. 26

27 DROUGHT ACTION STEPS Step 1: Preparation for Drought (Decrease in precipitation rate in September-October) Step 2: Drought Alert (Precipitation in September-October-November- December is parallel with dry years) Step 3: Urgent Action (Precipitation in October-November-December- January-February-March is near to driest year) Step 4: Restriction(Precipitation in October-November-December- January-February-March-April-May-June is at level of driest year) Measures to be Taken for each of these steps have been determined separately. 27

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29 THANK YOU FOR YOUR 29 ATTENTION