SUNRISE FROM THE WEST

Transcription

1 SUNRISE FROM THE WEST THE GROWTH OF SOLAR ENERGY IN CALIFORNIA David Hochschild Commissioner California Energy Commission 1

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5 The Challenge is Big... The Goal: 33% Renewables by 2020 & 12 GW of Clean Distributed Generation 5

6 But Big Challenges Are What We Do 1972: Rand Corporation report: CA energy demand growing 8% per year, predicts 40 new nuclear power plants may be needed 1974: Jerry Brown elected Governor. California Energy Commission created to help CA lead on energy efficiency and renewables 1975: CA initiates first efficiency standards for buildings and appliances 6

7 California is the National Leader in Energy Efficiency

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9 The Energy Commission s new standard for plug-in chargers saves Californians $300 M/year 9

10 Over $140 Billion in Cumulative Energy Savings since 1975 From California Building & Appliance Standards $Billions Gas Electricity Source: California Energy Commission estimate based on gross savings to California customers using average residential and commercial rates for each utility.

11 If California Had 40 Nuclear Plants California Today Diablo Canyon Nuclear Plant 11

12 Governor Brown Increases CA RPS to 33% by

13 The World s Largest Solar Thermal Power Plant (Tower) Ivanpah Solar Thermal Project 370MW San Bernardino County, CA 13

14 World s Largest Thin Film Solar PV Project Desert Sunlight Solar Project 550 MW Riverside County, CA 14

15 World s Largest Wind Project Alta Wind Energy Center 1550MW Kern County 15

16 The World s Largest Silicon PV Project Solar Star Project 579 MW Kern County, CA 16

17 World s Largest Geothermal Power Plant Geysers Geothermal Power Plant 955MW Napa County, CA 17

18 The World s Largest Solar Thermal Power Plant (Parabolic Trough) Solar Energy Generating System (SEGS) 310 MW San Bernadino County, CA 18

19 CA Leads in New Solar Home Construction Over 8000 New Solar Homes Installed in CA. 12,000 more under way. Rocklin Zero Energy Community 19

20 Tale of Two Lightbulbs 60 W Incandescent 60 W LED Lumins: Color Rendition: Dimmable: Yes Yes Annual Electricity Cost: $10 $3 Lifespan: 1 Year 25 years 20

21 Almost 80% of the California RPS is Projected to Be Met by Solar & Wind by 2020 Source: CPUC RPS Report 21

22 600% Increase in Utility-Scale Solar Connected to CA Grid in 3 Years GW Source: California Independent System Operator 22

23 Solar Panel Prices Have Dropped 98% Since Modu ule Price (2010 $/W) $33.69/W Silicon Shortage Cumulative Production (MW) 2013 $0.65/W Every Time Demand for Solar Doubles, Prices Go Down about 20% 23

24 Source of PV Cost Declines Source: GTM Research 24

25 >2 GW Customer-owned PV installed by YE Source:

26 Global PV Market 26

27 California Residential Electric Bills Are 20% Below the National Average 27

28 Innovation in Electric Vehicles: 30 mile range, recharges in 10 minutes Proterra Battery Electric Bus 28

29 Lithium Ion Battery Cell Cost Forecast: 70% Reduction by 2020 Source: Roland Berger, Samsung 29

30 Largest Manufacturing Operation in CA is now Electric Vehicles Automation is allowing on-shoring of manufacturing processes back from Asia Tesla Factory Fremont, CA Over 3000 workers now working at the Tesla Factory 30

31 May 6, 1954:Roger Bannister Breaks the 4 Minute Mile The record was broken again 46 days later 31

32 February 2, 2014: Tesla Completes First Electric Vehicle Cross Country Road Trip Using Recharging Stations 32

33 160, , , ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 More Jobs in US Solar Industry than US Auto Manufacturing 0 Coal Mining US Iron and Steel Mill Industry US Auto Manufacturing US Solar Industry Source: Solar Foundation and US Energy Information Administration 33

34 More Jobs in US Solar Industry than US Auto Manufacturing 160, , , , , ,000 89,838 86,122 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Coal Mining US Iron and Steel Mill Industry US Auto Manufacturing US Solar Industry Source: Solar Foundation and US Energy Information Administration 34

35 20% Solar Job Growth Last Year 35

36 What Policies Have Driven Solar RPS Net Metering Growth in CA? California Solar Initiative RAM Program 36

37 NEW OPPORTUNITIES FOR ACCELERATING SOLAR PACE Program Aggregate procurement Reduced Permitting Costs 37

38 High speed rail is coming to California and it will be 100% powered by renewables 38

39 US NAVY COMMITTED TO MEETING 50% OF ITS ENERGY NEEDS WITH RENEWABLES BY 2020 We can do these things. We have to. We need to for strategic reasons and because we need to be better stewards of the Earth. - Secretary of the Navy Ray Mabus 39

40 US Venture Capital Investing in Clean Tech at Lowest Point in 4 Years $5.0 $4.0 $3.0 $2.0 $1.0 $ (P) Source: PWC/NVCA/Thomson Reuters Moneytree

41 Your house has a heartbeat Smart meter data can enable touchless energy audits Source: Bidgely 41

42 WHAT IS THE ROLE OF THE UTILITIES? 42

43 THE BALANCING ACT Cost Environment Reliability 43

44 New College, Oxford University 44