The Transition to Clean Energy Systems in California. Andrew McAllister, PhD Commissioner California Energy Commission

Transcription

1 The Transition to Clean Energy Systems in California Andrew McAllister, PhD Commissioner California Energy Commission

2 The Climate Imperative California is fortunate to have broad agreement population, elected leadership, business community, investors, local governments that climate change must be confronted. WE MUST LEAD.

3 CA Emissions Trajectory Toward 2050

4 Change Since % 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% Since 2001: GDP Up 28%, Emissions Down 8% While Emissions Have Fallen by 8% -30% Year Source: CA Air Resources Board GDP Population GHG Emissions GHG Emissions Per Capita

5 GHG Emissions Statewide 26% 37% 9% 27% transportation industry agriculture buildings

6 The transition to clean energy is full of opportunity. Policies A Broad Suite of Complementary Initiatives A suite of complementary policies helps to encourage innovation in technology and equally important - business model development for commercialization and scale-up.

7 I. Improved Energy Performance of Buildings, Industry $1.8+B/yr in EE programs Leadership in State buildings Assertive Building Codes New Appliance Standards Market Training and Support Research & Development Innovative Financing Approaches Benchmarking and Disclosure Market-relevant INFORMATION 14,000 12,000 10,000 kwh 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Per Capita Consumption - CA Per Capita Consumption - U.S. GOAL p/c Consumption - CA Net After Self-Gen CO2 trend w/ RPS Source: CA Energy Commission

8 Building Standards Have Saved ~$66B Since 1976 * Source: CA Energy Commission

9 2019 Building Standards (Under Development) The 2019 Building Energy Efficiency Standards should send the right signal to the market to encourage: 1. Envelope efficiency 2. Modest sized PV systems 3. Grid integration/harmonization strategies

10 Appliance Standards Save CA $6 Billion Every Year 2009: The Energy Commission s TV efficiency standards take effect, saving Californians $1 billion / year 2012: The Commission s plug-in charger efficiency standards begin saving Californians $300M / year

11 2019: Efficiency Standards for Computers & Monitors begin saving Californians $370M / year

12 II. Half of Electricity From (Non-Hydro) Renewables 25% 33% 50%

13 2016 Renewable Generation Serving California

14 Renewable Generation By Resource Type (in-state and out-of-state)

15 World s 3rd Largest Crystalline Plant Solar Star MW Kern & Los Angeles Counties, CA World s Largest Thin Film Plant Desert Sunlight 550 MW Riverside County, CA World s Largest Solar Thermal Plant Ivanpah 377 MW San Bernardino County, CA World s Largest Solar Thermal Trough SEGS 354 MW San Bernardino County, CA

16 Renewable Distributed Generation (<20 MW, incl. Self-Gen)

17 Renewable Distributed Generation by Fuel Type

18 Annual Newly Installed Self-Generation Capacity

19 Benefits of Consistent Policy, Open Data

20 III. Focus on Low-Income Californians & Disadvantaged Communities SB 350 Barriers Report, December 2017 How do we make sure all Californians have access to essential energy services, particularly clean and affordable ones, including energy efficiency and renewables? Recommendations include: Additional Resources; Targeted Solar & Efficiency Programs; Focus on Quality Workforce Development - Coupled with Contracting Requirements; More Effective Program Data Collection & Accountability; Ongoing Barriers Task Force.

21 Reducing Fossil Fuel Use - Vehicle Electrification, Fuel Cell Vehicles - Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles - Heavy Duty Vehicles: BioDiesel, Natural Gas - Buildings End Uses

22 Storage & Controls: Creating Beauty? Smarts? Distributed Generators

23 VISION A Principle Challenge to Achieving Our 2050 Goals Is: Technologies at all scales Supply AND Demand Are Responsive Flexibility Throughout the System Integration Standardized Data Access and Communications Control & Automation

24 Zero Net Energy (ZNE) Buildings CA policy goals All new homes are ZNE by 2020 All new commercial buildings are ZNE by 2030 State Buildings: All new, 50% existing ZNE by 2025 A variety of complementary efforts will be needed to achieve these goals, including building standards and scaled-up market offerings.

25 Source: New Buildings Institute, PG&E Corp. Tale of Two Buildings BOTH Zero Net Energy Solar PV Only Efficiency, Demand Response, THEN PV

26 Tale of Two Buildings Grid View Solar PV Only Efficiency, Demand Response, THEN PV Source: New Buildings Institute, PG&E Corp.

27 Existing Commercial Building Upgrade BEFORE Source: Kevin Bates, SHARP Development Co.

28 PASSIVE THERMAL COMFORT Source: Kevin Bates, SHARP Development Co. After

29 Tons Tenant-Centered Design: Capital Savings: Downsized HVAC system Simpler, modular systems = reduced TI Better Cash Flow: Lower vacancies Longer tenancies Higher rents Lower maintenance costs Comfortable, satisfied workers => Enhanced Profitability Existing Standard THIS 415 BUILDING Indio Source: Kevin Bates, SHARP Development Co.

30 New City Library Berkeley, CA Zero Net Energy, Passive Design

31 Accessible Cutting-Edge Energy Innovation 62-Unit Affordable ZNE Community in Woodland, CA - All-electric - Next is an energy-positive community!

32 Regional Energy Imbalance Market Trading excess renewables between balancing authorities EIM takes advantage of geographic diversity across the Western US Reduces curtailment and creates revenue for renewable generators Source: CAISO

33 Clean Energy: 400,000 Jobs in California! Source: Advanced Energy Economy, 2016

34 Economic Development is Central to the Sustainable Energy Transition

35 THANK YOU! Commissioner Andrew McAllister