BOEM/BSEE and NOAA Research in Support of the May 2011 MOU. Dr. Doug DeMaster

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1 BOEM/BSEE and NOAA Research in Support of the May 2011 MOU Dr. Doug DeMaster Director, Research and Science Director, Alaska Region, NOAA Fisheries Juneau, Alaska

2 MOU between BOEM/BSEE & NOAA - An agreement regarding coordination and collaboration between the agencies -... to ensure decision making is based on relevant scientific information and expertise - in order to fulfill the stewardship and conservation of LMR and ecosystem responsibilities

3 MOU between BOEM/BSEE & NOAA - ensure effective and timely communication - Identify and undertake critical environmental studies and analyses - Increase coordination and collaboration on public announcements - BOEM and NOAA will meet regularly to identify the best available science

4 Key Arctic References for NOAA and BOEM/BSEE 1. NOAA Arctic Vision and Strategy 2. NOAA Arctic Action Plan (draft final) 3. MOU between DOI and DOC (May 2011) 4. MOA among NOAA, Shell Oil, CP, and StatOil (Aug 2011) 5. NOAA Arctic Report Card (updated annually) 6. IARPC Research Plan (FY ) (draft final) 7. NOP Strategic Action Plan (Aug 2011) 8. Final Recommendations of the Interagency Ocean Policy Task Force (July 2010) 9. Alaska Region Operating Procedures (Feb 2012)

5 NOAA s Arctic Goals 5 Arctic V&S Goal Forecast Sea Ice Strengthen Foundational Science to Understand and Detect Arctic Climate and Ecosystem Changes Improve Weather and Water Forecasts and Warnings Enhance International and National Partnerships Improve Stewardship and Management of Ocean and Coastal Resources in the Arctic Advance Resilient and Healthy Arctic Communities and Economies Purpose Accurate daily to decadal predictions of sea ice for safe Arctic operations and ecosystem stewardship. Improved baseline obs and understanding of Arctic climate /ecosystems to reduce uncertainty of changing Arctic impacts. Ensures society can prepare for and respond appropriately to weather-related routine and extreme events. For cooperation and sharing of data, obs platforms, and intellectual resources to achieve Arctic science/ebm goals. Using sound science to support healthy, productive, and resilient ecosystems. Support with improved geospatial infrastructure, safe navigation, oil spill response readiness, and climate change adaption strategies.

6 NOAA s Arctic Vision and Strategy Based on the following: 1) continue to experience dramatic change, 2) become more accessible to human activities, and 3) be a focus of increasing global strategic interest With level funding in FY12: 1. Sea ice forecasting 2. Climate change Distributed Biological Observatory 3. Activities needed to support oil and gas development (e.g., permits)

7 Arctic Sea Ice Extent Loss Source: National Aeronautics and Space Administration Although 2008, 2009, and 2010 se ice extents are above the 2007 minimum record, the data continuous to show a downward trend

8 Significant Northward Displacement in the Bering Sea Greenland halibut 98 km Bering flounder 76 km Arrowtooth flounder 46 km Flathead sole 57 km Snow crab 89 km Eulachon 34 km Pacific halibut 55 km Plus 8 other species February 27, 2012 Mueter, F.J. and M.A. Litzow Ecol. Appl. 18:

9 Distributed Biological Observatory Studies include: Oceanography Phytoplankton Demersal fish Pelagic fish Seabirds

10 Where, when, and how does the species use sea ice? Within this context, what are the expectations for future ice conditions? And the implications for the fate of the species? Bearded Seal Ringed Seal Spotted Seal Ribbon Seal Erignathus barbatus Phoca hispida Phoca largha Histriophoca fasciata

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12 Questions? Doug DeMaster, AFSC

13 Arctic Report Card card/index.html Summaries of metrics to evaluate changes in atmosphere, sea ice, and ocean characteristics - including, tracking trends in abundance 1000 marine, freshwater and terrestrial species