Signal Integrity Analysis Using Statistical Methods
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1 Signal Integrity Analysis Using Statistical Methods J u l y 2012
2 TABLE OF CONTENTS Abstract... 3 Abbreviations... 4 Introduction... 5 Why DOE?... 6 Signal Integrity Flow... 6 Case Study SATA Interface... 7 Design of Experiments (DOE)... 8 Response Surface Modeling (RSM)... 9 Prediction Profiler Conclusion References Author Info... 13
3 Abstract The current electronics industry drive for miniaturization of electronic products will eventually call for smaller IC package design, high speed interfaces and complex, dense PCB designs. The recent advancements in PCB designs have facilitated the manufacturing of high-density, multi-layer PCBs, where interface speeds can vary from 1.5Gbps to 12Gbps and more. The need for comprehensive analysis of these interfaces during the early stages of design becomes very critical in order to avoid signal integrity and EMI/EMC-related issues during system testing and certification. This paper presents a method to leverage the advantages of statistical methods for signal integrity analysis. This paper will describe how we can simplify signal integrity analysis by analytically reducing the number of simulation iterations and predicting the worst and best case conditions and results for validating the high speed interfaces using statistical tools such as JMP and Minitab. 3
4 Abbreviations Sl. No. Acronyms Full form 1 db Decibel 2 EMI/EMC Electromagnetic Interference /Electromagnetic Compatibility 3 Gbps Gigabits per second 4 IC Integrated Circuit 5 IO Input Output 6 PCB Printed Circuit Board 7 RX Receiver 8 SATA Serial Advanced Technology Attachment 9 SI Signal Integrity 10 TX Transmitter 4
5 Introduction Statistical tools like JMP and Minitab provide a comprehensive toolset to perform design of experiments and statistical quality control in a single package. When performing signal integrity analysis of any multi-ghz interface, we need to analyze the effect of the IC package, PCB trace impedance variations during manufacturing tolerances and other effects including buffer corner, termination tolerances, etc., on signal quality and timing parameters. Taking all these factors into consideration poses a huge challenge in terms of complexity as well as time while performing SI analysis. Also, the timeframe available for SI analysis during both pre- and post- layout is limited due to crunch product schedules and market pressures. Failing to perform an in-depth analysis during the design phase leads to poor design yields, which increase cost, field failures and customer returns. 5
6 Why DOE? Design of Experiments (DOE) allows the simultaneous investigation of the effects of various factors/variables, thereby facilitating design optimization. DOE techniques provide powerful and efficient methods to identify the vital factors in the most efficient manner, and then direct the process to its best setting to meet the ever-increasing demand for improved quality and increased productivity. Some of the advantages of using DOE are stated below. Systematically identifying relationships between cause and effect of a number of independent and dependent variables of interest Providing an understanding of interactions among contributing variables Comparing alternative factors to achieve best or comparable output Identifying the significant and trivial factors affecting an output Determining the levels at which to set the controllable factors in order to optimize reliability Improving the robustness of the design or process to variations. DOE can be leveraged to a greater extent to reduce design costs by speeding up the design process, reducing late engineering design changes, reducing rework and scrap. DOE allows us to design and conduct experiments with a minimal number of iterations that will result in the creation of an accurate linear model based on the results provided to the statistical tools. Once an accurate linear model with a good fit is created, modeling techniques such as Response Surface Modeling (RSM) can be used to predict the behavior of our system in response to arbitrary combinations of factors. The RSM is a commonly used technique in engineering and R&D experiment design. This modeling technique can be used for predicting the worst- and bestcase output values for any given combination of input variables, using the prediction profiler available in the statistical tool. Signal Integrity Flow The traditional signal integrity process needs to be modified to apply statistical methods and obtain results effectively. This modified flow has two additional stages pre- and post-processing in addition to the HSPICE simulations stage. 6
7 Figure 1 : Design of Experiments - SI Flow The flowchart above shows the various steps that need to be performed during signal integrity analysis using DOE. In the preprocessing stage, we need to identify various variables and their range which will influence the final results. Then we create a DOE table using a statistical tool which provides us with the minimal number (n) of iterations needed to perform the simulations using HSPICE. Then, like the conventional way, we create n number of HSPICE simulation decks and perform simulations, except here the number of iterations is much less when compared to the exhaustive simulations performed previously. In the postprocessing stage, we extract these results and provide them to the statistical tool to create a statistical model in order to predict the worst and best case conditions and results. The predicted result is compared to the acceptable limits as specified by the interface specifications with sufficient margins, then the final report is prepared. Let us consider a SATA Gen 2 topology as shown in Figure 2 as a case study to explain the application of statistical methods in signal integrity analysis. The methods explained here can be applied to any high-speed interface for an effective and detailed SI analysis. Case Study SATA Interface The topology below shows a SATA port routed on a fourlayer PCB using both top and bottom signal layers, and connected to a standard SATA connector. The receiver is assumed to be a standard 50 Ohms termination. Figure 2 : SATA TX and RX Topology 7
8 For this topology, several variables need to be considered, including a TX Buffer corner, package variations, transmission line impedance variations due to manufacturing tolerance and termination variations to validate signal quality parameters such as Tmargin and Vmargin near the receiver. The table below shows the possible variables with their respective sweep ranges. Several other variables including package length, AC coupling capacitor tolerance, TL1,TL2, TL4 and TL5 length, etc., are neglected to simplify the explanation of the case study in this paper. S. No. Variables Min Typ Max Remarks 1 IBIS_fts slow Typ fast TX buffer corners 2 TL_type low Typ high Transmission line variations 3 Pkg_type min Typ max Package variations 4 TL3_len [inches] TL3 transmission line length 5 Tx_vdd [Volt] IO power supply 6 R_buff[Ohms] Driver buffer setting 7 de_emp[db] Driver de-emphasis setting 8 rterm [ohms] Receiver differential termination Table 1 : Variable List with Range Design of Experiments (DOE) To perform an exhaustive simulation with all the above variables, with their sweep ranges included, using simulation tools like HSPICE, would require running a minimum of 6,561 iterations to understand the individual and combined effects of all variables on final signal quality. This would be a huge effort, both in terms of resources needed as well as the time required to simulate and interpret the results. The DOE comes to our rescue here. Using a statistical tool, we can obtain the minimal iterations required to create a statistical model which can be used to predict the response for all the variable s individual and combined effects for all iterations. This way, we can save time and resources without compromising on the quality of analysis. From our observations, we could infer that by using DOE, the required number of iterations has come down drastically from 6,561 to just 192, for which we can perform the simulations and provide the statistical tool with measured Tmargin and Vmargin values. The table below shows a sample of measured response values provided to the statistical tool for some of the 192 iterations for which simulations were performed. 8
9 Figure 3 : Simulation Results DOE Table Response Surface Modeling (RSM) Once the response values (Tmargin and Vmargin) are provided against the DOE table, the statistical tool can be used to create an RSM model with which the prediction can be done. But the model created by the statistical tool needs to be validated before use because the data points provided to the tool may not be sufficient to predict properly with minimal variance. The model verification can be done by checking the analysis of variance (ANOVA) table, as shown below, for each of the required responses/output separately. 9
10 Figure 4 : ANOVA Table - Vmargin Several factors of the ANOVA table need to be validated, including the R 2, R 2 adj, P value and F ratio value before using the model because the standard deviation of a poorly-fitted model will be large and won t correlate with the simulation results. In the case of a poorly-fitted model, the data point count can be increased from 192 to 256 to check whether the statistical tool can fit the model correctly. Prediction Profiler The statistical tools have a built-in Prediction Profiler which can be used to predict worst and best case response values based on the RSM model previously created. The worst and best case Vmargins predicted for the given SATA topology using Prediction Profiler are shown below. Figure 5 : Worst Case Condition Vmargin 10
11 Figure 6 : Best Case Condition Vmargin It is observed from Figures 5 and 6 that the worst and best case Vmargin predicted by the statistical tool is 86.5mV and 268.6mV, respectively, with a standard deviation (obtained separately) of ±3.7mV. The same SATA topology is simulated for the entire 6,561 iterations, and the worst and best case Vmargin is observed to be 83.6mV and 268.9mV, respectively, which is very much within the predicted value variance. Similarly, worst and best case Tmargin can also be predicted and compared with the actual simulation result. The Prediction Profiler can also be used to understand the influence of any particular factor on the end response. For example, if we refer to Figures 5 and 6, the effect of tx_vdd on Vmargin is more when compared to pkg_type because the slope of tx_vdd vs. Vmargin is steeper than the slope of pkg_type vs. Vmargin. Also, Prediction Profiler can be used to interpolate or extrapolate any factor to check the corresponding response value. For example, we can check what the value of Vmargin will be when we increase the len_tl3 from 10 inches to 12 inches or more. This way we can determine the maximum length the interface can be routed without violating the specification requirement of Vmargin. 11
12 Conclusion The Prediction Profiler results show how accurately the statistical tools can predict the results with minimal simulation runs. Using this method, we can save valuable time, effort and resources, but still achieve comprehensive signal integrity analysis. The application of these statistical methods becomes very crucial when the number for variables and their range increases, thereby increasing the number of simulation iterations needed. Suppose the number of variables increases for 8 to 12, with each variable having 3 levels, then the total number of simulations needed to be performed will increase from 6,561 to ~0.5 million -- definitely very difficult to perform and analyze the results. The application of statistical methods in the field of signal integrity is not new, and has been in use in various simulation tools such as FastEye from Mentor Graphics and StatEye from Synopsis for performing statistical eye diagram generation. In this paper, we have discussed an entirely different application of statistical methods, with the use of statistical tools in performing preand post-simulation rather than for eye diagram generation. By effectively using these principles, we can simplify signal integrity analysis without compromising on effective and in-depth analysis, and with less time and effort. Further research can be performed in improving the modeling efficiency and result correlation by using other statistical modeling techniques like Stepwise regression and Taguchi methods. 12
13 References 1. Advanced Signal Integrity for High-Speed Digital Design, by Stephen H. Hall and Howard L. Heck, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2. Design of Experiments Guide, JMP Version Author Info Deepak Anand G is a Project Lead in the System Design Services division of HCL Technologies, Ltd. He has seven years of experience in high-speed PCB design. He is responsible for board design and signal integrity analysis for various high-speed products. 13
14 Hello, I m from HCL s Engineering and R&D Services. We enable technology led organizations to go to market with innovative products and solutions. We partner with our customers in building world class products and creating associated solution delivery ecosystems to help bring market leadership. We develop engineering products, solutions and platforms across Aerospace and Defense, Automotive, Consumer Electronics, Software, Online, Industrial Manufacturing, Medical Devices, Networking & Telecom, Office Automation, Semiconductor and Servers & Storage for our customers. For more details contact eootb@hcl.com Follow us on twitter: Visit our blog: Visit our website: About HCL About HCL Technologies HCL Technologies is a leading global IT services company, working with clients in the areas that impact and redefine the core of their businesses. Since its inception into the global landscape after its IPO in 1999, HCL focuses on transformational outsourcing, underlined by innovation and value creation, and offers integrated portfolio of services including software-led IT solutions, remote infrastructure management, engineering and R&D services and BPO. HCL leverages its extensive global offshore infrastructure and network of offices in 26 countries to provide holistic, multi-service delivery in key industry verticals including Financial Services, Manufacturing, Consumer Services, Public Services and Healthcare. HCL takes pride in its philosophy of 'Employees First, Customers Second' which empowers our 83,076 transformers to create a real value for the customers. HCL Technologies, along with its subsidiaries, has reported consolidated revenues of US$ 4 billion (Rs. 19,412 crores), as on TTM ended Mar 31 '12. For more information, please visit About HCL Enterprise HCL is a $6.2 billion leading global technology and IT enterprise comprising two companies listed in India - HCL Technologies and HCL Infosystems. Founded in 1976, HCL is one of India's original IT garage start-ups. A pioneer of modern computing, HCL is a global transformational enterprise today. Its range of offerings includes product engineering, custom & package applications, BPO, IT infrastructure services, IT hardware, systems integration, and distribution of information and communications technology (ICT) products across a wide range of focused industry verticals. The HCL team consists of over 90,000 professionals of diverse nationalities, who operate from 31 countries including over 500 points of presence in India. HCL has partnerships with several leading global 1000 firms, including leading IT and technology firms. For more information, please visit
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