CONTINGENCY PLANNING

Transcription

1 CONTINGENCY PLANNING

2 WHAT IS CONTINGENCY PLAN? is a process, in anticipation of potential crises, of developing strategies, arrangements and procedures to address the humanitarian needs of those adversely affected by crises.

3 WHY CONTINGENCY PLAN 1. All agree on scope of emergency, humanitarian needs and scope of response. 2. Define sector/cluster response strategy. 3. Anticipate gaps in response and funding requirements. 4. Set the basis for Preliminary Response Plan.

4 A GOOD CONTINGENCY PLAN 1. Simple and easy: involves all experts. 2. Specific to a context/contingency. 3. Allows efficient, effective, equitable use of resources. 4. Focus is not on the plan, but on the decisions that it allows for.

5 CONTINGENCY PLAN PROCESS Develop Plan Address preparedness gaps Test the Plan Workplan+timeline Accountability and deadlines Accountability and deadlines Schedule for testing connected to the Risk Monitoring system

6 ELEMENTS OF CONTINGENCY PLAN Situation and risk analysis A 1. What is likely to happen 2. Its impact 3. The capacity to respond 4. Main planning assumptions

7 ELEMENTS OF CONTINGENCY PLAN Response strategy B 1. Objectives for response, based on risk analysis 2. Response/interventions to meet objectives

8 ELEMENTS OF CONTINGENCY PLAN Operational delivery C How the Response Strategy will be achieved Partners, steps required etc. In the form of Cluster Summary Plans

9 ELEMENTS OF CONTINGENCY PLAN d. Coordination & Management Arrangements e. Ops Support Arrangements f. Preparedness gaps and actions g. Funding Requirements D-E- F-G

10 MAINTENANCE OF CONTINGENCY PLAN When to review/test the plan: changes in risk or institutional changes (HCT turnover) How to keep it dynamic: CP is part of agencies work plans Simulations are a good tool to test the plan

11 RISK ANALYSIS AND MONITORING 1. RISK ANALYSIS 2. THRESHOLDS 3. RISK MONITORING

12 HAZZARD IDENTIFICATION natural hydro-meteorological geophysical armed conflict and civil unrest epidemics and pandemics drastic changes in socio-econ. environment industrial hazards

13 LIKELIHOOD AND IMPACT RISK = IMPACT X LIKELIHOOD LOW = 1-7 MEDIUM = 8-14 HIGH=15-25 Thresholds at 10 or higher

14 RISK MONITORING Who Monitors? What Monitoring Process? What triggers action? Accountabilities

15 SEASONAL HAZARDS 1.hazards such as floods, cyclones, and drought, which pose a risk at regular, predictable times of the year. Examples the hurricane season runs from June to October. Rainy season in West Africa is usually June to September. 2.The predictable nature of seasonal hazards means that a country team can schedule when it will review its level of preparedness 3.There are many sources to monitor seasonal hazards

16 EVOLVING HAZARDS 1.Evolving hazards are hazards with levels of risk that change irregularly over time, such as armed conflict, serious human rights violations, economic hazards, and pandemics. For these hazards, the evolution should be monitored to identify the tipping point when the risk becomes imminent. 2.Country teams should review the risk that each evolving hazard poses as a regular HCT meeting agenda point. The objective of this is to decide whether or not there is a need implement APAs and to develop a specific contingency plan.

17 Generally hard to predict STATIC HAZARDS 1.Static hazards are hazards that pose the same level of risk consistently over time, such as earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and tsunamis. Even though they may have a high-risk ranking, the exact time is impossible to anticipate. As such, it is usually not possible to monitor risks of this type.

18 PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS Emergency Contingency Planning (CP) & addressing preparedness gaps Response strategy, operational plan, funding requirements, gaps Implementation & Implementation Resource mobilization & Resource mobilization Risk 10 Advanced Preparedness Actions (APAs) risk-specific Minimum Preparedness Actions (MPAs) generic

19 USEFUL RESOURCES -

20 USEFUL RESOURCES -

21 USEFUL RESOURCES

22 USEFUL RESOURCES CONTINGENCY PLAN TEMPLATE

23 GAZA CONTINGENCY PLANNING

24 OVERVIEW The inter-agency contingency plan for Gaza was last reviewed in July It included sectoral plans, stockpiles, critical staff, ECC structure, etc. It also allowed to monitor the implementation of some recommendations from the 2014 Gaza War lessons learned exercise.

25 Scenario One: External escalation of violence 1.1 Access and operational implications 1.2 Impact 1.3 Priority needs 1.4 Early warning indicators Israeli forces successfully target high-level Palestinian militants (mainly Hamas/Al-Qassam Brigades or Islamic Jihad/Al-Quds Brigades). Infiltration of Palestinian armed groups into Israel through offensive tunnels. Systematic and gradually increasing hostile activities between Palestinian armed groups (rocket and mortar fire, IED explosions and targeting of patrols along the fence) and Israeli forces (missile strikes, incursions, tunnel destruction), especially if resulting in casualties. Hamas decision to formally take part in hostile activities vis-à-vis Israel. Official statements by the Government of Israel or Hamas and other Palestinian factions that they are no longer adhering to the ceasefire. Scenario Two: Internal unrest and collapse in Gaza 1.1 Access and operational implications 1.2 Impact 1.3 Priority needs 1.4 Early warning indicators Disintegration of regular security forces and police and slower intervention times by these forces. Continued non-payment of civil servants recruited post 2007 and a continued lack of operational budgets for line ministries. Prolonged closure of the Gaza Power Plant and continued decrease in electricity provision. Further decrease in number of civil servants working and changes in civil servant deployment.

26 PLANNING ASSUMPTIONS

27 EMERGENCY COORDINATION STRUCTURE

28 Gaza War Damage Assessment Gaza WAR 2014 Public infrastructure Agricultural land Commerce/Industry Residential buildings UN property Tunnels All together

29 GAZA STRIP: CONTINGENCY AND PREPAREDNESS PLANNING MAP

30 GAZA STRIP: CONTINGENCY AND PREPAREDNESS PLANNING MAP The interactive map of Gaza provides access to a variety of layers, including the crossing points and thematic and geographic references. The interactive map visualizes a large number of datasets and information. Users can zoom into specific areas, display layers of their choice, and change the background into a satellite image or a topographic map. The new map allows users to customize the visualization of data and layers, collected by OCHA, in combination with global datasets and baseline information, such as that coming from Open Street Map and Google Map. Gaza Contingency Plan Online Map UserName: partners2016 Password: ochaopt123

31 ONLINE ASSESSMENTS TOOLS EMERGENCY ASSESSMENT TEAM ONLINE TOOL MULTI INITIAL RAPID ASSESSMENT (MIRA) ONLINE FORM UNIFIED IDP REGISTRATION ONLINE FORM

32 THANK YOU