Grains Outlook for 2014 SAEA Crops Outlook Organized Symposium Dallas, TX February 4, 2014
|
|
- Myles Tate
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1
2 Grains Outlook for 2014 SAEA Crops Outlook Organized Symposium Dallas, TX February 4, 2014 Dr. Nathan B. Smith (UGA) and Dr. Mark Welch (TAMU)
3 Corn
4 Corn Situation Record production. Leveling off of corn-starch ethanol industry. Reduction in gasoline use. End of blender s tax credit and import ban. 10% blend wall reached. Major challenge now facing the industry is how to create a second-stage growth phase.
5 U.S. Corn Supply and Demand Mil bu 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2, % 17.5% 11.6% 12.8% 13.9% 13.1% 12.4% 8.6% 7.9% 7.4% 2004/ / / / /13 50% % 30% 20% 10% 0% Ending Stocks Production Domestic Use and Exports Stocks:Use Source: January 10, 2013 WASDE and previous years USDA reports.
6 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 Million bushels Change in Pattern for Corn Use? 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Feed and Residual Ethanol Exports Food Seed and Other Industrial Source: USDA WASDE Report, 1/10/2014
7 Feed and Residual Use GCAU mil % Beef, all-time low 29.6% Pork, record high 33.9% Poultry GCAU: -1.4% Feed/GCAU: % mt/gcau Dairy Cattle on Feed Other Cattle Hogs Poultry Other Livestock Feed per GCAU Plus DDGs USDA Feed Grain Database and Agricultural Marketing Resource Center, January 27, 2014
8 U.S. Ethanol Production Million gallons per day /2014 daily average = mil gal per day Implies use of 4,905 mil bu of corn (2.8 gal/bu) January USDA estimate = 5,000 mil bu /14 average to12/13: +8.1% 13/14 average to 3-yr: +2.9% / / year Avg Energy Information Administration, Weekly Petroleum Status Report, data for week ending 1/24/2014 Ethanol conversion rate, Agricultural Marketing Resource Center, Iowa State University
9 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Ethanol Profitability per gallon Agricultural Marketing Resource Center, Iowa State University $4.00 $3.50 $3.00 $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $0.00 Corn Natural Gas Other VC FC Revenue December 2013 prices: corn $4.35/bu, +0%; natural gas $4.79/1000 ft 3, +0%; ddgs $212/ton, +3%; ethanol $2.30/gallon, +17%
10 U.S. Ethanol Consumption Mil gallons 1,200 3-yr avg: bil gal 2012/13: bil gal 2013/14: +5% over 12/13 and +4% avg 1,100 1, Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 3-yr avg 2012/ /14 EIA, Short Term Energy Outlook, January
11 Source: Dr. Bob Wisner, Professor Emeritus, Iowa State University
12 Million Metric Tons 1200 Global Corn Supply and Demand Global Corn Supply and Demand 35.0% % % % % % Global Supply Global Use Ending Stocks Stock-to-Use Ratio Source: USDA WASDE Report, 1/10/2014
13 -Argentina 2 nd largest exporter -Brazil, Ukraine, Romania and South Africa increase production/exports when US crop short
14 Export Sales Commitments for the week 1/23/2014: 72.4 million bushels Average weekly export sales this marketing year: 36.6 million bushels Pace to reach MY Export Sales Target of 1,450 million bushels: 6.3 million bushels Mil bu 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1, U.S. Corn Export Sales Commitments, 2013/2014 MY Cumulative Net Sales Weekly Net Sales
15 China Corn Trade 1,000 MT 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 #2 Exporter #5 Importer Exports Imports WASDE, 1/10/2014
16 Bushels Per Acre U.S. Corn Yields y = x
17
18 2014/15 Corn Projections 2013/ /15 Low Med High Area Planted 95.4M 90.6M 93M 95M Area Harvested 87.7M 83.8M 86M 87.9M Yield per Harv Acre ,000,000 Bushels Production 13,925 12,989 13,760 14,504 Total Supply 13,925 14,620 15,391 16,135 Total Disappear 13,150 13,250 13,400 13,550 Ending Stocks 1,631 1,370 1,978 2,591
19 U.S. Corn S&D Dec 13 Percent change in quantity demanded with 1% change corn price: -0.2% Bob Wisner, Iowa State University Or 1% chg. in corn supply = 5% chg. in price With all other market factors unchanged 13/14 14/15 14/15 14/15 Planted Acreage (Mil. Acs.) Harvested Acreage (Mil. Acs.) Yield (Bushels) Supply Million Bushels Beginning Stocks Production Imports , ,792 14, ,792 13, ,792 13, Total Supply 14,842 15,867 15,642 15,432 Disappearance Feed and Residual Food, Seed & Industrial Exports 5,200 6,400 1,450 5,500 6,500 2,000 5,500 6,500 2,000 5,500 6,500 2,000 Total Use 13,050 14,000 14,000 14,000 Ending Stocks 1,792 1,867 1,642 1,432 Carryover/Use (%) Oct avg futures ($/Bu.)
20 Corn Considerations South America shifting back to soybeans. Exports, livestock feeding and size of U.S. and foreign corn crops will influence corn prices in the future. Fertilizer prices flat. Coming to an end of the Ag Super Cycle. Next market mover March 1 Stocks and Prospective Plantings on March 31
21 Wheat
22 Wheat Situation US (million) Planted Acres Harvest Acres Yield (bu/ac) U.S. Winter Wheat plantings down 3% at mil. acres.
23 Million Bu US Wheat Production & Use Production Feed and Residual Exports Food and Seed Ending Stocks
24 U.S. Wheat Stocks 000 bu 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 5-year avg 2012/ / , Sep 1-Dec 1-Mar 1-Jun NASS: 1/10/2014
25 World Wheat Production Billion bushels U.S. Foreign WASDE 1/10/2014
26 US Wheat Price and Wheat Stocks of Major Exporters 000 mt $/bushel 90, ,000 70, , ,000 40, , ,000 10, / / / / / / /2015 Argentina Australia Canada EU US FSU-12 SAFP 3 Yr chg ,106 +4,793 +2,764-3,000 +2,336 -$0.97 Source: USDA, Foreign Agricultural Service, PS&D, 1/10/2014
27 20-Oct 27-Oct 3-Nov 10-Nov 17-Nov 24-Nov 1-Dec 8-Dec 15-Dec 22-Dec 29-Dec 5-Jan 12-Jan 19-Jan 26-Jan 2-Feb 9-Feb 16-Feb 23-Feb 2-Mar 9-Mar 16-Mar 23-Mar 30-Mar 6-Apr 13-Apr 20-Apr 27-Apr 4-May 11-May 18-May 25-May 1-Jun 8-Jun 15-Jun 22-Jun 29-Jun 6-Jul 13-Jul 2014 U.S. Winter Wheat Crop Condition Ratings % CCI Trend: Very Poor Poor Fair Good Excellent 2014 Average
28 10/20 10/27 11/3 11/10 11/17 11/24 12/1 12/8 12/15 12/22 12/29 1/5 1/12 1/19 1/26 2/2 2/9 2/16 2/23 3/2 3/9 3/16 3/23 3/30 4/6 4/13 4/20 4/27 5/4 5/11 5/18 5/25 6/1 6/8 6/15 6/22 6/ Texas Winter Wheat Condition Ratings % CCI Average: 30 bu Very Poor Poor Fair Good Excellent 2014 Average
29
30 Wheat Futures Monthly Nearest
31 Wheat Price Outlook US wheat supply decreasing but so it price. Concerns with wheat condition in the Midwest (winter damage vs winter kill). Fewer winter wheat seedings. Fewer spring wheat seedings? Lower prices due to world supplies increasing.
32 Thank You Nathan Smith
33 World Per Capita Grain Use kg barley, corn, millet, mixed grains, oats, rice, rye, sorghum, soybeans, and wheat PSD, 1/10/2014
Grain and Cotton Economics. Mark Welch Extension Economist Grain Marketing (979)
Grain and Cotton Economics Mark Welch Extension Economist Grain Marketing JMWelch@tamu.edu (979)845-8011 Marketing 2012, here we come! Tight supplies Grain Strong demand Yoked to outside markets 2012,
More information2012 Farm Outlook. Highlights
2012 Farm Outlook Office of the Chief Economist USDA Highlights A promising spring planting was followed by historic drought. Record high commodity prices followed. Farm incomes are expected to be near
More informationFeed Grain Outlook March 10, 2016 Volume 25, Number 15
Today s Newsletter Market Situation WASDE 1 Grain Use 3 Outside Markets 6 Market Situation WASDE. USDA made no changes to the supply and demand balance sheets for corn or sorghum in yesterday s World Agricultural
More informationCrop Market Outlook: Where do we go from here?
2012-13 Crop Market Outlook: Where do we go from here? Frayne Olson, PhD Crop Economist/Marketing Specialist NDSU Extension Service ND Agricultural Experiment Station Dept. of Agribusiness & Applied Economics
More informationFundamental Shifts Impacting U.S. Agriculture
Fundamental Shifts Impacting U.S. Agriculture Richard Brock California Grain & Feed Association San Diego, CA April 28, Game Changers 3 fundamental shifts Long term Impact $2 cotton in 2011 industry will
More informationWhat are the risks? Crop Market Outlook
What are the risks? 2012-13 Crop Market Outlook Frayne Olson, PhD Crop Economist/Marketing Specialist NDSU Extension Service ND Agricultural Experiment Station Dept. of Agribusiness & Applied Economics
More informationPRX Grain Market Overview
PRX The ProExporter Network Grain, Oilseed & Biofuel Fundamentals Updated 4/1/18 PRX Grain Market Overview US Major Grains Crop Years 217/18 & 218/19 with USDA Apr 1, 218 WASDE PRX_Overview, SDU, Apr-1-18
More information2016 Outlook and Crop Comparisons March 2016
2016 Outlook and Crop Comparisons March 2016 Amanda R. Smith, University of Georgia Nathan B. Smith, Clemson University Row Crops Market Situation 2015 U.S. yields overall were strong and thus production
More informationFeed Grain Outlook June 2, 2014 Volume 23, Number 33
June 2, Today s Newsletter Market Situation Crop Progress 1 Corn Use 2 Outside Markets 3 Marketing Strategies Corn Marketing Plan 5 Upcoming Reports/Events 6 Market Situation Crop Progress. This afternoon
More informationFeed Grain Outlook June 27, 2016 Volume 25, Number 37
Today s Newsletter Market Situation Crop Progress 1 Grain Use 2 Outside Markets 5 Marketing Strategies 2016 Feed Grain Marketing Plan 6 Upcoming Reports/Events 7 Market Situation Crop Progress. The Crop
More informationUSDA Agricultural Outlook
USDA Agricultural Outlook December 216 World Agricultural Outlook Board Office of the Chief Economist U.S. Department of Agriculture Washington, D.C. The Office of the Chief Economist is Non Political
More informationHog and Pork Situation and Outlook
Hog and Pork Situation and Outlook September 3, 2013 Washington, Iowa Lee Schulz Department of Economics Iowa State University lschulz@iastate.edu (515) 294-3356 Feed Supply U.S. Corn Supply and Use 2009/10
More information2018 Corn & Soybean Market Outlook & Strategies Home, Kansas
2018 Corn & Soybean Market Outlook & Strategies Home, Kansas DANIEL O BRIEN EXTENSION AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIST Topics to be discussed.. 1) Grain Market Analysis & Outlook for 2018 Corn & Grain Sorghum Soybeans
More informationAgricultural Markets Situation & Outlook
Agricultural Markets Situation & Outlook VP s Outlook & Policy 3 December 2012 Matthew C. Roberts Roberts.628@osu.edu The Big Questions Progress of winter crops: SA soybean & corn NA winter wheat US export
More informationWorld Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates Report of Interagency Commodity Estimates Committee Forecasts World Agricultural Outlook Board, Chairing Agency Economic Research Service Foreign Agricultural
More informationWorld Agricultural Outlook Board Interagency Commodity Estimates Committee Forecasts. May 9, 2014
World Agricultural Outlook Board Interagency Commodity Estimates Committee Forecasts World Wheat Production Country or Region Million Tons 2014/15 World 714.0 697.0-2.4 United States 58.0 53.4-7.8 Foreign
More informationFeed Grain Outlook. May 26, 2017 Volume 26, Number 29. Today s Newsletter Market Situation Crop Progress 1
Today s Newsletter Market Situation Crop Progress 1 Grain Use 1 Outside Markets 5 Marketing Strategies Seasonality 7 2017 Feed Grain Marketing Plan 7 Upcoming Reports/Events 9 Market Situation Crop Progress.
More information2017/18 Crop Market Outlook & Strategies
2017/18 Crop Market Outlook & Strategies Frayne Olson, PhD Crop Economist/Marketing Specialist Director Burdick Center for Cooperatives frayne.olson@ndsu.edu 701-231-7377 (o) 701-715-3673 (c) NDSU Extension
More informationIowa Farm Outlook. December 15, 2004 Ames, Iowa Econ. Info. 1900
Iowa Farm Outlook December 15, 24 Ames, Iowa Econ. Info. 19 Beef and Pork Price Relationships Historically, beef and pork prices have moved somewhat together. They are substitutes in the consumer s shopping
More informationEASTERN CORN BELT DELAYS CONTINUE, MORE FARM PROGRAM DETAILS
May 31, 22 Ames, Iowa Econ. Info. 1839 EASTERN CORN BELT DELAYS CONTINUE, MORE FARM PROGRAM DETAILS Corn prices in the next two weeks will continue to be moderately sensitive to weather and planting progress
More informationUnderstanding the 2011 Planting Outlook, Ethanol, and Food Pricing. March 31, 2011
Understanding the 2011 Planting Outlook, Ethanol, and Food Pricing March 31, 2011 Planted acres by crop USDA Prospective Plantings report based on farmer surveys conducted during first two weeks of March
More informationFeed Grain Outlook November 2, 2015 Volume 24, Number 67
Today s Newsletter Market Situation Crop Progress 1 Grain Use 1 Outside Markets 3 Marketing Strategies 2015 Feed Grain Marketing Plan 7 Upcoming Reports/Events 8 Market Situation Crop Progress. Grain harvest
More informationCrop Outlook: Now What?!
Crop Outlook: Now What?! Frayne Olson, PhD Crop Economist/Marketing Specialist frayne.olson@ndsu.edu 701-231-7377 NDSU Extension Service ND Agricultural Experiment Station Dept. of Agribusiness & Applied
More informationBeef Cattle Outlook R. Curt Lacy, Ph.D. Extension Economist-Livestock University of Florida Beef Cattle Short Coourse
Beef Cattle Outlook R. Curt Lacy, Ph.D. Extension Economist-Livestock 2012 University of Florida Beef Cattle Short Coourse MED. & LRG. #1 & 2 STEER CALF PRICES 400-500 Pounds, Georgia, Weekly $ Per Cwt.
More informationBeef Cattle Outlook Dr. Curt Lacy Extension Economist-Livestock
Beef Cattle Outlook Dr. Curt Lacy Extension Economist-Livestock Current Situation $ Per Cwt. 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 MED. & LRG. #1 & 2 STEER CALF PRICES 500-600 Pounds, Georgia, Weekly
More informationUSDA WASDE Report. Friday April 9 th 2010 World AG Supply & Demand Estimates. Office Friday April 09, 2010
Friday April 9 th 2010 World AG Supply & Demand Estimates The trade was expecting the new carry out to incorporate additional stocks resulting from the March 31 grain stocks report which was not reflected
More informationCommodity Outlook: September 2017 West Central Illinois: July 2017
Commodity Outlook: September 2017 West Central Illinois: July 2017 William George Senior Agriculture Economist U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agriculture Service Office of Global Analysis Commodity
More information2019 Grain Market Outlook
2019 Grain Market Outlook Ness City, Kansas January 7, 2019 DANIEL O BRIEN EXTENSION AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIST Topics to be discussed.. 1) Macroconomic forces at work in the U.S. & where they are taking U.S.
More informationNathan Kauffman Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Omaha Branch August 21, 2013
Nathan Kauffman Economist August 21, 213 The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City or the Federal Reserve System.
More informationSituation Analysis. Kathleen R. Brooks, Ph.D. Extension Livestock Economics Specialist
Situation Analysis Kathleen R. Brooks, Ph.D. Extension Livestock Economics Specialist Department of Agricultural Economics University of Nebraska-Lincoln kbrooks4@unl.edu Agricultural Challenges More with
More informationACE 427 Spring Lecture 10. Forecasting Use for Crops. by Professor Scott H. Irwin
ACE 427 Spring 2011 Lecture 10 Forecasting Use for Crops by Professor Scott H. Irwin Required Reading: Tomek. W.G. and K.L. Robinson. Ch. 2: Demand for Agricultural Products, Agricultural Product Prices,
More informationCorn Producers, Ethanol Markets, and Co-Products: Jamey Cline, Director of Biofuels and Business Development
Corn Producers, Ethanol Markets, and Co-Products: When 92 Million Acres is Not Enough Jamey Cline, Director of Biofuels and Business Development More Corn Per Acre Million Acres Acreage Production Billion
More informationWorld Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates Report of Interagency Commodity Estimates Committee Forecasts World Agricultural Outlook Board, Chairing Agency Economic Research Service Foreign Agricultural
More informationCommodity Outlook 2019: Corn and Soybeans Struggle to Find Strength
Commodity Outlook 2019: Corn and Soybeans Struggle to Find Strength Wayne County 2019 Agricultural Outlook Ben Brown January 30, 2019 2018: A Tale of Two Halves January-May $4.00 corn and $10.50 soybean
More informationWorld Agricultural Outlook Board Interagency Commodity Estimates Committee Forecasts. Lockup Briefing July 11, 2014
World Agricultural Outlook Board Interagency Commodity Estimates Committee Forecasts Lockup Briefing World Wheat Production Country or Region estimate 2014/15 forecast June 11 Million Tons Percent Percent
More information2017 Soybean Outlook & Strategies
2017 Soybean Outlook & Strategies Frayne Olson, PhD Crop Economist/Marketing Specialist Director Burdick Center for Cooperatives frayne.olson@ndsu.edu 701-231-7377 (o) 701-715-3673 (c) NDSU Extension Service
More informationMarket Outlook. David Reinbott.
Market Outlook David Reinbott Agriculture Business Specialist P.O. Box 187 Benton, MO 63736 (573) 545-3516 http://extension.missouri.edu/scott/agriculture.aspx reinbottd@missouri.edu Trending Issues Pre-2007
More informationSituation and Outlook of the Canadian Livestock Industry
Situation and Outlook of the Canadian Livestock Industry 2011 USDA Agricultural Outlook Forum Tyler Fulton February 25, 2011 tyler@hamsmarketing.ca Lost in Translation Canadian Livestock Industry - Outline
More informationThe 2012 drought: impacts on the FAPRI agricultural commodity outlook
The 2012 drought: impacts on the FAPRI agricultural commodity outlook By William H. Meyers Howard Cowden Professor of Agricultural and Applied Economics FAPRI at MU UN DESA Expert Group Meeting on the
More informationFebruary Crop Market Update Department of Economic Analysis
Corn Price ($/bu) and Ethanol Price ($/gal) February 2011 - Crop Market Update Department of Economic Analysis In this edition: Energy Update: Matt Erickson, Economist Crop Update: Todd Davis, Senior Economist
More informationOUTLOOK FOR US AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Outlook Forum 216 OUTLOOK FOR US AGRICULTURE Robert Johansson Chief Economist 25 February 216 Fig 2 Main themes for 216 1. The macroeconomy is weighing on trade, but there are reasons for
More informationGrains & Oilseeds Outlook. USDA's Interagency Commodity Estimates Grains and Oilseeds Committees
Agricultural Outlook Forum Presented: February 23-24, 2012 U.S. Department of Agriculture Grains & Oilseeds Outlook USDA's Interagency Commodity Estimates Grains and Oilseeds Committees United States Department
More informationUSDA lowered the 2010/11 wheat carry out by 49 million and decreased 2010/11 Yield by.2 bushels/acre.
Friday October 8 th 2010 World Ag Supply & Demand Estimates Very Bullish for Corn Bullish for Soybeans Friendly U.S. Wheat USDA lowered the 2010/11 corn carry out by 214 million and decreased 2010/11 Yield
More informationGrain Market Outlook for
Grain Market Outlook for 2017-2018 KSU Ag Econ 520 Fall 2017 Manhattan, Kansas DANIEL O BRIEN EXTENSION AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIST Topics to be discussed.. 1) Grain Market Analysis & Outlook Corn & Grain Sorghum
More informationLooking Ahead: 2014 Livestock and Grain Economic Outlook
Looking Ahead: 2014 Livestock and Grain Economic Outlook February 2014 Lee Schulz Assistant Professor & Extension Livestock Economist Department of Economics Iowa State University lschulz@iastate.edu (515)
More informationFACTORS CREATING RISK IN U.S. GRAIN MARKETS
FACTORS CREATING RISK IN U.S. GRAIN MARKETS WAY TOO EARLY GRAIN MARKET OUTLOOK TO 2050 22 ND NATIONAL WORKSHOP FOR DAIRY ECONOMISTS & POLICY ANALYSTS APRIL 30, 2015 JOHN NEWTON UNIV. OF ILLINOIS JCNEWT@ILLINOIS.EDU
More informationCattle Market Situation and Outlook
Cattle Market Situation and Outlook Rebuilding the Cow Herd Series March 28, 2007 Falls City, TX Coordinated by: Dennis Hale-Karnes CEA Ag & Charlie Pfluger-Wilson CEA Ag Prepared and presented by: Larry
More informationMarket Outlook. David Reinbott.
Market Outlook David Reinbott Agriculture Business Specialist P.O. Box 187 Benton, MO 63736 (573) 545-3516 http://extension.missouri.edu/scott/agriculture.aspx reinbottd@missouri.edu Trending Issues Pre-2007
More informationSOUTH AMERICAN SOYBEAN CROP ESTIMATE INCREASED
April 14, 2000 Ames, Iowa Econ. Info. 1787 SOUTH AMERICAN SOYBEAN CROP ESTIMATE INCREASED USDA s World Agricultural Outlook Board raised its estimate of combined Brazilian and Argentine soybean production
More informationMarketing Corn and Soybeans During the Growing Season Quarterly Zoom Marketing Meeting, June 13, 2018
Marketing Corn and Soybeans During the Growing Season Quarterly Zoom Marketing Meeting, June 13, 2018 Dr. S. Aaron Smith Crop Marketing Specialist, Assistant Professor, and Extension Economist Department
More informationMarket Outlook. David Reinbott.
Market Outlook David Reinbott Agriculture Business Specialist P.O. Box 187 Benton, MO 63736 (573) 545-3516 http://extension.missouri.edu/scott/agriculture.aspx reinbottd@missouri.edu Trending Issues China,
More informationWORLD AGRICULTURAL SUPPLY AND DEMAND ESTIMATES
WORLD AGRICULTURAL SUPPLY AND DEMAND ESTIMATES United States Department of Agriculture Washington, D.C. Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board WASDE-339 - June 12, 1998 NOTE Because planting
More informationFeed Grain Outlook December 21, 2018 Volume 27, Number 78
Today s Newsletter Market Situation Crop Condition 1 Grain Use 2 Outside Markets 4 Marketing Strategies Seasonality 8 2019 Feed Grain Marketing Plan 9 Market Situation Crop Condition. Corn and soybean
More informationWorld Agricultural Supply And Demand Estimates
World Agricultural Supply And Demand Estimates United States Department of Agriculture Office of the Chief Economist Agricultural Marketing Service Economic Research Service Farm Service Agency Foreign
More informationAg Outlook Webinar. Chris Hurt, Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics
Ag Outlook Webinar Chris Hurt, Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics Michael Langemeier, Associate Director, Center for Commercial Agriculture James Mintert, Director, Center for Commercial Agriculture
More informationFeed Outlook. Record Yield Raises Projected Supply. Tom Capehart Olga Liefert
Economic Research Service Situation and Outlook FDS-18a January 17, 2018 Feed Outlook Tom Capehart tcapehart@ers.usda.gov Olga Liefert oliefert@ers.usda.gov Record Yield Raises Projected Supply The next
More informationWorld trade in Grains and Oilseeds: Milestones for 2010
World trade in Grains and Oilseeds: Milestones for 2010 By Dr. Robert Wisner Biofuels Economist & University Professor AgMarketing Resource Center Iowa State University Ames, Iowa U.S.A. Topics to Be Discussed
More informationCorn and Soybean Market Update, August 9, 2017
Corn and Soybean Market Update, August 9, 2017 Aaron Smith Assistant Professor Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics University of Tennessee Extension https://ag.tennessee.edu/arec/pages/cropeconomics.aspx
More informationWheat Outlook November 28, 2016 Volume 25, Number 71
Market Situation Today s Newsletter Market Situation Crop Progress 1 Weather 2 Grain Use 4 Commitment of Traders 5 Marketing Strategies 217 Wheat Marketing Plan 8 Upcoming Reports/Events 9 Crop Progress.
More informationWorld Agricultural Outlook Board Interagency Commodity Estimates Committee Forecasts. Lockup Briefing April 9, 2014
World Agricultural Outlook Board Interagency Commodity Estimates Committee Forecasts Lockup Briefing World Wheat Production Country or Region Million Tons World 656.5 712.5 8.5 United States 61.7 58.0-6.0
More informationExpanding Ethanol Industry: Implications for MI Livestock
Expanding Ethanol Industry: Implications for MI Livestock Glynn Tonsor Dept. of Agricultural Economics Michigan State University Michigan Winter Poultry Seminar Zeeland, MI February 15, 2007 Feb. 12, 2007
More information2019 Grain Market Outlook
2019 Grain Market Outlook Sumner County Ag Day Wellington, Kansas January 17, 2019 DANIEL O BRIEN EXTENSION AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIST 1) U.S. Economy 2019 Grain Market Drivers A relatively strong U.S. GDP,
More informationGrain Market Outlook and Marketing Strategies
Grain Market Outlook and Marketing Strategies Presented by: Brian Roach Dec 6 & 7, 2016 Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Disclaimer: Futures/options trading involves substantial risk of loss and trading may not
More informationProspects for Corn Trade in 2018/19 and Beyond
Prospects for Corn Trade in 2018/19 and Beyond Ben Brown Department of Agricultural, Environmental, and Development Economics The Ohio State University February 15, 2019 The agricultural industry is a
More informationFeed Grain Outlook June 26, 2018 Volume 27, Number 38
Today s Newsletter Market Situation Crop Progress 1 Grain Use 4 Outside Markets 5 Marketing Strategies Seasonality 9 Market Situation Crop Progress. The corn crop condition index for June 25 (crop week
More informationGame Changers. Fundamental shifts Long term Impact
Game Changers Fundamental shifts Long term Impact Over The Past Three Years The U.S. co-op system has been cut by more than 50%. The world s largest seed genetics and chemical firms have merged, cutting
More informationEmerging Issues: Uncertainty in U.S. Ag Policy and Trade. Ohio Soybean Association- August 29, 2018 Ben Brown
Emerging Issues: Uncertainty in U.S. Ag Policy and Trade Ohio Soybean Association- August 29, 2018 Ben Brown Most Common Questions The U.S. can sell more soybeans to other buyers, right? Example: would
More informationCorn, Hay, Wheat & Cattle Outlook
Corn, Hay, Wheat & Cattle Outlook Stephen R. Koontz Associate professor & extension economist Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics Colorado State University Stephen.Koontz@ColoState.Edu http://dare.agsci.colostate.edu/skoontz
More informationUSDA Long Grain Rice Planted Acreage June 30, 2017 with Prospective Planting Comparison March 31, Rice U.S. and States June 30, 2017
- USDA Long Grain Rice Planted Acreage - USDA Harvested Rice Acreage by Class U.S. and States - U.S. Soybeans, Corn, Sorghum & Cotton - NASS Acreage, Grain Stocks and Rice Stocks Executive Summary June
More informationSteven D. Johnson. Presentation Objectives
April 2014 Steven D. Johnson Farm & Ag Business Management Specialist (515) 957-5790 sdjohns@iastate.edu www.extension.iastate.edu/polk/farm-management Presentation Objectives Review the latest Corn &
More information2019 Corn & Soybean Market Outlook
2019 Corn & Soybean Market Outlook Lunch & Learn Meeting, Tonganoxie, Kansas February 20, 2019 DANIEL O BRIEN EXTENSION AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIST 2019 Corn & Soybean Market Drivers 1) U.S. Economy Strong
More informationApril 9, Dear Subscriber:
April 9, 2014 Dear Subscriber: We will be adding material to this shell letter after the report is released on April 9, 2014 at 11:00 a.m CST. Be sure to click back on the link often for the latest information.
More informationWheat Outlook November 10, 2018 Volume 27, Number 71
Today s Newsletter Market Situation WASDE 1 Crop Progress 5 Weather 6 Market Situation WASDE. The only change to the U.S. supply and demand balance sheet for U.S. wheat in this month s World Agricultural
More informationDeveloping a Marketing Plan
Developing a Marketing Plan Frayne Olson, PhD Crop Economist/Marketing Specialist frayne.olson@ndsu.edu 701-231-7377 NDSU Extension Service ND Agricultural Experiment Station Dept. of Agribusiness & Applied
More informationHog:Corn Ratio What can we learn from the old school?
October 16, 2006 Ames, Iowa Econ. Info. 1944 Hog:Corn Ratio What can we learn from the old school? Economists have studied the hog to corn ratio for over 100 years. This ratio is simply the live hog price
More informationUnited States Department of Agriculture. Executive Summary 8:30 AM NOVEMBER 9, 2011
United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service NOVEMBER CROP PRODUCTION Executive Summary NOVEMBER 9, 2011 8:30 AM Contents Field Crops Small Grains Update Corn Sugarbeets
More information2019 Grain Market Outlook
2019 Grain Market Outlook 2018 Ag Lenders Conferences Garden City & Manhattan, Kansas October 9-10, 2018 DANIEL O BRIEN EXTENSION AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIST Topics to be discussed.. 1) U.S. Foreign Trade Uncertainty
More information2016 Risk and Profit Conference General Session Speakers. GENERAL SESSION IV Grain Market Situation and Outlook
2016 Risk and Profit Conference General Session Speakers GENERAL SESSION IV Grain Market Situation and Outlook Dan O Brien, Kansas State University Daniel O Brien was raised on a grain and livestock farm
More informationCattle & Beef Outlook
Cattle & Beef Outlook Glynn Tonsor Dept. of Agricultural Economics, Kansas State University Overarching Beef Industry Economic Outlook Supplies Expansion continues, but has moderated Demand Mixed signals
More informationFeed Grain Outlook. May 10, 2017 Volume 26, Number 25
Today s Newsletter Market Situation WASDE 1 Crop Progress 5 Outside Markets 5 Marketing Strategies Seasonality 8 217 Feed Grain Marketing Plan 8 Upcoming Reports/Events 1 Market Situation WASDE. The first
More informationTeucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans
Teucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans 2018 WASDE Release Dates: February 8, 2018 Jan 12, Feb 8, Mar 8, Apr 10, May 10, Jun 12, Jul 12, Aug
More informationTeucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans
Teucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans 2018 WASDE Release Dates: April 10, 2018 Jan 12, Feb 8, Mar 8, Apr 10, May 10, Jun 12, Jul 12, Aug
More informationNathan Kauffman Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Omaha Branch June 6, 2013
Nathan Kauffman Economist June 6, 213 The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City or the Federal Reserve System. 6
More informationCorn and Soybean Stocks, Acreage, and Balance Sheet Implications
Corn and Soybean Stocks, Acreage, and Balance Sheet Implications Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and John Newton sirwin@illinois.edu / d-good@illinois.edu / jcnewt@illinois.edu Department of Agricultural and
More informationTeucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans
Teucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans 2018 WASDE Release Dates: October 11, 2018 Jan 12, Feb 8, Mar 8, Apr 10, May 10, Jun 12, Jul 12, Aug
More informationHog and Pork Situation and Outlook
Hog and Pork Situation and Outlook August 13, 2014 Lee Schulz Assistant Professor & Extension Livestock Economist Department of Economics Iowa State University lschulz@iastate.edu (515) 294-3356 2014 Midwest
More informationTeucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans
Teucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans 2018 WASDE Release Dates: September 12, 2018 Jan 12, Feb 8, Mar 8, Apr 10, May 10, Jun 12, Jul 12,
More informationRed Meat and Poultry Outlook. Curt Lacy Extension Economist-Livestock
Red Meat and Poultry Outlook Curt Lacy Extension Economist-Livestock Overview Current meat S&O Beef S&O Pork Poultry Livestock producers situation Red Meat and Poultry in Cold Storage Total number 9% higher
More informationWheat Market Outlook for
Wheat Market Outlook for 2018-2019 2018 KSU Wheat Schools Ness City & Lenora, Kansas DANIEL O BRIEN EXTENSION AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIST Topics to be discussed.. 1) U.S.-China Trade & Other Key Grain Market
More informationTeucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans
Teucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans 2018 WASDE Release Dates: July 12, 2018 Jan 12, Feb 8, Mar 8, Apr 10, May 10, Jun 12, Jul 12, Aug
More informationGrain Market Outlook for
Grain Market Outlook for 2018-2019 2018 KSU Risk & Profit Conference Manhattan, Kansas DANIEL O BRIEN EXTENSION AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIST Topics to be discussed.. 1) U.S.-China Trade & Other Key Grain Market
More informationTeucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans
Teucrium s Summary of the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for Corn, Wheat, and Soybeans 2018 WASDE Release Dates: June 12, 2018 Jan 12, Feb 8, Mar 8, Apr 10, May 10, Jun 12, Jul 12, Aug
More informationFriday Aug 10, 2012 World Ag Supply & Demand Report
Friday Aug 10, 2012 World Ag Supply & Demand Report U.S. 2011/12 Old Crop Corn is Supportive Global Old Crop Corn is Slightly Bearish USDA estimates the 2011/12 U.S. corn carryout at 1,021 million bushels,
More informationWheat Outlook June 14, 2017 Volume 26, Number 36
Today s Newsletter Market Situation Crop Progress 1 Weather 3 Grain Use 5 Marketing Strategies 2017 Wheat Marketing Plan 6 Upcoming Reports/Events 7 Market Situation Crop Progress. Only minor adjustments
More informationCurrent Commodity Situation and Outlook for Ohio
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURAL, ENVIRONMENTAL, AND DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS (AEDE) AEDE Agricultural Report 2018-002 Current Commodity Situation and Outlook for Ohio Author: Ben Brown Program Manager- Farm Management
More information2017 Crop Market Outlook
2017 Crop Market Outlook Presented at the Row Crop Short Course Jackson County Agriculture Conference Center March 2, 2017 Adam N. Rabinowitz, PhD Assistant Professor and Extension Specialist Agricultural
More information2018 Corn & Sorghum Market Outlook
2018 Corn & Sorghum Market Outlook Leoti, Kansas February 26, 2018 DANIEL O BRIEN EXTENSION AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIST Topics to be discussed.. 1) Financial Market Trends & Their Impact on U.S. Crop Prices
More informationIs that it for 2018 corn rally? Demand is good, but gains depend on weather By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst
Is that it for 2018 corn rally? Demand is good, but gains depend on weather By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst July weather is usually the key metric for determining corn yields, and most years,
More informationNOVEMBER 2017 USDA SUPPLY/DEMAND ESTIMATES. Overview
NOVEMBER 2017 USDA SUPPLY/DEMAND ESTIMATES Overview Corn: This month s 2017/18 U.S. corn outlook included larger production, increased feed use and exports, and higher ending stocks. Corn production is
More informationU.S. Agriculture: Commodity Situation and Outlook
U.S. Agriculture: Commodity Situation and Outlook H. Scott Stiles Instructor - Economics University of Arkansas Division of Agriculture Farm Policy Education 2013 U.S. Crop Outlook Overview: Preliminary
More information