Vincent Gauci. INTERFACE/ClimMani talk, Iceland 16 th June2011

Transcription

1 Effects of sulfur deposition on the wetland methane source Vincent Gauci INTERFACE/ClimMani talk, Iceland 16 th June2011

2 Interactions between methane production and industrial emissions of S gases Schimel, Joshua (2004) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 101, Copyright 2004 by the National Academy of Sciences

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4 Global distribution of wetland area (10 9 m 2 /1 o x1 o grid cell). (Matthews and Fung, 1987).

5 Modelled total S-dep Global interpolated distribution of total (wet + dry) S- deposition (mg/m 2 /year) for the years 1960 (a), 1990 (b) and 2030 (C)

6 2030 Global interpolated distribution of total (wet + dry) S-deposition (mg/m 2 /year) for 2030

7 Location of Moidach More experimental field site x Moidach More CEH

8 Na 2 SO 4 additions at Moidach: Rain gauge 25 kg S ha - 1 y kg S ha - 1 y kg S ha - 1 y - 1 Pore-water samplers Static gas exchange chamber

9 Deposition of SO 2-4 -S across Europe

10 50 MM (UK) 40 MM (UK) BLP (USA) % CH 4 suppression DS (Se) DS (Se) MM (UK) S deposition (Kg ha -1 yr -1 ) Gauci et al 2002

11 Other Experimental Evidence A short-term term experiment in Minnesota USA (Dise and Verry 2001)

12 50 MM (UK) 40 MM (UK) BLP (USA) % CH 4 suppression DS (Se) DS (Se) MM (UK) S deposition (Kg ha -1 yr -1 )

13 Other Experimental Evidence A short-term experiment in Minnesota, USA (Dise and Verry 2001) A long-term manipulation experiment in Sweden (Granberg et al 2001)

14 50 MM (UK) 40 MM (UK) BLP (USA) % CH 4 suppression DS (Se) DS (Se) MM (UK) S deposition (Kg ha -1 yr -1 )

15 Other Experimental Evidence A short-term experiment in Minnesota, USA (Dise and Verry 2001) A long-term manipulation experiment in Sweden (Granberg et al 2001) Short-term term controlled environment experiment (Gauci et al 2004b)

16 50 MM (UK) 40 MM (UK) BLP (USA) % CH 4 suppression DS (Se) DS (Se) CONV MM (UK) CONV CONV S deposition (Kg ha -1 yr -1 )

17 Other Experimental Evidence A short-term experiment in Minnesota, USA (Dise and Verry 2001) A long-term manipulation experiment in Sweden (Granberg et al 2001) Short-term controlled environment experiment (Gauci et al 2004b) A study of sulfate reduction in peatlands along a global S deposition gradient (Vile et al 2003)

18 50 MM (UK) % CH 4 suppression DS (Se) DS (Se) CONV MM (UK) MM (UK) CONV CONV BLP (USA) mean SRR (nmol cm -1 day -1 ) S deposition (Kg ha -1 yr -1 ) 0

19 SO 4 2- reduction potential (nmol SO 4 2- g -1 hr -1, 10cm depth) November 1997 control 9.1 (3.0) 50 kg SO 2-4 S/ha/yr 8.7 (2.8) NS November 1998 control 4.8 (0.8) 50 kg SO 4 2- S/ha/yr 40.0 (4.5)* Gauci and Chapman (2006)

20 Percentage change in suppression of CH4 flux and change in sulfate-reduction rates with SDEP Gauci, Vincent et al. (2004) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 101, Copyright 2004 by the National Academy of Sciences

21 Global wetland CH 4 model (Walter and Heimann, 2000) 12 year run Tropospheric sulfur simulation GISS GCM Koch et al., (1999) Coupled oceanatmosphere model GISS GCM Russell et al., (2000) Regression model of CH 4 anomalies with temp. and precip. anomalies. CH 4 from wetlands S deposition (wet + dry) Global wetland CH 4 emissions as affected by spatial and temporal changes in S- deposition Schematic representation of models utilised for estimation of the effects of spatial and temporal changes in sulfur deposition on the global wetland CH 4 source.

22 Natural wetlands CH 4 emissions

23 Global wetland CH 4 model (Walter and Heimann, 2000) 12 year run Tropospheric sulfur simulation GISS GCM Koch et al., (1999) Coupled oceanatmosphere model GISS GCM Russell et al., (2000) Regression model of CH 4 anomalies with temp. and precip. anomalies. CH 4 from wetlands S deposition (wet + dry) Global wetland CH 4 emissions as affected by spatial and temporal changes in S- deposition Schematic representation of models utilised for estimation of the effects of spatial and temporal changes in sulfur deposition on the global wetland CH 4 source.

24 Global wetland CH 4 model (Walter and Heimann, 2000) 12 year run Tropospheric sulfur simulation GISS GCM Koch et al., (1999) Coupled oceanatmosphere model GISS GCM Russell et al., (2000) Regression model of CH 4 anomalies with temp. and precip. anomalies. CH 4 from wetlands S deposition (wet + dry) Scenario b (step function at 15 kg S/ha/yr) Scenario B Scenario c (linear increase in S-effect with no change Scenario C in excess of 15 kg S/ha/yr) % suppression of CH 4 flux Modelled interaction 30 between S deposition 20 and CH 4 suppression Global wetland CH 4 emissions as affected by spatial and temporal changes in S- deposition S deposition (kg-s/ha/yr) S deposition (kg-s/ha/yr) Schematic representation of models utilised for estimation of the effects of spatial and temporal changes in sulfur deposition on the global wetland CH 4 source.

25 Effect of SDEP on the global wetland CH4 source with time Gauci, Vincent et al. (2004) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 101, Copyright 2004 by the National Academy of Sciences

26 Problems? How representative are short-term manipulation studies of the real world situation? Results from N manipulation experiments are unclear long-term experiments required. Low S-dep manipulation is difficult (background deposition is increasing) Percentage change in suppression of CH4 flux and change in sulfatereduction rates with SDEP Gauci, Vincent et al. (2004) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 101, Copyright 2004 by the National Academy of Sciences

27 The RICH 4 ES approach Regional Integration of CH 4 Emission Studies >100 sites with CH 4 emission But All sites don t have all data. Inconsistent approaches Etc

28 What about rice agriculture?

29 Rice growing areas Rice growing regions are predicted to become more polluted in the future S deposition mg m -2 yr -1

30 Interactions between methane production and industrial emissions of S gases Rice paddy Modified from Schimel, Joshua (2004) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 101, Copyright 2004 by the National Academy of Sciences

31 80 Suppression of CH 4 flux (%) Small regular pulses? Single dose line Single dose sulfate application data from van der Gon et al (2001) SO 4 2- deposition rate (Kg-S ha -1 yr -1 )

32 Milton Keynes Soil collection site location Monte dos Alhos (S deposition ~5kg ha -1 yr -1 )

33 Na 2 SO 4 additions at 100 kg S ha -1 y -1 or 100 kg S ha -1 (single pulse) Transparent acrylic top Fan Head-space sample port Temporary chamber Pore water sample ports 40cm Drainage tap sand 30cm Rice mesocosm and gas exchange chamber schematic.

34 Deposition of SO S across Europe

35 Results Day 1 (after transplanting) Day 11 Day 42 Day 67

36 Time series of treatments vs. controls (n =4) control vs simulated sulfate deposition control vs single 'fertilizer' application control 100 kg S/ha/yr control 100 kg S/ha (single addition) mg CH 4 m -2 day mg CH 4 m -2 day Day Day Error bars = +/- SE Gauci et al (JGR 2008a)

37 Gauci et al JGR (2008a)

38 New data vs van der Gon data set for comparison Suppression of CH 4 flux (%) 40 This study Single dose sulfate application data from van der Gon et al (2001) + acid rain simulation data this study SO 4 2- deposition rate (kg-s ha -1 yr -1 )

39 Applied S and Harvest Index 0.55 Harvest Index (HI) a ab b Different letters indicate significant difference p < 0.05 (ANOVA) control 100 kgs/ha/yr 100 kgs/ha treatment Gauci et al JGR (2008a)

40 Yield is linked to substrate supply and methane production Sass, Ronald L. and Cicerone, Ralph J. (2002) Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 99, Copyright 2002 by the National Academy of Sciences

41 Temporal variation in suppressive effect of sulfate. control vs simulated sulfate deposition control vs single 'fertilizer' application control 100 kg S/ha/yr control 100 kg S/ha (single addition) mg CH 4 m -2 day mg CH 4 m -2 day Grain filling Grain filling Day Day Error bars = +/- SE

42 How long does the sulfur effect last? CH 4 SO 4 2-

43 Return to Moidach: CH 4 recovery from pollution events? Gauci et al (2005) GRL

44 Laki Eruption in Iceland (8 June February 1784)

45 Extent and date of first appearance of Laki haze at surface. Thordarson and Self (2003)

46 Laki S-deposition (Stevenson et al 2003)

47 Atmospheric Laki sulfur simulation MetOffice GCM (Stevenson et al et al., 2003) climate as influenced by Laki aerosol (Highwood and Stevenson 2003) Regression model of CH 4 anomalies with temp. and precip. anomalies. CH 4 from wetlands S deposition (wet + dry) Scenario b (step function at 15 kg S/ha/yr) Scenario B Scenario c (linear increase in S-effect with no change Scenario C in excess of 15 kg S/ha/yr) % suppression of CH 4 flux Modelled interaction 30 between S deposition 20 and CH 4 suppression Global wetland CH 4 emissions as affected by spatial and temporal changes in S- deposition S deposition (kg-s/ha/yr) S deposition (kg-s/ha/yr) Schematic representation of models utilised for estimation of the effects of spatial and temporal changes in sulfur deposition on the global wetland CH 4 source.

48 Gauci et al (2008b) JGR

49 50 Northern wetland CH 4 source (>30 o N) Tg/year PIH Northern wetland source strength Year of Laki eruption post-laki year 1 post-laki year 2 0 Modelled effect of Laki on the northern wetland CH 4 source indirect aerosol effect direct S deposition effect 1782/ / / / size of CH 4 suppression component (Tg) Gauci et al (2008b) JGR Year

50 Gauci et al (2008b) JGR

51 Modelling the impact on atmospheric methane concentrations over time The effect of a change in emission rate on the atmospheric load was modelled using the equation describing the methane budget [Etheridge et al, [1998] equation 1]: db dt S B T where B is the methane burden in atmosphere (Tg), t is time (year), S is the methane source emission rate (Tg year -1 ), and T is the lifetime of methane in the atmosphere (year). The mixing ratio [CH4] in ppbv is related to the burden, B, by [CH4] = B/c where the constant c = Tg ppbv-1 [Fung et al., 1991]. Gauci et al (2008b) JGR

52 820 (a) Greenland ice core [CH 4 ] ppbv ppbv Comparison with ice core CH 4 records Gauci et al (submitted to JGR) 720 (b) rate of change of global mean CH 4 mixing ratio ppbv yr year

53 Summary Methane emissions from wetlands are suppressed by sulfate deposition. The effect is significant at the global scale and is offsetting growth in the wetland source that would be taking place due to warming. CH 4 emissions may rebound if S suppression is reduced. Recovery may only take place over decadal time scales. The effect may also be reducing rice CH 4 emissions. Work is required to synthesise CH 4 emissions from wetlands spanning deposition gradients and to examine the effect in the tropics. Volcanic eruptions can have a similar effect and the Laki eruption provides a historical experiment in time.

54 Acknowledgements Steve Blake, Graham Howell Nancy Dise David Stephenson Ellie Highwood Elaine Matthews, Bernadette Walter and Dorothy Koch Melanie Vile Gunner Granberg David Fowler