Current status and perspectives of the French wind energy market.

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1 Current status and perspectives of the French wind energy market. Husum, 19 September 2012 SIDE Event Bureau de coordination énergies renouvelables Nicolas Wolff, VP General Manager Vestas France President of the French Wind Energy Association, France Energie Eolienne Husum, 19 September 2012

2 Agenda Evolution of the wind energy situation in France Barriers and challenges Future perspectives and conclusion

3 An international perspective

4 The global context: wind sector outlook A mature but slow market. Growth on Emerging market. The wind sector is not expected to grow the coming years Global total wind power capacity added GW +1% -13% +26% % growth is expected the coming years According to EER, we are no longer in a growth industry Focus needs to shift from growth to profitability E 13E 14E 15E 16E 17E Source: EER

5 Wind Energy market situation in France

6 TOP 10 regions: Champagne-Ardenne 980 Picardie 883 Bretagne 681 Centre 672 Lorraine 653 Pays de la Loire 443 Languedoc-Roussillon 435 Nord-pas-de-calais 417 Midi-Pyrenées 384 Poitou-Charentes *Sources: France Energie Eolienne

7 An increase in nominal power 2.1 MW per machine Nominal power 10 times bigger from 1997 to 2007 The average nominal power is now over 2,1MW per machine *Sources: France Energie Eolienne

8 Suppliers in the French market at the end of 2011 Cumulative installed capacity* by the end of 2011 Vergnet Other Siemens GE Alstom Gamesa Nordex Repower *Source France Energie Eolienne 8

9 Wind types per region in France 9 Vestas trend for product development by 2015

10 Towards larger rotors and higher hub heights Wind Turbines Adapted to site conditions: complex sites regulated sites 30 kw kw 10 Vestas trend Corporate for product presentation development by 2015

Wind industry in France, a true potential French wind energy association: 250 active members / 11000 direct jobs

Rollix Defontaine, Mersen, EADS Astrium, SKF, Converteam, Schneider Electric, Ceole, Baudin ChateauNeuf Training

11 Wind industry in France, a true potential French wind energy association: 250 active members / direct jobs Commercial balance 950M export out of 1050M import France already has 170 companies, supplying the world market: Rollix Defontaine, Mersen, EADS Astrium, SKF, Converteam, Schneider Electric, Ceole, Baudin ChateauNeuf Training and growth opportunities for technicians via several collaborations in France: Nimes, Charleville-Mezieres, Le Mans, Amiens

12 Barriers and challenges Bienvenue 12

13 Evolution of the installed capacities in France Another decrease expected in 2012 MW 13

14 The European context France is not the only country experiencing regulatory uncertainties* FR 14 * Source: EmerginegEnergy Research 2012

Two kinds of barriers 1/ Regulatory barriers linked to GRENELLE II ICPE classification 5 machines minimum Zone de Developpement Eolien Recent decrees: Regional grid sketches Radars constraints and

15 Two kinds of barriers 1/ Regulatory barriers linked to GRENELLE II ICPE classification 5 machines minimum Zone de Developpement Eolien Recent decrees: Regional grid sketches Radars constraints and ICPE 2/ Feeding Tariff The high court of justice, further to an anti wind appeal, has decided in May to transfer the case to the European court of Justice Decision to be taken towards mid 2013 to end of Vestas trend for product development by 2015

16 Time-to-market: one of the longest in Europe Very long journey to get a project completed Submitting Building permits ZDE & Regional Schemes ICPE requirements Instruction Approval / Refusal / Appeal Rate 37% Compared to Germany* : France Germany Average development time: 6,5 Years 2,5 Years Instruction phase (lenght) 1,5 Years 0,5 Years Appeals max.length 12,5 Years 5,5 Years *Sources: France Energie Eolienne

17 However

18 French public opinion is positively evolving Sondage exclusif BVA Pour Agir pour l Environnement Effectué les 7 et 8 septembre 2012 Selon vous, à l avenir, quelle source d énergie faudrait-il développer en priorité? 18

French wind market: French consumers believe in it!

of 31,000 consumers across 26 markets For the whole

46% of consumers say that climate change is in the

think the manufacturing industry is to a high or very

78% state renewable energy as their preferred energy

19 French wind market: French consumers believe in it!! Global Consumer Study 2011 mapped the preferences of 31,000 consumers across 26 markets For the whole study click here. 46% of consumers say that climate change is in the top three concerns currently facing the world 81% think the manufacturing industry is to a high or very high degree a cause of human induced climate change 78% state renewable energy as their preferred energy source 58% think that fossil fuel use should be diminished 87% support an increase in renewable energy

20 2020: still a long way to go but promising targets 2012 Offshore 6 GW 19 GW Onshore Today 6833 MW 20 Vestas trend for product development by 2015

21 German banks are leading German financial institutions Sarre Landesbank Bremnen Landesbank Baden Wurttemberg LB Nordbank HSH 21 Vestas trend for product development by 2015

Environnemental conference 14th and 15th of September Some insights : Proposed Regulations: ZDE to be cancelled 2 nd offshore tender late 2012 Work in progress: Support schemes to

22 Environnemental conference 14th and 15th of September Some insights : Proposed Regulations: ZDE to be cancelled 2 nd offshore tender late 2012 Work in progress: Support schemes to become stable (ICPE, 5 wtg constraints) Feeding Tariff: Work in progress, the government is currently studying the different options including a notification to the European Commission.

Conclusion France stays an attractive market 2012 and 2013 will be under our expectations However, improvements expected during the Big Debate around Energetic transition

23 Conclusion France stays an attractive market 2012 and 2013 will be under our expectations However, improvements expected during the Big Debate around Energetic transition (end 2012/ early 2013) National Wind Industry conference Paris, 18th of October 20% EU target still valid 23 Vestas trend Corporate for product presentation development by 2015

Copyright Notice The documents are created by Vestas Wind Systems A/S and contain copyrighted material, trademarks, and other proprietary information. All rights reserved.

24 Copyright Notice The documents are created by Vestas Wind Systems A/S and contain copyrighted material, trademarks, and other proprietary information. All rights reserved. No part of the documents may be reproduced or copied in any form or by any means - such as graphic, electronic, or mechanical, including photocopying, taping, or information storage and retrieval systems without the prior written permission of Vestas Wind Systems A/S. The use of these documents by you, or anyone else authorized by you, is prohibited unless specifically permitted by Vestas Wind Systems A/S. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice from the documents. The documents are provided as is and Vestas Wind Systems A/S shall not have any responsibility or liability whatsoever for the results of use of the documents by you. Add Title and Date via 'View/Header and Footer'. E.g.: Corporate Presentation, November 12, 2008

Wind Power planning in France a never-ending process?

Wind Power planning in France a never-ending process? April 17th, 2013 Summary New planning mechanisms New mechanisms or scrap art? What will it really change? Multiple wind energy plans National level