The German Wind Energy Market

Transcription

1 Energy The German Wind Energy Market Current developements and perspectives April 14 th 2010, Austin Lars Velser, German Wind Energy Association (BWE)

2 Content About the German Wind Energy Association (BWE) Overview of the current situation The German Renewable Energy Source Act (EEG) A glimpse at technological developments Perspectives of wind energy in Germany - Offshore - Onshore/Repowering Annex 2

3 About the German Wind Energy Association (BWE) Largest national association with approx. 20,000 members Political representation in Berlin, Federal State and regional level International / EU-level: membership in several international associations Provide information for interested public and for the press Publication of statistics on wind energy Seminars, workshops on policy and technical questions German Fair Trades (Husum, Hanover) 3

4 Energy German wind energy market Overview of the current situation

5 Installed wind capacity in Germany Total installed capacity in megawatt New installed capacity in megawatt 12/2009 Total New turbines ,777 MW 1,917 MW Source: DEWI/BWE,

6 Statistical data wind energy end Total installed capacity 25,777 MW 23,903 MW New installed capacity 1,917 MW 1,665 MW Number of turbines 21,164 20,301 Number of newly installed turbines Electricity generated from wind Percentage of gross electricity consumption Potential annual energy yield Percentage of gross electricity consumption bn kwh 6.4 %* bn kwh 7.5 % bn kwh 6.6 % bn kwh 7.0 % CO 2 abatement Mio. t Mio. t 6

7 Wind Energy world wide Cumulative capacity 2009 Country MW % US 35, Germany 25, China 25, Spain 19, India 10, Italy 4, France 4, UK 4, Portugal 3, Denmark 3, Total top , Rest of the world 21, Source: GWEC, BWE 2010 World total 157,

8 Market shares of manufacturers in Germany new installed capacity Source: BWE/DEWI/,

9 Exports by German wind industry Value added by German wind industry (worldwide) Value added by German wind industry in Germany Share of German value added on global turnover Mio. 5,065 6,134 7,900 Mio. 1,332 1, % Export turnover of German wind industry Mio. 3,733 5,100 6,907 Share of export on value added in Germany (Turbine Manufacturers with production in Germany ) 2008 = 81% Source: VDMA / BWE /DEWI 9

10 Installed wind capacity per region in Germany Wind Energy Market

11 2009: approx. 90,000 jobs in the German wind sector Manufacturer Towers and construction machines Manufacturers of gears, drive systems Hydraulic systems and lubrications Foundries Operators and service companies Jobs 11

12 Energy The German Renewable Energy Source Act (EEG) Amendments from 1 st January 2009 for wind energy

13 EEG 2009: Higher remuneration for new turbines onshore and offshore since 1st January 2009, lower rate of degression Onshore ( 29) Offshore ( 31) Initial remuneration (2009): 9.20 ct/kwh 13 ct/kwh Basic remuneration (2009): 5.02 ct/kwh 3.50 ct/kwh Degression: 1% p.a. 5% p.a. from 2015 Not linked to producer price index Sprinter bonus on top of initial remuneration: 2 ct/kwh if commissioned before 31 Dec

14 EEG 2009: Recompensation onshore wind Additional bonus for improved grid compatibility New turbines: 0.5 ct/kwh on top of the initial remuneration Old turbines: 0.7 ct/kwh for limited period Repowering: Bonus payable on top of the initial remuneration amounting to 0.5 ct/kwh Initial remuneration Basic remuneration 14

15 Energy Perspectives of wind energy in Germany A glimpse at technological developments

16 Technical development a new turbine generation Type Enercon E-126 REpower 6M Multibrid M5000 Bard VM Capacity 6 (7.5) MW 6 MW 5 MW 5 MW Rotor diameter 126 m 126 m 126 m 122 m Hub height 135 m 120 m m 99 m 16

17 Development goes on 160 m high hub at Laasow/Brandenburg Wind Energy Market

18 Energy Perspectives of wind energy in Germany Offshore

19 Offshore projects in Germany Global Tech 1 Baltic 1 BARD Offshore 1 Alpha Ventus Brokum Riffgat Source: WAB, Wind Energy Market

20 Finished and upcoming offshore projects Project Name N of Turbines Capacity Start of Construction Online Alpha Ventus MW /2009 BARD Offshore MW 09/2009 End of 2010 Baltic MW Beginning 2010 End of 2010 Global Tech MW Borkum Riffgat MW End of

21 Alpha Ventus Source: DOTI, Wind Energy Market

22 Current prospects and targets for offshore wind energy MW Year 3, , ,000 25,

23 Framework conditions for offshore wind in Germany 23 projects licensed capacity for more than 6,500 MW New tariff since 01/ cent for 12 years should be sufficient to cover higher risk specific demands of German offshore development Cable connection provided and financed by grid operator but long lead times Grid expansion into centers of electricity consumption improved connection with Trans-European-Grid but early and comprehensive planning needed 23

24 Energy Perspectives of wind energy in Germany Onshore/Repowering

25 Increase in capacity and efficiency: Development of turbine technology Total height ~100 m (1995) 100 m (2005) 140 m 180 m Rated Power 600 kw 2,000 kw 2,000 kw 2,000 kw Rotor diameter 46 m 80 m 90 m 100 m Hub height 78 m 60 m 95 m 130 m Energy yield 1.25 Mio. kwh/a 4.4 Mio. kwh/a 6 Mio. kwh/a 6,4 Mio. kwh/a Full load hours 2,000 h/a 2,200 h/a 3,000 h/a 3,200 h/a Source: BWE,

26 Source: BWE Repowering Horizontal wind speed in m/s Hub height in m 26 Wind speed in m/s

27 Repowering current and future potential Repowering economical and feasible after 12 years Source: BWE, DEWI 27

28 Repowering fewer turbines, more output! Source: BWE,

29 2020 Electricity mix Renewables secure 47% of supply Source: Instustry Forcasst

30 2020: Electricity production from renewables in Germany Source: Instustry Forcasst

31 2020: wind power will cover 25 % of gross electricity consumption Source: BWE,

32 Ambiguous signals from the new government extension of lifetim for nuclear reactors (announced) incentives for combined RE power production (announed) deep cuts in solar tariffs (legislation started) next revision of EEG in 2011 not 2012 (announced) controversial public discussions among the federal ministers overall energy strategy announced for autumn

33 Market Energy Market find potential partners in Germany Data sheets for Wind Energy Turbines Expert market reports (technical trend and market development) More than 600 experts addesses Measurement reports 33

34 Energy Thank you for your attention! Lars Velser German WindEnergy Association (BWE) Marienstrasse Berlin, Germany +49 (0) (0)

35 Energy Annex

36 Source: BMU-KI 36 III

37 37

38 Wind Energy world wide New installed capacity 2009 Country MW % China 13, US 9, Spain 2, Germany 1, India 1, Italy 1, France 1, UK 1, Canada Portugal Total top 10 33, Rest of the world 3, Source: GWEC, BWE 2010 World total 37,

39 Installed wind capacity per region in Germany Source: Wind Energy Market

40 Energy New trend: E-mobility

41 The future of driving: Quiet and efficient in operation Erstes Elektroauto um : 2011: Tazzari Tesla Zero S 41

42 Powering e-cars with renewable electricity: The only zero carbon and zero emission solution 42

43 Fuelled by wind energy cheaper * incl. Minerall oil tax ** Remuneration according to EEG 2009 Source: BWE 43

44 EEG 2009: Clear rules for selling wind power on the stock exchange Direct marketing EEG 2004 EEG 2009 Entry and exit at any time, but not accepted by transmission grid operators and Federal Network Agency Entry an exit on a monthly basis, tba on month ahead Or: Marketing of partial amounts (fixed percentage of current output) 44